Ante-post betting preview Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe
Ante-post betting preview Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Guide - Horse Racing
Arc De Triomphe Odds | Latest Bookmakers Betting Prices
The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Review - A Deeper Look
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Betting Guide, Odds, Tips & Free
Saturday's Action from Belmont, Keeneland and Santa Anita
Saturday October 5, 2019 Belmont Park Race: 9 (4:50 PM EST Post) Joe Hirsch Turf Invitational The late, heroic running Sadler’s Joy signaled a return to top for when flying late to just miss capturing the Grade: 1 Sword Dancer in his last. Third start off the layoff and should get a good strong pace to run into here…..should nail the speed in deep stretch……………Arklow continues to burn money as he hasn’t won a race in over a year but has been favored or has had low odds in his last six starts in a row. Another who should be rallying late but has a habit of coming up short…………………….Yo Primo’s last race was too bad to be true. Irad sticks and could bounce back with a big race here……………….Honorable Mentions: Channel Cat is in good form right now but is 0 for 4 on the Belmont Turf…………………Ditto for Channel Maker as he too is in good form, That said, he has lost ground from the eighth pole to the wire in each of his last three races………………When Zulu Alpha is right, he could easily hit the board (or better) vs. these. Race: 10 (5:22 PM EST post) Champagne Stakes You can make an argument that Green Light Go, who has been very impressive winning both career starts thus far in his career, is the pro-tem two year old East Coast male division leader (Basin). I loved the way he came from behind both times, won by daylight and stopped the clock in “racehorse” time. ….takes his next steps toward the BC Juvenile here…………….Gozilla buried maidens in his initial try then showed speed and tired in the Grade: 1 Hopeful in his second and last time out. I’m not sure if the sloppy track had something to do with the defeat or he was facing Basin in that race or perhaps both. Find out more about him on Saturday…………………….Alpha Sixty Six came from behind to beat maidens in his debut. This $400,000 son of Liams’ Map was visually impressive coming with a four wide, sweeping move towards the lead at the quarter and got up by a neck. The icing on that cake was he ran the final furlong in a super-sonic :06 seconds flat……………………………………Honorable Mentions: Speaking of burying maidens, it took Three Technique three tries but that exactly what he did in his last. The son of Mr. Speaker rallied from near last early, with an eye catching six wide move on the turn and ran away from the field to win by 5 ½ lengths…no surprise if he betters this rating in this well matched field……………………..Tiz the Law also decimated (State Bred) maidens his first time out. Yet another son of Constitution, this handsome colt came from behind and opened on the field at will down the lane. So much so, his rider was basically pulling him up in the 100 or so yards in a visually impressive performance. Keeneland Race Course Race: 7 (4:29 PM EST Post) Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes Spiced Perfection is a two time Grade: 1 winner including one on this oval. Don’t worry about the 151 days since her last race as she has trained smartly recently and has a habit of running well off of layoffs……Narrow margin over Chalon, who has been either first or second in her last nine races in a row spanning the last two years. I was very impressed with this $550,000 daughter of Dialed In’s last race where she broke poorly and was block in on the turn for home yet still won…………….Ours to Run rattled off six straight wins vs. lesser before finishing a close up third in the Grade: 2 Honorable Miss at Saratoga last time out. Note, she finished just a head behind Chalon in that race, signaling to me she can handle this caliber horse…………………Honorable Mentions: When Mia Mischief is right, she poses an enormous threat. However, her last three races signal she is cycling out of form……………….Danuska’s My Girl ships in from California, has good speed and is 4 for 5 lifetime at 6 furlongs………………….Dawn the Destroyer completely outran her 10-1 odds in the Grade: 1 Ballerina last time out. Mare by Speightstown chased (finished second) upper echelon older female Come Dancing and, from what I saw standing on the rail, she was trying very hard. That said, she is just 4 for 18 lifetime. Race: 8 (5:04 PM EST Post) First Lady Stakes Rushing Fall does nothing but run lights out as her 10-8-2-0 career record would indicate. You absolutely must forgive her last where she took command of the Grade: 1 Diana Stakes at Saratoga but was run down in deep stretch by the supremely talented Sistercharlie. Past that, this filly by More Than Ready ran a mile (this distance) in an eye popping 1:31.3 two starts back, has trained brilliantly of late and is 4 for 4 on this turf course. Another close call in what might be the most talent laden field I’ve seen all year………………..After a narrow defeat two starts back, Vasilika bounced back to her winning ways. This chestnut mare, who was 9 for 11 last year and 5 for 6 this year, came roaring down the lane, including a smoking :11.1 final furlong, to get her nostril on the wire first in the John C. Mabee last time out. Albeit, she ventures outside of California for the first time in a while, it’s really hard not to include her in the exotics……………….Uni had won five straight, including a Grade:1, before taking on the boys in her last and finishing a fast closing third. Note she came from 17 lengths back, (including :21 and change internal second