NBA Betting Systems - GTbets

[OC] The Chicago Bulls rebuild imploded again this year. How can they pick up the pieces and make it better next time?

As we continue to wait for real basketball to happen (or not?), it may be a good time to monitor teams that will definitely be missing out on all the playoff bubble hijinks.
Here's a look at the CHICAGO BULLS, with a special shoutout to true Bulls' fans like celsius_two_3_two for helping me review the content.
PART ONE: From Playoff Challenger to Challenger space shuttle
Like any proper degenerate, I like to make a few Las Vegas "oveunder" bets before the season (note: don't try it at home, it's usually a waste of time and money.)
Still, a few win totals jumped out at me. Among them: the Chicago Bulls, oveunder 33.5 wins.
Now, the logical move may have been to pound the "under" here. After all, this was a team coming off two seasons with 27-55 and 22-60 records. However, I couldn't help but overthink this one. Sure, the Bulls had a very bad 2018-19 season (highlighted by Fred Hoiberg getting fired and Drill Sergeant Jim Boylen taking over). At the same time, they played better in the second half of the season. Boylen (douche or not) would presumably keep improving their defense. Moreover, Boylen and the front office were on shaky ground in terms of their job security, which usually motivates an organization to push forward and win as much as possible.
The front office clearly had that in mind as well, signing Tomas Satoransky and Thaddeus Young to sizable $10M+ contracts. Neither are great players, or perhaps even good players, but they're solid and reliable veterans whom the team could immediately plug into a rotation. These Bulls felt deep, balanced, and perhaps ready to strike. After all, star Zach LaVine would be set to enter Year 6 in the league. Otto Porter would be entering Year 7. Some of their other "young" pieces weren't that young; for example, Kris Dunn and Denzel Valentine are both 26 right now.
Overall, this felt like a recipe for success. Or at least, semi-success. The Bulls were ready to take a jump. Making the playoffs may have been unrealistic, but 35-38 wins felt doable. "OVER" it is!
Flash forward nearly a year later, and I've got so much egg on my face that vegans won't even talk to me anymore. Turns out, these "new Bulls" were the "same ol' Bulls." They'll end the season with a 22-43 record, which would have put them on pace for 27.8 wins over 82 games, well under the 33.5 set by Vegas.
So what went wrong? How did this potential darkhorse run so far off the rails that it needed to get shot and turned to glue? Let's take a closer look.
PART TWO: Missing Otto Porter III + D
One of the major reasons the Chicago Bulls disappointed in 2019-20 was injuries. Center Wendell Carter missed time, and Otto Porter III barely played due to lingering hip injuries. He appeared in 14 games, and only drew 9 starts (averaging 23 minutes per game.)
On the surface, Porter shouldn't feel like a huge loss. After all, this is a player who's never averaged as much as 15 PPG in any season in his career and has never sniffed an All-Star team.
That said, the loss of Porter had a trickle down effect that hurt the team in numerous ways.
Offensively, Porter is a low-usage player who's about as efficient as anyone in the league. For his career, he shoots over 40% from three (40.4%). Better yet, he's only averaged 0.8 turnovers per game (1.1 TO per 36 minutes.) He's what you'd call a role player / assassin. He gets in, hits his target, and slips out without being noticed. Porter actually has a little more versatility to his offensive game than the average catch-and-shoot player (he can take you down on the block, for example), but most often, he's used as a spacer and he thrives in that regard. Without Porter's shooting, the Chicago Bulls' offense looked even more sluggish than usual. Their offensive rating ranked 27th out of the 30 teams in the league.
Porter's loss also showed up in other ways. Porter's not a great defender -- he's probably "above average" -- but that's still an asset to have in your lineup. He's a savvy player who's usually locked in defensively, despite one infamous Shaqtin' A Fool moment. He also has good size and length for his position at 6'8" with a 7'1" wingspan.
That size is a key element to this discussion. Porter has "plus" size as a small forward. In his absence, the Bulls struggled to fill that void with the same. They ended up shifting Zach LaVine (6'6", 6'8" wingspan) over to small forward quite a bit. LaVine played 67% of his minutes at SF this past season according to basketball-reference. You can take those positional play-by-plays with a grain of salt because it's not easy to track and label, but that's still a notable difference in terms of the roster composition. The Bulls were smaller than average at SF, and smaller than average at SG with rookie Coby White (6'4", 6'5" wingspan) playing the majority of his minutes there.
The natural follow up to this may be: so what? Even with those size limitations, Jim Boylen's Bulls still finished with the 14th best defense (up from 25 last year.) However, the lack of size on the wings helped contribute to the Bulls' problems on the glass. They finished 30th (out of 30 teams) in total defensive rebounds, and 28th in rebounding differential (-3.6 per game). Using rebounding totals isn't always the best metric to use because bad teams miss more shots (and thus allow their opponents more rebounds). However, if you dig deeper, the numbers still aren't pretty. The Bulls' grabbed 75.6% of their potential defensive rebounds -- 5th worst in the league. Overall, they grabbed 47.9% of all potential rebounds -- 2nd worst in the league. "Rebounds" may be not be an en vogue stat in general, but it's a weakness that still hurt the team at the margins. When you're a mid-level team, those extra few possessions per game could mean the difference between a win and a loss.
The good news? Porter will likely be back and healthy next season. The bad news? He's not cheap. He'll almost certainly pick up his oversized $28M player option. In another circumstance, he may try to rip it up and renegotiate a long-term deal with the Bulls or another team instead, but the murkiness around the cap and around his health makes that too difficult to imagine. Barring a trade, he'll be back with the Bulls next year, and will help the team win a few more games.
PART THREE: Misusing their offensive weapons
The Chicago Bulls are a young team, built around young stars like Zach LaVine and Lauri Markkanen. Both LaVine and Markkanen have some limitations overall, but they're both gifted offensive players. So given that, how is it that the team only finished 27th in offensive efficiency?
In terms of the national media, a lot of the blame tends to fall on Zach LaVine. After some inefficient play early on in his career, the narrative has stuck that LaVine is an "empty calorie" or "volume" scorer. However, the results on the court don't really justify that anymore. Sure, LaVine shoots a lot, but he doesn't take as many bad shots as you may expect. He takes 8.1 threes per game (and makes an above-average 38%). He takes 5.6 free throw attempts per game (making 82% for his career.) Overall, that's a winning formula. LaVine's efficiency and true shooting is above league-average, no small feat for a player averaging 25.5 points per game this year. You'd like to see him hammer his way to the line even more, but he's not the problem for this team (offensively.)
Meanwhile, Markkanen has some work to do. For a 7-footer, he's a gifted shooter. He shot 42.3% from three in college (and even flirted with 50% early in the season.) He carried that success over to the NBA for his first two years, netting over 36% from three each year. His results at the free throw line (84% then 87% as a second-year player) illustrated his potential to keep improving from there. 7-footers tend to get labeled as "stretch bigs" if they can get anywhere over 30% from three; Markkanen has the potential to get closer to 40%.
However, that leap didn't happen in Year 3. Markkanen sagged to 34.4% from three, and "only" 82.4% from the free-throw line. But those percentages aren't what bothers me. Percentages will go up and down over smaller sample sizes like that. What's more concerning is how Markkanen's role shrunk offensively. After averaging 15.3 field goal attempts last season, he slipped down to 11.8 attempts this season per game. Even if you account for a few less minutes, he dropped from 17 FGA to 14 FGA in terms of "per 36" numbers.
As mentioned, Markkanen is an offensive player. He's a shooter. I'm no coaching genius (and neither is Jim Boylen apparently), but I'd encourage a shooter to SHOOT. Because if Markkanen isn't a focal point of your offensive attack, then he's not doing much good for your team. He's not a good defender -- he's not a good rebounder. This is like the Justice League sending Aquaman off to the find evil aliens in the desert; we're misusing his talents here, people.
Practically speaking, the next Bulls' coach needs to rethink the approach with Markkanen. Personally, I believe he has more in the tank offensively than he's been allowed to show so far. Maybe he's not Dirk Nowtizki, but he's still an extraordinary talent as a shooter for his size; I'd make a point of funneling him the ball. And if the problem is that he's getting marginalized by ball-dominant LaVine, then Markkanen should come off the bench as a 6th man scorer instead. He needs to be an offensive priority whenever he's in the game. And consequently, a better offensive philosophy and system needs to be installed in order to allow that to happen.
PART FOUR: Natural growing pains
When the Chicago Bulls' playoff chances slipped away, Jim Boylen and the front office finally unleashed their rookie, Coby White.
White took advantage of that greenlight and turned up the gas as a scorer. He'll end the season with a modest 13.2 points per game, but that undersells his impact as a scorer. Per 36 minutes, he averaged 18.5 points per game. That trended upwards over the course of the season as well. White averaged over 20 points per game in February and March (albeit over a limited 14 game size.) If White can do that as a 20-year-old rookie, then it's fair to suggest that he could be routinely scoring over 20 PPG in his prime.
While Coby White has some obvious virtues -- highlighted by his quickness and his cool hair -- there are some natural concerns and growing pains that he showed. He scored, but he didn't necessarily do that with efficiency. He shot only 39.4% from the field, and netted only a 50.6 true shooting percentage that's well below the league average.
Defensively, White also struggled. Playing "up" at SG for 71% of his minutes (and even at SF for 17%!), White's limited size and limited experience showed. ESPN's real/plus minus metric graded him as -1.9 impact per 100 possessions. If you wanted to count White as a point guard, that would rank 89th best (out of 94 qualifiers.) If you envision him as a shooting guard, that would rank 134th (out of 137 qualifiers.)
That debate -- is Coby White a point guard or shooting guard? -- is an important one. Sure, we're in an era of "position-less" basketball to some extent, but players still have certain roles offensively and certain assignments defensively. White's limited size and length (6'5" wingspan) projects best as a point guard. However, he's more of a scorer than a natural distributor. He only averaged 3.8 assists per 36 minutes this season, not far removed from the 5.2 assists per 36 minutes he averaged back in college at UNC. His playmaking can improve, but he's more of an attack dog by nature.
This combination of strengths and weaknesses makes you wonder about the long-term fit next to Zach LaVine. If the Bulls' long-term plan is to play White at SG and LaVine at SF, then they're always going to be behind the eight-ball in terms of length and rebounding (especially with Lauri Markkanen at the 4.) If their plan is to start White as a point guard, then they're going to have to rely on LaVine to be more of a lead facilitator, or on the entire team to adopt more of a ball-moving offense 1-5.
Most realistically, White projects best as a super-scorer off the bench, a la Lou Williams. To excel in that role, he'll need to continue to draw more free throws (he was at only 2.0 FTA per game as a rookie), but the potential is there to improve his shot selection and become a big-time scorer. Staggering White and LaVine would also allow them to be aggressive as scorers without stepping on each other's toes.
PART FIVE: Done with Dunn?
The other reason that it'll be important for the new Bulls' coach and front office to devise a long-term plan for Coby White is because it will affect other decisions on the roster. Among them: the fate of Kris Dunn.
Like Coby White, Dunn has some extreme strengths and weaknesses -- they just happen to be in opposite order. He EXCELS defensively. He has a big frame (6'9" wingspan) and natural instincts on that end. He nabbed 2.0 steals this season in only 24.9 minutes of action. A lot of times, "steals" can be misleading because they amount to gambling. For Dunn, it's more reflective of his actual talent. He has extremely quick hands; he could have made a lot of money as a gunslinger back in the Old West. In some ways, he reminds you of Andre Iguodala on the ball defensively, combining length, strength, and savvy.
The rest of Dunn's game is a mixed bag. He's not a bad distributor (averaging 6.0 assists in both 2017-18 and 2018-19), but he's a poor shooter. He's also had injury issues flare up over the course of his career. As mentioned, he's already 26 years old, so it's unrealistic to expect him to become a wholly different player in the next few years. With Kris Dunn, you mostly know what you're getting to get. So the question is: do you want it or not?
The Bulls will have to make that choice this offseason, as Dunn enters his (restricted) free agency. There's a chance that COVID will infect the cap and allow them to retain him on his one-year qualified offer of $7M. Alternatively, there's a chance that another team will swoop him and sign him to an offer sheet. He'd make some sense for a team like the Detroit Pistons, who could invest in him as an heir apparent to Derrick Rose at PG. If a team like that offers Dunn a deal in the 3 year, $8-10M per year range, will the Bulls match it? TBD.
Again, a lot depends on their views regarding Coby White. If they envision White as a future starter at PG, then there's less of a need for Kris Dunn. The Bulls would be able to start White at PG as soon as next year, with Tomas Satoransky as a combo guard off the bench and Ryan Arcidiacono serving as a third point guard and insurance policy. If the team envisions Coby White as a SG (or combo guard off the bench) then there's more of a need for Kris Dunn to platoon with Satoransky as a lead guard.
This game of musical chairs may be getting more crowded, because there's also another element at play: yet-another lottery pick.
PART SIX: Drafting some Help
Currently, the Chicago Bulls are slated in the # 7 position in terms of the NBA Draft order. They have a 9% chance of moving up to # 1, and a 32% chance of moving into the top 4. If they can make that leap, then that would mean adding another potential star to the fold. It's not a strong draft by any stretch, but SG Anthony Edwards (Georgia) and C James Wiseman (Memphis) have the potential to be good starters. If they can land someone like that, you ignore "fit", take the potential stud, and work out the rest later.
More likely, the Bulls will be picking in that 7-8 range. That's still a good pick, of course, but not one that should cause you to throw the baby out with the bath water and ignore the composition and needs of your team.
Again, this is why the "Do the Bulls need a PG?" question becomes so critical. This is a poor draft, but it's strongest in terms of its point guard depth. According to ESPN's draft experts, 5 of the top 13 prospects are point guards (LaMelo Ball, Tyrese Haliburton, Killian Hayes, R.J. Hampton, Cole Anthony). A few of those -- namely Hayes and Anthony -- are "pure" point guards who don't have enough size to switch around and play minutes at the 2.
Among the crop that's likely to be available around pick 7, here are some potential fits.
PG TYRESE HALIBURTON, IOWA STATE (# 8 on espn). Haliburton is one of the easiest "fits" for the Bulls and for basically every team, because he offers a versatile set of skills. He's technically a point guard (averaging 15.2 points and 6.5 assists last year) and can capably fill that role. Better still, he can be effectively off the ball. His three-point shot looks a little wonky, but he converts it well, hitting 42.6% of his threes in college. Defensively he's got good size (6'5" with a 6'10" wingspan) and instincts (2.5 steals, 1.3 fouls last year). In a sense, Haliburton can be a "3 + D" point guard that plays alongside a ball-dominant player, be it Zach LaVine or Coby White. If the team drafts him, you figure it'd be with the intention of using him as an upgrade on Dunn (slightly worse defense but better offense.)
SG DEVIN VASSELL, FLORIDA STATE (# 16 on espn). Like Haliburton, Devin Vassell is another player who could fit well on virtually every team because of his 3+D potential. He's hit 41.7% of his threes in his two years at FSU with a good-looking form that's aided by good size for his position and a higher release than Haliburton. Right now, Vassell is listed around 6'6" with an estimated 6'10" wingspan, but he looks bigger than that to my eye. That's crucial because it would allow him to play both SG and SF and draw some different assignments defensively. I also like Vassell's personality off the court; he seems like a good kid that should continue to improve. Like Haliburton, Vassell is the type of player that should easily into a lineup with LaVine and/or White.
SF DENI AVDIJA, ISRAEL (# 5 on espn). I'm not going to pretend to have as much confidence in my projection of Avdija, who's played in the international youth circuit and has been a rising star with Maccabi Tel Aviv. Based on what I do know, he could be an intriguing boom/bust pick around # 7. He's a big forward (6'9") who can convert inside, and better yet, has a real knack for playmaking. The Bulls' young stars -- Zach LaVine, Coby White, Lauri Markkanen -- are all better scorers than passers right now, so perhaps Avdija can operate as a de facto point forward and help the offense click into place. Right now, his shooting results have been shaky though, so he's not someone you can just throw out there and tell to stand in the corner as a 3+D option. If you take him, you need an actual plan to highlight his skill set. The Bulls' top exec Arturas Karnisovas is from Lithuania originally, so you presume that he'd have no qualms about selecting an European like Avdija (whose dad is Serbian) if need be. Of course, that logic didn't quite work out for Sacramento GM Vlade Divac and Luka Doncic.
SHAKIER FITS. Alternatively, there are some players in the Bulls' draft range that may not be ideal fits. As mentioned, Killian Hayes and Cole Anthony are more of traditional ball-dominant point guards; I don't love the idea of that next to Coby White and Zach LaVine. I'd also be wary of Dayton's PF Obi Toppin. Toppin has strong scoring potential with a decent shot and good athleticism inside. That said, he's a little stiff in the hips defensively, and may duplicate Lauri Markkanen in that regard.
PART SEVEN: Buh-Buh Boylen
One of the Chicago Bulls' biggest decisions will be among their first. Technically, the new front office has not fired coach Jim Boylen yet, but it appears that his clock is ticking on that decision. It's only a matter of time.
Candidly, Boylen gets too harsh of a rap from national media and fans. He's not a complete asshat. He's had success as a defensive assistant in the past, and did help the Bulls' defense improve some over the past few years. He'd be a fine assistant coach somewhere in that limited capacity.
However, he does seem woefully out of his depth as a head coach. He's never had success in that role before, and he didn't have any now. His offensive system is virtually nonexistent, and his attitude is boarish. Usually those "Drill Sergeant" coaches get a short-term year or two of improvement from a young team, but he couldn't even do that. We need to pull him out of there before there's a full-on Full Metal Jacket rebellion here.
Looking ahead, the Bulls need to pick a coach that can get the team back on track, especially in terms of their offensive philosophy. That said, the Bulls have to be careful not to "zigzag" too much in their coaching hires. They went from Tom Thibodeau (the gruff, defensive-heavy coach) to the Anti-Thibodeau in Fred Hoiberg (likable, low-key former player), and then jumped on the seesaw again with the complete opposite in Boylen. There's always a tendency to go for the opposite of your last coach, but presumably there's a happy medium in between these two poles. Goldilocks was happy to find something "just right," so Karnisovas should be as well.
According to media reports, Ime Udoka is a top candidate, and would be a natural fit. While Udoka doesn't have head coaching experience yet, he's about as "ready" as any first-time coach would be. He's a former player, and a long-time assistant under Gregg Popovich in San Antonio (and now has worked the last year in Philadelphia.) The Spurs' philosophy is an ideal template for the Bulls to use, both in terms of their offensive ball movement and their locker room culture.
I'd also recommend Kenny Atkinson as a viable candidate. He didn't mesh with the new superstars in Brooklyn, but he'd done a great job prior to that in terms of rebuilding a broken Brooklyn team. He specializes in pace and space offense, and player development. That sounds ideal for this team right now.
There are a few other candidates out there that would be worth interviews (Chris Finch, Wes Unseld Jr., Chris Fleming, Nate Tibbetts, Alex Jensen, Dave Joerger, etc) but Udoka and Atkinson represent a very solid top two. Hiring either of them would be a great first step for this new administration.
TL;DR
The Chicago Bulls' "breakout" didn't happen; instead, they broke down. However, the foundation isn't bad here. If the new front office wants to push for the playoffs next year (manifested by keeping Otto Porter and continuing to play veterans) then it's not unrealistic that they can get up to 35-40 wins with better health and a better offensive system. Conversely, the team may decide they're further away than that, and take a step back to collect their bearings.
submitted by ZandrickEllison to nbadiscussion [link] [comments]

