Your non-partisan source for the 2016 US Presidential Election. Just the facts. Who's really ahead?
The government’s response to Covid-19 has been overwhelmingly popular, and a leaked poll has suggested that Labour is currently far ahead of National. And yet, sports bettors give National a fair shot at supplying the next PM. Say what you will about betting markets (the Greens obviously don’t have a 5% chance of supplying the PM), they’re typically not vastly off, and National have a real shot at winning the next election. submitted by
How could this be, when Labour will very likely have a crowning achievement in suppressing a pandemic that has caused so much devastation elsewhere? Simply put, the economy will almost certainly remain in very bad shape come September. And a poor economy hurts incumbent governments, even if those factors were out of their control.
So in the likely outcome of “Covid suppressed, but the economy is bad”, National can’t argue that Labour failed to protect New Zealand against a pandemic. They can’t really say “they did everything great, well done” without conceding and implicitly endorsing Labour. Their core argument will very likely be something like “Labour held us in higher alert levels for too long, unnecessarily hurting the economy”.
And the key thing is, the data will probably bear this out even if higher alert levels are the prudent thing to do. The cost/benefit ratio is very skewed by rare events. You don’t want to shift down alert levels if there’s a 20% chance it will backfire spectacularly. You’ll want there to be much lower risk, perhaps 1% or less. What this means, however, is that a large majority of the time, it’ll look like higher alert levels were put in place unnecessarily long.
An analogy to this would be not buying insurance, or not wearing your seatbelt. The vast majority of the time, you won’t have an accident and you’ll save money or time, respectively. Nonetheless, we all know this is a risky strategy in the long-run.
However, elections are a one-off, win-or-loss affair. We won’t get to re-run history thousands of times to see what would have happened if we had moved alert levels at different times. And the odds are, if the government’s actions were prudent, most of the time it’ll look like we were overly cautious. (On a related note, I could go on about these kinds of calculations mean that governments everywhere are likely to underinvest in protecting against rare events, like global pandemics).
Somewhat perversely, it may actually be in Labour’s interests for there to be a mini-surge in cases just before May 11, because it would vindicate their decision to move cautiously.
However, on the flip side, if you’re a Covid pessimist who thinks that we’re likely to soon see a surge of cases from people violating Level 3 rules, Bridges' call is an indication that the National Party (who almost certainly have studied this issue more than you) don't think this is likely.
[Meta Note] This was written as my press persona. Apologies for the long read wanted to try something different. On the 7th of April, model-willem was at the height of his power. Having just finished a stint as Acting Prime Minister, and with the resignation of model-mili confirmed, the betting markets and those across Westminster were preparing for a Conservative and Unionist Party leadership election which would be comfortably won by Willem. Few thought 10 days later his dream would be over as he made the announcement he was withdrawing from the race and endorsing Yukub
. I sat down with him, and others involved, to discuss 10 days that transformed his career and changed his life. Sitting down for his first interview, I was struck by the sense of normalcy in his home in Stoke. His Cabinet red box on the dining table, and his partner pjr10th cooking a homemade lasagne in the kitchen, you could be mistaken for thinking this was just a normal Saturday for the household. But looking closely the remnants of the past few days were apparent. The suit he wore for the announcement of his withdrawal from the leadership race hanging up on the living room door frame. A copy of three different newspapers, his face splashed on the front of all of them. Next to the red box, a folder entitled “2020 Leadership Election.” With a cup of tea in hand, I started by asking him just why he got into politics in the first place. model-willem
: I started out as a teacher years ago, but politics always interested me. I wanted to make the world a better place, get people back into work and ensure that they are protected when they can’t manage for themselves. T: Would it be fair to say your path to the Conservative Party is a long one? From the Liberal Democrats and the Classical Liberal parties first, you eventually ended up here. How did this journey evolve for you and help you develop into who you are. W:
It certainly has been quite the ride with lots of beautiful moments. When I started politics I wasn't sure if the Liberal Democrats or the Classical Liberals were the party I felt most at home at, ideologically speaking. I did choose the Lib Dems because I agreed with most of their ideas and it did me good. Getting to know the do's and don'ts of Westminster in the Lib Dems taught me a lot. My departure to the Classical Liberals was a bit unexpected for most people, but I grew impatient with some of the people that I had to work with within the Executive of the Lib Dems and I found my new safe haven there, got to learn the ropes of Leadership of the party and eventually chose to merge the party into the Conservatives. The Conservatives are a great party and I am very happy to be here, I might be on the left of the party ideologically, but they always welcomed me with open arms. T: You have served as Conservative Deputy Leader since the merger. How did you find that, as well as the temporary step up to Acting Prime Minister in recent weeks. Stressful, I imagine? W:
The step from being Leader of the Classical Liberals to being Tory DL was a weird one, because you go from leader of a national party and being the face of a brand to being the most junior deputy leader of a party. The most stressful part was the fact so many people within the party often speak against each other, which is good but involves letting people down. Stepping up to acting Prime Minister was a great opportunity and a great experience to step into these amazing shoes of people who I admire for their work, such as Thatcher and Blair for example. T: When did you first start thinking about wanting to run for the top job? W:
Two or three weeks ago, when I had a conversation with model-mili
about his future and the fact he wanted to step down as Leader. I thought, well I can do this, I’ve got the experience and the drive to become the new leader. T: Take me to the moment that Mili officially resigned. It must have been a daunting moment realising the corridors of power were alive with the suggestion that you were the favourite to win? W:
Well yes of course. The moment it finally happened took me a bit by surprise, right after the Deputy Leadership election. I was finishing my manifesto for the party and our new way forward at that moment, not expecting to be needing it that soon. Being pushed into the spotlight as the favourite was a it expected, but I was always clear from the beginning I wasn’t the only one with good ideas.
----- After the resignation was confirmed, model-willem was of course not the only one reacting to the news and preparing to run. I got the reaction of the other two leadership contenders, who were put to a vote, on the resignation and why they decided to stand after seeing the rest of the suggested field of members who had confirmed or were thinking of running. Yukub
: However much I like Mili on a personal level, I have had some considerable criticisms on his Leadership and felt the best and most appropriate way to ‘fix’ the issues was by going head on and standing for Leadership myself. If I didn’t see myself as the best candidate - in terms of experience, activity, quality of judgement and so on - I wouldn’t have run. I suppose it was unexpected in some quarters because I’ve been content to serve under a Leader for many years now, confident they’d bring something special and unique to the table, and wholly convinced of their credentials, drive and competence. I suppose now I felt that I, more so than others, should be that Leader. As I outlined in a recent interview, there comes a time in anyone’s political career when they have to make the choice of whether they are to remain in the background, helping out on the side-lines, or if they want to stamp their mark on the party and aim for Leadership. I decided it was time to do the latter. Brexitglory
: As you know I was the latest entry in the campaign, I was watching the race very closely and I felt that there was a space in the debate that had not been filled. Everyone in the party agreed that any one of the candidates would do a good job, but I felt at the time that my passion and my energy was exactly what the party needed to get on the front foot again; that is why I entered the race. I wanted to bring my passion and energy to the very top and help and guide the party with that enthusiasm. I wanted to keep the debate laser focused on raising our polls and finding a vision for ourselves, rather than internal reforms, and I believe that my campaign helped to do that.
