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What if... One-club men lived forever

The year is 2017. Top scientists have finally cracked the ability to stop ageing, and the world rejoices. The discovery prompts an immediate FIFA investigation into exactly what this means for world football from now on. How will the careers come and go when every team can just preserve their best stars? How will the next Messi break through? The Qatar FA suggest restricting it to only Qatari players, a motion that's only narrowly defeated. In unrelated news, a bunch of mysterious Qatari bank accounts are seized the day before the vote. Eventually, a compromise is decided upon between. Only those players who’ve proven themselves to be in it for the sport, and their team, can use it. The players who have stuck with their team through thick and thin, who’ve turned down bigger money offers to stay where they are. One-Club Men. However, should their loyalty ever waiver, and they choose to leave, those players will lose their right to an everlasting career, and have to face the advance years once again. Who will remain loyal the longest? Who will ride out the lowest of lows to stay at their lifelong club?
Unfortunately for those of you hoping I’ve found a secret miracle, that’s just the best nonsense I could come up with to frame this scenario. In less dramatic terms, using FM 2017, I'm going to select 50 one-club men from the top 5 leagues and de-age them to around 22. Every 5 years I'll de-age them down to 22 again, unless they abandon their loyalty. I'll also be adjusting everyone's contract to expire in 2020 to make it equal, and undoing international retirements where necessary. Nothing overly complicated, but I’m expecting this one to run a long long time if I’m going to have everyone leave, so I’m good with it not being too complicated.
Reddit side note! It's me again. Some may remember my experiments from ages ago. I'm back and writing again, but as you can probably tell, with a new name and website. If you want to see this post with much better formatting, all the images, and everyone's profile at the end, go here to read it in full: link You can stay here if you prefer though!
So who actually qualifies for this? I've restricted it to players from the Top 5 leagues of England, Italy, Spain, Germany and France, and only included those that have been at their clubs the longest. As well as the genuine candidates like Messi and Totti, loaned out players like Lahm qualify, as do those like Iniesta who haven't left in FM 2017, and even those that have left in-game, but are known for their careers at one club. Buffon is a good example of the latter. I've included a link to an image with all 5 players here: link
With all this loyalty around, I wanted to mix it up a bit by adding in one final player. Someone completely opposite to everyone picked so far, the anti-one-club man, the journeyman of all journeymen. And after some research, I came up with the perfect candidate. Sebastián Abreu, a man who in his career has played at an impressive 29 different teams in 11 different countries, setting a Guinness world record along the way. Abreu will receive the same treatment as the loyal players, except it won’t stop when he moves team. I want him to move around more, spread his wings, see how many teams he can collect over an illustrious career.
That’s enough explaining for now. Should be pretty clear what’s going on, just a bunch of footballers never getting old. Time to get things rolling and see who eliminates themselves. Who can stick it out the longest, who will become THE one-club man?

2016/17

With our younger one club men unleashed on the world, many of them attract instant attention from new clubs. For a while it stays quiet and looks like the first transfer window may pass without incident. Only a few loans crop up... until Javi López because the first man to fall. With Espanyol not meeting his standards, he makes a £2.4M trip down the coast to join Valencia. He proves to be the only summer casualty by the time the window slams shut.
January brings the winter window, and the Premier League clubs start to sniff around, ready to throw bags of cash at unsuspecting players. It doesn’t take long before the next two players are reeled in by money and lose their eternal youth. First Marcel Schmelzer in a £20.5M move to Liverpool, followed by Bruno joining moneybags Man City. By the end of the window, Nacho also heads to the north of England, joining rivals Man United. I’m not sure if any of them have realised how damn cold it is up there. That window swiftly ends, settling the bottom 4 finishers in the competition.
Returning to the world of actual football results briefly, and there aren’t many shocks to be seen. Man City finish 6th, Everton get relegated and Borussia Mönchengladbach reach the Champions League Semi-Finals. A few players see their team relegated, as Werder Bremen, Caen and Freiburg go down, so there could be a few casualties once that disappointment has set in. But all in all, the footballing world has coped just fine.
Loyal Players Remaining: 46
Abreu Club Count: 23 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: None

2017/18

With everyone’s transfer budgets warmed up, it doesn’t take long for the action to get back underway. The previous season has barely finished before Chris Solly trades in his morals for a Premier League move to Norwich. Sergio Álvarez joins him in England, making the slightly odd move to Bournemouth before a big £52M move sees Koke trade loyalty for a big move to Man City. That’s the most surprising move so far, as I expected many of the players at top clubs to stick around. The final two transfers of the window take us to sunny Spain, where both Xabi Prieto and Mario become massive glory hunters, trading in their life long clubs for Atletico Madrid and Barcelona respectively. Javi López, having left Espanyol to join Valencia last year, immediately realises his mistake and rejoins Espanyol. It’s too little too late though, his status as a one-club man is already ruined.
The winter window comes and goes without even a hint of action, so things may already be starting to quieten down. Over in Brazil, Sebastián Abreu has his contract with Bangu come to an end after a good season but fails to attract any new suitors before the European season ends.
Around the world, things keep ticking on relatively normally. Watford take a surprising FA Cup win despite finishing rock bottom of the league, meaning they’ll have European nights alongside their Championship campaign. The loyalty of Seube, Höfler and Bargfrede is rewarded, as Caen, Bremen and Freiburg are immediately promoted back to the top tier. Las Palmas head in the opposite direction, which causes David García to hand in an immediate transfer request. The Spaniard could very well be the next player to go.
Loyal Players Remaining: 41
Abreu Club Count: 23 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Watford (FA Cup)

2018/19

My suggestion that things may be quietening down is immediately disproved by the biggest move so far. Bayern Munich legend Philipp Lahm makes a huge £82M transfer to Manchester City, throwing away all he’d built up at Bayern so far. But it doesn't end there, as 2 more huge transfers are finalised right after. First Claudio Marchisio drops Juventus, clearly not happy with them losing the title to AC Milan, and moves to Real Madrid. Then Daniele De Rossi trades in Roma for Barcelona. Whilst both have moved in real life, I didn’t expect either to fall so early in this, being icons at such huge clubs. A little later, David García makes his predicted move away from relegated Las Palmas, opting to stay in Spain with Osasuna. And then on the final day of the window, one last move. David Zurutuza decides the Premier League is more to his taste and joins Noble at West Ham. Javi López continues his tour of Spain, realising rejoining Espanyol doesn’t earn him back everlasting youth, and so heads to Sevilla instead. Currently, he’s moved around more than the specific journeyman player I chose to actually move around. Talking of, Abreu does find a new contract, heading back to Uruguay to join River Plate Montevideo.
The winter transfer window is again mostly quiet, with very little potential action. There are still some transfers though, as Robin Knoche becomes the 15th person out, heading to Borussia Dortmund. Then a legend moves on, as Iker Casillas decides that barely getting any game time behind Keylor Navas isn’t worth it, and so joins Monaco for a mere £11M. I guess you can't escape the real world after all.
The summer of 2018 means a World Cup, a tournament which regularly creates bizarre results in Football Manager. This year is no exception, as the likes of Italy, Belgium and Argentina fall in the group stages, before South Korea beat both Germany and France in the knockouts. The final between Brazil and Croatia proves 100% less heartbreaking than the real 2018 final for the Croatians, as they become champions of the world. In domestic football, Man United take all the English trophies on offer in a Quadruple, whilst Freiburg find themselves relegated yet again, as do Montpellier.
Loyal Players Remaining: 34
Abreu Club Count: 24 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Croatia (World Cup)

2019/20

Another season, another transfer window, another set of swirling rumours around our one-club men. Borussia Dortmund manage to steal away another of our competitors from a German rival, taking Timo Horn early in the window. Having been relegated yet again last season, Nicolas Höfler decides enough is enough and leaves Freiburg for Hertha Berlin. Over in Italy, and Chievo Legend Sergio Pellissier finally caves, leaving his relegation-threatened lifelong team for European battlers Fiorentina. But that's all the entertainment I can offer, no big signings this time around I’m afraid. Let's go see what Javi López is up to instead. His merry-go-round of clubs continues yet again, moving over to Deportivo de La Coruña in the latest of his ever-decreasing value of transfers.
January retains its typical bleak and dull atmosphere, with no sign of action whatsoever until the final day of the window. Hugo Mallo decides to try and add to his trophy cabinet and heads to Man United. Not the worst career move to throw away eternal life for considering their dominance right now. And with his departure, the total number of players that we've lost hits a nice round 20.
In the Premier League, Man United claim their 4th title in a row, exerting total dominance over everyone. But where one dominance rises, another falls, with Dortmund claiming the Bundesliga to knock Bayern off their perch. The shock of the season comes in the Coupe de France, where 3rd tier LB Châteauroux knock out Lyon, Auxerre and PSG before falling to Caen in the semi-finals. With Monaco having fallen to 4th tier SA Spinalien, Caen beat an easier opposition of RC Lens in the final, leading to Seube lifting the teams first-ever Coupe de France. Not bad for a player I expected to never lift a trophy. On a less joyous note, Höfler having left relegated Freiburg, sees his new team Hertha relegated immediately too. It seems there is no escaping the 2. Bundesliga!
On the record front, Gianluigi Buffon sets a huge benchmark, breaking the 200 cap mark for Italy. With no-one else close to him, he’ll stay the leader for a long time. Messi also breaks a boundary, climbing through 400 league goals during his career at Barcelona. Like Buffon, he’s way clear of any competitor, and unless a miracle happens that sees him abandon Barcelona, I can’t see anyone catching him soon.
Loyal Players Remaining: 30
Abreu Club Count: 24 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Caen (Coupe de France)

2020/21

2020 arrives, and with it, two important points arrive too. Firstly, everyone gets de-aged for the first time in this experiment. The 20 that have left get to watch from a distance thinking about what could have been. Second, the initial contracts are set to expire, so anyone that hasn’t re-signed will out the door. Which is exactly what happens to Víctor Valdés. Having barely appeared for Barcelona since his return, he leaves the club on a free and heads to the southern French coast to join Marseille. A day later and someone else leaves France, as Romain Danzé who decides one de-ageing is enough and moves to Schalke. Tony Hibbert also struggled for games at Everton despite his new youthful look, and so he walks out the door. He opts for Aston Villa, who to my great surprise have sunk to a mid-table League 1 team. Feeling left out, Spain joins in, with Oier Sanjurjo departing Osasuna and moving to Villarreal. The window is then capped by a bizarre final free transfer. Despite appearing regularly, Xavi isn’t offered a new contract by Barcelona. Man City can’t quite believe their luck and snap up the Spanish wizard a few days before the window shuts.
Winter brings with it just one transfer in its usual action-heavy way. Roberto Torres leaves Osasuna, making a £35.5M switch to Atletico. I’m not sure whether Atletico thought they were getting a different de-aged Torres because that can only be described as an overpayment. Either way, that means we've now lost over half the competitors.
Euro 2020 passes, and Croatia prove their World Cup victory was no fluke, becoming both champions of the World, and champions of Europe. On the Continental front, things have been fairly predictable so far, at least until this years Europa League. Hoffenheim escape a tough group and go all the way to win the entire thing. Not bad for a team that barely qualified in the first place. Oh, and Messi wins a little thing called the Ballon d’Or for the 10th time. I think he’s only just getting started.
Loyal Players Remaining: 24
Abreu Club Count: 24 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Hoffenheim (Europa League)

2021/22

The 21/22 season begins with two transfers on the first day. Loïc Perrin makes his way to the Premier League to join Leicester. But that's a minor splash compared to the other move, as after 768 appearances and 302 goals, Francesco Totti leaves Roma. It seems wrong to see it, but he’ll now be wearing a Man United kit. Dortmund continue their run of stealing loyalty, this time bringing Tony Jantschke into the fold. Another contract is run to the end, forcing Álex Bergantiños out of Deportivo without much choice, before being picked up by Cagliari. Mikel González opts to end his time at Real Sociedad, joining Pellissier over at Fiorentina. And as August comes to a close, it looks like Totti may be the only big departure. That is until Gianluigi Buffon decides to call time on his Juventus career. It’s an odd move, with the legend going sorta sideways from a regular starting Juventus spot to Bayern Munich. But there’s no going back now, as his 636 league appearance career with the Italians comes to a close. Two legends down in one window.
No season is complete without a single winter signing to warrant an entire separate paragraph, and this season is no different. Sergi Roberto moves away from Barcelona, in a £24M move to French giants PSG. A good way to guarantee yourself plenty of titles I guess. Abreu also makes a winter move, adding Guarani in the Brasilian second tier to his collection.
Roberto’s decision proves to be a good one, as PSG go on to claim their 10th one in a row. Not many surprises elsewhere, although Real Oviedo get close to pulling off a shock in the Copa del Rey. The second tier team beat Osasuna, Barcelona and Sevilla on the way to the final, but ultimately Real Madrid prove a step too far. Elsewhere everything is won by a team you’d probably expect. Exciting stuff.
Loyal Players Remaining: 17
Abreu Club Count: 25 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: None