Sports Betting ML Code

I have been creating sports betting algorithms for many years using microsoft access and I am transitioning to the ML world and trying to get a grasp on determining the success of my algorithms. I have exported my algorithms as csv files dating back to the 2013-14 NBA season and imported them into python via pandas.
The purpose of importing these csv files is to determine the accuracy of these algorithms using ML. Here are the algorithm records based on the microsoft access query:
A System: 471-344 (58%) +92.60
B System: 317-239 (57%) +54.10
C System: 347-262 (57%) +58.80
I have a total of 8,814 records in my database, however, the above systems are based on situational stats, e.g., Team A fits an algorithm if they have better Field Goal %, Played Last Game Home/Away, More Points Per Game, etc...

Here is some of the code that I wrote using Jupyter to determine the accuracy:
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
clf = LinearSVC(C=1.0, penalty="l2", dual=False)
clf.fit(X_train, y_train)
pred_clf = clf.predict(X_test)
scores = cross_val_score(clf, X, y, cv=10)
rfe_selector = RFE(clf, 10)
rfe_selector = rfe_selector.fit(X, y)
rfe_values = rfe_selector.get_support()
train = accuracy_score(y_train, clf.predict(X_train))
test = accuracy_score(y_test, pred_clf)
print("Train Accuracy:", accuracy_score(y_train, clf.predict(X_train)))
print("Test Accuracy:", accuracy_score(y_test, pred_clf))
print(classification_report(y_test, pred_clf, zero_division=1))
print(confusion_matrix(y_test, pred_clf))
print("Accuracy: %0.2f (+/- %0.2f)" % (scores.mean(), scores.std() * 2))

Here are the results from the code above by system:
A System:
Train Accuracy: 0.6211656441717791
Test Accuracy: 0.5153374233128835 F1 Score: 0.52
CONFUSION MATRIX: [[16 50] [29 68]]
Accuracy: 0.55 (+/- 0.10)

B System:
Train Accuracy: 0.6306306306306306
Test Accuracy: 0.5178571428571429
F1 Score: 0.52
CONFUSION MATRIX: [[49 23] [31 9]]
Accuracy: 0.55 (+/- 0.08)

C System:
Train Accuracy: 0.675564681724846
Test Accuracy: 0.5409836065573771
F1 Score: 0.54
CONFUSION MATRIX: [[15 29] [27 51]]
Accuracy: 0.57 (+/- 0.16)

In order to have a profitable system, the accuracy only needs to be 52.5%. If I base my systems off of the Test Accuracy, only the C System is profitable. However, all are profitable if based on Accuracy (mean & standard deviation).

My question is, can I rely on my Accuracy (mean & standard deviation) for future games even though my Testing Accuracy is lower than 52.5%? If not, any suggestions are greatly appreciated on how I can gauge the future results on these systems.
submitted by sports_stats to MLQuestions [link] [comments]

A Few Basketball Betting Strategies (written by a 20+ yr gambling industry vet)

\A few basketball betting strategies* from an excerpt of a betting lesson I wrote last week\*
We are in the heart of basketball season so I wanted to make this lesson useful for right now so you can start applying it to help you win money. I’ve listed below some simple situational spots to look for that are proven long term as profitable positions. As always these systems shouldn’t be used as the only factor when forming an opinion on a game but let’s say you like a bet and realize it fits one of these strategies well then you’ll be onto something. Just don’t make it your start and end point.
Oddsmakers tend to not cross a certain barrier when making totals. For example, let’s say they have two very high scoring teams playing each other and their calculations lead them to a likely probability that there will be 260 points scored on a game. Well they can’t exactly make the total 260 because that would be outside the norm and might automatically create blind under action just because of how abnormally high the total is.
Working off this theory we have a system: Betting OVERS on High Totals, simple but effective and has been something I’ve been looking at on a nightly basis this year with the increase in scoring, 3pt shooting and pace. Of course there are exceptions to the rule and other factors have to align. Definitely not saying to go out and bet every over when you see a high total. Systems and theories similar to this will be the topic of this week's lesson

The Blowout System

When an NBA team wins by 15 or more points, you might think that they’ve got momentum and will win their next game by double-digits as well. However, the opposite is usually true. When you see a home favorite of ten points or more who are fresh off of 15-point win they only beat the spread just 41.9% of the time from 2015 to 2018.
So keep in mind, teams that blowout their opponents one game are unlikely to do so the following night. The reason could be a result of player fatigue or over confidence or more likely that oddsmakers and public bettors are overreacting to that impressive one game blowout and inflating the line on that team, creating value on the opposing team.