----- Back in Stoke, and we had moved into the kitchen. I chatted briefly with pjr10th about his husband’s run for the leadership of the party he himself has served over many years,including at some point as Chairman. pjr10th
: Well as you know my husband used to be leader of the Welsh Tories (as did I) and leader of the Classical Liberals and when he told me he wanted to take the logical next step and run for leader, of course I was overjoyed and ready to support him through the process. I’m so proud of him for taking the chance, and, although it hasn’t worked out, he still ran in a leadership election, which is something I wouldn’t have the guts to do. Turning to Willem, we continued our discussion about the leadership election where I asked him to pass comment on his fellow competitors. W:
Every candidate had something to bring to the table. Yukub for instance had the advantage of being a long time Tory with the support of every former leader still active in the party, but people did not necessarily know him within the party. A less familiar face for lots of people and that is something that I believe he’ll have to work on. Brexitglory was too inexperienced. A good person who might be my successor as Deputy Leader at some point, but at the moment the inexperience was a deal breaker for me and others. He’s also known for his more right wing takes and can be quite direct about that so that’s something that I think he has a disadvantage in. Rand is a good person with great ideas, but throws it all in and people can be overwhelmed by all of the ideas that he throws around. Merrily, in my opinion, wasn’t known enough, did not have the experience or a vision for the party. T: It is fair to say you were seen as the favourite, until Yukub got into the race W:
Of course it would’ve been great to have some endorsements from former leaders and at first it threw me off. But it also made me work harder than before, being a leader that was endorsed by the newer people, who maybe were not as vocal about their ideas and working for them made me feel stronger. T: What were your expectations heading into the results of the first round? W:
My expectations were not that high. It was hard to read what the result was going to be. I thought I might scrape through and get into the second round but definitely not by the same amount of votes as Yukub. T: So what was it like when you got the news that you and Yukub had drawn on first preference voters? W:
It felt great and I had not expected it. It showed everyone that I was someone to be watched and that my position as frontrunner in the beginning was the right thing. It also shows the rest of the party in my opinion that the quieter people have a large voice if they are combined. ----- I also spoke with both Yukub and Brexitglory about their reaction to the results of the first round, especially given the odds that Yukub was the by far favourite at this point. Yukub:
The real world has more nuance than the betting market and their seemingly arbitrary odds. I didn’t expect an overwhelming win or landslide or any candidate, including myself, so it’s near to what I expected, perhaps slightly closer than I had thought. Brexitglory:
Bitter sweet is quite accurate. I wanted to make it into the second round to continue my case, but towards the end of the campaigning it was clear I wasn’t going to make it. Nevertheless I was delighted with 8 votes. I started with no base, no long time friends and no leadership prestige, each of those 8 votes I worked hard for. I am proud and humbled to have won them over. Less then a day after he was eliminated, Brexitglory endorsed Yukub for leader. I asked him about that decision. BG:
It wasn’t a quick decision. I had been thinking about it before running, during my run and after my run. Right now the Conservative party needs pragmatism and experience to guide us through a very difficult time. I believe that Yukub is the best person to do that. Willem would also have made a great leader, so it was a hard choice, but on reflection I think Yukub is best positioned to unite the party and drag us back up the polls where we belong.
----- T: From the height of drawing with Yukub to 36 hours later when you had pulled out of the race. You’ll have heard the rumours around Westminster about so-called establishment influence and behaviour pushing you out of the race. This is your chance for you to honestly put your side of view across to correct the record. What happened between the first round results and the moment you pulled out to lead you to that decision? W:
It became clear that people within the party who supported Yukub did not see me as their leader and that they thought I am a liability to the party. These are things I can handle but yes at some point when the loudest voices start saying those things time and time again it gets harder to put it aside. Those feelings and the issues that they raised are for me the reason to step aside and let Yukub be the new leader. We need to be a united front as a party to fight back to the top in the polls and back where we were, and I didn’t feel like I was the person who could do that through the loud voices that did not trust me enough. I know that we can do this as a party and that we have to go further. It wasn’t my time and perhaps it will never be, but I will continue to fight for this party and to believe in the issues that are fighting for. T: So between that first result and your decision, calls were growing louder against you? Where were they coming from, and did you feel they were fair criticisms? W:
They were mainly coming from people endorsing Yukub, as I thought they would come from, some of the issues had a bit of truth in it, but in my opinion were exaggerated. This was not just my opinion but also that of others within the party. T: What do you mean by that? W:
Well for example the things that were said to me about me being First Minister in Wales had a hint of truth in there but in my opinion are not reasons to call someone a liability. T: Since you brought it up, you obviously saw the comments about you being a liability in the press. What was your reaction to reading that in the mornings papers? W:
It was tough reading it, because I felt like we did the hard debates internally and that it was supposed to be that way and to see one of my party colleagues hitting me with that in the press after I just declared that I stepped down was something that hit me but it says more about that member than it says about me. T: So, to clear up this matter once and for all. Did you feel forced out of the race? W:
I didn’t feel forced out just because of them, but did it have some influence in my decision? Yes it did. But I do really believe that we should unite for the future whether we are in Government or in Opposition and we now have the time to do this.
----- When I spoke to Yukub by phone shortly before he became Conservative Party Leader, I put the rumours of the so-called “men in grey suits” coming to ask Willem to drop out of the race to him, and asked him to say why he thought Willem pulled out and his reaction to the “liability” comments in the press. Yukub:
These accusations of “men in grey suits” forcing Willem out seem to be wholly unsubstantiated and motivated by a desire to hurt the party. The “press briefing” you mentioned is, in fact, a leak from within the party, which is of course against our party rules. I fully support Willem remaining on in the capacity of Deputy Leader in my leadership team and cabinet. He’s a hard worker and I am sure he’ll continue to serve the party well.