2022/23

With the pool of players rapidly decreasing, very few of the crew are even wanted by other clubs anymore. Perhaps deterred by their steadfast loyalty? A few moves do still happen though, so we’re not dead yet. Firstly Anthony Lopes gets fed up of PSG dominating his league and moves to AC Milan for a better shot at a trophy. It’s not long before that story is forgotten, as the biggest transfer fee in the competition so far is dropped. Andrés Iniesta is stolen away from Barcelona, in a huge £86M move to Man United. The midfield maestro fell 2 appearances short of 600 league games for Barcelona, but with his new £300K per-week contract it’s not hard to guess why. That proves to be all the action for the summer window, with no-one willing to top that huge move.
After half a season of hearing their noisy neighbours gloating about their star signing, Man City snap. And if there’s one thing City are good at, it’s splashing the cash. In probably the easiest negotiation over fee Barcelona has ever had, Sergio Busquets makes a £95M move to the sky blues. Yeh, that’ll show United. Once again no-one wants to get in the middle of the awkward Manchester squabble, and the winter transfer closes with a whimper.
The second World Cup of this experiment comes and goes. This time all the giants make it safely through the Group Stages, but it’s Africa that really excels. Morocco make the knockouts, Egypt battle through to the Quarter Finals, but Nigeria come out best. They beat South Korea and Argentina before falling valiantly to France in the Semi-Finals. A 1-0 victory of Italy does see them finish in an impressive 3rd place, becoming the first African team to finish in the top 3 of the World Cup. France win the title on penalties after a deceivingly action-filled 0-0 draw with Spain. The domestic scene follows that with a similar lack of real shocks. In the Carabao Cup, Bournemouth beat Arsenal, Chelsea and Man United on the way to lifting the trophy. But it’s the lesser Cup, so outside of Bournemouth no-one really cares. PSG finally have their grip on the Ligue 1 broken, as Casillas leads Monaco to a fantastic title. Otherwise, all the league titles and cups fall to teams you’d expect them too. Another thrilling year.
Loyal Players Remaining: 14
Abreu Club Count: 25 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Bournemouth (Carabao Cup)

2023/24

Literally nothing happens. Thomas Kessler decides that no team can ignore his existence for 20 seasons in a row and get away with it, leaving Köln to join Trabzonspor. So as I said, literally nothing happens. Even Javi López moving to yet another club would be more interesting than that.
The same applies to the footballing season. Asides from Casillas captaining Monaco to a Champions League title, or Atletico winning the title again, exactly 10 years after their last win, everything is frustratingly normal. And even those two events are hardly shocks.
Before I start to lose hope, there are a few interesting moves over the last few years from the losing group that are worth highlighting. First season mover Bruno didn’t make the impact he hoped and found himself moving to the lovely Stoke. Robin Knoche barely received any playtime at Dortmund and found himself cast out to Dinamo Zagreb. Even in League 1, Tony Hibbert could barely get any game time at Villa and so moved on the Scunthorpe in League 2. But the winner of the oddest move has to be Zurutuza, who somehow manage to pull off a move to Liverpool after West Ham found themselves relegated, only make a few disappointing performances, before being released on a free to join Al-Arabi in Qatar. Not quite the career he was anticipating when joining the Premier League I bet.
Loyal Players Remaining: 13
Abreu Club Count: 25 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: None

2024/25

The summer transfer window arrives for another season, and with it finally comes a huge deal! Javi López has found yet another club! Hooray! As for actual competitors, absolutely no movement whatsoever. Even from Abreu, who’s been at Guarani for 2.5 years now. Manceau, Lewington and Seube complain to their managers about playing time or relegation, but none of them actually make a move anywhere. So our final 13 will add another 5 years onto their career length.
There are some fun statistics from our 51 worth mentioning at this point. Buffon leads the way with both total league appearances (935) and international caps (259). His caps are at a point where they’re too high for the game to display, as the value is stored as an unsigned 8-bit integer, and so has rolled over to just show 3. Most appearances for a single club goes to Dean Lewington however, who thanks to being a regular sits at 857 league appearances for the MK Dons (or 889 if you include Wimbledon). In the goals department, the winner is obvious. With almost 500 league goals, 100 international goals and 14 Ballon d’Or awards, Messi sits on top of everyone. On the international scene, he’s run close by Müller and the fast-approaching Kane, but for league goals, it’s not even close.
2024 brings with it a Euro tournament, which doesn’t provide much in the way of surprises, but brings with it some exciting high scoring matches. All ending in a 4-3 victory for a Thomas Müller led Germany over neighbours Netherlands. Which I’m sure went down very well. The domestic scene decides to spring a few shocks though. In Serie A, Roma claim an impressive title thanks to main striker Iheanacho, their first since 2001. The German and French cups provide surprise winners, in the form of Hertha Berlin and Dijon. Both cap an impressive run by beating their respective league winners, Bayern and Monaco. Even the continental tournaments turn up too. First Monaco cement their place as a top power in football by winning their second Champions League in a row. That coming a week after the best win there could possibly be. Tottenham win the Europa League! Screw the other stuff, that last part is all I need!
Loyal Players Remaining: 13
Abreu Club Count: 25 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Dijon (Coupe de France), Hertha Berlin (DFB Pokal)

At this point though it’s fair to say that the competition results are more interesting than the movements of the players. Which is the perfect signal that things need to speed up a little bit. So from now on, updates will be every 5 years, which lines up perfectly with player age resets, letting us see who has made it to the next checkpoint.

2025-2030

Another round of de-ageing hits, and you’d think that would incite some interest in our final 13. Instead, it’s a ghost town. We do have an immediate dropout though, as Nicolas Seube finally gets fed up with his lack of playtime at Caen and heads for Panionios in Greece. A year later the situation is repeated. I’m not entirely sure what his unhappiness was about, but Iker Muniain decides he’s had enough of Athletic Club and moves to Hamburger SV. At least he left on exactly 100 goals for Athletic though, a nice round number. With 11 left, a standoff to reach the top 10 ensues. For 3 years no-one budges in their show of loyalty, until in 2029… Dean Lewington leaves for Derby County on a free. It’s a huge move, with Lewington becoming the first man to break through 1000 league appearances for a single club before leaving. But he’s moved on now, and it won’t be long before that record is broken. That move means we’re left with our final 10 contestants. Terry, Iraola, Messi, Susaeta, Noble, Jourdren, Müller, Kane, Manceau and Bargfrede have secured a top 10 spot, and now all that’s left to do is fight it out for number 1.
Over in Brazil, our anti-one-club man continues his journey, although it remains in Brazil for the moment. Only 2 clubs are added to his count, with a long stay at Atletico Goianiense followed by a £2M move to top tier Coritiba. I’m kind of hoping he starts to make enough waves in the Brazilian league to move to Europe and add some new countries to his history.
Those that fell before the first de-ageing are retiring, finishing off their magnificent, or in some cases very un-magnificent, careers (as losers). Javi López finishes his fine anti-loyalty tour around Spain with 7 transfers to his name. Schmelzer, Nacho, Solly, Álvarez, Koke, Mario, Prieto, Marchisio, De Rossi, David García, Zurutuza, Knoche, Höfler, Pellissier, Mallo, Horn and Hibbert end their careers. Many, such as Nacho, Horn and De Rossi stay just as committed to their new clubs as they did their old, finishing out their careers after just a single transfer. Of the pensioners, Sergio Pellissier manages to rack up the most career league appearances and goals, at 894 and 246, although that’s largely thanks to a huge head start. De Rossi dominates on the international scene, earning a whopping 197 caps over his 30-year career. Naturally, all those records will be blown out the water once the next group start retiring, but it’s nice to have some benchmarks.
Around the world, plenty has gone on worth hearing about. The Netherlands claim their first-ever World Cup win, beating Brazil in the final, whilst in the Euro’s Germany win their second tournament in a row. The Gold Cup throws up a few interesting results too, as first, the Mexico B team win it, with their A team tied up in the Confederations Cup. Then 4 years later Canada take the title, only the second time in their history. Over in Italy, Lazio find themselves relegated as the league starts to shake itself up a bit. But other than that, domestic football remains relatively unspectacular. Oh except… TOTTENHAM WINNING THE LEAGUE. Didn’t even have to reset it and we won it before Arsenal did. North London is very much Lilywhite now, suck it Gooners!
Loyal Players Remaining: 10
Abreu Club Count: 27 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Tottenham (Premier League)

2030-2035

Another 5 years pass and to start with it looks like the top 10 are going to hold firm. Eventually though, the temptation of money proves too much for one man. That man is Geoffrey Jourdren who trades in his starting slot at Montpellier for a cosy backup contract at PSG. Then comes… dead silence. Not even a rumour, or an unhappy player. No-one even hints at leaving for the next 4 years, which means we end the period with nine players on the books. The real waiting game has begun. Even our journeyman Abreu is moving in a very slow way, as a five year Coritiba stint finishes with a free transfer to Red Bull Brasil. I think my hopes for a European move have died.
At least there are a lot of retirements to run through. Bruno, Lahm, Casillas, Valdés, Danzé, Oier, Xavi, Torres, Perrin, Jantschke, Bergantiños, González, Roberto, Iniesta and Busquets hang up their playing boots. That does leave us without some noted legends, with Lahm, Casillas, Iniesta and Busquets reaching 200 caps for their country. You’d think Spain would have won more with that golden generation. Casillas and Xavi also both hit 1000 league appearances thanks to a strong head start before the experiment. But it’s Andrés Iniesta who is the most loyal of the bunch, racking up nearly 600 appearances for his original club before departing.
Five years leaves plenty of time for interesting results once again. England take a World Cup win, which is always a sign of the apocalypse, only made more bizarre by Scotland making the semi-finals in the same competition. Portugal take the other title in that period, whilst the Euros also see a surprise winner in Switzerland. France provides the biggest shock at club level, as Lille come from nowhere to win Ligue 1, and then immediately revert back to mid-table once again. Otherwise, the time belongs to Manchester City. The oil bar… sky blues take 4 out of 5 titles in both the Premier League and Champions League, with all that cash flinging finally paying off.
Loyal Players Remaining: 9
Abreu Club Count: 28 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: England (World Cup), Lille (Ligue 1)

2035-40

With just nine players left, once again we get a transfer fairly early on in the period. Early as in the first transfer window, which makes me wonder why they waited so long. Anyway, Mark Noble has had his patience tested by West Ham’s yoyoing between the Premier League and Championship a bit too much and finally caves. He makes a £20M move to Burnley, who… are doing the exact same thing. Not sure that was the brightest idea. Like the previous 5 years though, one transfer is all we get. None of the others move, despite some pretty heavy unhappiness from Bargfrede and Manceau. Abreu keeps up his trail, running out his contract with Red Bull Brasil and opting for Chapecoense to reach 29 clubs in his career.
With very few moving recently, that also means less and less are retiring, as just 7 ex-competitors leave the game. Totti, Buffon, Lopes, Kessler, Seube, Muniain and Lewington call time on their football life. The fact they all stuck with it for so long means there’s so impressive stats between them. Totti racked up 1154 league appearances, with 768 at Roma. Dean Lewington, after leaving MK Dons with 1003 appearances finished with a total of 1287. Italian legend Gianluigi Buffon finished with a whopping 1307 league appearances, but perhaps more impressively, 334 international caps. But the single most surprising statistic goes to Thomas Kessler. Despite barely playing in Germany he manages to notch a grand total of 7 goals after his move to Turkey. Maybe if he’d been a striker he’d have actually played at Koln. Oh and Seube ends his career Greek. Because why not.
As per every time, a quick look around the world’s results is needed. Spain win back the World Cup titles, whilst Italy take a Euro win. Argentina, Mexico and Australia claim all their continents international trophies in the window, so no massive surprises there. The domestic world isn’t exactly littered with shocks either. Brescia win a Coppa Italia, and Nîmes Olympique grab 4 top 5 finishes in a row in France, but there’s not really much to shout about. I think it’s best to just get on with the next de-ageing.
Loyal Players Remaining: 8
Abreu Club Count: 29 clubs in 10 countries
Odd Winners: Brescia (Coppa Italia)

2040-45

Down to 8 now, so it’s getting tougher. And a lot slower, so slow in fact that not a single transfer in our group happens in five years. For a moment I was excited to see Manceau at Recreativo de Huelva, but that was just a loan. So I was back to being crushed. On the plus side, Abreu makes some huge steps. He adds not just 1, but 2 new countries to his history! The first is Portugal, in a huge step up to join Braga. As usual, it’s just until his contract ends, before he moves on to Frankfurt in the Bundesliga. He’s hardly setting Europe alight but I don’t care, he’s actually moving!
There’s only one retiree to talk about too, as pretty much everyone has already gone. Geoffrey Jourdren finishes up with 925 total league appearances. It probably could have been a bit more, if he’d not spent 10 years of his career being a backup at PSG and Bayern. On a far more interesting note, Terry breaks through 1500 career league appearances. Kane also hits 256 international goals, which results in the number resetting to 0 just like caps. So the game has him on 96 caps with 11 goals, when the actual numbers are a stunning 352 caps with 267 goals.
Having seen my disappointment last time around, the world decides to liven things up. Denmark become both Champions of the World and Champions of Europe in 2042 and 2040, although they lose the European title to Germany 4 years later. At the continental level, the Champions League stays on track, but the Europa League brings some bizarre winners into the mix. Nîmes Olympique, Real Sociedad, Leicester and Bristol City all win a trophy. It seems Mark Noble finally made a right move transferring to Bristol City, as the club is now a strong top 6 Premier League side. Manceau wins a Coupe de France at Angers, but it’s still Nîmes making waves, forming a big three with PSG and Monaco. It may not be long before either Nîmes or Bristol City win their league, which is not something I expected to be saying.
Loyal Players Remaining: 8
Abreu Club Count: 31 clubs in 12 countries
Odd Winners: Nîmes Olympique/Bristol City (Europa League), Angers (Coupe de France)