quarter) to get beaten by less than three lengths on the wire in that race. Bottom line here is I won't be surprised if she is standing in the winner’s circle after this race………………………Honorable Mentions: (and there are several due the depth of this field) Trainer Brad Cox has done a fantastic job with Juliet Foxtrot as he brought her along methodically since she came here from overseas. Filly by Dansili showed excellent versatility in winning her first three U.S. starts and was just a nose behind Vasilika in the aforementioned John C. Mabee Stakes in her last…..could better this rating…………….After “touring” Europe in her last four races, Indian Blessing missed by a neck in her return to the U.S last time out. Threat should she duplicate that effort here…………………Just Wonderful is another globe trotting filly. Note, the last time she ran in this country, she finished a strong second to the mega talented, but now on the sidelines Concrete Rose………………….Mitchell Road has good speed and sports a 9-5-3-0 career record. However, her form, much like my life, appears to be going in the wrong direction……………….Ms Bad Behavior has hit the board in 14 of 17 lifetime tries. That said, she has only four wins. Race: 9 (5:39 PM EST Post) Claiborne Breeders Futurity It looks as though Constitution, who is on the rise as a stallion, is a son of Tapit and stands for $15,000, has a solid 1-2 punch in this race. Gouverneur Morris whistled in his sloppy tracked debut. This $600,000 gray colt won by nine and stopped the clock in 1:04.1. Back to back strong 5F works since signal he might be ready for the big stretch out in distance and even bigger rise in class………………….By Your Side, who won his first two starts including the Grade: 3 Sanford two starts back, may not have cared for the sloppy track in his last while chasing three apparent tigers. With the forecast of a “dry” day at Keeneland on Saturday, he could bounce back and run well in this spot………………Ajaaweed, a good looking son of Curlin, responded well to the stretch out in distance while manhandling maidens in his last………………….Honorable Mentions: Maxfield broke slowly (last) in his debut but was impressive methodically picking off horses, one by one, all the way around to get up for a three quarter length win…………..Tap It to Win finished second in his debut but came back to bury maiden last time out, scoring the highest Brisnet Speed Figure of anyone in this field………………I found it interesting that last time out winner Enforceable, a full brother to multiple Stakes winner and $2.2 million purchase Mohaymen from a few years ago, is the only horse in this field to be cutting back in distance………………….King Theo galloped in the mud at GP in his last.. Steps up here. Race: 10 (6:15 PM EST Post) Shadwell Turf Mile The unbeaten Valid Point, who has run just three races late in his three year old season, must have some “issues” but also has talent as demonstrated by taking down a Grade: 1 in just his third career start. A three year old taking on elders makes me hesitate slightly but past that, he looks best…………..Van Beethoven is just 2 for 14 in his career but launched a visually impressive move on the turn and was charging hard, late against my top pick last time out….must be considered………………Bandua is clearly in career best form right now while winning two back and then leading to deep stretch before being overhauled by Horse of the Year candidate Bricks and Mortar in the Arlington Million last time out……………Honorable Mentions: Admission Office is a “from out of a clouds” late runner who is about one length away from being unbeaten in three starts in 2019. This handsome son of Point of Entry could be rolling down the stretch once again in this spot…………………Vintager is one of several “dark horses” coming from overseas to make their U.S. debuts. This son of Mastercraftman has won his last two and goes first time Lasix here………………..Divisidero is another in good form right now and this stretch running son of Kitten’s Joy worked a bullet at Fair Hill last week………………..Real Story looks like the dominant early speed in here and could be a menace late if left alone on a uncontested early lead. Santa Anita Park Race: 9 (7:30 PM EST Post) Shancelot burst onto the scene while winning his first three starts and scoring towering speed figures. Speedy colt suffered his first career defeat in his last but I liked the way he battled gamely through the wire in that race. This son of Shanghai Bobby cuts back in distance here and has run a hole in the wind in the morning of late…………..Narrow margin over Omaha Beach, who I still think if he stayed healthy, would have been the best three year old male in the country. Although this son of War Front has been training lights out for his return, he did suffer several setbacks along the way including a very strange training session a few weeks ago. This will be his first start in over five months, I don’t think six furlongs is his best distance and, most importantly, this clearly looks like a “prep” race for (possibly) the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile………………Flagstaff has won two of his last three vs. lesser but he likes this track and his speed figures suggest he’s not completely out of this one….looks best of the rest. By: Gerard Apadula Director of Equine Operations and Development Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) 2019- Record: 69-193 = 36% 2018- Record: 107-261= 41% 2017- Record: 92-235 = 39% 2016- Record: 91-229 = 40% 2015- Record: 67-180 = 37% 2014- Record: 29-73 = 40% 2013- Record: 20-59= 34% 2012 -Record: 24-73= 33% 2011 –Record: N/A 2010- Record: 24-74= 33% Little Bets N’ Pieces **** Amalfi Sunrise, one of the top 2-year-old fillies on the