----- T: Something that is obvious in endorsements and has been picked up around Westminster is the apparent split between so-called ‘old guard’ endorsements and those who are former members of the defunct Classical Liberal Party. Do you ever feel like there is a split between these two wins of the party? W:
No I do not think there’s an actual split within the party, I do however think that we should listen more to each other. We come from different backgrounds and have different ideas on issues and we should think about that in discussion. T: So what is next for you? You are still Deputy Leader. Are you looking forward to working under Yukub and do you see yourself in it for the long haul? W:
I will look forward to working with Yukub and we’ll build ourselves up from here and we will be back on top. I don’t see myself going for another run for Leader as it stands. I don’t know where my next ambitions are. I’ve done a lot of things already in politics. Being First Minister of Wales, one of the most beautiful parts of our country, Foreign Secretary for around six months. I need to figure out my next steps, but I will be on the frontlines in politics for the future and I will continue to fight for my beliefs. T: Just finally. What’s your message to those of you who supported you in this leadership race? W:
I want to thank them from the bottom of my heart for supporting me through this and I know that it’s tough to see someone who you support going out of the race. I hope that they will back Yukub as leader but also that the rest of the party also recognises that they have to work to get them on board as well.
----- For the final part of my conversation with Yukub, I asked him his thoughts on the suggestion the winning side of the election will need to work to win over Willem’s supporters. Yukub:
I think Willem and I both recognise the need for party unity, especially now. One might have noticed that Labour recently overtook us in the polls, for the first time in years. Only by uniting as one party can we make sure they’ll be dislodged from their position. If we stand strong and stand together, we will have regained the lead before Labour has had the chance to fully appreciate it. This will require the goodwill and ability to compromise on all sides, from the front benches to the backbenches. Together, we can reclaim our rightful position and restore the people’s confidence in our party and in our vision. T: Final question, you have spoken about Labour overtaking your party in the polls, and with it very likely the Conservatives will be in opposition. Where does the party go from here? Yukub:
From what we’ve seen so far, both from information that has reached us about the composition and programme that a prospective Labour-led government, it seems like anything but a blueprint for the stability and prosperity that this country deserves and - quite rightly - demands. Yesterday the erstwhile ‘Prime Minister hopeful’, ARichTeaBiscuit
, was quoted as - for all intents and purposes - begging the opposition not to present a Vote of No Confidence in a month’s time. Not only is this delightfully hypocritical, it is also a clear indication as to the substance such a government would be made of. Should such a government materialise, the Conservatives will be there, in opposition, to provide the much-needed scrutiny and hold them to account at every juncture - and seeing the nature of this proposed government, there will be plenty of such opportunities. From there we can, and will, rally, rebound and make our move.
----- Getting in a taxi to the train station, it was obvious the words of unity were what Willem wanted me to take from this interview. The disappointment of losing the race was clear, and the passion for which he urged his supporters to get behind the party was sincere, but beneath the surface his comments sent another message. One that urges the eventual victor to unite the party, but not necessarily all on his own terms. The message that the victor needs to work hard to keep Willem’s supporters on board, combined with the urging of the losing candidate to unite behind Yukub will be one rebounding in CCHQ tonight, and will serve as a rallying cry to Willem’s voters to stay engaged, stay in the fight, and work hard to return the party to stable power.
Reply Part 1: submitted by
I want to be an optimist about this situation, but in light of these last 3 months it’s really hard for me to see any positive outcome for the right.
Same here.. the future as I see it looks pretty bleak as of lately.
Felix Rex aka Black Pigeon Speaks has an incredible video on why Trump is likely going to be the last Republican to ever sit in the Oval Office. In the video he states that mass immigration from third world nations has dramatically shifted demographics in key red states.
I've taken a notice to this as well. On the bright side, the Rust Belt states, Oregon, New Hampshire & Maine have been shifting Red lately in large part due to an exodus of either urban city dwellers to other states or political realignment due to both parties shifting positions. Either way, I don't see how the Rust Belt + Oregon + a few Northeastern states being Red States can win Republicans the White House in the future with larger states like Texas, Florida, Georgia and Arizona being Blue States in the future. Unless Illinois also turns Red, then there's a slight chance.
It happened to California, which was solidly red since it’s inception, and then flipped blue in the last 30 years because of the importing of migrants.
Well, California wasn't solidly Red since its inception. In fact, it was actually a reliable Democratic state for most of the 19th Century with a few times swinging to Republicans. It become solidly Red in the 1920s and again with Eisenhower. But it hasn't gone Red since due to immigration.
If I'm not mistaken, Hispanics now make up the majority of the Golden State's population.
He pointed out what’s happening to Texas, where border counties are now blue strongholds again because of immigration. In this election cycle, Texas has a slim but attainable chance of flipping blue.
As someone who lived in Texas for quite a while, I'll admit that I'm shocked that Texas has remained a Red state for as long as it has. Harris County, once a Red county has now turned into a Blue stronghold.. Texas will most likely flip Blue in 2028 or 2032 and will be in the solid Blue column at that point as well.
Culturally, conservatives have always been... conservative. They’d rather not fight. They play defense, if they play anything at all.
This is something that I've been railing about for years now. Conservatives keep losing the culture wars because they don't fight back at all, although they'll state otherwise and try to point they have been fighting, even though the evidence showing contrary is so overwhelming. If they do fight back, they only do so when its too late to win. Instead of trying to regain ground and restore what was lost, they gradually surrender battles and save what culture is left. Soon, they'll find the culture all but lost to the Progressives..
Same goes with the electoral college, rather than stay, fight back and try to flip Solid Blue States like Trump did in 2016. Rather than trying to flip California, Illinois, Washington State, Connecticut, Delaware, etc, they simply write them all off and the Conservatives living in those states pack their stuff up and leave. That said, I won't be surprised if many on the Right end up fleeing the country should the Democrats regain control of the Senate and White House this year and continue to hold them throughout this decade. Because they don't have the same fighting spirit their ancestors did ages ago during both the Civil War and Revolutionary War before that. Instead, far too many capitulate and run.
In 2016, we won the battle, but not the war. Trump’s victory infuriated the left. It energized their voter ranks and they pushed harder on the whole “America is a big bad evil place and Donald Trump is proof of it” message. Think of the women’s march, science march, etc any and all “social justice” marches or protests that happened from Inauguration Day through 2018. These emboldened socialist uprisings in major cities, and gave rise to the campaigns for AOC, Illhan Omar and many more. The right was complacent and didn’t concern itself with the future of elections. Since Trump won, how could we lose in the future? Trump didn’t help himself at all either, with every sloppily worded tweet he just encouraged the left even more. The Trump voter base was hibernating. We didn’t fight back when he needed it. It was a stupid move. We sat on our laurels and didn’t fight back when the left came for revenge. And they won 2018.
I remember how amazing the Trump's victory was in 2016. It's a shame that the Conservative Movement blew so much opportunity afterwards though. All of the Conservative thought leaders got caught up in the day to day news and scandals that surrounded the Obama Administration spying on Trump _(which is definitely a big thing, but still it shouldn't have taken away focus from the issues)_and all the while not holding the President or Congress accountable as they spent and passed bloated omnibus bills filled with mainly Democrat priorities, increasing the debt more than Obama did when he was in office.