2045-50

2045 kicks off and once again Manceau deceives me. This time it’s a loan spell in Denmark with Brøndby that had me thinking he was gone. Well you know what they say, fool me once shame on you, fool me twice… I’m probably gonna fall for it. It looks like there’s going to be no moves whatsoever once again, until June 2047 arrives and I notice a contract is set to expire. Imagine my shock when Lionel Messi is not offered a contract by Barcelona and is let go. It’s made doubly worse by the fact that of all teams to pick him up, it's Atletico Madrid. Apparently, 37 Ballon d’Or awards aren’t good enough for Barcelona anymore. I don’t even care that nothing else happens. That’s enough to stun me.
Over in the retirement home, Mark Noble moves into a room. After an up and down career, the Englishman did manage some silverware with Bristol City and ended his career with 1317 league appearances. He even earned not just 1, but 90 England caps across his 44-year career.
Around the world, interesting results are still cropping up. England grab their third World Cup win beating Colombia, whilst Honduras win their first-ever Gold Cup. Much to my bitter disappointment, Arsenal win 4 of the 5 Champions Leagues on offer, as well as 3 Premier League titles. Chelsea have a period of bottom 10 finishes which deeply upsets Terry, whilst over in France, Chamois Niortais begin to try and join the top 3. Don’t worry I’ve never heard of them either.
Loyal Players Remaining: 7
Abreu Club Count: 32 clubs in 12 countries
Odd Winners: Honduras (Gold Cup)

2050-55

With the world still reeling at the fact the Messi has moved from Barcelona, everyone kinda forgets to make any moves. In fact, Messi is the first person to move yet again, leaving Atletico in a very cheap 34.5M move to Man City. Which is more in line with where I originally expected him to go. Abreu finishes one contract, at Hapoel Be’er Sheva, and moves onto the next, but it’s with Monterrey so doesn’t count. Sebastian, it has to be new clubs. John Terry is starting to get frustrated with a Chelsea team that has really fallen from grace. The Londoners barely survive relegation in 2052/53, so Terry may be the next to go. Or maybe I know nothing and it’s completely random.
No-one retires this year, so let’s take a brief look at some statistics of our remaining 7 + Messi. All our players have now reached 1000 appearances, with Bargfrede in last at 1173. Messi has crossed 1000 league goals, now a full 300 clear of the chasing pack of Abreu and Kane. On the international level, Thomas Müller becomes the first player to need a rollover of caps twice, moving on to a massive 524 international caps. But it’s Kane who still leads the international goal stat, nearly breaking 350, a full 50 ahead of the German.
Müller does, however, grab a World Cup win for Germany so I’m sure he won’t be too upset. At least until they’re deposed by Holland 4 years later. On the continental level, Bristol City win another Europa League title beating previous champions Espanyol. Middlesbrough also nearly earn a trophy, having joined Bristol as a top 6 team. But the winner of the biggest shock, although I did say this might happen, goes to Chamois Niortais, who topple the dominance of PSG and Monaco to capture a miraculous Ligue 1 title in the last season of the period.
Loyal Players Remaining: 7
Abreu Club Count: 32 clubs in 12 countries
Odd Winners: Chamois Niortais (Ligue 1), Bristol City/Espanyol (Europa League)

2055-60

The summer window of 2055 opens and as I warned may happen, there’s an almost immediate transfer. Fed up with Chelsea’s mediocre finishes, John Terry decides to move on. Unfortunately for Chelsea fans, Arsenal is his next club, which I’m sure will cause a few shudders. A year later and another move comes around, once again due to unhappiness over the club’s performance. Surprisingly it's Thomas Müller,who's annoyed by the fact that Bayern haven’t won a Bundesliga title since 2048, and so runs down his contract. Leverkusen almost earn his signature, but eventually its the glory of PSG that proves too much to resist. But we’re not done there! Another player runs down their contract, opting to move to Vitoria de Setubal in Portugal. Vincent Manceau finally makes a real move rather than constantly faking me out. So with another 3 players down, we’re left with our final 4. The race for the top 3 is hotting up now!
We do have a retirement this time thanks to the transfer window livening up. The world's best-ever player, Lionel Messi, retires from football. He ends up on a total of 1858 league appearances, scoring a massive 1068 goals in this time. 1430 appearances and 895 goals of those belonging to his 45-year career at Barcelona. On the international scene, he earned an impressive 505 caps and 276 goals. But it’s the awards where he shines. 279 individual awards, 82 team titles, 22 league titles, 6 Champions League titles, 45 Ballon d’Or awards. What makes it even crazier is 41 of those Ballon d’Or awards were in a row, as he earned every single one from 2015 to 2056. I don’t think I’ll see another player like that crop up in any save, truly the world’s best player.
Looking out on the world, I can say that it’s a Chamois Niortais player that breaks Messi’s streak, as the French team claim another two Ligue 1 titles. It’s hard to say they’re a “surprise winner” at this point. Bristol City finally make the full step up to join the big guns, winning 3 Carabao Cups, 1 FA Cup, 2 Premier League titles and even a Champions League trophy. If any Bristol City fans want this save to give themselves hope over the future, I can send it over. Internationally it's the era of Portugal, as they claim both the Euro and World Cup trophies.
Loyal Players Remaining: 4
Abreu Club Count: 32 clubs in 12 countries
Odd Winners: Bristol City (Premier League/Champions League), Lyon (Relegation)

With so few players left, now is probably a good time to speed it up once again. The final four will be tough to budge, so how about we move to 10-year intervals to try and cut down on dead years. And I'll be moving to the comments, because I've hit reddits character limit.
submitted by whatif_gaming to footballmanagergames [link] [comments]

I'mma head out

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submitted by TastyUdders to OneWordBan [link] [comments]

[An ordinary novel but every 10,000 words the audience kills the least interesting character] - 7.3 + 7.4 (1)