The Bounce Back System

This one is the flip side of the situation above but related to the total. Teams coming off poor offensive performances have a knack for bouncing back during their next game, particularly when it’s at home game. Teams coming off a poor offensive performance (defined poor below) found that their next games surpassed the projected point total nearly 62% of the time(on average, varies a little from NBA/CBB).
▪️~ Look for good teams that shot under 40% from the field in their previous game and then bet the over on their next home game. ▪️~ Look for any team that shot below their season average from the field and 3pt range and look over the total in their next game ▪️~ Look for teams that in their previous game shot poorly and the game still went over and look for the over in their next game.

The 3 in 4 System

The NBA has gone out of its way to reduce the number of back-to-back games in recent years, but we still see back 2 backs and teams playing 3 games in 4 nights. A really good spot is when we see both teams playing their third game in four nights. Under this scenario we see the teams go over the projected point total 58.8% of the time.
The most likely explanation is that defense takes far more effort than offense, and most players play D with far less intensity when they’re tired. Whatever the case, you’d be well advised to pick the “over” when this scenario presents itself on the schedule. Of course this situation is something oddsmakers are aware of but it’s important we are also equipped with knowing it as well so we can apply it to our research.

Back-to-Back System

Along the line of the system above, we all know that NBA teams struggle to win the second game of back-to-backs, but they don’t all struggle at the same rate. Since 2016 teams playing in back 2 back spots that have winning records lost 5% more than their average on the second night of a back-to-back, while teams with losing records lost 11% more often than usual on the second night of a back-to-back. Going a step further and looking at home and away plays a huge factor in a team’s performance. Teams playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road were 18% more likely to lose.
These are invaluable insights to consider when making your next bet. You may also want to consider a team’s average age, its pace of play, and whether the team has had to adjust to multiple time zones during its latest stretch of games. All of these factors can cause a tremendous drop off from one game to the next.

The D’Alembert System

This is a money management system similar to the more popular Martingale systems (If you aren’t familiar with the Martingale system you can google it) but I prefer The D’Alembert System much more as another progressive betting strategy that definitely is similar to the Martingale System. I prefer it more mainly because it carries much less financial risk due to its more conservative nature. When using this strategy, you select a bet amount and increase it by the same increment in the event you lose, and decrease it by the same increment in the event you win.
For example, let’s say that you determine your bet amount is going to be $10. Using this sum as your starting point, you bet $10 on the outcome of a game. If you lose, you bet $20 the next night on the outcome of another game. If you lose again, you bet $30 on the following game. If you win that game, then you go back to a $20 bet on the next game, and so on.
The D’Alembert System is generally less lucrative than the Martingale System, but it appeals to betters with smaller bankrolls who are more risk-averse and in my opinion is generally more applicable for bettors here in The Betting Network. When using these types of progressive money management strategies I encourage discipline on bet volume, quality over quantity. It can get dangerous when trying to apply this over several wagers a night, it’s more of a selective bet strategy rather than something you use for every bet made, maybe use it for just your strongest bet of the night.

I know this information can help some gamblers out there (and may go over some gamblers' heads). It's just a few basketball systems that you may want to keep in mind. It can be very effective for long term profit in NBA when applied correctly.
I’ve worked in this gambling industry for 20+ years and work in a sportsbetting community. If you’re interested in joining and learning more strategies like this. Don’t hesitate to message me. Cheers 🍻
submitted by bettingnetwork to sportsbetting [link] [comments]

Looking Towards the Future: The 20-21 Boston Celtics

Ever since quarantine has started and NBA basketball as stopped, I, like many NBA fans have been left to wonder. What will happen with this year? What about our season? What next?
Well, I have decided to stop worrying about what we cannot know and look towards next season and what it will bring for our Boston Celtics. Below is a breakdown of what we could be looking at next year. I start with Salaries, move to depth chart and then look to this community to chime in on some looming questions.
Salaries: Currently, the Celtics rank 24th in total salary throughout the league; however, next year things will change. We will see our salary jump into the top ten of the league, 7th to be exact, and here is what that will look like.
Potential Depth Chart:
PG: Kemba
SG: Jaylen Brown
SF: Hayward
PF: Tatum
C: Theis
Bench: Smart, Williams, Williams, Langford + other rookies and sophomores
Looming Questions: Who stays? Who goes? New faces?
Honestly, when looking into next year's team two things jump out to me, one is that we already know our starters, the other is that we have A LOT of important team and player options that will dictate our offseason. I have outlined them below.
Player Options - Gordon and Kanter. An interesting duo when spoken about together, but what will happen? My money is on Gordon staying, this I truly believe will be the case. As for Kanter? I really am not sure. I think at this point in his career he is likely looking for a home and has been great for our city, but I do not like his fit on this team. I've always loved his game but I do not like him with our roster and system. His choice will either be take the money and get paid next year, or walk away and look to support another contender. I think he stays.
Team Options - Tatum, Theis, Rob Willy, and Semi. For starters, Tatum and Theis are staying. Fight me. No explanation needed there. I think the same can be said about Robert Williams. Looking at his contract, if we pick it up we will be gaining a serviceable big man with a solid upside for less then 5 million per year. He fits our system well enough and I think we can expect him to stay. Semi Ojeleye, please sweet jesus lord above, may you let this marriage end this summer. I respect the guy...he's a tank.. but too often is he a part of our worst offensive lineups. I think he's gone.
Free Agency: Look, I am terribly bad at guessing who the Celtics will pick up during FA, I really don't want to try to guess, but I will point out a scenario that I think is possible. We need a back up G/F. If Demetrius Jackson does not get resigned, which tbh I really hope he doesn't, and if Semi is not picked up, then that leaves minutes off the bench that will need to be filled. I think we should use FA to pick up a G/F with our MLE.
Summary: I think we will see our starting 5 return and I think that is good. Very few Celtics fans will avoid admitting that JB and JT are the new Truth, and we signed Kemba long term. Gordon could very well be entering a contract year which might boost his play. With Semi gone, I expect Javonte Green to pick up his minutes, and to be frank, I like that. What scares me the most is finding production off of our bench. Will we sign somebody for low $$? Will we draft somebody to fill in the gaps? With 4 draft picks, I really hope to see those packaged up with some of our young talent to bring in a veteran presence for next season.
My Ideal Scenario:
PG: Kemba
SG: Jaylen Brown
SF: Hayward
PF: Tatum
C: Theis
Bench: Smart, Robert Williams, Grant Williams, _________ <---- trade some of our talent and picks for vets here.

What do you all think? Any trades you think could happen? Free agent targets? Does Kanter stay? Does Hayward stay? I want to see what my fellow fans believe in. Cheers, back to work for now!
submitted by alright_alex to bostonceltics [link] [comments]

Capela Trade Speculation

We should probably make a stickied thread at some point, because the next few days are going to be rife with suggestions and discussion regarding what should happen with Clint.
I want to at least put some of my thoughts together into one place on this, and I welcome any discussion on it (although I'll surely go to sleep soon).
To begin let me say that I have been one of Clint's biggest supporters on this sub going back to 2016 (in my previous jollyswagman incarnation). I just knew he was going to work out perfectly once Dwight walked and defended him staunchly through the sort of rocky early days, so a couple years later when he averaged about 14/11 and led the league in FG%, I felt incredibly proud of his impressive progress. But last year was a warning to me. Despite finally pulling his minutes load over 30, his production rates declined almost across the board. He seemed slower and less motivated after he finally got a pay day, and I felt the contentious contract negotiations may have had a negative impact on his confidence. It culminated in me joining the voices that would not have been opposed to trading him last summer, and after a slow start I was mildly disappointed we hadn't used his contract to upgrade at wing. But then he burst out with renewed vigor (I feel as a response to all the calls to possibly trade him) and dropped a series of 20/20 with 4 block games that showed he had another gear that made him absolutely perfect for us. I felt penitent for doubting him... for saying he had already peaked and had nowhere to go but down... because clearly there was another gear to be found.
But that gear didn't stay. It may be the injury issues, but the regression hit. As it does every year when his annual injury comes along. And that is why trading him is not only a possible idea, but a good one. Relying on him for consistent production has become too dangerous, as we learned against the Warriors last playoffs. He has always struggled in particular match-ups (interestingly, he has consistently dominated other ones, and the quality of his opponents' skills seem to not be as important as physical size and strength or scheme). Center is arguably the deepest position in the NBA, with plenty of veteran minimum level guys capable of providing valuable minutes and many of the best centers making single digits of millions (e.g. Lopez last year, Baynes this year, and loads of young guys)... Sadly, Clint is paid less than he wanted and likely deserved based off of market value, yet still more than many of his peers.
Meanwhile, finding quality 3&D wings are the most sought-after and difficult to find assets in the Association. Ever since we let Ariza and Luc walk away, we have been weakened at this critical position. Danuel is nice and Thabo has moments, but depending on them to provide a quality 30+mpg is scary... particularly come the postseason. PJ needs help and thanks to cheap ownership, there are very few avenues to procure it for him. Pj can't play the 4 and the small ball 5, and there is little doubt that we want to play small. So getting another guy like PJ (a clone would be ideal... Like Luc cloned Trev) to help fill those 2 roles is critical to our chances... unless you just want to bet with the House.
We aren't looking to get another center of any similar quality back. It is likely we won't spend more than $4-5M on a replacement 5... If that much, even... don't be surprised if Hartenstein and Chandler serve spot minutes backing up starting center PJ Tucker as of next week.
side note: The recent success is not a large sample, but it is very clear that the spacing our small ball rotations provide for our guards (Russ particularly) optimizes their talents. Clint's ability to catch lobs can be found in some of our other new athletic guys like House, Ben, and Russ (let's not even pay attention to the potential of Isaiah Hartenstein at the moment... Mike certainly doesn't), so we needn't rely on him anymore for that offensive role, which happens to be the only offensive role he is capable of. We need to stretch the floor at every spot if we want to maximize our chances. The only teams that can hurt us badly from a size perspective, the Lakers and Bucks, are not great matchups for undersized Clint to thrive in anyways... We're going to have trouble with them no matter who is at center... so it follows that maximizing our pace and space system to be as effective as possible will give us the best chance to force opponents to play to us. Offensively, our rebounds are long and our guards are elite at grabbing boards. Defensively, we switch so often that our center is not even always near the rim anyways, and when we scheme to have him there, it is to challenge the shot, often meaning Clint can't get the rebound even if he forces the miss. We may get out rebounded horribly, but even that is not necessarily a death knell for our chances, as long as we have defensive 'toughness' in the front court..
So halftime TLDR; we NEED to better use that $16.5-18.5M (who even knows?! aggravating when dealing with a tight budget) on the rarer asset... a quality 3&D big if we can find an opportunity.
Now maybe that opportunity won't come to fruition, but we already know that there are guys that can fill that role that are available and being shopped. The most interesting candidates being Robert Covington, Aaron Gordon, and Andre Iguodala. Marcus Morris could be on the list, but there is talk of him wanting to stay in New York, and he has a literal clone at a fraction of the price who could be gotten for a couple vet min guys and a first (a trade I'd love to see us make even if we also move Capela for a more elite defensive wing). There are a lot of other big forwards whose names come up due to their outside shooting (Love, Bjelica, Bertrans, etc), but if we are going to let Clint go, it seems to me as if it's imperative that the wing we acquire should have a defense-first vibe. As long as he can shoot around 34% in the corner, shooting is not the priority (it almost never is, it seems).
None of those teams (MINN, ORL, MEM) really need a center, though, hence why the reports of a multi-team trade are getting leaked, Morey is calling around. He certainly knows what it will take to get RoCo or Iggy (Gordon is more of a mystery), and the deadline is coming up, so these leaks show me that things have gotten to a very serious point... triggers are ready to be pulled as soon as the best possible 3rd team is located... there is possibly even a potential deal already in place and this is the last-minute check around the league to make sure nothing better exists. If Morey weren't considering these guys an upgrade that he is ready to make, he wouldn't be searching so hard for the missing piece to make it happen.
Since Capela is the salary we are sending out, we certainly shouldn't need to add picks to get guys like RoCo and Iggy... we just need to change Clint into scraps and picks that are more appealing. Gordon is harder to gauge a price for, particularly as his stock is at a low point right now (although Orlando likely won't want to trade him for a price that matches his currently low level). We haven't had a reported interest in him, but I'd hope we would still pursue him, even to the tune of adding our first to Capela (particularly if we could find a way to wrap a cheap but decent center into the deal).
That's why a team like Atlanta, who is searching for a center, is in the conversation. They have bad salary, they have good prospects, and they have loads of different types of picks. Not to mention they are totally non-competitive at the moment. They are a perfect third team for any number of possible trades.
Orlando would likely move on from Aaron for a couple firsts (ours and Brooklyn's via the Hawks) and a prospect like Huerter added to Teague or Turner's salary... But I really have no idea if that type of deal is on the table. They may want more solid young prospects instead, and Atlanta probably would not be willing to part with too many of those. They like their young guys and want to add a young center (Clint) to play with them... not in place of them. But its okay, because we absolutely aren't looking to get Reddish or Hunter or any of their guys... we want their first round pick (or at least the Brooklyn pick with a prospect).
Minnesota is out of it, taking on a bad contract at this point is no big deal. They want a good first for RoCo if possible, or maybe a good prospect and a middling first... either of which could be gotten from Atlanta for Capela. Of course Atlanta could always get Drummond for a slightly cheaper trade cost, but it would require giving him a very large contract, whereas Clint is locked up on a good deal for a few more years.
Memphis is not as good a fit with Woj's Hawks report as we could simply give them our first and literally any other team's garbage salary to acquire Iggy... And here is where things get interesting regarding the Iggy possibility.
If we send out Clint's salary and our own first to get Iggy, we would also get whatever draft capital comes back from a third team who is getting Capela for random, non-rotation guys. It certainly could be something as good as Atlanta's first next summer (I believe Capela is worth more than the Nets pick in a bad draft)... but since a good first next summer isn't what we really need, it could also be that Morey tries to cover the Westbrook trade by getting their firsts in 2024 and 2026 (at which point they surely hope to be playoff contenders). This would restore our future flexibility to make trades down the road in exchange for the very short-term nature of acquiring an aging Iggy. I don't want Iggy (and he doesn't want to be here), but if it keeps him away from the LA teams, it may be worth it. His defense against a guy like LeBron or Giannis would be more useful than Capela's, while allowing us to play 5-out. I can absolutely see how it could be considered a "win-now" upgrade that also fixes up our future flexibility a bit better... and we'd still have this year's first and min contracts to get a 'true' center replacement or another big wing like Kieff if desired.
Part 2 TLDR: We need a big 3&D guy with an emphasis on the D, and he has to be seen as an upgrade to Clint Capela to make it worthwhile in our current 'win-now' situation. AarGordon, RoCO, and Iggy fill the bill best, and Atlanta is a good third team to make any number of potential trades with those teams work out.
Fwiw, I think that between the Gersson connection and the known pursuit of Covington, this is the most likely scenario, and I half expect it to get announced in the next few days.
But who else am I missing? What other targets do you speculate are in our sights?
submitted by FarWestEros to rockets [link] [comments]