The base became so overconfident to where as you said, they became blinded by their own victory beforehand. Just like back in 2006 and history repeated itself in 2018..
Now armed with self proclaimed socialists in seats ranging from city councils (see Seattle) to the House of Representatives, the Democrats embraced this new radical authority, since their racial diversity, relative youthfulness, and sprightly energy motivated social justice oriented millennials and gen z’ers to vote for the first time. And now they have war chests full of donations and fundraising money to blockade future elections. And all of that in itself is pretty scary.
Millennials and Gen Z are the two most Leftist generations of all time. Early Gen Xers didn't do a proper job raising Millennials nor did Later Gen Xers do well with Gen Z. The Boomers are guilty of this too, they raised the Old Millennials (born 1981-1988) rather poorly too. The lack of discipline, gratitude and humility of the new generations, it all shows with these riots and the marches from last decade. Racial demographics increasingly moving in favor of the Democrats is a major problem too. Asian Americans used to be staunchly Republican until the mid 2000s before becoming staunchly Democrat. I posted an article from National Review about this not too long ago. With the amount of money raised by the Democrats, they're bound to win more elections in the future than lose..
We let the left win. We messed up, hard. We had the chance to squish these communists once and for all, instead we let them multiply as a result of our own arrogance and laziness.
I fear you are correct. There may be a light at the end of the tunnel, but its closing ever so rapidly.
Fast forward to 2020. Now don’t get me wrong, had the coronavirus not existed, we still would’ve had a solid chance at this upcoming election. The thing is, despite letting the left fester under our noses, Trump had a solid record to run on. 3 years of economic social and political successes gave him perfect ammunition to use against the left, who’s platform basically consisted of nothin more than “cheeto face bad”, peach mints, and CNN nothingburgers.
But the coronavirus pandemic did happen. And as you properly pointed out, the economic gains got deleted in a matter of weeks. Unemployment skyrocketed. And now we’re back to the 1960s with race riots and protests that are still going on after nearly 3 weeks.
Indeed. This year went from being a great one to the most disastrous yet in the span of less than 3 months.
Trump’s election prospects, in my opinion, have gone up in smoke. Now what’s fresh on everyone’s minds is how things aren’t back to normal yet, how millions of people are still unemployed, how 1/5 of all businesses might close, how Trump sank this country into debt by spending our annual GDP 2x over in the span of 7 weeks, how socialists have destroyed and taken over cities amidst these race riots.
When America needed Trump the most, he vanished. That’s why his poll numbers plummeted. And it’s impactful. It paints him as incompetent. And this time I don’t think the numbers are lying.
You're absolutely correct. As it stands due to the factors you mentioned, Trump has lost a substantial portion of his voter base as many of the incompetent decision making by his advisors, namely his son-in-law Jared Kushner are showing more than ever before. The riots were merely the culmination of it all and Kushner stopping Trump from taking action against the riots earlier was catastrophic for him, and it shows in his approval numbers: Real Clear Politics Average: President Trump's Job Approval Rating
As it stands, Trump's approval has at its lowest since November of last year and is continuing to drop. Soon, it could be back to what it was in 2017 and early 2018...
He's now increasingly losing in the national polls against Biden and in the Presidential betting odds: Real Clear Politics: General Election: Trump vs. Biden Real Clear Politics: Latest Betting Odds: Trump vs. Biden PredictIt.org: Presidential Betting Odds: Trump vs. Biden Continued in part 2 of reply
from Kotasuoa on As of 2020: Is the Right in America and the West on the brink of defeat? Or can they still recover?
Not many of you recognize my username and honestly even if you knew my old accounts name it hasn’t had much meaning in the Neptunia fanbase for years ever since tiger_wsquared
turned the subreddit over to Soah1086
, an action many of us who were around the subreddit during its inception and had been active among anime and gaming subreddits in general refer to to this day as “Gamindusti’s Original Sin”.
Since that time me and a few others found our new place in the Neptunia Reddit community. We looked, we analyzed, we profiled, we investigated as much as we could from the shadows recording the history of the subreddit and it’s ever increasing decline and how it correlated to the ever growing toxicity of the Neptunia fanbase at large. We knew a day may come where this history would need to be made public, when actions worse than what Soah1086
did to Rajaxx
came from his moderation team and people needed the truth. Unfiltered from personal relations with any current users or moderators and gathered from a truly unbiased aspect. That day appears to have finally come.
Like most niche subreddits the beginnings of Gamindustri
were rather humble. tiger_wsquared
simply wanted a place for Neptunia fans to go on Reddit and looked to provide one. tiger_wsquared
started by posting links to articles and news about the series but he also went out of his way to announce the creation of this subreddit. He posted it on gaming
, I personally found the subreddit the day he posted a very chill friendly post about it on nipponichi
Despite being the creator and sole moderator of the subreddit Tiger still spoke to people like equals. Casual, Friendly, but still fulfilling his role as a moderator when needed. To Tiger he was a fan and member of the community first, moderator second. tiger_wsquared
was then contacted by soah1086
offering to help him out and redo the CSS for the subreddit. While since his departure from active Reddit user newer users of the platform aren’t aware soah1086
was always a heavily controversial person among anime Reddit communities. Soah1086
was one of two Reddit users among anime communities known to be a serious subreddit hoarder, offering to moderate subreddits he didn’t care about and do their CSS in hopes of patting his own ego. Throughout his time on Reddit Soah1086
always showed a series of anger management issues, aggressive impulses, and the shady practice of allowing drama in his favor while censoring any drama that painted him ill. He would also go to other anime subreddits he didn’t moderate and purposely try and stir their drama further. Soah1086
was referred to by many as “The Drama Boner”.
Not long after another Moderator was added to the mix Rajaxx
, A moderator that took up the persona of Purple Heart. I know to this day a lot of rumors circulate about Purple Heart and no two are the same, they all contradict each other and not even Soah1086
keeps his story straight. Allow me to go over what happened with Rajaxx
in detail from someone who went through and witnessed all that first hand.
The time of Rajaxx
’s mod term was the golden age of the subreddit. Believe it or not Fanart wasn’t super common then. We had people posting Discussions, what if scenarios, game mods, fanfictions, trying to organize gaming events with each other, reviews, analysis, theories, roleplay threads. The community was unusually active, more so than it is now despite a smaller size, involved, a true sense of comradery.
By this time tiger_wsquared
had begun distancing himself from the subreddit due to his real life struggles leaving soah1086
the defacto head moderator. Rajaxx
had a large number of ideas that the community at large not only supported but would have created a more active, involved, positive, friendly, and united community but soah1086
constantly refused because it wasn’t what he would do, it was too much work for volunteers, none of his other subreddits do that, etc. soah1086
wasn’t even willing to give rajaxx
’s ideas the benefit of the doubt.