Re-rewind | Support the author
70,000 | Connie
Connie figured she'd gone blind until she looked down and saw her body. There was a very bright kind of nothing around her, stretching out to endless horizons in every direction. Her numb skin quickly warmed up in the heat, but once she'd shrugged off the cold, the illusion of temperature vanished, and she felt oddly ungrounded, as though the air around her didn't exist. Whatever was under her feet kept her upright, but when she swept a hand down there, it passed straight through.
Was she dead? Place looked kind of like she'd always thought heaven would look, but a lot more lonely. She held her breath until her lungs screamed for air, whereupon she obliged them -- after all, the word count was still on her hand, shining like an emerald.
"Yo," she spoke into the communication tile. "You still there, priest guy?"
Her voice faded away, instantly muffled, because there was nothing for it to echo off. The loudest sound was her beating heart; the next loudest the unsteady ticking of the word count.
"Faust?" she said. "Where the fuck are we?"
He didn't reply. Her lips were dry and cracked from the rushing freefall. Taking a tentative step forward and finding herself able to walk, she set out in no particular direction. There had to be something out there.
She lasted five minutes before the lonely aura of the place crushed her. She couldn't tell up from down, back from forward, and when she yanked out a hair to put it behind her as a marker, it sank beneath her reach, twinkling as it fell away. This nothing was agony. Connie wasn't the kind of person who took easy refuge in her thoughts, and she generally liked to be as distracted as possible.
"Faust?" she called, and then hated herself for doing so, because it just made it lonelier when her words fell dead.
She had a jogging playlist on her phone. She took it out, put it on airplane mode, set the brightness to minimum, and pressed play. A pulsing drumkit made the perfect cushion to her worries, like a bedroll over hard ground, and without really intending to, she found herself running, comforted by the up and down motion of her feet as they plodded forward.
Hours passed, yet still Connie ran. She was a regular at the gym, and although she dedicated time in her workouts to taking a lot of selfies in the mirror, she put just as much into zoning out at the treadmill. She pressed repeat on the playlist again and again, unable to bear the void around her, until finally the battery on her phone died, and she was truly alone.
Her legs ached. Her throat was parched. She had a headache from squinting under the light. Having absolutely exhausted herself, she fell down, took off her jumper to wrap it around her eyes, and dozed off.
When she awoke, she was hungry, too, but there was some bump, a tiny dot of black, on the horizon. She walked towards it at a steadier pace, swaying on her feet, desperate for a drink, for company, to hear anything from anyone. It took forever for her to get even halfway, where she had to stop to rest again, her body pleading with her for more energy, more strength. The dot didn't appear to be moving. She pulled the jumper over her eyes again, desperate to dream of some companion, anyone, but her stomach rumbled insistently and she rose, angry, groggy, plodding her way onwards.
She walked. The worst part of it was that she couldn't die of thirst. The only thing keeping her upright was the word count, else she'd be happy to have fallen down and be done with it all. It was particularly frustrating, then, to finally reach the dot and discover a crumpled up priest in a white robe, water pistol dangling from his fingers, corpse perfectly preserved, eyes glistening with hatred.
"Lazy fucker," she said, bumping him with her foot. "Hey! Priest! Rise and fucking shine! Get up, man! Get up!"
Saheel lay still.
"Come on! You gotta know when to hit it or quit it, dude! Does now look like a time for quitting? Get the fuck up, man!"
Reluctant, she pressed her hand to his neck, and although his body was lukewarm, there was no trace of a pulse. So she did what anyone would do, and doused herself down with the pistol like it was a bottle of champagne, drinking from it greedily, feeling revived.
Just in case, she frisked his pockets, but he didn't have another rock on him, and he'd dropped the remote shortly after the explosion. What he did have was a working phone, which she swiped. Feeling a little guilty, she closed his eyes for him.
"Rest in peace, man," she said.
She turned, then, and took ten careful minutes to scan the horizon -- Faust was still out there somewhere. But there was nothing to break up the emptiness, and she felt more alone than ever, like she wouldn't have the strength to do more than lie beside Saheel and wait for the inevitable. She drank a little more, and as the cool water slid down her throat, she decided to believe that he couldn't be that far off. If he was too small to see, well, she'd just have to inflate him like a balloon.
"Remove the word count, all those in favour?"
1Y; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
A beam of light shot out of her thumb, brighter even than the surroundings, then split into two, forking away at right angles, far away. She didn't have the strength to walk so far, especially if one direction led to Alan MacCain. Let him come to her.
"Remove the wordcount, all those in favour?"
1Y; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
"Remove the wordcount, all those in favour?"
1Y; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
"Remove the wordcount, all those in favour?"
2Y; INVALID PERMISSION
She gasped, feeling a little less lonely, a little more safe. He'd answered her call. No sooner had she broke out into a smile than her own thumb glowed, and she twisted it upwards with glee, not knowing or caring what he'd proposed.
2Y; INVALID PERMISSION
"Faust," she called into the communication tile.
But there came no reply, so instead, she said, "Take me to Faust!"
2Y; INVALID PERMISSION
They didnt stop voting, energy cannoning off into the distance like fireworks, but strain her eyes as she did, she couldn't see his energy coming from anywhere. What she did see was a four-legged warhorse, growing ever bigger and stronger in mass, charging towards her, with Alan MacCain astride it.
Her thumb glowed.
"Fuck, no, stop," she said.
1Y 1N; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
Alan MacCain's warhorse grew bigger, new muscles tearing out of its skin until it was the size of an elephant.
Her thumb glowed again.
"Take the fucking hint," she growled. "Come on, man, I've gotta fight that thing!"
2N; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
Receiving Connie's energy, Alan sprouted wings, the span of which must have been easily a quarter of a kilometer across, and with one powerful flap of them, he sprang towards her, closing the gap instantly.
The votes stopped coming, just in time. Connie unwrapped the Net of Lies at her hip.
It said a lot to Connie about the events of the past few days that she wasn’t fazed by the abomination in front of her. The beast’s legs pawed the ground, thick as tree trunks. Muscles rippled along its torso; its neck swung down to reveal a nest of spikes in place of a face; Alan Maccain himself streamed out of its back on a ribbon of flesh. When he saw her, the IT worker drew his thumb across his throat.
There stood Connie in her pyjamas. Exhausted from walking, stomach running on fumes, alone beyond lonely, she dug in her feet, letting the Net of Truth settle between them. She took in the temperate air with steady breaths – after all they’d thrown at her, she wasn’t going to fall now. For Team Shameless, she’d win.
Although Alan had just leapt kilometres to reach her, the battle that took place concerned the meter between them. The beast inched forward with all the weight and speed of a glacier while Connie, without giving up any ground, leaned back, spreading out the net further in front of her. The beast stopped short; they froze. Then Alan prowled around her in circles like a panther, while she tracked him with her eyes.
To absorb Connie’s memory, Alan had to clear the net, which could cut him apart in an instant. But to defeat Alan, Connie had to lower her defense to attack him, and if she only scored a glancing blow, she’d be open, unable to draw it back before he sped into her.
She matched him: at every turn, every feint and change in direction, Alan found himself about to step into the net as he sought to close the gap. He matched her: as big as his legs were, they flitted to and fro with a ballerina’s poise, and they never lingered enough in one spot for her to commit.
All things being equal, it came to a stalemate, but Connie was working at a disadvantage. As if being exhausted wasn’t enough – her legs were wobbling as she struggled to maintain her position – it would only be a matter of time before Faust triggered another vote, the rush of energy from which would allow Alan a buffer to overwhelm her. There had to be another way.
“Stop,” she cried, startling him. He leapt backwards, quadrupling the distance between them, and she felt a little satisfaction at how tense he was.
She said, “I wanna talk.”
Saheel’s phone rang. Keeping a steady grip on the net – he was obviously bending his knees to leap forward if she dropped her guard – she answered.
“You cheat!” he bellowed, the anger of his voice making the speakers buzz with distortion. “What have you done, Conneh? What’s going on?”
She shrugged. Throughout her life, Connie lied to give herself a better image, but this was the first time she truly wanted to deceive.
“I was gonna ask you, man. We were on top of you in that carpet, and then everything just… broke.”
The beast stopped getting ready to leap forward. It crouched down, pensively.
He said, “What do you mean, broke?”
Connie gestured to their surroundings. “Looks pretty broke to me. Dude, I’ve just been walking around in circles for the past day. I haven’t seen anyone or anything. I thought maybe you’d have some answers for me.”
Her stomach rumbled louder than a trumpet.
She said, “I’m sick of talking to an elephant thing. Are you human, or not?”
The beast folded up into itself, until it was the size of a man, and a naked Alan MacCain ambled up towards the net, looking as normal as anything save the stitched-over mouth. Oh, and the tumour the size of a football that sprouted out of his skull until he pushed it down, whereupon it sprouted out of his chest, writhing.
The phone buzzed. “I know as little as you do, Conneh. Where are we? I couldn’t even move until you started voting again! I thought for sure you’d be along to finish me off!”
It was only because Connie was holding the Net of Truth that she felt it bristle subtly. “Why would I finish you off?”
“What do you mean? We’re enemies!”
She shrugged. “I don’t have anything against you, man. You want to know my true enemy?”
He stared at her with those mild-mannered, squinty, beta-male eyes, and nodded.
“This fucker right here.” She flicked her wrist so he could see the wordcount. “If you help me get rid of that, you and I won’t have a bad drop of blood between us, Alan MacCain.”
That, at least, was the truth. Alan shoved the tumour back into himself; it rose out of his stomach. He stepped to the side, amicably, conveniently at the point where her net was thinnest.
“I’m glad you feel that way! They forced me to play, you know! I don’t have anything against you, Conneh – they forced me to pick someone, and all my enemies were already dead! I don’t know what’s happening any more than you do!”
The Net of Truth bristled. Connie smiled. “That’s alright, man. Truce?”
“Truce!”
They stood there woodenly, frozen. Neither made a move to shake hands.
“You really don’t know what’s going on?” she said.
He shook his head, and if he didn’t notice the Net of Truth trembling that time he must have been blind.
“If I were to guess,” he said, carefully, “The energy from your last vote was too much for the sandbox, and now we’re adrift in the writer’s consciousness – that is, the consciousness of Faust.”
Even though the Net of Truth tremored between her fingers, he nearly caught her off guard, he nearly made her fall to her knees in shock, but as it was she just about managed to stay upright and he played off his attempt to leap forward as squishing the tumour into his foot. What a lie! Connie couldn’t dream of saying something so outrageous with a straight face.
“Uh, luckily,” said Alan, sweating, “I know where he is.”
“You have wings, right?” Connie exhaled. “Can you take me to him? If he’s the author, then the dude’s gotta know what’s going on.”
“Right,” said Alan, “And since everything’s broken now, I bet we can get him to deactivate the wordcount.”
He sprouted a pair of angel’s wings, dripping wet with blood. She reeled in the net, carefully, and he stepped forward as she did so until there was barely a foot between them and Connie’s heart was thumping in her ears.
“Grab on,” he said, “Maybe there’s a way out of this for both of us.”
“Sure,” she said.
Again, neither moved. And then, at the same moment, both seized their chance. Alan leapt onto her, knocking her onto her back, and he began to hoover up memories of hastily-told lies during embarrassing moments, of long nights spent queuing in taxis outside stations, of quick hook-ups and slow, burning regrets. Within seconds, what little remained of her life force would be his, and he’d be free to feel the breeze of the real world tickle his real body.
As for Connie’s attack? She yelled, “Alan, grow!”
2Y; MAJORITY REACHED
She didn’t struggle. Her thumb flashed ablaze like a torch and energy coursed into him, and even as he squashed her, she wrapped the net around him. She held it tight. Elephants worth of Alan attempted to break free of his humanoid shell, and every single skin cell was grated apart as it expanded into the net. Chunks of flesh fell about her, rivers of blood poured onto her, but Alan MacCain did not escape her trap. She pulled the net at both ends, tightening it, squeezing the rest of him like a juicer.
He played double or nothing, and what he got was nothing.
72,524 | Faust
Clutching the love letter he'd written to himself, Faust stepped into the final chamber, where all he saw was darkness and all he heard was howling wind. The crisp air made him shiver. He could just about make out a shape in the gloom, pulsing in and out like a gigantic pair of bellows; rumbling the structure with heavy breaths.
He didn’t light up the communication tile, choosing instead to sit at the creature's foot in the pitch black for modesty’s sake. He sat cross-legged, hands on scraped knees. Dying, after all, is a modest affair.
"Greetings and good tidings, etc," Faust mumbled.
Half of him had the impression of sheltering under the aura of a being full of life, while the other half felt comfortably alone, like the times he sang to himself in the antechamber. As the creature breathed, hot waves of air rolled onto him. The smell was less than flattering.
He said, "Thanks for your letter."
Already he was fingering the phone in his shorts pocket, expecting it to ring at any second. It didn't. So he watched the word count tick up, musing idly that he'd have chosen a better font for it, or at least a nicer colour like purple, and he tried to find the right words to say. He fiddled with his beard.
It had got above 70,000, and somehow he was still alive. At the start, he never thought he'd get to the final, and if he did, he thought the popularity would be enough reason to stop hating himself. But now he no longer cared about an audience's affirmation.
"It's stupid," he said. "But I think this game's the best thing that's ever happened to me."
The creature didn't react, other than to keep on breathing those steady, heavy breaths. It was like listening to the tide go in and out, the kind of white noise Connie probably listened to as a sleeping aid. Was this thing even paying attention?
"And thanks for showing me my own wake. As an undertaker, I couldn't have wished for a better funeral. The guys really spared no expense."
In. Out. In. Out.
"I never realised how important the people around me were... or how important I was to them."
The rhythm was ceaseless. Hypnotic. For all intents and purposes, he felt as stupid as people who genuinely tried to have conversations with themselves in the mirror.
"Alright. I guess you want me to stop laying waste to the area around the bush, that is, beating it. I didn't come here for explanations, or eleventh-hour plot twists. I came here for you to absorb me."
Faust stood up and took some deep breaths of his own. Fear gripped him. Of course it did. But he also felt a kind of courage that wrestled his self-doubt to the ground, and he'd never been so sure that killing himself was the right thing to do.
For his friends back in the real world, well, he was already dead to them on account of food poisoning, and while it was a shame he'd never get a chance to thank them in person for all that they'd done, he would just have to wait a century or so to greet them with all his gratitude. It wouldn't be right to get a second chance when so many other people died left and right for similarly unfair reasons like terrorist attacks and allergies. To rob someone of their life in exchange for a second chance — well, he agreed with his dead counterpart. It wasn't even on the table.
As for Connie, she'd cry for a bit. She'd mourn him. But she'd pick herself back up and get her life on track, and maybe, just maybe, she'd start living up to her ideal of happiness. He'd already felt happiness coursing through his body when he helped her come to terms, and it had felt better than anything — his life was a small price to pay to help her finally reach that.
Faust stretched out his arm, reaching for the creature in the darkness. What would it feel like? Peaceful? He found himself shutting his eyes, tight, and he trembled, waiting for his fingertips to stop trailing through the air and finally land upon something.
His phone rang.
Faust sighed and picked it up.
"Yeah?" he said. "I'm trying for a dramatic suicide here."
"Dramatic? You look like you’re reaching down a clogged pipe. I didn't want to say anything to you because the audience is peeping, even though I JUST burned through all your word count!"
"Those bastards. Wait, is Connie..."
"Alive. Saheel is too, despite being on the chopping block, so you could have voted for some time-travel bonanza in the future. But technically, it's just you and your very friendly teammate left. There are things I need to explain, but since the audience is looking on, my hands are tied tighter than a gimp!"
"That does it," Faust cried, "With that remark, you've robbed my death of any of its dignity! No longer will I make any top ten lists, or be compared to Shakespearean tragedies... away with your modesty, sir!"
Faust bathed the creature in light. It was a giant version of him, naked, lying down and fused to the floor so that it couldn't roll over or even so much as lift his arm. Its mouth was stitched over, and again Faust blushed furiously at the gimp remark.
"Pathetic," he cried. "This game's the worst thing that's ever happened to me! Perhaps I shall leap into you now and be done with it all, sans fanfare!"
"Don't," buzzed the phone. "Or there won't even be a you to be sorry about it."
"I'm ready! I'm limbering up for quite the leap, you heavy-breathing gulliver, you strapped-down titan, you fleshy sex dungeon! How’s that for last words, eh?"
"Jesus wept. If you're so desperate for us to lay bare our weakness before the audience, then I shall do so!"
"Weakness, or strength? If Connie wins, then you get to live again, don't you? If not, me and her will meet up in the afterlife! In terms of game theory, it's the right thing to do."
"The problem, my love, is that by nominating myself we’re playing double or nothing! That is, if we don't come first place, we'll vanish from existence forever! No afterlife about it! No consciousness, no thought, no nothing! Emptiness that won’t even realise it’s emptiness!"
Faust fell back onto his butt, shocked. His mouth hung agape.
The creature said, "There's your eleventh-hour plot twist… the secret I worked so hard to keep from the audience! How will they vote now, I wonder?"
For a while, Faust sat there, completely stunned, as thoughts flew around his head in a whirlwind. But soon enough, he shook his head, wiped his brow, and stood up.
He said, "That doesn't change a thing. Just because the price is steeper, doesn't mean she's not worth saving. All my life I've never thought myself capable of anything, and here it is, before me — my way to make a difference."
"How melodramatic," said the creature. "Of all the turns our conversation would take, I never thought I'd have to fight you."
Faust threw back his head and laughed.
"Fight you? What do you think I've been doing all my life?"
He brandished the double-edged sword, still inert, while the creature drew the walls of the chamber closer, as if to press him in. But nobody won that particular battle, because at that moment a super-visual rock blasted through and evaporated them.
Faust wasn't exactly obsessed with death, but he had spent a lot of nights lying awake and fantasising about what it might be like, and now he no longer needed to fantasise.
Chiefly: would it hurt? Saheel's rock tore his body apart at an atomic level before he even perceived it. Like a mugger in a crowd, it bumped him once and then it was stolen, his senses snuffed out. So no, it didn't hurt, but it wasn't exactly peaceful either. There was no angelic choir to serenade him, no relatives to usher him into a group hug, nor was there a judge to weigh his sins against his virtues. There was only light, and it was blinding.
Faust would have felt adrift if there were anything to drift in. He would have felt cold, untethered as he was from the steady 37 degree heat of his body, but there was no part of him left to feel, no eyes, no ears, no skin. So be it, he thought, and tried as he had in life to take refuge in memories and daydreams. But without a brain to store and retrieve information, he couldn't conjure up any more than distant colours and flashing lights, and the shreds of memory that did pass him were bewildering in his delirium.
The only part that remained was his thumb, impossible to destroy against the rules of the game, but he couldn't perceive it or the word count next to it. While Faust had always found pleasure in being left alone, he now began to feel very lonely, for he was separated from even himself, and it crushed him. Was all he had left a scrap of consciousness that could only observe its own pain?
It was the fever dream to end all fever dreams. All fevers pass and all dreams end, but this -- this was nothing, forever. Ages would pass and trillions stream into the land of the dead, and humans would consume their environment in totality. Even as the last woman starved among the rubble and the Earth spun as an empty cemetery, forever would only just be getting started.
Time passed, but it might as well have stopped. Nothing happened to Faust, save the fluctuation of his thoughts that were too airy to anchor him to any kind of memory. They twisted around, repeating themselves, and they were worse than any of those nights he'd spent staring at the ceiling.
What an idiot he'd been. Forever was a staggeringly long time, and it wasn't worth a few fleeting moments of happiness, no matter how deserving the recipient, no matter how heroic the sacrifice. He'd been halfway there in his conclusions that it wasn't right to force someone else to die so that he could live, because he'd touched on how unique a gift life was. He'd just been too stupid to see that he deserved to live too.
There were no second chances; no seconds. But if he had one, just one, he knew what he would do. He'd rally against the game and break it, find a way for him and Connie to both live, because neither of them deserved this. In his head, he laughed. These must have been the exact conclusions he'd gone through when drifting alone in the other afterlife as the other Faust.
Deciding that he was worth saving was but a small comfort. Even as the last stars in the universe twinkled out, and everything drifted apart, leaving an empty black canvas for the next painter, Faust would still be grappling with these regrets. A second chance -- if only!
1Y; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
The words bounced around his mind. Connie was still out there, and just knowing that, feeling her warm presence defy the piercing brightness, that made all the difference.
Connie, he screamed. But there was no part of him to scream.
1Y; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
He tried in vain to feel his thumb, to twist it up, but it was just like being a thirteen year old again, wishing he had spirit wings and trying to feel them and unfurl them and fly. This time, though, it was him that wasn't real.
1Y; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY, INVALID PERMISSION
Connie! Alas, he was paralysed. No second chance would come. If he could have smiled, he would. Those cold words felt warmer than a hug to him, and would slot into his carousel of thoughts to comfort him through the eons.
Obviously, a second chance soon came. Memories poured into him like boiling water into a flask. They weren't things Faust often remembered.
He remembered riding the steam train with his grandpa, going into the cabin, shovelling coal into the furnace, their faces stained with sweat and soot as pine needles blurred past outside.
He remembered playing chess with Deadward in the pub, the tangy smell and taste of lager, the thick smattering of laughter filling the room, and the soft crunch of heather under their feet as they stumbled back home.
He remembered opening up his vocal chords with a great rush of air and filling the auditorium with a long, sustained note, the firm handshakes from the judges as they wrote the prize cheque, their eyes twinkling in admiration.
Faust opened his eyes, for his body was back together, and he felt unreservedly happy, proud to be alive and proud of having lived. He stroked his beard as he looked around at the emptiness. His thumb lit up again. Connie!
2Y; INVALID PERMISSION
Energy pulsed out of his finger in two directions. One, far off into the horizon, and one straight down in front of him. There lay the most pathetic creature he'd ever seen, smaller and weaker than a premature foetus, its skin the same consistency as dog shit. It had his eyes. Slowly, it raised a tiny malformed hand -- thumbs up.
"Thank you," said Faust, beaming. "From the bottom of my heart, thank you. Take me to Connie!"
2Y; INVALID PERMISSION
The energy went from his thumb to the foetus, but bounced off its skin, repelled.
"Why isn't it working?"
2Y; INVALID PERMISSION
A greater blast shot towards his doppelganger, to much the same effect, like waves breaking upon a rock. Faust felt that whatever it had done to save him had come with an irreversible cost. He groped about his pockets for his phone, but he had neither that, the communication tile, or the double-edged sword.
The wordcount on his hand glowed green.
"Restore the flesh mound?" asked Faust. "Will that work?"
1Y 1N; INSUFFICIENT MAJORITY
Connie had voted no -- was she in trouble? He scooped up the foetus in his sleeve, careful not to touch it, for who knows where the memories would go now, and set out in Alan MacCain's direction full of energy, joy, and life.
Thank you, next
submitted by HugFriend to redditserials [link] [comments]