My Personal Addiction Story

My Personal Addiction Story
I had legitimately quit sports betting three weeks ago. Since I began sports betting in September of 2019, I had used my love for data - and the over-confidence in my ability to interpret it - to make my bets. Simply put, most systems don’t work in betting, because no matter what system you develop, Vegas is one step ahead of you. While betting on sports, I would lose, and lose, and lose - week after week. The most I was ever down - prior to my meltdown this weekend - was $1,000. My deficit touched $900 about three times in my two months betting on sports, and three times I had hit a huge bet to cover my losses. After each of these huge bets, I always swore to myself, and to God, that I would take the money and never gamble again.
The last of the three recouping bets was a $1250 bet with a payout of $2400. I used a simple averages system to make a pick on the under of an NBA game. After I sweat my bet out, and thankfully watched it hit, I was up $350 overall. For someone who hits their bets at about 22%, being up was a relief. I truly hit my “50-50” bets, which are always single bets (never parlays), at a clip lower than 25%.
Prior to this massive bet, I deleted all of my spreadsheets and un-bookmarked all betting sites. I had spent hours and hours on these spreadsheets, but I needed to delete them to remove the urge to continue my addiction. This was the second time I had tried to quit, and I felt that it was going to be easy to do with Thanksgiving Break coming up. You can’t legally bet on sports in Colorado, nor can you access online betting accounts.
After my connecting flight landed in Atlanta, I found myself sitting in the terminal, scrolling through Twitter. I saw a tweet from a man named Todd Fuhrman, retweeted by a betting account I followed. Shoot, I had forgotten to unfollow and/or block these accounts. The tweet read:

https://preview.redd.it/xa03brsa0y341.png?width=664&format=png&auto=webp&s=822244438ed97cc024dbf304a16429aa4b4a48af
As a senior in college, I was excited about my job search, and I had been attempting to land sports statistics jobs for the past three weeks, applying at over 20 different organizations. This ‘US Sports Trader’ position in Las Vegas included setting accurate betting lines and monitoring account activity. It was all numbers, and I was a quantitative thinker. This seemed like a huge opportunity to me. To be able to dominate in your career and love what you do… well, that is the dream.
I immediately emailed Mr. Khalili, my ‘potential new boss,’ directly and shut off my phone, ready to hop on my second and final flight of the night. The next afternoon, I received a response from Mr. Khalili, who proposed we set up an interview for the following week. Knowing that I would need to be prepared for the interview, I began to gather data and re-construct my betting spreadsheets. I felt sick to my stomach in doing so. I knew that this was dangerous, but I would never allow myself to come unprepared for a job interview. Besides, if I landed this position, I would be working on the other side of the ticket.
My interview went well, despite a minor hiccup at the end. Mr. Khalili said that he would love to have another discussion within the next month, and that his boss would be included in our next conversation. Wanting to be more prepared, I began obsessing over the details of my spreadsheets. I wanted everything to be accurate, precise, and most of all - impressive. The problem with keeping these spreadsheets, is that for someone like me, you start to recognize trends. I began seeing more and more trends, and I just couldn’t help myself. I wrote down some mock-bets for the following week’s NFL card. I did well that week. Really well. I had never done that well when betting real money.
When I flew back to Philadelphia the following Sunday, I knew that I had fallen back into the trap. I was eager to create an online sports-betting account; the kind my friends and roommates raved about and bet through daily. By having an online account, I wouldn’t have to bike five miles to and from the casino every time I wanted to place a bet. I set up my account that night, and even put some smaller bets down on the lines I liked the most.
See, my new system was to target bad-weather games. In the NFL, when a game has horrible weather, it typically hits the under. The oveunder, for those of you who have never bet on sports, refers to the number of total combined points amassed between the two teams at the end of a game/match. Being overly-confident in my assumptions, I thought this system was fool-proof. As it turns out, it was just as pathetic as the five or six other algorithms I had previously tried to employ.
I looked at the upcoming NFL games all week, but the forecast predicted good weather for practically every Sunday game. I was supposed to be studying for my finals, but instead I was looking at betting lines. I got impatient. I started looking at each of the upcoming college games. The PAC12 Championship would be played in Santa Clara on Friday night, and unrelenting, heavy rain was supposed to pound the city all afternoon. I put $500 down on the under (45.5) and began to get excited about the prospect of “easy money.”
When Friday rolled around, I again checked the forecast for the game. All of a sudden, the rain, which was supposed to begin at 1pm and continue through the next morning, was forecasted to begin at 7pm PT, one hour after game time. I began to get nervous. Historically, I am a very unlucky/unskilled bettor. At a rate of 22% on single bets, it doesn’t take a genius to know that the ’50-50’ odds associated with the type of bets I placed, rarely seem to fall in my favor.
Nonetheless, the game would be impacted for the remaining two hours, so the under still seemed like a smart play. The game began, and the entire first quarter passed without a rain drop in sight. I felt lucky that the total combined score was only 10 after this quarter - still on track, I thought. Light rain fell in the second quarter, but stopped almost as soon as it started. The game went into the half at 20 total points - still on pace to be under 45.5. I nervously looked at the forecast for Santa Clara again. To my disappointment, the forecast now projected an hour of cloudy skies with no rain. The Ducks and Utes combined for 18 points in the third quarter, and I now had only a 7-point buffer heading into the final 15 minutes.
The fourth quarter began, and the rain sprinkled ever-so-softly. The rain was so light that it had absolutely no impact on the game. Halfway through the fourth quarter, Oregon’s running back drilled a 70 yard touchdown run into the end zone, and the total score was now at 45, half a point under my safety net. Time passed, and the rain continued to stay away from Levi Stadium. With only two minutes left in the game, and Oregon at the Ute’s 30 yard-line, all they needed to do to run the clock out was get a first down. Their halfback got the first down. In fact, he got the first down and ran all the way into the endzone, scoring another six points and putting the total over 45.5. I had lost. $500 was gone in that instant.
I went to bed that night as I always did after losing a large amount of money on sports-betting, feeling pathetic. The feeling you get from losing, or at least the one I get, is far more impactful than the feeling I get from winning. I was depressed. See, I’m not good at losing. One of my worst qualities, next to my lack of patience, is my inability to accept a loss. More specifically, I really couldn’t handle financial losses. I overvalued, and still do, my financial worth. I have come to realize that I make my financial value synonymous to my self-worth. Needless to say, I had an impossible time accepting a financial loss due ignorant confidence.
Two years prior, I had blown through my entire savings ($15,000) in the cryptocurrency market, which crashed two months after I began investing. Losing all the money I had made in the previous year - working so, so hard - threw me into a deep depression. My grades suffered, my mental health suffered, and I stopped taking care of myself. As someone who is very private about their shortcomings and issues, I kept my depression to myself. This is a topic for another time, but it serves as a reminder of how ignorant financial decisions can impact the more important aspects of my/your life.
Following my gambling loss this past Friday night, I sadly looked for another game that would be impacted by the same system. It was supposed to rain, uninterrupted, in Sacramento for the entire weekend. I put $600 down on the under in Sacramento the next day. IT WAS SUPPOSED TO POUR, WITHOUT INTERMISSION, FOR THE ENTIRE GAME.
The game rolled around the next night, and yet again the weather turned out of my favor. In fact, I got so unlucky with the rain that a four-hour dry period popped up right at the start of game-time. It rained for three hours before the game and for many, many hours immediately after the game. It probably goes without saying, but I watched both teams score… and score… and score. I lost the bet.
This time, that pathetic, self-deprecating feeling hit twice as hard. I couldn’t stand to go to bed like this, and so I bet what was left in my account ($750) on a live NBA bet. I bet on another under, thinking the team that was leading by 20 points would run some clock at the end of the game. I was wrong. After placing my bet, I sat there and watched them score… and score… and score. I had lost again - $1850 in a 24-hour period.
I have never been down that much money. I am blessed to have discovered a bountiful (legal) source of income, so it’s not money that I couldn’t afford to lose. But $1850 to a strong majority of people, including myself, is still a lot of money to lose in a 24 hour period - especially when its doing something as silly as betting on sports (something I had sworn off just three weeks prior). $1850 may not seem like an addiction to most of you, but I have been unsuccessfully battling an attempt to quit gambling for the past two months. It’s not about the amount. It’s about how aggressively it impacts the rest of my life.
After this third and final loss, I was so upset with myself. I sat in silence for three hours and watched gambling addiction testimonials. I didn’t even sleep that night. Instead, I decided to write my own gambling addiction testimonial, the one you’re reading right now. I have a problem. It’s hard for me to admit when I have a problem, but it’s harder to ignore it when it slaps you in the face (like sports-betting has done to me). As a believer in God, I am taking this as a lesson from Him and an opportunity to learn from my mistakes. At the time of this article, I have now closed my account, unfollowed and blocked all betting accounts/sites, and deleted all of my statistical spreadsheets.
I never want to feel this way again. My grades have suffered. My physical and mental health has suffered. The one thing I value so much – productivity – has been relatively absent in my life over the past three months. I can’t get those three months back, but I can certainly decide to stop this perpetual problem right now… and so that’s what I will do. I will be willing to accept this loss in order to move forward with my life, and I couldn’t be more excited to do so.
submitted by JH685 to problemgambling [link] [comments]

3/02 Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!