A moderators role is to unite, try and promote content variation, and to do whats best for people other than themselves but this never aligned with soah1086
’s style of moderation. Round table, a system that prioritized the moderator teams happiness above all else. See outside of just Gamindustri
any community Soah1086
has had any decision making power outside the CSS has become toxic, divided, and drama ridden. Even the two subreddits he devoted the most time to because he actually cared about that series for once, fatestaynight
have grown into the most painfully ironic anime communities in Reddit history. With fatestaynight
having a community that hates their moderators for being toxic pricks, and grandorder
having such strict posting guidelines people often choose to post n fatestaynight
instead. Someone who moderated under soah1086
once described soah1086
’s management style as “doing as little as possible, finding a good eroge that all the moderators like, using it to cum on a biscuit and having the community be glad you gave them a snack that month”. He is also the kind of person who publicly stated the reason he never did a second season of PeanutButterGamers hardcore is because he didn’t want people laughing at him, above all else he cared about being on a higher caste than anyone else.
Around this time the Gamindustri
steam group was a thing. Rajaxx
wanted to partner with it and make it official, a sentiment that was shared by most of the active community. Soah1086
’s stance was “If we aren’t at the helm, it can’t be official”. Rajaxx
made a post about it hoping the words and wishes of the community would be enough to move soah1086
’s heart. Soah1086
was livid, Rajaxx
showed his loyalty lied more with the community than it did the moderator team and to soah1086
that was a big no no. To every community Soah1086
had helmed the modus operandi was “your loyalty should be your fellow moderators first, close friends second, with whatever is left over being thrown to the community I guess”. soah1086
took down Rajaxx’s post, said he was going to have a “long talk” with tiger_wsquared
about Rajaxxs “position” and it seemed like less than the time it took us all to blink Rajaxx was demodded with soah1086
trying to spread a bunch of lies about him.
The entire subreddit was in a state of utter shock. The large majority of the community loved Rajaxx, he was more than just a moderator, he was one of them. People were either silent, confused and asking questions (while Soah1086 promised full transparency he didn’t provide it), and a very small group of rather toxic childish users who were scared of rajaxx
because his ideas for a more united community would put them at risk of getting banned or seeing him as a threat to their own manipulative shady ambitions. soah1086
gave the toxic element a rule exempt card allowing them to break subreddit rules and sitewide policy when bashing Rajaxx
while removing and censoring everything in his favor or that brought question to the actions taken by soah1086
and their nature or disapproving of them. Rajaxx
collected all the evidence he could of soah1086
’s shady asshole and manipulative behavior, much of which was publicly facing, but soah1086
removed it and allowed more bashing. More and more of us gathering to Rajaxx’s defense did the same but soah1086
would censor anything that wasn’t 100% in the moderators favor, something his mod teams had a long history of doing when they saw their actions were unjust.
The demodding of rajaxx
was like a light switch. So many of us left because of it with no intent on returning until someone came into control of the community that’s loyalty was more to the community than the happiness circle jerk of their fellow moderators. Fanart quickly came on the rise because without a moderator that acted as an equal promoting content diversity people just wanted the quick karma grabs. NSFW was on the rise which created heated arguments about kinks. Users divided into sub groups that were always in a constant power struggle against one another, toxicity battling it out while unable to see the wrong in their own actions and trying to solely put the blame on others. Manipulative power games over status and resentment became the norm. If you can find posts from when Rajaxx
was still around and compare it to the community after you will see what I mean.
This drama inspired me to enter a career in law enforcement.
This at least did make me decide to follow a career in law enforcement so I could fight corruption and protect the innocent.
The subreddit was mostly left in the hands Histoire (aka kitsunedon
) and White Heart (aka luminous083
) who were not bad moderators in their own right but they were honest, fair, and unbiased even though a bit too passive to break down the walls soah1086
had built they would at least prevent things from getting terribly worse. Anytime something happened on the subreddit soah1086
’s stance was “It’s just old Purple Heart trying to cause shit again” despite the fact Rajaxx had resigned the fandom entirely by that point, overtime the rumors that spread turned even people Rajaxx had worked with and spoke to daily who knew he only ever had good intentions against him. This was something we had seen on other subreddits happen to people who opposed Soahs way of doing things but I digress.
As the sub numbers grew mod applications went up again and the moderators that were chosen were great picks. Neptune (Aka SuspicousScout
) and Uzume (aka Willtheyordle
) while they both had their issues with proper mentoring they could have reached the uniting style rajaxx
had but when you look to Soah1086
like he knows how to manage a paper bag you are not going to realize potential.
disappeared one day without any word or explanation willtheyordle
picked up the random discussion posts kitsunedon
had begun, SuspicousScout
showed a level of personality, flair, and style almost reaching the level of rajaxx
just a few steps behind. willtheyordle
wasn’t very active at first I would like to note. SuspicousScout
hoping to help bring the community together again around the series created the Gamindustri
Discord server. Now it is important to note, for profiling actions taken by the mod team both before and after this that SuspicousScout
did not fully consult their mod team about doing so, but it wasn’t an issue because it fit Soah1086
’s mantra of to be recognized we must be in control.
became frustrated with the lack of content diversity feeling users didn’t care about the series and just saw the series as a billboard for sex dolls. After making a poll about what people felt and being dissatisfied with the results SuspicousScout
did the respectful thing and stepped down.
having finished his schooling and no longer able to commit the large amount of commitment needed to moderate a subreddit such as gamindustri
he distanced himself from the community leaving just WillTheYordle
as the sole moderator to keep the rapid toxic selfish fanbase the actions of Soah1086
had created in check.
It was around this time the gamindustri
moderator team began getting complaints about the Discord server. Now let me preface with this, the people who came to run the Gamindustri
Discord weren’t innocent but nor were they guilty, they did some things that were very out of line but those things were not as bad as what the current moderator team did both before and after becoming moderators and nowhere near the extent to what Soah1086 had done during his entire Reddit history.
However with SuspicousScout
no longer being the one in charge it no longer falls under the mantra of we need to be in charge to be recognized. Soah1086
smeared them the same way he had Rajaxx and if you loo at his behavior all throughout you have to half wonder if he was getting off to the drama.