Super Bowl LIV ARV

Super Bowl LIV ARV
Hey everyone, it's that time of year. Let's try to predict this years Super Bowl winner! I'll run an ARV for everyone to participate in. If anyone else wants to run one and we can triangulate to get even better confirmation. Super Bowl is 2/2 at 6:30. Target will be posted after the game.
The current line is Chiefs -1 or -1.5 depending on your book. So we'll run this straight up and not against the spread.
If the Chiefs win I'll post Picture A after the game. If the 49ers win I'll post picture B.
Due date for any sessions will be Saturday 2/1 by noon EST. I will evaluate all entries against both targets using the Targ/SRI confidence ranking an analysis and prediction Saturday afternoon so anyone who's interested in making bets has time to get one in.
Good luck, here's the coordinates
1153-2305
Prediction Update
Happy Super Bowl Sunday! Thanks to u/Frankandfriends, u/GlassCloched, u/GrinSpickett and u/Twuthseeker for participating. This looks like it's going to be a close match up! I've got a total of five sessions entered. I've rated each session against both picture A and Picture B on a scale of 0 - 7 using Targ's/SRI confidence ranking system explained here http://p-i-a.com/ARVworkshop/October2004IIC/Targ_CR_System.html.
This table below summarizes the results:
https://preview.redd.it/yndu8dp5tje41.png?width=466&format=png&auto=webp&s=b2a1682e6ae3a17add438f6f048b78c139a988f8
This is super close but Frankandfriends and Glasscloched had some more detailed hits on Picture B. There was a still bit of lower level vague matches against picture A. I'm not crazy confident about this, but based on this analysis I'm putting my money on the 49ers who are currently 1.5 point dogs. I'm going to put $100 on the 49er moneyline to win $104. If this was a random game, I'd probably only bet 20 bucks due to this being pretty close, but splurging because of super bowl.
Other Considerations:
Twuthseeker did some of his own private sessions including a pendulum session that seemed to lean Chiefs, but also seemed pretty close. So do with that what you will.
I've always been into precognitive dreaming and had two dreams this week that could potentially have implications for the game.
The first dream was on 1/27 at 5:54 AM. It was a bit tough to describe but had some disturbing imagery that might be symbolic of football players getting hurt. There was a guy laying down with "Moore" on his Jersey. There are two guys named more on the 49ers Tarvarius Moore and Damontre Moore. On the Chiefs Matt Moore is the backup quarterback for Mahomes. If the Moore from the dream is Matt Moore it would imply that Mahommes would come out of the game. So this dream could imply a possible injury of one of the Moore's on the 49ers, or possibly a Mahomes injury. Prior to this dream i didn't really know any players on the teams especially anyone named Moore.
The second dream was on 1/28 at 5:43 AM, I woke up from a dream watching a football game where i had two bets, one on a team and one on the under. I don't remember what team I bet, but my team was down and had a critical 4th down they needed to convert at the end of the game to try to score a touchdown. I remember wondering if they would kick a field goal, but realized they couldn't because that wouldn't give them enough points. I remember being concerned about my team winning but i also thought "At least I easily hit the under bet". I'll be betting 300 on the under 53.5 total points for the game.
Final prediction is that this will be a pretty close game comfortably under 53.5 points. I think the Chiefs will take the lead at first, but based on the RV sessions I think the 49ers will mount a nail biting comeback at the end of the game.
Good luck to anyone betting and enjoy the game!
submitted by AC319 to remoteviewing [link] [comments]

My attempt at a model to bet on NFL games

Hey guys, been lurking since this subreddit got created and knew I would be contributing to it once I got my model to an "acceptable" state to hopefully get further insight.
Gonna try to keep this as short as possible because alot of explaining happens in the Jupyter notebook, but here goes.
So basically I took a data mining course this last semester and the final project was to apply the concepts we learned in class to a real world scenario. While the NFL was in full swing, I was a frequent sports better and would really enjoy betting and watching the games. Data and modeling still seemed like such a complex topic to me, but I knew that eventually I would the subject either in class or on my own. After learning the data mining world, this in-class project was a perfect way to test what I had learned as well as try and use my skills to make some money.
SO with all that out of the way, the summation of the actual data and models is that I took game data from Kaggle (mainly used to pull the scores) and added full team rosters for both away and home teams (rosters scraped from another site). My thought was that since each team is composed of 52 players, that at the end of the day their performances (with the leadership of the head coach) is what determined the outcomes of the game. So to summarize, each of my records contained the home and away teams, current W-L records, and most relevant positions for both teams. I also decided to filter the data to only be within this millennia.
With this data I tried to use regression models to predict the score of the games. This score would then be compared with the vegas spread for that game so that the model could predict whether it should bet on the home team or the away team to cover the spread. This might not be a good practice, but I just decided to use every game from the 2000-2018 season to predict 2019 games as my model testing phase. I used the SVM Regressor algorithm (primarily because it was the only one that supported unbalanced data, which is obviously important since the more recent games should play a bigger factor) and an Artificial Neural Network because it's pretty easy to grasp and honestly doesn't require much thinking or work from me. Kinda also used it in case I was configuring the SVM wrong.
In summary, my results were slightly worse than I was expecting. Both my models average out to about 52% accuracy and a mean squared error of around 195 when compared to the actual point values. Hence the main reason I am posting here: to get some help from more experienced data scientists.
I've decided to include my work here, both for more experienced people to critique and maybe for some less experienced people to learn. This project was, again, done as a school project so please excuse some of my markdown comments as they had to follow a format for the class. This is also done in Python primarily using scikit learn for all data modeling and pandas for pre-processing. I used VS Code as my IDE with the Microsoft Python plugin to view and edit Jupyter Notebooks.
I want to keep developing this in the future, at this point not even to make money but just because I think it's a cool concept. The thought of math being able to better predict as complex a game as football more accurately than almost anyone is crazy. Other than this model, I recently also purchased a Raspberry Pi (also being used for other side projects) to eventually automatically pull new game data for the model to predict.
Like I said above please feel free to critique, this was basically my first major python project and I had no experience with any of these libraries. Also don't usually post on Reddit so if my formatting sucks call me out on that too.
Thanks guys, hope this is a helpful post to keep the subreddit going.
Jupyter Notebook: http://www.filedropper.com/finalproject_2 (not sure how long the site will host the file TBH)
submitted by HamirTime to algobetting [link] [comments]

