When I started out betting I searched forum by forum looking for these types of articles. I haven't seen one in a while so I figured to make one for the time being. Feel free to add to my list, feel free to criticize my list, or feel free to just read my list. If you feel like trolling, go back to HLTV.org, that's where you belong.
Disclaimer: I don't support unethical betting. If you have an issue controlling yourself, this scene isn't for you.
- The golden rule: Don't bet unless the team you're betting on is "all in". Example: A Bo1 faceit match with fnatic vs. Penta at 90%/10% odds, 1 week before Katowice is NOT a good bet to make. Some people could say they're saving strats, others could say they're throwing for skins, it doesn't matter. Fnatic doesn't necessarily have a ton to gain from a win here, a win or loss isn't going to ruin their day, even if it appears "vital" for the league. Save your bets for majors, playoffs, LANs, qualifying tournaments, or when teams need a late season push to make playoffs.
- Consolidate your winnings. Ever hear of the term "less is more"? You're more likely to bet those 7 FT ak redlines than you are 1 FT asiimov. As you win and progress, sell your skins and buy ones with higher values. Use the 7 day trade ban to your advantage and take a break, study teams you enjoy watching, and make sensible bets when you return. A redditor once said to me: "Don't bet because you want to bet. Bet because you want to win and you're confident in your ability to do so." As you keep winning, keep buying larger valued skins, bet the smaller valued skins. Don't consolidate your winnings into 1-2 high value skins and keep betting, that defeats the purpose. The purpose of consolidating your winnings is to build and preserve. Keep a pot of lower value skins for underdogs, a pot of medium value skins for favored teams/max bets, and high value skins to prevent you from betting them away.
- Bet wisely on BO1 matches. If the odds for a match are 70-30, that's telling you the community believes the favored team will win 7 games out of 10. In a BO1 scenario, you're banking that that 30% does not come up. Teams can have bad games, teams can get DDOS'd (online), teams can throw for skins, & teams can have planned or even unplanned stand-ins. Best of 1 matches are very good underdog scenarios.
- Do your research. Before making a bet, I go through a checklist. I check HLTV.org and review their previous matches. Have then been on a cold streak? Have they been on a hot streak? Are there previous head 2 head matches? This can tell you a TON about a match. Example: The past 5 matches for E-FRAG vs. HR are all 16-14 or 16-13, yet lounge odds say 70% in favor of HR. Does that sound right? Seems to me like those matches were pretty dang close. Next, I check their steam accounts to see how much they've been playing. You can type most pro's names in google and put "steam" after it and their page will come up. Example: EnvyUs was playing Ex-Gamers2 (CSGL) in a bo3 the week GTA5 came out. EnvyUs all had triple the hours in GTA as they did in CSGO & they lost a BO3 at around 80-90% odds. I also check twitter accounts to see if people are on vacation or coming back from one. I look at the odds and determine if my winnings will be large enough to justify a bet. I check the CSGO Betting reddit page, but I do NOT read too much into detail (too much odds swaying). I double check if there are stand-in's or DDOS has been a previous factor. I double check if they are just returning from a LAN or haven't played in a while. I wait, I let the odds settle, and I bet usually within the last 30 minutes before game time.
- The 60/40 factor (chain logic). Two teams who's true odds are 50/50 are playing each other in a bo3. Let's say, EnvyUs is playing TSM. EnvyUs just beat Fnatic in a bo3, while TSM barely scraped by Luminosity in a bo3. Should the "true" odds change based on this information? If you answer yes, you have some learning to do (which is okay). Lounge odds will most likely change to favor EnvyUs quite nicely...like 60/40 or even 65/35. How is this justified? Because TSM didn't look as good vs. LG as EnvyUs did vs. Fnatic? They're playing two different animals & you cannot cross compare. Don't get stuck betting on the favorite who's odds are inflated solely due to winning a previous game vs. a tougher opponent. A huge example of this actually happened to TSM. In a previous LAN TSM won their semi final quite easily, while NaVi seemed to struggle a little vs. LG, but still won. Finals came and odds inflated for TSM, almost up to 80% if I recall. NaVi comes in and smashes TSM, the end. Chain logic = bad!
- Do NOT bet all in. Like I said, less is more. Betting all in is the easiest way to lose your skins in 60-120 minutes. It's an idiotic way to go about doing this and no match is ever "safe". Keep in mind you're betting on dudes (or girls in some cases) playing an online video game. Even though some of these people are literally being paid to do this, they are not always required to try.
Bonus tip: Underdog betting is the easiest way to make lots of skins. Yes, you may lose more than you win, but the fact of the matter is that multiple upsets happen every single day. Every single day there are winners at 15-35%. Just look at today, a 23% win, 32% win, & a 34% win.
Enjoy betting you all. Even if this helped just one person bet, my job is done.
Hey guys Misery here!
I decided to write a little explanation aka Tips & Tricks regarding betting mainly on csgolounge.com. And to get started I want all of you to read and UNDERSTAND the rules (www.csgolounge.com/rules
). I will help you with all your Questions in English or german as long as you read the rules! If the answer is easily found in the rules I might react a little not so friendly/satiric. For this guide I am making up an example-match between LDLC that has 80% on csgolounge and Torqued with 20%.