3/02 Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!
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Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Exclusive Releases & Red Alert Free Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! Baseball is almost back and MAC has a lean on the Philadelphia Phillies +110 vs Atlanta Braves -130 6:00 Spring Training game + 2 Basketball MAC ATTACK Picks and some look ahead Exclusive MMA Releases today! March Madness is getting closer and MAC has been the man to go to for brackets, bust open your office pools and take all you're dorky co-workers cash with professional top rated March Madness Picks and Vegas tournament grade CBB bracket.
**PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2)
CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (7:00 NC State +12.5 vs Duke -12.5)
CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (8:30 Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Prairie View A&M Panthers)
Special Release Plays
NHL MAJOR MOVE (MAR 02) - (7:38 Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings)
NCAAB BACKROOM INFO (MAR 02) - (7:30 MD Eastern Shore +2 vs Howard -2)
CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY (MAR 02) - (9:00 Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5)

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**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\*
**Build your own personal player prop-parlay at MyBookie*\*
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (MAR 02) - (MLB - Philadelphia Phillies +110 vs CBB - Duke -12.5)
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**EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES*\*
EXCLUSIVE GOLF EASY MONEY - ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL (MAR 05) - (Hideki Matsuyama +2000)
EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC 248 (MAR 07) - (Joanna Jedrzejczyk +159)
EXCLUSIVE F-1 EASY MONEY - F-1 DRIVERS CHAMPIONSHIP (MAR 12) - (Max Verstappen +500)
submitted by TheMACSPicks to nbabetting [link] [comments]

[OC] The L.A. Clippers may be the best team in the league right now, but they may not be a "super team" quite yet

Ever since the shocking news about Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, the Los Angeles Clippers have emerged as the betting favorite in Vegas to win the 2019-20 title. And they genuinely may be. They should be a great team. However, there are some signs that the hype may be slightly overboard based on a few factors outlined here.
overachievement in 2018-19
This past season, the L.A. Clippers went 48-34, an incredible record given the expectations. However, there are certain advanced stats that suggest that the "48" win total may have been an overachievement.
Among them: the Clippers had a +0.8 point differential on the year, which is a good mark but one that's below standard for a team in their 48-win range. To illustrate, the 49-win Boston Celtics had a +4.4 differential, the 49-win Oklahoma City Thunder were +3.4, the 48-win Indiana Pacers registered +3.3., and the 48-win San Antonio Spurs logged +1.7.
The Western Conference is tougher than the East, but even if we make that adjustment, the Clippers overachieved. SRS (Simple Rating System) is a stat that adjusts for schedule. By that metric, the Clippers had a rating of +1.09, 13th in the NBA. Again, that falls behind teams in their win range like the Celtics (+3.9), Thunder (+3.5), Pacers (+2.8), and Spurs (+1.8).
Given all that, it's no surprise that "expected W-L record" claims the Clippers should have gone 43-39 given their advanced stat performance. Realistically, 44-45 wins feels like a reasonable outcome for last year's squad.
a for(e)ward to this year
The Clippers are going to trot out a wing combination of Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, which may be one of the best in recent memory. I'm extremely excited to see how those two do on the defensive end; they may be the best pair of defensive wings since Michael Jordan and Scottie Pippen.
That said, let's not underestimate the performance of the Clippers' previous forwards, Tobias Harris and Danilo Gallinari. Both are good players, who happened to have extraordinary years for the Clips last year. In the 55 games prior to his trade, Tobias Harris shot 43.4% from beyond the arc. In his 68 games played, Danilo Gallinari shot 43.3% from three himself. Those are blazing hot numbers, even when judged through the context of two good shooters (their career averages are 36.4% and 37.6%, respectively.)
Obviously, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George will be clear improvements at forward, but the question becomes a matter of: how much?
If you trust ESPN's "wins added" stat, then Kawhi + PG would have added your team +28.2 wins last year. Now, again, that comes with the caveat about the accuracy of this stat. It relies heavily on RPM, which largely feels fair but does have some outliers. The stat loved Paul George's defensive impact (+3.1 in RPM) and hasn't charted Kawhi Leonard as an elite regular season defender in some time (only +0.02 last year.) The truth is probably somewhere in between; Leonard didn't play like a shutdown defender all year long, but he's obviously a good defender anyway.
Of course, we can't simply take the Clippers win total and add +28, because we're losing two good forwards in the process. Tobias Harris and Danilo Gallinari would have combined for +17.4 wins last year. Overall, they're suggesting that this upgrade is good for about +10/11 wins.
Rather than debate the accuracy of these stats, the purpose is merely to suggest that the Clippers' forwards (a red-hot half-season of Tobias Harris and a healthy Danilo Gallinari) aren't anything to scoff at.
watering down the Sweet Lou
If you want to boil down the Clippers' surprising success last season, you can credit a few factors. However, the primary one may have been the stellar bench play of Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell. Williams, in particular, has thrived in his current role off the bench. The production per minute is staggering. He averaged 20.0 points and 5.4 assists in only 26.6 minutes a night.
However, it's difficult to see Williams playing the exact same role again. Effectively, he was the Clippers' lead option every minute he played. With Kawhi Leonard and Paul George, he's going to have to play some more complementary basketball.
The big concern in that regard would be whether Williams can be as effective without the ball in his hands. As a pure three point shooter and spacer, he's good but not any great shakes (36% last year, 34.9% for his career.) Where Williams truly thrives is attacking the basket. He averaged 6.5 free throw attempts per game (hitting 88% at the stripe). If he's functioning more as a third option, that number would presumably go down.
Taking the ball out of Williams' hands may also highlight his issues on defense. Last season, he graded as an atrocious defender (-3.5 on RPM). He made up with that with his offense (+3.5), but if his offensive is more limited, that may be problematic.
buying high on superstars
After helping to bring a title to Toronto, Kawhi Leonard's stock and reputation may be at an all-time high. Right now, a huge percentage of community members here consider him the best player in the entire NBA.
He may indeed be that -- when he's healthy.
Unfortunately, the "when healthy" is an important caveat. Leonard's durability concerns date back further than his load management this year, and his prior injury in San Antonio.
Through the course of his NBA career, Leonard has played in 73% of his regular season games, a pace that projects to 60/82 games played per year. Even prior to his big Zaza Pachulia injury, he only played 70+ of his games 3 of his 6 seasons. Going forward, it will be interesting to see how much the Clippers can afford to manage his minutes and games in the West. Given their long-term commitment to Leonard (and their loss of picks) they would be wise to be prudent there. Projecting Leonard to play about 70 games this regular season feels like a fair oveunder in that regard.
Meanwhile, Leonard's new partner in crime Paul George is also coming off a highwater mark this past year in terms of his public value. With George, I'm less concerned with his durability or shoulder issues (he's played 75+ in each of the last four seasons). However, I'm slightly concerned that we may be judging him based on a career year. This season, Paul George averaged 28.0 points per game. Prior to that, his career high was only 23.7. This season, he finished 3rd in MVP voting. Prior to that, he only cracked the MVP ballot one time (finishing 9th in 2013-14).
Now, there are a few explanations for Paul George's career year that may depend on the eye of the beholder. If you're an optimist, you'd suggest that he's fully recovered from his broken leg and firmly in his prime. If you're a pessimist, you may argue that George simply got hotter than he ever has before (especially in the beginning of the year), and may have benefited from Russell Westbrook's madcap attacking+passing ability. As always, the truth is usually somewhere in between. I expect George to be a great player again, but counting on him to have a top 3 season would be generous. In an average year, he's probably a 2nd team All-NBA player.
overall expectations
There are a thousand other factors that go into a "win total" projection that we don't have time to dig into. And some of those aren't negative at all. For example, the fact that Lou Williams can carry an offense on his own when given the opportunity actually provides the Clippers a nice safety net in the event that Kawhi Leonard or Paul George misses time. Given that, the Clippers' "floor" is still quite high. Even if you expect some missed time and some shooting regression, this team should easily win 50+ games.
Overall, I would pencil in 56-60 wins for this Clippers team. That's higher than some other advanced sites (FiveThirtyEight has them at 54), but lower than most fans may suggest at the moment.
However, the Clippers fans should get excited when the lights come on and "playoff mode" gets activated. With extra rest between games, Kawhi Leonard should be more effective than ever, and potentially push this team over the top and to the title. That said, I would not label this a "super team" that's going to walk to that title. There are a bunch of very good teams in the league (particularly out West) that will have a puncher's chance to win it all themselves and aren’t far behind at all. The Clippers may still be at the top of that pack, but it's going to be a dog fight all the way through.
submitted by ZandrickEllison to nba [link] [comments]

Tonight's NCAAB Hush Money Play - NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6 - (Another quiet game + A telling line = CBB CASH $)

Tonight's NCAAB Hush Money Play - NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6 - (Another quiet game + A telling line = CBB CASH $)

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(MAR 07) MAC DID THE CRUSHING LAST NIGHT - TONIGHT MAC HAS 2 SPECIAL RELEASE PLAYS + 3 RED ALERT PLAYS - ACTION STARTS @ 6:00!
Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure as he will cracking them open and cleaning them out with 3 Red Alerts Picks Tonight! Roland is anticipating a huge CBB day, and Red Alerts Picks are cash in the bank making interest!
Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country. There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise!
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6:00 - NCAAB Hush Money NO. Colorado Bears vs Montana State Bobcats
Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Seawolves, Gaels, River Hawks, & Governors has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game out of the public eye that will produce the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in on MAC's CBB Major Move Alert on San Francisco -3 vs Pacific +3, plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball & NBA Predictions.
THE MAC HAS CBB GAME RED ALERT PLAY - 7:00 - Albany NY +7.5 vs Stony Brook -7.5 a highly anticipated CBB Game - Another Big 15 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats - MAC has been hitting the CBB Action hard and averaging around 72% this year for our CBB betting members.
Great Danes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Great Danes are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Seawolves are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Seawolves are 16-5-2 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up loss.
College Basketball Season is how we're making money, with dozens of games going off it's not easy for the average bettor to find a decent game to bet on, that's what RedAlertWagers.com is here for, we hit the angles and have the resources. Our Sports Consensus Groups are now focused on March Madness and we will be picking off NBA & NHL special release plays as we go! RedAlertWagers.com sports betting predictions are going the distance and there is no finish line!!
!!TOP RATED PREMIUM PLAYS!!
\*PREMIUM PLAYS*\**
Special Release Plays: 25 UNITS
6:00 - NCAAB Hush Money NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6
10:00 - CBB Major Move Alert San Francisco -3 vs Pacific +3
Red Alert Plays: 25 UNITS
7:00 - Albany NY +7.5 vs Stony Brook -7.5
8:00 - St. Bonaventure +5 vs Saint Louis -5
11:00 - Stanford +7.5 vs Oregon -7.5
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
CBB MAC ATTACK PICK (MAR 07) - (Murray State +3)
CBB MAC ATTACK PICK (MAR 07) - (Cincinnati -10.5)
CBB MAC ATTACK PLAY (MAR 07) - (Massachusetts +3)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\*
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (MAR 07) - (NBA - Detroit Pistons +8 + CBB - Massachusetts +3)
FREE PLAYER PROP PARLAY (MAR 07) - (NBA + CBB - James Harden [email protected] will have more total rebounds than Damian Lillard [email protected] Braxton Key [email protected] +110) - MyBookie Player Prop Maker
**EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES*\*
EXCLUSIVE GOLF EASY MONEY - ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL (MAR 05) - (Hideki Matsuyama +2000)
EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC 248 (MAR 07) - (Joanna Jedrzejczyk +159)
EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC 248 (MAR 07) - (Yoel Romero - Ko, Tko, Dq Or Submission +250)
EXCLUSIVE F-1 EASY MONEY - F-1 DRIVERS CHAMPIONSHIP (MAR 12) - (Max Verstappen +500)
submitted by OpenVisionZ to SportsReport [link] [comments]

Another bet the sub might like to get behind (FIBA World Cup 2019)

After our incredible journey on the 5 day cricket test match, I would completely understand if you didn't want to put yourself through the emotional rollercoaster again. I wouldn't post on here unless I had done some research and determined that I really liked this bet. I'll preface the write-up by saying that this is no "lock of the century," but I do think the bookies have underrated this severely. I will explain my reasoning below.