My Therapy

At my most recent Problem Gambling Support Group meeting via Skype (the same one posted on here weekly) it was my turn to do a therapy session. This is my journey from starting gambling until now. I thought it would be worth sharing here as someone may get something from it. It is a bit of a long read.
My name is Mark and i’m a compulsive gambler. My last bet was April 2nd 2019. The day of April 2nd was a massive turning point in my life, it was the day I finally admitted to my long term partner, who is the mother of my two children, and to my parents that I was a compulsive gambler and needed help. The weekend prior was when I finally said to myself I’ve had enough, I had been betting for 14 years and it had beaten me so badly that I was a mess mentally and financially. Although no one knew that because I was an expert at hiding it.
I started gambling like almost anyone in the UK or Ireland, The Grand National. The one day of the year where it seems like every man, woman and child has a bet on. The biggest horse race in the world. That and those glorious holidays spent in Portrush playing the 2p machines (penny fall machines). I don’t for one second blame those experiences for my gambling problem, they are just my first memories of gambling. One really vivid memory I have of gambling was when I was begging my dad for the latest Official Playstation Magazine, the one with the demo disc, and he was just sitting down to watch England play against someone and said to me “if Paul Scholes scores the first goal I will get you the magazine.” Now, I know for a fact win or lose my Dad would have gotten me the magazine, he just said that so I would give him peace to watch the match. Well I remember watching the game with him hoping with all my might Paul Scholes would score 1st and he did. That adrenaline rush, even at a young age (I was 13 years old at most I would say) was unbelievable. Now, again, I am not blaming that for my gambling addiction at all, it is just one of my first vivid memories but that mentality of gambling to get something I want for free would be a regular pattern throughout my gambling career.
Once I turned 18 I opened my first betting account with Blue Sq and that started my online sports gambling journey. Friday nights were spent betting on Wolverhampton all weather horse racing and the Dutch and French 2nd Divisions. All harmless fun, controlled gambling, small stakes. I was still working part time at this stage, left school that summer and gambling was not in the way. Once I got my full time job though that all changed.
The first time I could put my finger on when my gambling changed was the first day of the 2008/2009 football season. I’d been working full time for about 3 years and my gambling was still under control, well, at least I thought it was. My stakes were still low and I was doing football bets at the weekend for a bit of fun. I gambled, but it wasn’t causing me any issues. That Friday I walked into a Paddy Power and decided instead of placing a load of stupid football bets for £1 or £2 I’d pick three teams for the season and do a £20 treble each week. Sheffield United, Leicester City and Leeds United were the picks. Of course, the first weekend it landed (the only time it landed all season I think) and my betting changed from that moment. I genuinely can’t remember the odds but I must have lifted over £100 from that £20 stake and after that staking £1 or £2 just wasn’t appealing. What was the point in that when I could stake £20 and win more. From that moment my gambling started to get out of control over time. Then came the loans, the credit cards and the payday loans.
At some point around this time I had opened a spread betting account due to a sign up offer. Now I did not have the first clue about spread betting but the offer was they gave you a free £100 or something to sign up so I did. I was still living at home at the time and we had one computer which everyone used. Well my Dad stumbled upon this website and was able to access the account (he’s not technically minded so I imagine I left it logged in) and he seen the betting history and he went mental at me. Now, I did explain that it was just bonus funds and I hadn’t actually deposited any of my own money but still the lecture came. It felt like a lecture at the time to me but he was just warning me of the dangers of gambling. Giving me examples of people he knew who had a problem and how easy it is for a gambling problem to begin. So I can never turn around and say that I wasn’t aware of the dangers, I was, my ego was just too big to listen. I paid lip service to the lecture and said I wouldn’t do it again and my Dad took me at my word and trusted me.
So, I knew early on I had a problem. I self excluded from places over the years but never really wanted to quit. I was getting in debt but was able to continue with my lifestyle as I was living at home. I remember one day going to a cheque cashing place where I could write a cheque for £100, dated on my next payday, and they’d give me £90 there and then. I did two cheques for going out that weekend (and a couple of bets on the Aintree Festival) walked straight to the bookies and had the £180 on Denman to win the Aintree Bowl at even money. Denman was a monster of a horse, a machine. He could not lose...then he suffered the first fall of his career. Back I went to the cheque cashing place for another £90 so I could still go out that weekend.
I wasn’t learning from my betting mistakes either as I was just borrowing more money to cover the cracks. I got a few debt consolidating loans over the early years to try and get a handle on my debt but it just gave me an excuse to take out more credit. The payday loans which I used to either gamble or cover my expenses for going out because I used all my money gambling. I would borrow money off my Dad and give him the puppy dog eyes when I paid it back and normally he’d only take half of what I owed him. He thought he was doing the right thing and he wanted me to have money to be able to go out with friends, I was just manipulating the situation.
I moved out and into my friends house for a year and the gambling continued, although I had less money to gamble with. My credit rating was taking a battering but I was young and didn’t really care. Then I met my current girlfriend in February 2010 and we moved in together that September. The gambling continued and was getting worse. I made the smart move to get a second job to supplement my gambling…...at a greyhound track. I’d be earning about £20 a night but gambling £60 or £80. Insanity. We had our first child in April 2012 and not long after she found out I’d be gambling some of the money we’d saved. It wasn’t a lot of money, but she was pissed (rightfully so). I managed to talk my way out of it and that was when I became really good at hiding things. She took control of the rent money and any money for our son so that was never in danger thankfully. We had our daughter in 2016 but the gambling still continued.
It may seem like I have glossed over an important period of time there but the truth is I can’t really remember any of the details. The only details I am able to recall with any great clarity are coming up but I just want to touch on a couple of things from this period. This was a time when I had the biggest wins of my gambling career, two separate occasions. One was an insane run of luck where I couldn’t lose all weekend and ended up with enough money for me, my partner and our Son to have our first and only foreign holiday. Another time I had a £5 free bet and landed a treble at Sandown, all Gary Moore horses and won £3.5k. That money went towards decorating the nursery for my soon to be born Daughter, my partner got money, my Mum and Dad and her Mum and Dad. I bought a PS4 and gambled the rest from memory. The two reasons these moments stick in my head isn’t just the amounts, it’s the only time I walked away in profit, at least for the sessions in question and the reason is that I told my partner I had won the money. That was the only way I knew I wouldn’t gamble it all away because she would ask questions if the money I promised didn’t materialise.
Another part of this time period I want to explore is how I was emotionally. I was 25 when we had our Son and he wasn’t planned. It was a shock to say the least and my life, as I knew it anyways, changed. No longer was I able to do what I wanted socially, I had a Son to provide for. I was working two jobs, money was tight, was I still gambling? Of course I was but slowly I started to strip everything else out of my life. We had our daughter when I was 29 and to be honest here, as much as it sadeness me I thought this way I resented having kids, especially at that age. I felt trapped at times, people I knew were able to do what they want but yet I had all this responsibility. Don’t get me wrong, I loved my kids during this time as well and they meant the world to me, but I do feel that I got into the thought process that I was trapped because of them and my only escape was into the world of online gambling.
I would go through phases where I’d stop altogether for months on end, a year at one point which I imagine was around the time my partner found out about me using the savings for gambling, but I’d always go back to it thinking I was in control but I never was. When gambling I’d deposit £10, lose it, deposit another £10, lose it, rinse and repeat until all my money was gone. If I won it just meant I could gamble longer. It was never about the money. I thought it was, but really the money was the fuel that could keep me gambling longer. Most months I was skint a few days after payday and couldn’t gamble until the next payday. It may not sound like a lot of money but it was a relentless cycle month after month after month.
At the end of 2016 I got an overdraft of £2k and gambled it all on soccer all around the world. Woke up and started gambling in Asia, moved across the globe into the Middle East, Africa, Europe and then fell asleep betting on South American football. It was out of control. Betting on Egyptian football on Xmas Day a particular lowlight. This was what my gambling looked like when I had money. All these bets were in-play as that’s how I gambled, watching a little graphic on Bet365 and thinking I could predict what was going to happen. I also gambled heavily on tennis as well, picking a player to win a set 6-0 was one of my favourites. Generally I would start with £10 as I mentioned and if the bet won I would keep “investing” all the money until it got to a certain amount, normally a couple of hundred quid. Once I got to that point I would raise my stakes significantly because I would tell myself it wasn’t my money. It wasn’t if I didn’t count all the loses it took to get to this point over the previous few days. I would then gamble that until it’s gone cursing myself for not taking the money when I had the chance. Placing the last of my money praying to a god I don’t believe in that if he could just make this bet land then I wouldn’t bet again. Once the money was done I would just sit there, looking at my bank balance, the lack of money, the direct debits due to come out in a few days, trying to figure out how I would survive the next 3-4 weeks until payday. Then I would dust myself off and start working on some budgets. What direct debits I could bounce, who I could ask to borrow money from or maybe what I could sell to fund another round of gambling to try and win my money back.
Coming into 2018 I was in a “good place” with gambling, or so I thought. I was Matched Betting which was a way of making money via bookmakers offers. It worked well for a few months but it all went to shit in the Summer of 2018. Matched Betting introduced me to the casino side of things and I lost £3.5k on roulette. I’ll not go into the ins and outs of how I had that sort of money, lets just say I didn’t and I found a way to deposit via direct debit on PayPal and of course those all bounced. Luckily Paddy Power rewarded me by making me a VIP customer after that, every cloud and all that. So I was chasing big style and getting free £50 bonuses each week from them but I could never get enough money to stop, because no amount was ever going to be enough. Their offers of Money Back if Horse X wins are normally £10 max refund, I was getting £100 max refund. Eventually I was running out of ways to get money and when I started to bet less with Paddy Power they removed my VIP status. I did win £1000 on an NFL bet and lost the lot on roulette the next week. Another lowlight.
The win on the NFL followed by the lose on roulette sticks in my mind because visually it summed up how miserable I was. I had promised my partner back at the start of the year that we would get the living room redecorated and I would pay with it from my Matched Betting and she was happy with that. Of course I explained it was risk free and nothing could go wrong and it wasn’t even gambling. Anyways, come November we are due to have our living room redecorated and of course I do not have the money for it so I have to go to my Mum and Dad. I give them some sob story about how when I was Matched Betting I made a mistake, layed off the wrong horse and lost my money so could then lend me it and don’t tell my partner. It was a complete lie and to be honest at the time I didn’t think they had bought it but they lent me the money. Turns out when I told them about my gambling problem back in April they had smelt bull shit but my Granda (on my Dad’s side) was ill in the hospital and he was stressed about that so he just let it slide. So the redecoration was on and it was going to take a couple of days. One Monday night I had a bet on the NFL and it landed, £10 at 100/1. Happy days, I can give my Mum and Dad back their money, it’s nearly Xmas, this is amazing luck. So on Tuesday night I sat in my half decorated living room and thought if I could just win a little bit more then things would be even better so loaded up the roulette. I lost it all sitting in the living room and during it I could literally see what the money would be paying for but it didn’t stop me, nothing would stop me.
2019 I could feel myself struggling. My life was consumed with gambling or working out how to get money to gamble and then how I was going to pay people back what I owed them. I was in a bad place, I was a bad person, lying, angry but still no one knew the truth. January had always been a tough month as I run several NFL Fantasy Football leagues for money and I am in charge of the money. Of course, that was always gambled away by me and January was the month people expected pay outs because the season was over. Usually I would have won enough money in my leagues to cover it or convince people to pay for next year with their winnings that I could cover it. This year I could not and I had the added pressure of owing people money. A lot of these people were friends of mine I knew personally, others were people I had gotten to know over a few years and only talked online. Either way I had stolen their money and gambled it away. I managed to use my Granda’s death in January as an excuse for why I had not paid people yet, I was in a bad way with the funeral etc, all the excuses, the truth is I was just trying to buy more time.
Then came the weekend prior to April 2nd. I had just been paid and deposited some money into my Bet365 account and managed to get my balance up to £910 on Friday 29th March. I should say by this stage I was fully gambling on tennis. Not match winner, that took too long, generally set winner or next game winner as that was quicker. Now this £910 would have cleared some of my urgent debts to allow me to continue on gambling. All I had to do was withdraw, and I was going to…...once I got it up to a nice round £1000. As you can guess I lost the lot. £300-£400 on Benoit Paire was one of the worst hits but I was gambling like a mad man. That was how I bet when I had winnings, the stakes got out of control. By the time I was leaving work at 6pm on the Friday the whole £910 was gone. I was betting on ATP, Challenger, ITF, any tennis that was on I was betting on it. Back in the day I remember betting on a tennis match where they had one ball. Still a story that brings a smile to my face if I’m honest. A smile that consists of a mixture of shame and cringe. That Friday night I deposited whatever I had left in and managed to win back a good chunk of the money, but it still wasn’t enough. It still wasn’t what I had before. So the whole weekend went like that, up and down, up and down. I went to a family dinner and sat betting on my phone the whole night. That’s how my life has been the last number of years, i’m present at gatherings, or nights out but my mind is deep in my phone gambling away not giving a shit about anyone.
Eventually the money ran out that weekend. I was a mess. I could have actually made it work financially and gotten through the month but mentally I was gone. I could tell my brain had put me into a nosedive and the only way this was all ending was in disaster. Maybe not this month, or this year but I was being flown towards rock bottom.
I sat down on the Monday and wrote out everything that I owed, who I owed it to, a budget going forward. It was grim enough reading, £18k in the hole. The money wasn’t the issue, it was how it was making me feel, the time I’ve been wasting. The fact that I finally couldn’t take anymore, that I was ready to wave the white flag and say gambling has won, it defeated me. I found out when and where the nearest GA Meeting was to me and wrote that down too. So I found a set of balls and on the Tuesday I told my girlfriend. My attitude was that life can’t be any worse for me than it currently is. I was a mess, I cried, I honestly expected her to tell me to get out and I wouldn’t have blamed her, but she was amazing. She was angry obviously, but she was so supportive. Then I called my parents round and told them. They were disappointed, confused but also really supportive. Then the next day I told my closest friends who were again all really supportive. I owe them some money too and they’ve been great about setting up a payment plan to pay that back. I can imagine some people saying that I didn’t hit rock bottom in comparison to others, I felt that way myself to be honest. I felt like I had gotten off lightly but looking back the cycle I was in was soul destroying and although I didn’t cause the devastation others have caused I knew I needed to reach out for help as I couldn’t do it on my own.
I registered for GAMStop and self excluded online for 5 years which has taken the avenue of online gambling away from me. A vital step if online is your vice. I also handed over control of my finances to my partner which again removed another temptation. I’ve since learned in recovery that gamblers need 3 things, time, opportunity and money, take away one of those and you won’t be able to gamble. I took away two with these simple steps.
I then went to my first GA Meeting on Wednesday 3rd April. The time doesn’t suit me for that, Monday at 9pm is my meeting but I felt I needed to get to one ASAP. I don’t know what I expected GA to be, some sort of church run cult filled with a bunch of old men desperate for a bet but it’s one of the most amazing groups I’ve ever found. It’s a dumping ground for all my shit and it’s a place where I can listen to other people’s stories. Without sounding sexist, it’s something a lot of men could do with outside of addiction, a place to talk about life and how they are feeling. I take a 50 mile round trip every Monday to get there. When I was gambling if I had to travel 50 miles to get internet to gamble you can guarantee I’d have travelled every day. When I leave a meeting I am buzzing, for all the right reasons. I’m a lifer when it comes to GA now and I am fine with that.
I am also a member of the Problem Gambling Support Group and we run three meetings a week via Skype. This group has been so influential to my recovery and I have met so many good people I now consider friends through it. The topic meeting style is completely different to what happens at my own GA so it fits into my recovery perfectly and gives me a different perspective.
I have a sponsor, who has had a massive impact on my recovery. He has helped me work the Steps and is always there if I need him. At times it’s hard to tell who is sponsoring who but that sort of dynamic works well for me as I see him as a friend first and sponsosponsee second.
I have also found a passion for writing about my journey and post my stuff on my blog, on GamCare and on the Reddit Problem Gambling Sub. I have been told my stuff is very good and people seem to get a lot from it. As I explained at a recent meeting I am still learning how to deal with praise, it makes me feel awkward. I’m not sure if it’s from years of not wanting to be the focus of people's attention because of the fear they might ask questions and my addiction would be exposed. Whatever the reason I am working on being able to accept praise and enjoy it and as I was told at the last meeting...a simple thank you is usually enough.
I’ve been clean for over 9 months now, and I have not struggled with urges to gamble. My life is amazing, it always was but I was too wrapped up in my addiction to notice. I literally had everything I could ever want. I have an amazing partner and two amazing children along with my parents who are absolutely fantastic. I have my health, a job and my friends are another support network I couldn’t do without now. They stood by me when I admitted my problem and they gave me the belief that I could do this.
Recovery is now my focus along with my family. The debt can be managed, stopping gambling is one day at a time, but the main focus of my recovery will be fixing my character defects, helping others, being open and honest to people and not being a selfish asshole. I would like to think those that know me now can at least drop the selfish part when describing me.
I have put plenty of work into my recovery and I feel like I am getting the benefits out of it. I have a routine when it comes to meetings and they don’t impact on my family life. Is every day amazing? No it’s not. Some days are rather boring and some days are tough, but that’s life. Some days you have to make chicken salad out of chicken shit. I have accepted what I am, I am a compulsive gambler and I need to be the one who changes. No one else around me needs to change, I am the common denominator. I have noticed a change in myself and those closest to me. They all seem happier, more content, happy to have this me in their life and not the old me. I wasn’t a nice partner, father, son or friend when I was in active addiction. I don’t want to be the person I was before I started gambling either because I am pretty convinced he was an asshole as well. I am using this recovery to become the man I want to be, the man I can look in the mirror and be proud to be.
As I said, I have accepted that I am a compulsive gambler and I cannot have a single bet because it will lead me back to active addiction. I have no issues with the gambling industry or people who gamble, I just know that I am unable to gamble as it ends in disaster. I feel there should be more discussion around problem gambling and the industry should be putting more money into helping problem gamblers and to help identify problem gamblers. It’s a fine line though, as I know if a bookie told me they felt I had a problem and wouldn’t accept a bet I’d have been angry and just went somewhere else. You need to be ready for recovery to fully embrace it. I never was until April 2nd. For the people in recovery we need to be ready to help those that get to the stage where they are ready for recovery. We are the ones who these people will come to rely on as we’ve been through it, you can tell when talking to someone who hasn’t had a gambling addiction they just don’t understand. Over the coming years I think there will be a significant rise in people looking for help with problem gambling. I don’t feel like my story is close to the worst out there and I have read and heard some people who have the opinion that you need to cause devastation before recovery will work. That’s bollocks and that sort of attitude is why GA is filled with old men and young people are reluctant to stay. I have come to believe it doesn’t matter how much you have lost, how many relationships you have destroyed or what age you are, all you need is a desire to stop gambling and that is the qualification for entering recovery.
For now though, for me, my next bet won’t be about the money I lose, I’ll lose my partner and my children as well and that’s not a bet that I am not willing to make.
Mark
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How to Get Started With Sports Betting