First of all I will explain to you what betting in csgo is based on and what the most important points are. Betting in csgo often involves skins or stickers but can also be done with money. You can bet with money on egamingbets.com and with items on csgolounge.com. I'm going to focus on csgolounge.com for the moment. So the lounge is setting a value to your items. This value is taken by the actual steam-value of the item. The steam-value changes often while the csgolounge-value stays the same for much longer which provides us our first exploit:
- Step 1: Getting the items
Go to csgobackpack.net/lounge.php and search for bettable items. The best item to bet is the item where the csgolounge-value divided by the steam-value is the highest. A good item starts by 1.25. Everything above that is bonus. Once you found an item like that you should buy it and use it to bet. The advantage is that you get a relatively high value on your bet without risking that much money.
- Step 2: Deciding on a team
Important to know is that the csgolounge-odds are not the actual chances for a team winning. This gives us two possibilities for making our choice:
- You can bet on the team that is more likely to win. This team is not always the better team. There are a lot of different factors that influence this way of choosing. The skill of the players, how long the team played together, the map choice if it is a best of 1, etc. These factors should give you your personal odds which might be 60-40 for LDLC. This means that LDLC would win in 60 out of 100 games. This would be a pretty good bet to place on LDLC then.
- You can 'play the odds'. If you calculated your personal odds to be 60-40 for LDLC you can compare them to the csgolounge-odds (80-20 for LDLC). Using this tactic you should be betting pretty late when the odds are less likely to sway and you should be sure about your prediction skills. If you are right LDLC wins 60 out of 100 matches against Torqued.
If you were betting 100$ each game on LDLC you would win: 100$/match * 60 won-match * 20% Torqued / 80% LDLC – 40 lost-match * 100$/match = -1500$ Although LDLC wins more matches than Torqued you still loose money because of the odds. In this case you should play the odds and bet on Torqued. If you were betting 100$ each game on Torqued you would win: 100$/match * 40 won-match * 80% LDLC / 20% Torqued – 60 lost-match * 100$/match = 10000$ Thats right, if you bet on LDLC you would loose 15% off your bet on average. If you bet on Torqued you would win 100% your bet on average. Of course, csgolounge.com is taking a little 4-5% cut of your winnings, but you can still see what I'm saying, right? +100% winning is huge. The only disadvantage is, that even if you predict your personal odds perfectly, LDLC still has a 60% chance of winning the game. They are not playing 100 times but just 1 time! Over time you would still profit though. Playing the odds is best in a best of 1 since the odds are most of the time not quite adapting to the circumstances of the match being HIGHLY dependent on the map and the knife round.
Once you have decided on who and how much to bet it's time to put your money down. On csgolounge we have a system that might need to get used to. If it says that the queue is currently full I personally like to put an auto-clicker onto the 'Are you sure?' button. It should do the trick. It is also really useful to have some nice skins in the returns so that you can place a bet even when the bots are down. You can place the bet 5 minutes before the match starts. Try to bet half an hour before. This way you can still think about it if anything changes your bet significantly in the last hour. I made some rules for myself that prevent me from a heart-attack:
Don't bet on odds above 90%! Don't bet against unknown teams! Don't bet what you can't afford to loose! Don't go all-in! Don't listen to the haters!
- Step 4: Watching the game
Of course it's fun and shit but the most important thing about watching is to get to know the teams. Information is the key for future games so try to get as much of that as possible. Watch every single player individually. How is the teamplay? Are they winning because of pure luck or skill or hacks?
- Step 5: Request your returns
Don't request all of it. It's good to have some skins in returns. If you'd like to play with some, get them out.
Step 6: Watch your bank.
Try to always be aware of loosing streaks or if you are going negative. Prevention can save your inv. Don't try to bet high so that you can cover your losses. It either works or it doesn't. Deal with it.
Crossbetting is betting on both teams. It takes at least 2 steam accounts and it might sound stupid but if it is executed right it is immortal. And here is why: Remember the 'bettable skins'? You should. And here is an example: In case you found skins that cost 1$ on Steam and are worth 1.50$ on lounge you can follow this example. The odds are still LDLC 80% - Torqued 20%
You should buy (80/20 + 80/20 * 20/80 = 5) of that skin. Now you put (80% * 5 = 4) skins on LDLC. Now you put (20% * 5 = 1) skins on Torqued. In case LDLC wins you made (4 * 1,50$ * 20 / 80 – 1 * 1$ = 0,5$). In case Torqued wins you made (1 * 1,50$ * 80 / 20 – 4 * 1$ = 2$). Over time you will get a feeling for it. Also after the games you will decrease your amount of overvalued skins. Credit goes to MiserylovesCompany :D
The daily bet thread for 10.07.2020. This Thread is meant for every game starting between 0:00 CET and 23:59 CEST on 10.07.2020. For Matches starting after that, please use the Thread for the next day, which should be posted arround 21:00 CEST today. CSGO betting matches and tournaments happening all the time Non-stop action for your CSGO betting entertainment. You only have to check in to a bookmaker like Betway or Pinnacle to realize that there’s always a great CS:GO tournament out there to bet on. CSGO Lounge is the oldest and most famous platform which allows the players to bet on items from the inventories. The players can bet on particular matches or leagues such as FACEIT and ESL. And the best thing is that you get a chance of winning $300 by betting on the single match of items. E.g. a $5 bet at 1.5 = $7.50 return ($2.50 profit) Sway. When somebody attempts to trick individuals into making a bad bet by providing false or heavily exaggerated information in an attempt to gain from it. ICB = Inventory Cleaning Bet. This is an old term from CSGO skin betting, where you’d clean out some skins you really don’t want. 1. CS:GO Betting Tips. If you are looking for CS:GO betting tips you can check out our community where you can find nice amount of eSports tips from our users (just click the image below).What's more, we track all of our user's statistics so you can check how every tipster at JohnnyBet is performing.