Format:
(1) The pick
(2) The odds + bookmakers
(3) Reasons why this bet could LOSE
(4) Reasons why I really like this bet
(5) TLDR

(1)
Giannis Antetokounmpo to lead the 2019 FIBA World in total points scored

(2)
I got in at 5.00 (decimal)/ +400 American on Bet365, however, regrettably this has gone down to 4.5/ +350.
On other Aussie bookmakers, you can fetch:
I'm sure my international friends can find comparable odds at your respective betting sites.

(3)
It's always important to consider how the bet can fall apart. Only considering the positives lends itself to making biased decisions, nit-picking only the information which helps your argument. So, here's where things can go wrong:

(4)
These are the reasons why I think this bet is tremendous value, with the final point being the real kicker.
(5)
TLDR: Bet on Giannis Antetokounmpo to lead the 2019 FIBA World in total points scored at odds of about 4.5/ +350 because the changed format means that it is very likely Greece will play the maximum of 8 games, and if that comes to fruition, Giannis will be the overwhelming favourite to outscore everyone else.

EDIT: There is also a classification round for teams 9-16 and 17-32, but I do not know if these games will count towards the official tournament statistics. If they do, then I think this bet is even better, but I am not relying on it. If anyone knows the answer I'm keen to hear.
submitted by youngbuckman to sportsbook [link] [comments]

MAC GOES 3-0 ON MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS & WINS ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY ON HIGH POINT!

MAC GOES 3-0 ON MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS & WINS ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY ON HIGH POINT!

MAC GOES 3-0 ON MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS & WINS ANOTHER CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY ON HIGH POINT!


MyBookie Promo Code \"THEMAC\"
(FEB 07) Friday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!
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Winning another CBB Hush Money Play on High Point +2 & College Hoops Red Alert Pick on Cal +16 is just what Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman does. Team R.A.W. has been delivering as promised, our action in College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 71% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. The MAC places high roller bets with the composure of a 4 star General, losing isn't a option this Friday!
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THE ROARIN MAC BREAKS A 2020 PATREON BANKROLL RECORD!!
Finishing the week with a chunky profit (+194 UNITS) The MAC has been imposing his will this College Basketball season, NBA Picks have been making odds makers look silly!
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL HUSH MONEY PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR!! - LAST NIGHT'S HUSH MONEY PLAY GOT IT DONE THE RIGHT WAY - NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 06) - (HIGH POINT +2)
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(FEB 07) BANKROLL PLAYER SYSTEM PLAYS
The Mac also applies a disciplined money management system to his game - (FEB 03 - 09)
Weekly Bankroll:
(FEB 03 - 09) - DAY 5 FRIDAY BANKROLL TOTAL: 0 UNITS
(FEB 07) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 56 UNITS
LAST WEEKS RESULTS:
(JAN 27 - FEB 02) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +146 UNITS
(JAN 20 -26) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +194 UNITS
(JAN 13 -19) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +41 UNITS
(JAN 06 -12) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +143 UNITS
(DEC 30 - JAN 05) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +124 UNITS
(DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +27 UNITS
**PATREON TOP RATED EXCLUSIVE PLAYS*\*
NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 07) - (DARTMOUTH +4 vs BROWN -4)
NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY (FEB 07) - (IONA +5.5 vs QUINNIPIAC -5.5)
NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (FEB 07) - (CENTRAL MICHIGAN +5.5 vs BUFFALO -5.5)
NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 07) - (TORONTO RAPTORS -1 vs INDIANA PACERS +1)
NBA LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 07) - (HOUSTON ROCKETS -3 vs PHOENIX SUNS +3)
NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 07) - (MARYLAND +3 vs ILLINOIS -3)
**PATREON PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
NBA RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 07) - (PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS +9.5 vs UTAH JAZZ -9.5)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 07) - (HARVARD +6 vs YALE -6)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 07) - (DARTMOUTH +4 vs BROWN -4)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 07) - (PENNSYLVANIA -6 vs COLUMBIA +6)
NHL RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 07) - (MINNESOTA WILD vs DALLAS STARS)
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
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NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 07) - (QUINNIPIAC -5.5) - MyBookie 50% Bonus
NHL MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 07) - (RED WINGS vs BLUE JACKETS UNDER 5.5)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\*
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY (FEB 07) - (PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS +9.5 X PHOENIX SUNS +3)
!!EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES!!
EXCLUSIVE UFC 247 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (FEB 08) - (DOMINICK REYES +330)
EXCLUSIVE UFC 247 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (FEB 08) - (TREVIN GILES -160)
EXCLUSIVE PEBBLE BEACH PRO AM PICK (FEB 06) - (PAUL CASEY +2000)
submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

(FEB 08) Saturday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!

(FEB 08) Saturday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!
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THE MAC GOES 10-2 LAST NIGHT - IT'S JUST WHAT WE DO! - COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS ARE STUCK IN A INFERNO!
This is just what Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman does. Team R.A.W. has been delivering as promised, our action in College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 71% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. The MAC places high roller bets with the composure of a 4 star General, losing isn't a option this Saturday!
There is no stopping this Ferris Wheel once it starts rolling, it just keeps rolling!! Free MAC Attack Picks have been in the green going 2-1 last night & MAC is placing a Exclusive Wager on UFC 247 DOMINICK REYES +370 vs JON JONES!
Premium NHL Releases have been exceeding expectations, and after last night's NHL RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 07) - MINNESOTA WILD +170 "WE ARE PLAYING WITH HOUSE MONEY" and guess what? IT'S YOUR OWN FAULT IF YOU DIDN'T RIDE WITH THE MAC!
The Bankroll Players Access Bets exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail!
THE ROARIN MAC BREAKS A 2020 PATREON BANKROLL RECORD!!
Finishing the week with a chunky profit (+194 UNITS) The MAC has been imposing his will this College Basketball season, NBA Picks have been making odds makers look silly!
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL HUSH MONEY PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR!! - LAST NIGHT'S HUSH MONEY PLAY GOT IT DONE THE RIGHT WAY - NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 07) - (BROWN -4) - XBet.ag $300 Sportsbook Bonus
MAC is rolling the dice like they're loaded, tonight's action is playing the small 85 Units in College Hoops & the NBA! MAC's NEW 2020 Bank Roll Record is @ +194 Units and has been in the green for 6 weeks in a row!! RedAlertWagers.com is running a Special Patreon Deal - $125 1 Month of MAC'S personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman ROAR - Join Now - $125 Bankroll Players Tier
(FEB 08) BANKROLL PLAYER SYSTEM PLAYS
The Mac also applies a disciplined money management system to his game - (FEB 03 - 09)
Weekly Bankroll: (FEB 03 - 09) - DAY 6 SATURDAY BANKROLL TOTAL: 56 UNITS (FEB 08) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 85 UNITS
LAST WEEKS RESULTS: (JAN 27 - FEB 02) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +146 UNITS (JAN 20 -26) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +194 UNITS (JAN 13 -19) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +41 UNITS (JAN 06 -12) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +143 UNITS (DEC 30 - JAN 05) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +124 UNITS (DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +27 UNITS
The MAC will be collecting not paying this week, disciplined money management allowed us to walk away with a briefcase and this week will be no different. Making the right wager just is, if not more important than, picking the right team.
The RedAlertWagers.com Bankroll Player System is designed for sustainable betting, the name of the game is never chase losses, never wager more than you can lose, and the #1 Rule is Strict Bankroll Discipline! The risk of gambling is a RISK and there are no guaranteed winners, there is inside information, there's shifty players, crooked refs, and everything in between, but there is never a guarantee when placing a bet, our Bankroll Player System mitigates your bankroll risk and makes it possible to lose a few games and still be able to bet the next winner!
They have unsuccessfully tried to shut down The MAC's action in the past, well known sportsbooks have tried to deny his pay outs, they have attempted to mute his top rated sports betting info in media outlets like ESPN Radio, Fox, CBS, Sirius, etc, and McGuillaman is wise to many other contentious displays of jealousy!
The MAC has no mercy for short sighted retrograde middle men and these new age social media oddsmaker yuppies!! The MAC'S consensus groups span the nation, today our Chicago Sports Division has a full card for The MAC'S Red Pass Customers, Patreon Members and High Profile Clients. The RedAlertWagers.com National Consensus groups have been tapping sources, vetting information, and we will be ready for the March Madness!
Join the Patreon.com/MACSPICKS - Starting @ $7 a month for Premium Red Alert Picks - Or take a 1 day ride with our Instant Access Red Pass - (1 Day Red Pass: $14.99)
**PATREON TOP RATED EXCLUSIVE PLAYS*\*
NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 08) - (OREGON -3 vs OREGON STATE +3) NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY (FEB 08) - (DUKE -7.5 vs NORTH CAROLINA +7.5) NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (FEB 08) - (CALIFORNIA +8.5 vs UTAH -8.5) NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 08) - (TEXAS TECH -2.5 vs TEXAS +2.5) NHL BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (FEB 08) - (LOS ANGELES KINGS +105 vs NEW JERSEY DEVILS -125) NBA LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 08) - (SAN ANTONIO SPURS -2.5 vs SACRAMENTO KINGS +2.5)
**PATREON PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 08) - (ST. BONAVENTURE +4 vs DUQUESNE -4) NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 08) - (NORTHEASTERN +3.5 vs HOFSTRA -3.5) NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 08) - (PEPPERDINE +3 vs PACIFIC -3) NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 08) - (STANFORD +8.5 vs COLORADO -8.5) NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 08) - (SAN JOSE STATE +15.5 vs NEVADA -15.5)
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\* NBA MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 08) - (LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -8.5) NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 08) - (PEPPERDINE +3) NBA MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 08) - (SACRAMENTO KINGS +2.5)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\* FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY (FEB 08) - (SACRAMENTO KINGS +2.5 X TORONTO RAPTORS -6)
!!EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES!!
EXCLUSIVE UFC 247 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (FEB 08) - (DOMINICK REYES +330) EXCLUSIVE UFC 247 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (FEB 08) - (TREVIN GILES -160) EXCLUSIVE PEBBLE BEACH PRO AM PICK (FEB 06) - (PAUL CASEY +2000)
#BetOnMarchMadness #PointSpreadExplained #HowToReadAPointSpread #HowToBetOnSportsInVegas #SuperBowlLineVegas #ATSPICKS #AgainstTheSpread #CasinoBonus #CollegeBasketball #CollegeHoops
submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

Sports Betting Newsletter - College Basketball, NBA Picks & NHL Plays TONIGHT!

Sports Betting Newsletter - College Basketball, NBA Picks & NHL Plays TONIGHT!
Sports Betting Newsletter - College Basketball, NBA Picks & NHL Plays TONIGHT!
Daily Free MAC ATTACK Plays Below!
Website: RedAlertWagers.com Contact: [email protected] Become a Member - Join The Patreon - $7 Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS! Follow The MAC on Social Media: Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks MAC Media: The Reddit Sports Report The Red Alert Report The MAC'S Instant Access Plays: 1 Day Only Access RED PASS: $14.99 Pay By Phone: Call The Red Line & Follow Automated Instructions (Payments Processed via © Stripe)
https://preview.redd.it/4hal4smd9kg41.jpg?width=809&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=fd46277156def8999977a427fc67c85ac30ca6e9

TONIGHT - NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 12) - (HOUSTON BAPTIST +15.5 vs ABILENE CHRISTIAN -15.5) - IT'S JUST WHAT WE DO! - COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS ARE STUCK IN A BLAZING INFERNO!