Sports betting is simply placing a wager on a sporting event. You are betting that your team, horse, dog, or driver will win. If they do win, so do you! If they lose, you lose your bet amount. Sports betting takes place all over the world, though in the United States this type of betting is not as highly accepted as it is in Europe.
Online sports betting is probably the best option for those who are interesting in trying it for the first time. If you have never tried online sports betting, you are missing so much fun and excitement, and it can all happen in the comfortable surroundings of your home! The art of sports betting can seem confusing at first, but once you are familiar with some of the jargon that is used to explain the concepts and logic behind each type of bet, it is all much easier to understand.
One of the best ways for you to experience this engaging way to bet on your favourite racing and sporting events is to get acquainted with online sports betting. However, in order to best take advantage of all that sports betting has to offer, you need to know a little more about it.
Sports Betting - The Odds
How does online sports betting work? You should start by studying the odds for the sporting event you are most interested in placing a wager upon. When using online sports betting, you can find these odds in the various online sports books used by Internet gamers everywhere. You must open an account with an online sports book before you can place your bet, but this is simple to do.
Once you have chosen where you are going to do your sports betting, you need to decide how you are going to place your bet. There are many different ways for you to wager your chosen amount of money, but first, let's talk about the spread and how it can affect the amount you bet.
Sports Betting - The Spread
The spread is a point advantage in sports betting, which is usually given to the team that is generally expected to lose a particular sporting event. If you decide that you will bet on the team that is expected to win, they will have to win by more than the spread number and cover the spread before you are considered to have chosen correctly. If you choose the team that is expected to lose, that team will have to lose by less than the spread number in order for your pick to be considered correct. If by chance the team wins by the number of points that were chosen as the spread, the game is called a push.
No one who engages in sports betting wins a thing if a game is called as a push, but you do get the amount of your original bet back. The point spread is done in order to make the all of the bets come out even for the sports book, and is usually done for sports such as basketball or football.
Sports Betting - The Bet
If you were to bet against the spread, most likely you would place a type of bet called an 11-10, or spread bet. By betting $11, you win $10 if your team's score covers the spread. This is another way that the online sports book makes its money.
An over-under bet is also an 11-10 bet. With this type of bet, the total score of the two teams that played will be either over or under the total score that was listed before the game was played. Betting on the score being over is called 'betting on the ball'. Betting on the score being under is called 'betting on the clock'.
A proposition bet is a type of bet where the online sports book chooses what the odds and the conditions of the bet are going to be. This type of bet can be most interesting, even a little fun at times, for the conditions can be as unusual as which of two football teams will make the most touchdowns, which of two basketball teams will score the most three pointers, or even which individual player will make a certain move for the team. The odds for this kind of bet are sometimes 11-10, but can be better or worse depending on the circumstances.
A parlay bet happens when you are betting on more than one event, usually three. This type of bet gives you a much higher payout if you should win, but the catch is that all the events you bet on will have to win. If even one of them loses, they all lose, and you lose the amount that you bet.
A money line bet seems rather formidable, especially to someone who is just getting into online sports betting, but it is really one of the simplest bets of all. It is also called a Straight Up bet, and there is no point spread to consider. You will just choose your sport, and then the team you think will be either the underdog or the favourite. In a money line bet, the sports book will have numbers listed that are in the hundreds, with either a plus or a minus sign beside them. These numbers are considered the 'money line', and are the multipliers for the bets.
If the money line for your team is listed as 100, you will make an even bet. This means you will wager the same amount that you will get back. If the money line reads -110, then you must come up with the amount of money you have decided to bet, plus 10%. This extra 10% is known by the name of 'juice'. If the money line for your team is listed as +110, then you simply place your bet with the amount you choose to bet. If you win a money line bet, you get the amount of your bet plus 10% back. For example, if you bet $10.00 and $1.00 in juice on a -110 money line and it wins, you get $21. 00.
A teaser bet in sports betting is actually a proposition bet that allows you to change the odds for the bet in either direction so that the wager is in your favour. You can go up or down in points, and must choose at least two teams, as is done in a parlay bet. You can have as many as 6 separate teams included on a teaser bet, but all of the teams chosen have to win in order for your bet to be declared a winning one. Once the games are over, the points from the teaser bet are added or subtracted from the final scores. The odds for teaser bets can be different each time, so it is a good plan to always check the sports book before placing your bet.
A tip to remember is that generally, when placing a wager on any sport that can finish with a high score, such as football, you will have a spread. Sports where the ending score is low, such as in baseball will have a money line. Remember also that favourable odds on a game can sometimes work in your favour. Online sports betting allows you to easily go from sports book to sports book to find the best odds.
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JBPLAYS 6/3/20

Today is bursting with opportunity for soccefootball gamblers out there. With top leagues starting to resume play over the coming weeks, I thought it would be a good idea to share the best plays of the day so everyone can break the bookie. Everyday, I will be posting my picks for the day with logical and extravagant reasoning behind my decisions. Lets plant the money tree!
Before we get going, it is important to look at the current environment surrounding professional soccefootball. TWO THINGS TO DEEPLY CONSIDER with no fans inside the stadiums.
  1. Home field advantage is out the window. If you think that home/away matters, then you have something seriously wrong with you. Fans are the reason behind any home field advantage, and now that its only the players and coaching staff in the stadium, the games are essentially neutral location. So, do not be afraid to take away teams that you otherwise would not take if fans were a factor.
  2. Goals. Goals. And more goals. I have watched almost every game televised since Bundesliga returned, and the atmosphere in the stadium is far more lackluster with no fans. What does that mean? Defending has been shocking. Players honestly do not have the same motivation and inspiration as they did to defend. It looks, and feels like a friendly or scrimmage. Because of this, teams are scoring goals, and A LOT of them. I don't care if you take the over or not, but I would advise betters to avoid the under at all costs. The odds will always be against you, and I would hate to watch someone take u2.5 and see a 4-2 final (yes, this has happened to me)
Let's get betting.
Germany: Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs. Frankfurt. Frankfurt ML +150
Honestly a really interesting match. Frankfurt has been absolutely horrible this season after coming off a Europa League finish last campaign. Maybe that is because they decided to sell every goal scorer they had included Rebic, Haller and Jovic (who have all been buns for their current squads), and are left with the likes of Andre Silva to land on the scoresheet. That being said, the squad still has several quality players that should be performing at a higher level. With only five games left in the campaign, Frankfurt are trying to dig themselves out of their current position in the table (12th), and finish the year with a respectable spot. I have been screwed by Frankfurt countless times this season, and for some reason I continue to put my faith in them.
Werder Bremen, on the other hand, are easily the least talented squad in the Bundesliga. Outside of Josh Sargent (I love him) and MAYBE Bittencourt, the Bremen players are second division level. Just look at Davy Klassen... who had an embarrassing stint for Everton. This dude is supposed to be their playmaker and has only tallied four assists in 27 matches! Horrible. Granted, Bremen have pulled off some crazy results in the past couple weeks, with a draw against M'gladbach and an away win at Schalke (who are miserable). With their feet in the relegation zone, Bremen are fighting for their spot in the Bundesliga next season, which is a motivator that sometimes results in strong performances. I still just dont buy it.
Take Frankfurt ML. It will be a tight game, and I definitely expect goals, but Frankfurt is coming off a strong win away at Wolfsburg (who have been solid this year), and I feel like the momentum is in their corner. If they let me down again, then so be it, but it is hard to pass on a better squad (on paper) with +150 odds!
Portugal: Primeria Liga - FC Famalicao vs FC Porto. Porto ML -210
This game is actually pretty straightforward. Today marks the first day that Portugal resumes their top divison, and naturally Porto is on the card. This team has been a dominating force in the Primeria Liga for countless years. The title race is basically between Porto and Benfica, with Porto currently holding the top spot in the table from Benfica by only one point. This game SCREAMS Porto. First game back, the motivation to win is there, and Famalicao is not very good.
I realistically don't know much about Famalicao, but I do know my stuff on Porto. With a far better roster, better coaching staff, an eagerness to get 3 points and just pure excitement to be playing football again, I am hammering Porto. Currently at -210 ML, that seems like a lock to me. If you are feeling risky and have a little money to throw out there, I would suggest taking Porto on the spread as well. I think it is somewhere around +105 for Porto -1.25, which could easily happen. I wouldnt be suprised if they won 5-0. Remember, no such thing as home advantage with no fans, so just think of this game as being played at your local high school field!
Austria: Bundesliga: Salzburg vs Rapid Wien. Draw +410
Now this is the game I am really really excited for. I have put a lot of time into researching and analyzing this matchup, and I believe that this is a diamond in the rough on today's card. Let me explain....
Salzburg is, and has been, an absolute force in the Austrian League for as long as I can remember. They always end up in the Champions league, and sometimes they dont do as bad as people expect. They are constantly growing youth players and selling them off for a hefty profit (Haaland, Minamino), which makes them a great business as well. Regardless, they continue to thrive even after selling their best players. Additionally, they are coming off a dominating 5-0 win, so it looks like the pause in the season did not affect their form at all. Currently sitting at the top of the table, at first glance any better would take Salzburg today 10/10 times. Not me!
Rapid Wien is also a familiar name in the Austrian League. They have a massive fan base, and have been a top team for the past ten years. They sit in 3rd place, only one point behind LASK for 2nd, and four points behind Salzburg for 1st. When the top of the table is congested, that means the squads are relatively even. I am NOT saying that Rapid Wien's players are of the same quality as Salzburg's, but believe me, this team can play. By also coming off a dominating win, (3-0), Wien is focused, motivated, and ready to challenge Salzburg.
I love the draw in this match. I think it will be close either way. Neither team will come out and dominate. Both teams are in scoring form and defending form. At +410, how can you not sprinkle a little on the draw? Even worse, if you DON'T touch the draw, and the draw hits, how stupid would you feel not to cash out on it. Salzburg could very well win this game, but I think it is going to be extremely close and an even clash. I am hammering the draw.
Other Picks to Consider:
Germany: Bundesliga- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresdan. Hannover ML
Austria: Bundesliga- LASK vs TSV. LASK Spread
Portugal: Primeria Liga- Portimonense vs Gil Vicente. Draw
Good Luck Everyone! Break the Bookie.
submitted by JBPLAYS100 to u/JBPLAYS100 [link] [comments]