In the aftermath of this new moderator applications were brought up and the new moderators were picked by Soah1086
personally. The picks were nonsensical and makes you wonder if Soah1086
is properly medicated. Atanigan
(Million Arthur)’s application was written like a champ, amon the top three moderator applications in the subreddits history. However he didn’t seem to have much care for the subreddit, after being moderated it seemed he’d go months without really doing anything while pooring his heart into his Discord server, Gamindustri Standard. Randoomguy666
(Nepgear) was a controversial pick due to his history involving him denouncing the community’s toxicity and porn obsession prior, people demanded he be removed but he was not and willtheyordle
pleaded ignorance and having never been aware of his history despite both of them having publicly acknowledged it prior. Ryzer28
(Vert) was a lurker whos application showed no self confidence, drive, or real passion, to this day Ryzer28
is one of only two moderators in the subreddits history not a single accomplishment can be attributed to. Out of these three the one that objectively was the best pick was the most controversial one, randoomguy666
. Despite issues during his term he had done a decent blend of balancing commitment to the mod team and commitment to the fanbase. He was ever present, smiling, trying to help users and encourage activity by seeding content and events. Not to say he didn’t have his issues, as a prominent member of the Nepgear subgroup he was subject to the typical arguments with the Neptune or Plutia fans (Why is it Planeptune has all the infighting?) but yet during his term he has more accomplishments and positive actions attributed to him than most, easily reaching the top 4 most accomplished moderators in the subreddits long history.
In the midst of his controversy another new moderator was brought on a few days later, wwlink55
seemed more committed to his role as a moderator of the subreddit than Atanigan
, but far less so than Rajaxx
, and now Randoomguy666
and his habit of being very cold, sterile, and business like was and to this day still is a very unpopular approach among users who always responded better to the flair, personality, and having fun with it.
When that seemed to have been dying down the account PM_ME_YOUR_DARKSINS
was subject to a statement by dracesquire
announcing they had taken their own life. To this day there are conflicting reports to if that actually happened or not but I don’t think we will ever know at this point.
It was at this point we had the NSFW ban attempt of summer 2018, objectively speaking the subreddit at that time did need NSFW restrictions but not to go so hard and fast. Despite the community's hard objection to it multiple different methods were tried before heavily reduced to just “extreme NSFW”. Some of these included a single thread for all NSFW content, or just cold turkey. This event period was so extreme that it spawned the spin-off subreddit Gamindustrir18island
where users were given free reign to anti-circlejerk on the gamindustri
mod team, and for a period of a couple of days caused Neptunia
to be opened up from its ever closed status.
Amidst the variety of various subreddit events being hosted by Randoomguy666
came what all the moderators admitted was his brainchild, The Miss Gamindustri
Pageant. The event was quite popular and successful but there was some Drama towards the end. Mostly related to accusations of rigging, the Neptune, Nepgear, and Noire sub groups seemed to be the most vocal members of this little spat and as a member of the Nepgear subgroup Randoomguy666
faced a lot of flack for it.
Towards the beginning of 2019 moderator applications went up once more. Overall most of the applications were extremely lackluster, with only a few really being of note. HCLegend
, and the_seraph1
Among the two new moderators were the_seraph1
(Purple Sister), and sleepyviewing
(Gehaburn). These picks did carry a bit of controversy of their own by people accusing of character bias since most moderators seemed either to not care about the subreddit or pooring all their energy into the discord server owned by Atanigan
giving the image Randoomguy666
was the end all be all. A prime example of this was for quite awhile nopani
made a constant string of memes mocking this fact.
Despite it this was promising, sleepyviewings
hyperlurker status kept him a bit of an unknown, but the_seraph1
was promising. He had only been around the subreddit a couple of months preventing any sub group from properly taking root, he was capable of memeing and joking, while also serious and professional, seeded any type of content that was on the decline and hosted multiple events regularly, even was the first moderator to get something to make the waters of reddits loli rule less murky something that bigger subreddits failed and and thanked him for. While I can’t say for sure if the most accomplished he was certainly a running candidate for most accomplished Neptunia moderator on Reddits history.
Not long after the moderator team started an NSFW ban attempt again this time polling for opinions via mod mail. The ban went through but the community was more upset this time at the lack of an affiliation with Gamindustrir18island
and the instead establishment nor NeptuniaNSFW
. Now many people asked why are there two Neptunia porn subreddits? Well the official answer is valid, members of gamindustrir18island
including its moderators were guilty of a lot of hate spreading and harassment towards the gamindustri
moderation team, if we look at its current Discord its early days were a cesspit and before that on the old gamindustrir18island
discord the likes of edwin-of-northumbria
would regularly take part and engage in the hate cult based against randoomguy666
, while my sources on the following part are second hand I also hear that a private discord spawned off the old gamindustri
off topic chat room owned by silenteagle3
that user bashing and hate circling is a common occurance to this day ever since Silenteagle3
to make his friends happier. Not surprising if the rumors about the infamous Xander being amongthat discords most active and respected users are actually true.
The new Subreddit elected two new moderators to cover it, dracesquire
, who seem to be the definition of “doing nothing but appreciate the sidebar” If we look at the history of NeptuniaNSFW
and their accomplishments on it, being mentioned in the post about the gamindustri
pixel art contest. Outside that their accomplishments or things they have done have been non-existent, half the time they seemed to forget their own subreddit existed.
Not long after we had randoomguy666
resign. For a lot of members it was a bittersweet moment, because despite the initial objections to him a lot of people warmed up to randoomguy666 over time with all the contributions he had brought to the community. Randoomguy666 did imply he planned to return someday. While there were some toxic hate filled comments people made they were quickly taken down leaving only the most respectful. THIS IS IMPORTANT
As time went on the_seraph1
had shown a remarkable job juggling bringing the community back together with his full time job in a tech career, capable of full access and response time almost any time of day. There was a minor scuffle however when nopani
lashed out at the_seraph1
for trying to cheer up and provide emotional support to a sad comment in a random Discussion post left by Nopani
admitted that what he posted addressed emotional insecurities the_seraph1
had that had been explained to him by sleepyviewing
’s behavior seemed out of nowhere, have nothing to do with what the_seraph1
said, and being hypocritical since nopani
has made those same comments. If we look at the behavior of nopani
there as a standalone isolated case no logical sense or reasoning can be applied to it. Having briefly discussed this with the other long term observers of Gamindustri
the only way Nopani’s actions can make sense there is field testing, it was after this harassment from alt accounts that had almost no rhy7me or reason began on the rise, and since I’m just talking about publicly facing stuff I can’t begin to imagine what the_seraph1
had endured behind closed doors. The thing is if we look at every public facing harassment or hostile action taken against the_seraph1
afterwards they all seemed to address those same insecurities, if we take it as field testing how out of nowhere the behavior of nopani
was can make half a lick of sense.
The summer approached and a new moderator was added, Archadianite
or as he used to be known Glarcidium
, taking up the olds mantle of Neptune that SuspicousScout
had left behind. Big shoes to fill to say the least.