Special Release Picks go 2-1, Winning another NCAAB Major Move Alert on NC STATE +5.5 & MAC'S Premium Red Alert Picks making ripples on Patreon, this is just what Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman does. Team R.A.W. has been delivering as promised, our top rated action in College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 71% with Top Rated & Special Release Picks, imposing our will this 2020 NCAAB Season with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. The MAC places high roller bets with the composure of a 4 star General, losing isn't a option this Wednesday!
Top Rated NBA Releases have been exceeding expectations, and after last night's NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAY (FEB 11) - NC STATE +5.5 "WE ARE PLAYING WITH HOUSE MONEY" and guess what? IT'S YOUR OWN FAULT IF YOU DIDN'T RIDE WITH THE MAC! The Bankroll Players Access exhibits why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL HUSH MONEY PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR!! - TONIGHT'S SPECIAL RELEASE NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY (FEB 12) - (VMI +8.5 vs CHATTANOOGA -8.5) - Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Broncos, Cowboys, Gaels, River Hawks, & Governors has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game out of the public eye that will produce the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos!
Top Rated Special Release Plays by Red Alert Wagers SS Consensus groups were impressive this Football Season, our NFL Major Move Alerts and Back Room Info Plays cracked bookies open and cleaned them out. College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 69% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. We don't go where the game is, we bring YOU where the money is! - $25 Access to all exclusive releases and top rated premium plays! MAC is rolling the dice like they're loaded, tonight's action is playing a small 50 Units spread out in College Hoops & the NHL after banking 35 Units on last night's games hitting 5-2 plays! Having a rocky start last week, but at the end of it The MAC got his units off as he finished in the green once again, +111 Units and now 7 weeks in a row the RedAlertWagers.com Bankroll Players Action has made profits. Bankroll Player Members get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure Tonight!! Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country.
Tonight RedAlertWagers.com Chicago Wager Group representatives have top rated picks - NHL, NBA & College Hoops Tonight - Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in on MAC'S NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY, MAJOR MOVE ACTION + NBA BACK ROOM INFO PLAY plus all of tonight's special release college basketball predictions. THE MAC NAILED ANOTHER RED ALERT PUCKS PLAY - LAST NIGHT'S TOP RATED PUCKS PICK ON THE EDMONTON OILERS -115, a low key play that was anticipated and predicted by The MAC'S sources! Tonight MAC has a NHL RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 12) - (MONTREAL CANADIENS vs BOSTON BRUINS)
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 12) - (PITTSBURGH -3.5) NBA MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 12) - (LOS ANGELES LAKERS -3) - Play At MyBookie.ag NHL MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 12) - (CALGARY FLAMES vs LA KINGS UNDER 5.5)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\* FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY (FEB 12) - (INDIANA PACERS +1.5 -3 X MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES -9.5) !!EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES!! EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+25 (FEB 15) - (JAN BLACHOWICZ +190) EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+25 (FEB 15) - (GADZHIMURAD ANTIGULOV +140) EXCLUSIVE GRUDEN TOTAL GAMES AS RAIDERS HEAD COACH PICK (DEC 31) - (OVER 67.5 GAMES -120)
submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

Sports Newsletter

Sports Newsletter
Special Release Plays by The MAC go 2-1 last night, College Basketball Hush Money and Major Move Alert Picks CRUSH again.
MyBookie
(FEB 13) TONIGHT - NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (BRYANT +4 vs SACRED HEART -4) - IT'S JUST WHAT WE DO! - COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS ARE STUCK IN A BLAZING INFERNO!
  • Sacred Heart vs. Bryant University spread: Sacred Heart -4
  • Sacred Heart vs. Bryant University over-under: 143.5 points
  • Sacred Heart vs. Bryant University money line: Sacred Heart -192, Bryant University 156
  • SH: 9-6 against the spread as a favorite
  • BRY: 6-4 against the spread as an underdog
The Bryant University Bulldogs and the Sacred Heart Pioneers are facing each other in a Northeast Conference matchup at 5 p.m. ET Thursday at William Pitt Center - West Gym. Sacred Heart is 14-11 overall and 5-4 at home, while the Bulldogs are 12-12 overall and 4-8 on the road. Sacred Heart has lost two in a row after having a four-game winning streak snapped.
Special Release Plays by The MAC go 2-1 last night, College Basketball Hush Money and Major Move Alert Picks CRUSH again. This is what Roland McGuillaman lives for, sometimes you win by the hook sometimes that hook cost you a flawless day, fortunately MAC went in heavy on his Hush Money Play on Houston Baptist Huskies +15.5!! This Huskies game was a low key extra game added by odds makers and MAC took advantage of the underdog that covered as expected. Final Score 67 -81, it doesn't get any easier when you play with RedAlertWagers.com
Winning another CBB Hush Money Play on HOUSTON BAPTIST +15.5 & Red Alert Picks are on absolute FIRE, this is just what Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman does. Team R.A.W. has been delivering as promised, our action in College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 71% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. The MAC places high roller bets with the composure of a 4 star General, losing isn't a option this Thursday!
Exclusive Releases have been exceeding expectations, going 2-1 last night - TONIGHT'S NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (TENNESSEE STATE +12.5 vs BELMONT -12.5) "WE ARE PLAYING WITH HOUSE MONEY" and guess what? IT'S YOUR OWN FAULT IF YOU DIDN'T RIDE WITH THE MAC!
The Bankroll Players Access Bets exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail!
THE ROARIN MAC BREAKS A 2020 PATREON BANKROLL RECORD 7 WEEKS IN THE GREEN - MAC is rolling the dice like they're loaded, playing the heavy 75 Units, MAC is moving heavy in College Hoops tonight! Having a rocky start last week, The MAC got his units off as he finished in the green once again, +111 Units and now 7 weeks in a row the RedAlertWagers.com Bankroll Players Action has made profits. Bankroll Player Members get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward.
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL HUSH MONEY PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR!! - WATCH AS WE NAIL TONIGHT'S NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (ARIZONA -10 vs CALIFORNIA +10)
RedAlertWagers.com is running a Special Patreon Deal - $125 1 Month of MAC'S personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman​ ROAR
(FEB 13) BANKROLL PLAYER SYSTEM PLAYS
The Mac also applies a disciplined money management system to his game - (FEB 10 - 16)
Weekly Bankroll:
(FEB 10 - 16) - DAY 4 THURSDAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +115 UNITS (FEB 13) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 75 UNITS
LAST WEEKS RESULTS: (FEB 03 - 09) - DAY 7 BANKROLL TOTAL: +111 UNITS (JAN 27 - FEB 02) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +146 UNITS (JAN 20 -26) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +194 UNITS (JAN 13 -19) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +41 UNITS (JAN 06 -12) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +143 UNITS (DEC 30 - JAN 05) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +124 UNITS (DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +27 UNITS
The MAC will be collecting not paying this week, disciplined money management allowed RedAlertWagers.com to walk away with another briefcase, this week will be no different. Making the right wager just is, if not more important than, picking the right team. The RedAlertWagers.com Bankroll Player System is designed for sustainable betting, the name of the game is never chase losses, never wager more than you can lose, and the #1 Rule is Strict Bankroll Discipline! The risk of gambling is a RISK and there are no guaranteed winners, there is inside information, there's shifty players, crooked refs, and everything in between, but there is never a guarantee when placing a bet, our Bankroll Player System mitigates your bankroll risk and makes it possible to lose a few games and still be able to bet the next winner!
They have unsuccessfully tried to shut down The MAC's action in the past, well known sportsbooks have tried to deny his pay outs, they have attempted to mute his top rated sports betting info in media outlets like ESPN Radio, Fox, CBS, Sirius, etc, and McGuillaman is wise to many other contentious displays of jealousy!
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 13) - (HIGH POINT +8.5) NBA MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 13) - (NEW ORLEANS PELICANS -3.5) NHL MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 13) - (WASHINGTON CAPITALS +115)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\* FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY (FEB 13) - (OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER vs NEW ORLEANS PELICANS OVER 234.5 X LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS vs BOSTON CELTICS 228)
submitted by TheMACSPicks to msu [link] [comments]

Special Release Plays by The MAC go 2-1 last night, College Basketball Hush Money and Major Move Alert Picks CRUSH again.

Special Release Plays by The MAC go 2-1 last night, College Basketball Hush Money and Major Move Alert Picks CRUSH again.
Special Release Plays by The MAC go 2-1 last night, College Basketball Hush Money and Major Move Alert Picks CRUSH again.
MyBookie.ag

MyBookie Basketball Squares Contest

Thursday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!
Daily Free MAC ATTACK Plays Below! Website: RedAlertWagers.com Contact: [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) Become a Member - Join The Patreon - $7 Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS!
Follow The MAC on Social Media: Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers Facebook.com/RedAlertWagers Reddit.com/useTheMACSPicks
MAC Media: The Reddit Sports Report The Red Alert Report
(FEB 13) TONIGHT - NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY - (BRYANT +4 vs SACRED HEART -4) - IT'S JUST WHAT WE DO! - COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS ARE STUCK IN A BLAZING INFERNO!
  • Sacred Heart vs. Bryant University spread: Sacred Heart -4
  • Sacred Heart vs. Bryant University over-under: 143.5 points
  • Sacred Heart vs. Bryant University money line: Sacred Heart -192, Bryant University 156
  • SH: 9-6 against the spread as a favorite
  • BRY: 6-4 against the spread as an underdog
The Bryant University Bulldogs and the Sacred Heart Pioneers are facing each other in a Northeast Conference matchup at 5 p.m. ET Thursday at William Pitt Center - West Gym. Sacred Heart is 14-11 overall and 5-4 at home, while the Bulldogs are 12-12 overall and 4-8 on the road. Sacred Heart has lost two in a row after having a four-game winning streak snapped.
Special Release Plays by The MAC go 2-1 last night, College Basketball Hush Money and Major Move Alert Picks CRUSH again. This is what Roland McGuillaman lives for, sometimes you win by the hook sometimes that hook cost you a flawless day, fortunately MAC went in heavy on his Hush Money Play on Houston Baptist Huskies +15.5!! This Huskies game was a low key extra game added by odds makers and MAC took advantage of the underdog that covered as expected. Final Score 67 -81, it doesn't get any easier when you play with RedAlertWagers.com
Winning another CBB Hush Money Play on HOUSTON BAPTIST +15.5 & Red Alert Picks are on absolute FIRE, this is just what Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman does. Team R.A.W. has been delivering as promised, our action in College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 71% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. The MAC places high roller bets with the composure of a 4 star General, losing isn't a option this Thursday!
Exclusive Releases have been exceeding expectations, going 2-1 last night - TONIGHT'S NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (TENNESSEE STATE +12.5 vs BELMONT -12.5) "WE ARE PLAYING WITH HOUSE MONEY" and guess what? IT'S YOUR OWN FAULT IF YOU DIDN'T RIDE WITH THE MAC!
The Bankroll Players Access Bets exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail!