JBPLAYS 6/3/20

Today is bursting with opportunity for soccefootball gamblers out there. With top leagues starting to resume play over the coming weeks, I thought it would be a good idea to share the best plays of the day so everyone can break the bookie. Everyday, I will be posting my picks for the day with logical and extravagant reasoning behind my decisions. Lets plant the money tree!
Before we get going, it is important to look at the current environment surrounding professional soccefootball. TWO THINGS TO DEEPLY CONSIDER with no fans inside the stadiums.
  1. Home field advantage is out the window. If you think that home/away matters, then you have something seriously wrong with you. Fans are the reason behind any home field advantage, and now that its only the players and coaching staff in the stadium, the games are essentially neutral location. So, do not be afraid to take away teams that you otherwise would not take if fans were a factor.
  2. Goals. Goals. And more goals. I have watched almost every game televised since Bundesliga returned, and the atmosphere in the stadium is far more lackluster with no fans. What does that mean? Defending has been shocking. Players honestly do not have the same motivation and inspiration as they did to defend. It looks, and feels like a friendly or scrimmage. Because of this, teams are scoring goals, and A LOT of them. I don't care if you take the over or not, but I would advise betters to avoid the under at all costs. The odds will always be against you, and I would hate to watch someone take u2.5 and see a 4-2 final (yes, this has happened to me)
Let's get betting.
Germany: Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs. Frankfurt. Frankfurt ML +150
Honestly a really interesting match. Frankfurt has been absolutely horrible this season after coming off a Europa League finish last campaign. Maybe that is because they decided to sell every goal scorer they had included Rebic, Haller and Jovic (who have all been buns for their current squads), and are left with the likes of Andre Silva to land on the scoresheet. That being said, the squad still has several quality players that should be performing at a higher level. With only five games left in the campaign, Frankfurt are trying to dig themselves out of their current position in the table (12th), and finish the year with a respectable spot. I have been screwed by Frankfurt countless times this season, and for some reason I continue to put my faith in them.
Werder Bremen, on the other hand, are easily the least talented squad in the Bundesliga. Outside of Josh Sargent (I love him) and MAYBE Bittencourt, the Bremen players are second division level. Just look at Davy Klassen... who had an embarrassing stint for Everton. This dude is supposed to be their playmaker and has only tallied four assists in 27 matches! Horrible. Granted, Bremen have pulled off some crazy results in the past couple weeks, with a draw against M'gladbach and an away win at Schalke (who are miserable). With their feet in the relegation zone, Bremen are fighting for their spot in the Bundesliga next season, which is a motivator that sometimes results in strong performances. I still just dont buy it.
Take Frankfurt ML. It will be a tight game, and I definitely expect goals, but Frankfurt is coming off a strong win away at Wolfsburg (who have been solid this year), and I feel like the momentum is in their corner. If they let me down again, then so be it, but it is hard to pass on a better squad (on paper) with +150 odds!
Portugal: Primeria Liga - FC Famalicao vs FC Porto. Porto ML -210
This game is actually pretty straightforward. Today marks the first day that Portugal resumes their top divison, and naturally Porto is on the card. This team has been a dominating force in the Primeria Liga for countless years. The title race is basically between Porto and Benfica, with Porto currently holding the top spot in the table from Benfica by only one point. This game SCREAMS Porto. First game back, the motivation to win is there, and Famalicao is not very good.
I realistically don't know much about Famalicao, but I do know my stuff on Porto. With a far better roster, better coaching staff, an eagerness to get 3 points and just pure excitement to be playing football again, I am hammering Porto. Currently at -210 ML, that seems like a lock to me. If you are feeling risky and have a little money to throw out there, I would suggest taking Porto on the spread as well. I think it is somewhere around +105 for Porto -1.25, which could easily happen. I wouldnt be suprised if they won 5-0. Remember, no such thing as home advantage with no fans, so just think of this game as being played at your local high school field!
Austria: Bundesliga: Salzburg vs Rapid Wien. Draw +410
Now this is the game I am really really excited for. I have put a lot of time into researching and analyzing this matchup, and I believe that this is a diamond in the rough on today's card. Let me explain....
Salzburg is, and has been, an absolute force in the Austrian League for as long as I can remember. They always end up in the Champions league, and sometimes they dont do as bad as people expect. They are constantly growing youth players and selling them off for a hefty profit (Haaland, Minamino), which makes them a great business as well. Regardless, they continue to thrive even after selling their best players. Additionally, they are coming off a dominating 5-0 win, so it looks like the pause in the season did not affect their form at all. Currently sitting at the top of the table, at first glance any better would take Salzburg today 10/10 times. Not me!
Rapid Wien is also a familiar name in the Austrian League. They have a massive fan base, and have been a top team for the past ten years. They sit in 3rd place, only one point behind LASK for 2nd, and four points behind Salzburg for 1st. When the top of the table is congested, that means the squads are relatively even. I am NOT saying that Rapid Wien's players are of the same quality as Salzburg's, but believe me, this team can play. By also coming off a dominating win, (3-0), Wien is focused, motivated, and ready to challenge Salzburg.
I love the draw in this match. I think it will be close either way. Neither team will come out and dominate. Both teams are in scoring form and defending form. At +410, how can you not sprinkle a little on the draw? Even worse, if you DON'T touch the draw, and the draw hits, how stupid would you feel not to cash out on it. Salzburg could very well win this game, but I think it is going to be extremely close and an even clash. I am hammering the draw.
Other Picks to Consider:
Germany: Bundesliga- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresdan. Hannover ML
Austria: Bundesliga- LASK vs TSV. LASK Spread
Portugal: Primeria Liga- Portimonense vs Gil Vicente. Draw
Good Luck Everyone! Break the Bookie.
submitted by JBPLAYS100 to u/JBPLAYS100 [link] [comments]

JBPLAYS 6/3/20

Today is bursting with opportunity for soccefootball gamblers out there. With top leagues starting to resume play over the coming weeks, I thought it would be a good idea to share the best plays of the day so everyone can break the bookie. Everyday, I will be posting my picks for the day with logical and extravagant reasoning behind my decisions. Lets plant the money tree!
Before we get going, it is important to look at the current environment surrounding professional soccefootball. TWO THINGS TO DEEPLY CONSIDER with no fans inside the stadiums.
  1. Home field advantage is out the window. If you think that home/away matters, then you have something seriously wrong with you. Fans are the reason behind any home field advantage, and now that its only the players and coaching staff in the stadium, the games are essentially neutral location. So, do not be afraid to take away teams that you otherwise would not take if fans were a factor.
  2. Goals. Goals. And more goals. I have watched almost every game televised since Bundesliga returned, and the atmosphere in the stadium is far more lackluster with no fans. What does that mean? Defending has been shocking. Players honestly do not have the same motivation and inspiration as they did to defend. It looks, and feels like a friendly or scrimmage. Because of this, teams are scoring goals, and A LOT of them. I don't care if you take the over or not, but I would advise betters to avoid the under at all costs. The odds will always be against you, and I would hate to watch someone take u2.5 and see a 4-2 final (yes, this has happened to me)
Let's get betting.
Germany: Bundesliga- Werder Bremen vs. Frankfurt. Frankfurt ML +150
Honestly a really interesting match. Frankfurt has been absolutely horrible this season after coming off a Europa League finish last campaign. Maybe that is because they decided to sell every goal scorer they had included Rebic, Haller and Jovic (who have all been buns for their current squads), and are left with the likes of Andre Silva to land on the scoresheet. That being said, the squad still has several quality players that should be performing at a higher level. With only five games left in the campaign, Frankfurt are trying to dig themselves out of their current position in the table (12th), and finish the year with a respectable spot. I have been screwed by Frankfurt countless times this season, and for some reason I continue to put my faith in them.
Werder Bremen, on the other hand, are easily the least talented squad in the Bundesliga. Outside of Josh Sargent (I love him) and MAYBE Bittencourt, the Bremen players are second division level. Just look at Davy Klassen... who had an embarrassing stint for Everton. This dude is supposed to be their playmaker and has only tallied four assists in 27 matches! Horrible. Granted, Bremen have pulled off some crazy results in the past couple weeks, with a draw against M'gladbach and an away win at Schalke (who are miserable). With their feet in the relegation zone, Bremen are fighting for their spot in the Bundesliga next season, which is a motivator that sometimes results in strong performances. I still just dont buy it.
Take Frankfurt ML. It will be a tight game, and I definitely expect goals, but Frankfurt is coming off a strong win away at Wolfsburg (who have been solid this year), and I feel like the momentum is in their corner. If they let me down again, then so be it, but it is hard to pass on a better squad (on paper) with +150 odds!
Portugal: Primeria Liga - FC Famalicao vs FC Porto. Porto ML -210
This game is actually pretty straightforward. Today marks the first day that Portugal resumes their top divison, and naturally Porto is on the card. This team has been a dominating force in the Primeria Liga for countless years. The title race is basically between Porto and Benfica, with Porto currently holding the top spot in the table from Benfica by only one point. This game SCREAMS Porto. First game back, the motivation to win is there, and Famalicao is not very good.
I realistically don't know much about Famalicao, but I do know my stuff on Porto. With a far better roster, better coaching staff, an eagerness to get 3 points and just pure excitement to be playing football again, I am hammering Porto. Currently at -210 ML, that seems like a lock to me. If you are feeling risky and have a little money to throw out there, I would suggest taking Porto on the spread as well. I think it is somewhere around +105 for Porto -1.25, which could easily happen. I wouldnt be suprised if they won 5-0. Remember, no such thing as home advantage with no fans, so just think of this game as being played at your local high school field!
Austria: Bundesliga: Salzburg vs Rapid Wien. Draw +410
Now this is the game I am really really excited for. I have put a lot of time into researching and analyzing this matchup, and I believe that this is a diamond in the rough on today's card. Let me explain....
Salzburg is, and has been, an absolute force in the Austrian League for as long as I can remember. They always end up in the Champions league, and sometimes they dont do as bad as people expect. They are constantly growing youth players and selling them off for a hefty profit (Haaland, Minamino), which makes them a great business as well. Regardless, they continue to thrive even after selling their best players. Additionally, they are coming off a dominating 5-0 win, so it looks like the pause in the season did not affect their form at all. Currently sitting at the top of the table, at first glance any better would take Salzburg today 10/10 times. Not me!
Rapid Wien is also a familiar name in the Austrian League. They have a massive fan base, and have been a top team for the past ten years. They sit in 3rd place, only one point behind LASK for 2nd, and four points behind Salzburg for 1st. When the top of the table is congested, that means the squads are relatively even. I am NOT saying that Rapid Wien's players are of the same quality as Salzburg's, but believe me, this team can play. By also coming off a dominating win, (3-0), Wien is focused, motivated, and ready to challenge Salzburg.
I love the draw in this match. I think it will be close either way. Neither team will come out and dominate. Both teams are in scoring form and defending form. At +410, how can you not sprinkle a little on the draw? Even worse, if you DON'T touch the draw, and the draw hits, how stupid would you feel not to cash out on it. Salzburg could very well win this game, but I think it is going to be extremely close and an even clash. I am hammering the draw.
Other Picks to Consider:
Germany: Bundesliga- Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresdan. Hannover ML
Austria: Bundesliga- LASK vs TSV. LASK Spread
Portugal: Primeria Liga- Portimonense vs Gil Vicente. Draw
Good Luck Everyone! Break the Bookie.
submitted by JBPLAYS100 to u/JBPLAYS100 [link] [comments]

- SPORTS SPREAD BETTING EXPLAINED - in either direction. Read more about how football spread betting works. 3: CUT YOUR LOSSES – If you have placed a bet that is clearly going against you, the safe option could be to protect your balance and cash out of the position before it gets any worse. Cut your losses early and protect your betting This website caters to individuals who adore betting on favorites such as tennis, soccer, golf, hockey, baseball, football, and basketball. The sky is honestly the limit for fans who head over to BetOnline.ag these days. BetOnline can be a true haven for individuals who are searching for all of the best sports betting sites. Bovada Sportsbook - Best Sports Betting Site For Betting On The Point Spread. Just as with pro football, Bovada has a ton of point spreads for college football games each week. Spreads that you won't find anywhere else will be available at Bovada to bet which is one of the perks that makes this book one of the best for betting on college football spreads. Most sporting events have a perceived favorite, so applying a spread to the game is the bookmakers’ way of creating an even playing field. This is most often seen when betting on the NFL.When you bet “against the spread,” it’s not enough for the favorite to win the game; now, they have to win by more than a specified amount (the spread) in order for them to “cover the spread.” Football Spread Betting. Football spread betting works by playing on a 'spread' or prediction on the number of things to happen in a match. Step 1: Choose a spread market on a match. E.g. the 'spread' on Total Goals may be 2.8 - 3. Step 2: Decide if you think the final outcome will be higher or lower than the spread.

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