Around this same time randoomguy666
returned just in time for the AMA thread with Artisan Studios and announced he was helping a relatively unknown name, chaotic-throwaway
help revive the subreddit nepgear
. He was joined by two others, nopani
. To any uninvolved observer this behavior was once again a bit nonsensical. These were two people who expressed great relief when randoomguy666
left so why were they now supporting and modding with him?
Allegations came forward of Randoomguy666
faking his own death and spreading rumors against the moderator team came forward. willtheyordle
made a post and god was it a good post. Yes it was basically denouncing someone but it was respectful, informative, and passive. While you look at any time Soah1086 calls someone out and you wonder if he has taken his ritalin that morning there was no doubt willtheordle
’s post was made in good faith and to inform, not to direct hate. There was one common thing among all comments though. Everyone agreed without question that out of all of randoomguy666
’s “victims” the_seraph1
had suffered the most. THIS IS ONCE AGAIN IMPORTANT
Things were relatively calm for a while. Eventually nopani
did make a post about leaving the subreddit and unfollowing all the Neptunia subreddits, yet still showed up in the pinned threads of every one saying he “stumbled upon it”. How did he stumble upon them if he unfollowed the subreddit? His motives clearly were not what he said they were because ifn he had truly unfollowed them it would have been impossible to stumble upon them scrolling through your feed.
Glarcidium was demodded in a very respectful post showing no hard feelings. I can’t say I am entirely surprised but I was disappointed for Glarcidium was one of the first who’s loyalty to the community came before his loyalty as a moderator. But I understand why with how quick he can be to jump before trying to take in all information. There was something that was confusing about all this. nopani
said he once again “stumbled upon it” and that he never saw Glarcidium as mod material, but before he heralded the modding of Glarcidium as the greatest thing in subreddit history. Why the shift? Looking at the way nopani
talked about the moderation team after Randoomguy666
’s departure and comparing it to the way he did before the departure sucking up to be in good favor isn’t an impossibility.
In this brief time much was done to help mend the torn ligaments of the community. There was a community introduction thread that was incredibly popular, the_seraph1
was making constant posts not even as a moderator but as a user of “would you be interested in seeing something like this?”. The community was slowly mind you, but turning towards the path back to the state soah1086
had robbed it of smearing someone's name because he wanted to feel superior and incapable of wrong.
This sadly came to Seraph making a thread about what the community wanted, “State of the Subreddit”. Anyone who actively followed the subreddits history would know his words are sincere because the mindset of doing as little as possible and just trying to copy what others have done had long since been the norm in soah1086
communities. What the_seraph1
described had been a problem with every community he had ever managed and part of why they all grew to be so toxic.
The next day we saw the_seraph1
step down citing toxic harassment from the other moderators. While things were going well kind respectable words of goodbye and fond memories from the regulars it fell apart when atanigan
jumped in lashing out at the_seraph1
saying he was lying, no one lashed out, etc. the_seraph1
posted a screenshot proving the other moderators were outright toxic and atanigan
banned him citing “leaking mod chat”. Ironic part is this wasn’t the first time an gamindustri
moderator had shown something from the mod chat, infact atanigan
had done it once prior herself in a Random Discussion post in a means to troll willtheyordle
both jumped in after the ban bashing the_seraph1
. Given how these people had all shown to be on really good terms just a couple weeks prior the_seraph1
’s statement of “Lance said I lost the right to play nice because now he had to fear the community hating them” seemed like a very strong correlation to the sudden shift. None of us were surprised because soah1086
management practices, if you are less loyal to the moderator team than you are your own country or religion your a problem that needs to be silenced, and the_seraph1
had shown that day just like rajaxx
had so long before his loyalty was first and foremost the community. nopani
jumped in claiming wwlink55
both said it didn’t happen and “sleepy is his best friend”.
There was one saving grace in all this. willtheyordle
was still head moderator and the only one that had the backbone to go against the mod team if it meant cleaning up a mess. If you look at willtheyordle
’s history of the subreddit he was top 5 moderators the sub has had. He had his issues and short comings but when shit hit the fan he didn’t try and cover it up or lie he’d say “Look we messed up, I’m going to fix it”.
In the final conclusion to that while the final post showed signs of heavy editorial review not matching the_seraph1
’s behavioral or speech quirks. However at the same time the final story of all that was still more in line with the_seraph1
’s story and atanigan
issued an apology towards him. So here is the question. Why did Atanigan
, and dracesquire
lie saying nothing like that ever happened? More importantly why did sleepyviewing
who according to nopani
was his best friend lie? And when there were apparently 4 people who lashed out why was only 2 ever issue an apology? Simple they were the only two still on the moderator team that we knew for a fact were involved. Notice legend1nfamous
who had left neptuniansfw
by that point didn’t apologize and even tried to defend his toxic behavior? Nor did the currently unnamed 4th.
It is very clear that the apologies were an order by willtheyordle
and that they were far from sincere and I’ll get back to that in a few minutes.
When all those moderators lied about their team being even capable of toxic behavior and only seemed to have to own up due to willtheyordle
how do you expect us to believe anything any of them ever say?
A month or so later willtheyordle
stepped down due to his real life needing priority and ryzer28
along with him. the_seraph1
came back and the community was ecstatic, I know several observers felt it was worth giving the subreddit a chance again and made new accounts in celebration he was spared the fate of Rajaxx
However if we take a step back we can evaluate this unbiasedly, it’s why those of us from rajaxx
’s day lurk and address things without really interacting, so we can see the truth and the odd behavior without getting absorbed into the various sub group power games that had grew from the day soah1086
became head mod, we can see there was a game going on far beneath the surface.
I would address Atanigan
said on his Discord how the subreddit was horrible and he never dealt with so much emotional abuse, showing that his apology was mostly likely insincere but that to him saying you disapprove of his actions makes you a problem. This makes sense when you look at the fact the newest admin on his Discord server, Gamindustri Standard, sigmastudio
is described by many behind closed doors as “Weeb Kim Jong Un”. Acting smug, elitest, morally superioholier than thou, and someone who doesn’t see himself being capable of anything wrong. On his Reddit history we can also see a long history of him trying to bait randoomguy666
into arguments, often digging up month old posts to do it. But he’s an admin because he contributes to Atanigans
friendly ego stroking. ryzer28
began spreading rumors about the_seraph1
that from what has been gathered so far weren’t entirely accurate, especially since later the_seraph1
showed screenshots of ryzer28
admitting they were inaccurate and he was doing it out of spite.
So why wasn’t ryzer28
denounced when he had just become guilty of the same behavior randoomguy666
ultimately faced it for? Simple answer would be ryzer28
’s actions fit perfectly with what soah1086
and any mod team that ever thought he was capable of managing a sock drawer did to people who suggested the way they do things wasn’t the best, smearing.