7 WEEKS IN THE GREEN
THE ROARIN MAC BREAKS A 2020 PATREON BANKROLL RECORD 7 WEEKS IN THE GREEN - MAC is rolling the dice like they're loaded, playing the heavy 75 Units, MAC is moving heavy in College Hoops tonight! Having a rocky start last week, The MAC got his units off as he finished in the green once again, +111 Units and now 7 weeks in a row the RedAlertWagers.com Bankroll Players Action has made profits. Bankroll Player Members get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward.
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL HUSH MONEY PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR!! - WATCH AS WE NAIL TONIGHT'S NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (ARIZONA -10 vs CALIFORNIA +10)
RedAlertWagers.com is running a Special Patreon Deal - $125 1 Month of MAC'S personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman​ ROAR - Join Now - $125 Bankroll Players Tier
(FEB 13) BANKROLL PLAYER SYSTEM PLAYS
The Mac also applies a disciplined money management system to his game - (FEB 10 - 16)
Weekly Bankroll:
(FEB 10 - 16) - DAY 4 THURSDAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +115 UNITS (FEB 13) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 75 UNITS
LAST WEEKS RESULTS: (FEB 03 - 09) - DAY 7 BANKROLL TOTAL: +111 UNITS (JAN 27 - FEB 02) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +146 UNITS (JAN 20 -26) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +194 UNITS (JAN 13 -19) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +41 UNITS (JAN 06 -12) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +143 UNITS (DEC 30 - JAN 05) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +124 UNITS (DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +27 UNITS
The MAC will be collecting not paying this week, disciplined money management allowed RedAlertWagers.com to walk away with another briefcase, this week will be no different. Making the right wager just is, if not more important than, picking the right team. The RedAlertWagers.com Bankroll Player System is designed for sustainable betting, the name of the game is never chase losses, never wager more than you can lose, and the #1 Rule is Strict Bankroll Discipline! The risk of gambling is a RISK and there are no guaranteed winners, there is inside information, there's shifty players, crooked refs, and everything in between, but there is never a guarantee when placing a bet, our Bankroll Player System mitigates your bankroll risk and makes it possible to lose a few games and still be able to bet the next winner!
They have unsuccessfully tried to shut down The MAC's action in the past, well known sportsbooks have tried to deny his pay outs, they have attempted to mute his top rated sports betting info in media outlets like ESPN Radio, Fox, CBS, Sirius, etc, and McGuillaman is wise to many other contentious displays of jealousy!
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 13) - (HIGH POINT +8.5) NBA MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 13) - (NEW ORLEANS PELICANS -3.5) NHL MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 13) - (WASHINGTON CAPITALS +115)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\* FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY (FEB 13) - (OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER vs NEW ORLEANS PELICANS OVER 234.5 X LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS vs BOSTON CELTICS 228)
The MAC'S consensus groups span the nation, today our NCAAB Red Alert Play and Special Release CBB Picks make up our card for The MAC'S Red Pass Customers, Top Rated Patreon Members & High Profile Clients using our Bankroll Players Access System. The RedAlertWagers.com National Consensus groups have been tapping sources, vetting information, and we are getting ready for March Madness
Join the Patreon - Starting @ $7 a month for Premium Red Alert Picks - Or take a 1 day ride with our Instant Access Red Pass - (1 Day Red Pass: $14.99)
Red Pass Pay by Phone Access: Call The Red Line - Toll Free @ 1-844-334-2613 Follow Automated Instructions to gain access to our 1 Day Red Pass, once payment verification is confirmed, a access link will be text messaged to your phone, follow the link after payment. (Payments Processed via © Stripe)
****Take a 1 day ride with a RED PASS for $14.99 - All Of Today's Top Rated Plays & Premium Releases - 1 Time Fee - 1 day Access! ****

Today, McGuillaman is releasing his TOP RATED PREMIUM PLAYS including -

  • NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 13) - (BRYANT +4) involving a team The Mac has been collecting cash with for years!
  • NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY (FEB 13) - (WASHINGTON STATE +7.5)
  • NCAAB LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (TENNESSEE STATE +12.5)
  • NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (STANFORD -2.5)
  • NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (HIGH POINT +8.5)
  • NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (ARIZONA -10)
  • NBA LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 13) - (LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS vs BOSTON CELTICS UNDER 228)
  • 5 RED ALERT PLAYS including a NHL Hot Info Red Alert play that MAC"S anticipating - (ST. LOUIS BLUES +120 vs VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS -140)
  • +3 MAC ATTACK EXCLUSIVE FREE PICKS BELOW (63%) including 1 Patreon Premium Pick against the spread, a 2 team NBA parlay bonus pick & MAC'S Exclusive Oscar Predictions)
  • Take a 1 day ride with a RED PASS for $14.99 - All Of Today's Top Rated Plays & Premium Releases - 1 Time Fee - 1 day Access! - (The MAC'S 1 Day Pass)
Not only is Roland calling games like a savage, The Mac is making record breaking earnings in 2020 - Bankroll Player Patreon Subscribers are getting access to how a professional sports wagerer moves units and works a bettors bankroll - PATREON 2020 DEAL STARTS @ $125 - (Bankroll Player Access)
MyBookie - (50% Sign Up Bonus)
submitted by TheMACSPicks to SportsReport [link] [comments]

(FEB 06) The Roarin MAC goes 2-0 on his Premium NBA Predictions, laying the points on the Celtics and cashing in on the Denver Nuggets game!

(FEB 06) The Roarin MAC goes 2-0 on his Premium NBA Predictions, laying the points on the Celtics and cashing in on the Denver Nuggets game!
(FEB 06) Thursday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!
MyBookie Bonus Promo Code - THEMAC
Website: RedAlertWagers.com
Contact: [email protected]
The Roarin MAC goes 2-0 on his Premium NBA Predictions, laying the points on the Celtics and cashing in on the Denver Nuggets game!

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Phone: THE RED LINE - (Toll-Free @ 1-844-334-2613) Text THE RED LINE For Tonight's Free MAC ATTACK PLAYS!!
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Twitter.com/RedAlertWagers
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Bankroll Player Members on Patreon finished the week with a chunky profit (+194 UNITS) This just shows The MAC has been imposing his will this College Basketball season, NBA Picks have been making odds makers look silly! THE MAC'S TOP RATED COLLEGE BASKETBALL RELEASE PICKS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR!! - LAST NIGHT'S NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY ON PURDUE -4 WAS JUST WHAT IT WAS - Final 68-104 - BOILERMAKERS MAKE IT LOOK EASY!

THE MAC GOES 2-0 UNDEFEATED IN THE NBA LAST NIGHT - HE IS BURNING UP!

Winning another Red Alert Play + Late Info NBA Pick in the NBA is just what Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman does. Team R.A.W. has been delivering as promised, our action in College Hoops is cooking with gas, hitting over 69% on Top Rated Picks and imposing our will with unstoppable NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYS that are continuously breaking in house records this season. The MAC places high roller bets with the composure of a 4 star General, losing isn't a option this Thursday!
There is no stopping this Ferris Wheel once it starts rolling, it just keeps rolling!! Free MAC Attack Picks have been in the green going 2-0 last night & MAC is placing a Exclusive Wager on UFC 247 DOMINICK REYES +370 vs JON JONES!
Top Rated NBA Releases have been exceeding expectations, and after Tonight's NBA LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 06) - (HOUSTON ROCKETS +8 vs LOS ANGELES LAKERS -8) "WE WILL BE PLAYING WITH HOUSE MONEY" and guess what? IT'S YOUR OWN FAULT IF YOU DIDN'T RIDE WITH THE MAC!
The Bankroll Players Access exhibits why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail!
THE ROARIN MAC BREAKS A 2020 PATREON BANKROLL RECORD!!
Finishing the week with a chunky profit (+194 UNITS) The MAC has been imposing his will this College Basketball season, NBA Picks have been making odds makers look silly!
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL HUSH MONEY PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR!! - TONIGHT'S HUSH MONEY PLAY WILL BE GETTING IT DONE THE RIGHT WAY - NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 06) - (HIGH POINT +2)
MAC is rolling the dice like they're loaded, tonight's action is playing the small 45 Units in College Hoops! MAC's NEW 2020 Bank Roll Record is @ +194 Units and has been in the green for 6 weeks in a row!!
RedAlertWagers.com is running a Special Patreon Deal - $125 1 Month of MAC'S personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman ROAR - Join Now - $125 Bankroll Players Tier
(FEB 06) BANKROLL PLAYER SYSTEM PLAYS
The Mac also applies a disciplined money management system to his game - (FEB 03 - 09)
Weekly Bankroll:
(FEB 03 - 09) - DAY 4 THURSDAY BANKROLL TOTAL: -5 UNITS
(FEB 05) - TODAY'S BANKROLL RISK: 45 UNITS
LAST WEEKS RESULTS:
(JAN 27 - FEB 02) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +146 UNITS
(JAN 20 -26) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +194 UNITS
(JAN 13 -19) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +41 UNITS
(JAN 06 -12) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +143 UNITS
(DEC 30 - JAN 05) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +124 UNITS
(DEC 23 - 29) - 7 DAY BANKROLL TOTAL: +27 UNITS
**PATREON TOP RATED EXCLUSIVE PLAYS*\*
NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 06) - (HAMPTON -2 vs HIGH POINT +2)
NCAAB MAJOR MOVE ALERT PLAY (FEB 06) - (GARDNER WEBB -2.5 vs PRESBYTERIAN +2.5)
NCAAB BACK ROOM INFO PLAY (FEB 06) - (ORAL ROBERTS -1.5 vs NORTH DAKOTA +1.5)
NCAAB EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 06) - (ROBERT MORRIS -3.5 vs WAGNER +3.5)
NBA LATE INFO PLAY (FEB 06) - (HOUSTON ROCKETS +8 vs LOS ANGELES LAKERS -8)
NHL EARLY INFO PLAY (FEB 05) - (VANCOUVER CANUCKS +100 vs MINNESOTA WILD -120)
**PATREON PREMIUM PLAYS*\*
NBA RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 06) - (PHILADELPHIA 76ERS +9.5 vs MILWAUKEE BUCKS -9.5)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 06) - (JACKSONVILLE STATE -3 vs SE MISSOURI ST +3)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 06) - (UTEP +4 vs CHARLOTTE U -4)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 06) - (DETROIT vs WRIGHT STATE O/U 152)
NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 06) - (CALIFORNIA +16 vs COLORADO -16)

https://preview.redd.it/mcgr96rlaef41.jpg?width=581&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=edf25dee03ba551ae956aed5525fd45b5ad0f9ff
**DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS*\*
NBA MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 06) - (NEW ORLEANS PELICANS -5.5)
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 06) - (CALIFORNIA +16)
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 06) - (ROBERT MORRIS -3.5)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\*
FUN PLAY 2 TEAM NBA PARLAY (FEB 06) - (PHILADELPHIA 76ERS +9.5 X HOUSTON ROCKETS vs LOS ANGELES LAKERS UNDER 237.5)
!!EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES!!
EXCLUSIVE UFC 247 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (FEB 08) - (DOMINICK REYES +330)
EXCLUSIVE UFC 247 EASY EARLY MONEY MMA PICK (FEB 08) - (TREVIN GILES -160)
EXCLUSIVE PEBBLE BEACH PRO AM PICK (FEB 06) - (PAUL CASEY +2000)
Promo Code - THEMAC
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What is NBA Total Points Betting? When you place an NBA Over/Under bet, you are focused on one single statistic of that game – the total number of points scored in the game by both teams. Over/Under points betting is also available for each 1/4 or 1/2 of a game, depending on the bookmaker. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all games with an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a simple strategy, but it paid off handsomely as he was correct 63.5% of the time for all games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09. The truth is that no NBA betting system guarantees profits in the long-run; and if one did, everybody would use it and sportsbooks would go out of business. Even systems that are proven winners - like Allen Moody's High Points Total - aren't fool-proof strategies. The NBA is a great sport for betting totals, with the action going from end to end and points being scored on a regular basis. It is no surprise to see many punters choosing to bet on this market, sometimes instead of betting on the actual game itself. If you are interested in placing a bet on the total points betting market, then here is your guide to everything you need to know about NBA NBA Win Total Betting Odds: Analyzing the Los Angeles Clippers’ Over/Under in Orlando all of these players can simply go 1-on-1 and create points, the kinds of shots that naturally compromise a defensive scheme. You can’t drop vs. the Clippers. Just can’t do it. Not gonna work: Access betting systems and signals to get daily

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