We know he told these to nopani
who then forwarded these over to the new moderators when they applied which were all very close friends of his. This here is the proof that something shady and underhanded was going on.
It wasn’t hard to see these new moderators hanging around or chilling with the_seraph1
in Gamindustri Standard in the days leading up to the mod applications and explanation. While things were rough for a bit we slowly started to see the_seraph1
was regaining his vigor and recovering for the emotional and mental gaslighting the mod team had engaged in.
On Christmas we saw that the_seraph1
was late to the celebratory post because he had stayed up late readying the community's secret santa event. I ask you have any of the other moderators ever sacrificed an entire Christmas Eve to prepare something fun for an internet board? This isn’t rhetorical by the way this is a question I actually don’t have an answer to.
After a bit an apology post by randoomguy666
went up and it was great closure for a lot of users, but then the unexpected happen. Soah1086
to reenact Gamindustri
’s original sin.
The post and the days that follow were surreal. If we look at the comments what do we see? The people we know for certain lashed out at the_seraph1
before lashing out again, the suspected 4th ryzer28
doing it all the same, all close friends of legend1nfamous
the only 100% confirmed moderator to have lashed out at the_seraph1
during the state of the subreddit incident joining in on the kicking someone while they were down. The only close friend of legend1nfamous
that didn’t as far as we can tell was ChronicIdiocy
This thread was very reminiscent to everyone who had ever seen soah1086
’s behavior running a subreddit knew this wasn’t in good nature, it wasn’t meant to be honest, it wasn’t meant to inform or be transparent. It was meant to direct hate.
Like normal in Soah1086
’s smear campaigns comments against Soah1086’s “Mark” were given free reign but anything questioning the mod team was silenced in seconds. This post did however show us the biggest proof in the coming days that things weren’t what they seemed.
This is where nopani
told us he forwarded the rumors spread in spite by ryzer28
to the new moderators who “knew all along”. Why is this important? We know in the coming days the_seraph1
tried to do what rajaxx
did and peace out of the fanbase but wwlink55
didn’t let him. We also know from screenshots the_seraph1
posted that this pushed him into a quest to seek answers so he could make sense of the nonsensical. Through this time wwlink55
kept changing his story to cover the other moderators' backs. Look I’m a patrol officer and on my way to being made a case investigator, when someone has basically been attacked mentally like what soah1086
did the way wwlink55
’s primary goal was covering the other moderators backs is among the most damaging thing you can do to someones state of mind and self image/worth.
But we know from screenshot’s the_seraph1
tried posting that wwlink55
wasn’t taking anything suggesting the mod team would be semi capable of wrong or fault. There is one question though the_seraph1
never asked in those screenshots, why didn’t these junior moderators he seemed on really good terms with come to hear his side of these rumors? See that’s the thing that shows the moderators were up to something, when someone spreads rumors against your friend is it not the norm to come and hear their side?
Once these screenshots were posted publicly on the subreddit thus started “Avenger” the long term harasser that had been driving the_seraph1
out of the community entirely wanting no one to ever hear from him again. Interesting part is just after that happened Soah1086
changed his Reddit banner image to Gorgon from Fate Stay/Night something that from what I can see not the_seraph1
nor anyone else ever commented on or made a connection to.
Outright hate and toxicity towards the_seraph1
was allowed free reign, things were allowed to stay up when far more mellow things had been taken down in regards to randoomguy666
both before and after his denouncement. Meanwhile posts supporting the_seraph1
were often locked or removed entirely. The funny part is this, if we look at the removals of toxicity against randoomguy666
the responding moderator was quite often wwlink55
, so why now that he was supposed to be head moderator was he not showing the same courtesy? Simple for the mod teams happiness they had to smear him, its the soah1086
As time went on the mod team tried to silence the topic entirely, likely realizing the case against them had reached a point it painted them more at fault than anyone else, something once again common among soah1086
communities of silencing things and letting the toxicity boil fracturing the community rather than trying to mend the fence.
Now I don’t know much about this supposed Val person but my sources tell me that they were in the gamindustrir18island discord briefly and their account was heavily aged? Makes the odds of it being an alt unlikely honestly but I won’t comment because that person is mostly an unknown to us.
From what we gather by the end of it mind shattered and being left with zero self worth the_seraph1
just wanted to keep chatting with his friends but once this Val person showed up they stopped responding, thus making this Val person cement the long term harassment goal of no one talking to him again.
This basically shattered the_seraph1
’s mind to such a point he began turning to self mutilation as a cry for help and not only did the gamindustri
mod team laugh it off but from what we understand edwin-of-northumbria
told him to just “do it already”? Sorry that alone should be enough to ban edwin-of-northumbria
from the community entirely and block any community hes part of from so much as being mentioned.
was so mind fucked like many people had been before from the mod teams of soah1086
communities and their priority of mod team happiness above all else that he left, his girlfriend showed up and said he had tried to do an unthinkable action in response to all the emotional harassment and manipulation. When she joined the Discord just wanting to understand what the hell happened users taunted her before sigmastudio
posted one of his custom Noire emotes and banned him before him, the other staff of that discord, and the users did a victory Dance. How is it that that is an acceptable response to someones loved one trying to do the unthinkable? In a respectable community sigmastudio
would have lost his position on the Discord for such an action but remember these are people who above all else don’t want moderators that want the best for their communities, that want friends who will tell em no matter how toxic they are or how badly they mess up they are doing everything perfectly. The norm for soah1086
communities. We can see that his Girlfriend has been on Discord for quite awhile and from what I’m told she talks about in kuletxcore
’s server if things had been different I bet you she could have been a well loved member of this community too.
Interestingly enough a large number of anime Discords have been subject to raids lately, including Neptunia. But not a single user in any of them seems to be getting messages. Heck some of these anime Discords still have about 200 bots just sitting there. But if we look at his twitter we can see the_seraph1
was getting mass bombarded to the point he left Discord servers, unrelated to Neptunia, that he had a decent enough level of activity his name was at least “recognized” to get away from the harassment and save those Discords the trouble. So why leave communities entirely unrelated to Neptunia he enjoyed? Why were these bots joining Neptunia Discords but not messaging a single person in them? Simple, harass the_seraph1
and use the alts hitting the Neptunia discords to try and smear his name more if I had to guess having seen these moderators behavior in the past.
is gone and similar to Rajaxx
it doesn’t sound like he doesn’t intend to ever come back, yet all this bullshit is still happening. We can see this in the recent tweet about a bad actor weresdrim
is being harassed and extorted for Neptunia
and here on this subreddit in that “Want to be a mod” post we can see that hobiiii
is being targetted for gamindustrireform
. Why is this important? Only Neptunia subreddits not currently ran by an gamindustri
moderator or their closest closest friends. It fits the mantra going back years, to be recognized, we must be in control.
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