West Coast, is likely to be retired after a month-long struggle with pneumonia, trainer Simon Callaghan said last Sunday. Amalfi Sunrise won her debut June 23 at Santa Anita by 6 1/4 lengths before winning by six lengths Aug. 3 in the Sorrento Stakes at Del Mar. She was kept out of the Aug. 31 Del Mar Debutante Stakes with a minor hind-leg injury, but was then sent to San Luis Equine Hospital in Bonsall, Calif., in late August with pneumonia. Callaghan thinks she will be released "next week" but doesn’t think her future has racing in it: "When they get it really bad for a long period of time, like she did, they get adhesions and (lung) scarring, and often after those things, they don't come back as good”. **** Super star mare Enable is one of 16 horses pointing to Sunday's Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. Enable breezed on the Limekilns on Monday morning pleasing both her trainer John Gosden and jockey Frankie Dettori. “It was great to get Enable back on the Limekilns where the ground was the easy side of good and conditions were perfect as there was no wind,” said Gosden. “I put her in front as it's best to mix it up with her as she can easily get bored doing the same thing. Frankie was happy with her and hopefully we can get through the next six days.” **** Lil Indy, dam of disqualified 2019 Kentucky Derby winner Maximum Security, will be sold in foal to leading sire Quality Road during Book 1 of Keeneland’s November Breeding Stock Sale Wednesday, Nov. 6. **** Awesome Again has been pensioned from stud duty. The now 25 year old son of Deputy Minister is a homebred from Adena Springs, with stakes wins that include 1998 Breeders' Cup Classic, the Whitney, and the Queen's Plate. He retired to Adena Springs' Kentucky section, where he has sired 18 crops of racing age with combined earnings in excess of $95 million. His greatest accomplishment at stud has been the wickedly fast Ghostzapper, the 2004 Horse of the Year, who stands alongside him at Adena Springs. Ghostzapper won the Breeders' Cup Classic during his Horse of the Year campaign, making Awesome Again the only sire to date to have won the Classic and sired a Classic winner. Other notable runners by Awesome Again include champion Ginger Punch, Breeders' Cup Distaff winner Round Pond, Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Wilko, Grade 1 winner Game On Dude, and the incredible Paynter. **** Grade: 1 Florida Derby winner Audible has been retired from racing and will enter stud at WinStar Farm for the 2020 breeding season. More on this as it unfolds.
Saturday October 19, 2019 Belmont Park Race: 5 (2:32 PM EST Post) Empire Classic Pat On the Back has pretty much owned NYSBs for most of his career before coming from behind to beat opens in the Grade: 2 Kelso Mile last time out. This five year old son of Congrats ran that distance in a snappy 1:33.4 that day and “big sandy” is clearly his favorite surface as his 11-6-3-2 career mark over it would indicate ………..narrowest of margins over the speedy Mr. Buff, who also destroyed NYSBs two and three starts back. This five year old gelding by Friend of Foe, who stands for $1,000, set the pace but understandably folded in deep stretch when he was in over his head in the Grade: 1 Woodward in his last. He now takes a serious drop in class and cuts back in distance in this spot. Bottom line here is, in taking Pat On the Back, this guy scares the daylight out of me………………Dynamax Prime is having a very good 2019 as his 10-4-3-1 record states. Good looking gelding by Bluegrass Cat chased Mr. Buff around the NYRA circuit over the summer and wasn’t embarrassed by any stretch of the imagination…looks best of the rest. Race: 10 (5:20 PM EST Post) Empire Distaff Other than a failed turf experiment, no one has ever been close to Newly Minted through her first four (dirt) starts. This bay filly, by Central Banker from the Linda Rice barn, has won from six furlongs to nine furlongs and possesses excellent tactical speed as she can win from on or off the pace. She was super impressive winning her last by a colossal margin and fired a bullet work recently, signaling she is holding form…..solid choice……………….Ratajkowski is three for five in her career and was brilliant wiring State Bred optionals by 10 in her last while gets 8 ½ furlong in a very good 1:41.4. This daughter of Drosselmeyer takes a big steps up in class here but her speed figures say she might handle it…………………Midnight Disguise is another from the Rice barn who appears to be cycling back into her Stakes winning form from last year. I won’t be that surprised if she “ambushes” this field. Keeneland Race Course Race: 9 (5:30 PM EST Post) Raven Run Stakes Indian Pride ran off the charts while wiring maidens at Saratoga in her debut. Filly by Proud Citizen won by nine and wasn’t going “all out” signaling there is plenty more left in the gas tank. Albeit, she is taking a monster step up in class the fact remains, there is no telling exactly how good she is at this point. I’ve been watching trainer Chad Brown for a long time now and he simply doesn’t put horses in races where they don’t belong…………………Speaking of Brown, he comes into this race with a nice 1-2 punch as Indian Pride’s stable mate Royal Charlotte, who is 5 for 6 in her career and has won on this oval before, looks next best. This gray, multiple Stakes winner by Cairo Prince merits respect in this spot……………….If you draw a line through Restless Rider’s complete dud race in the Kentucky Oaks, you’ll find a well bred filly who has been either first or second in all seven previous starts, including winning the Grade:1 Alcibiades last year. Her last five works have been strong and she has won or run well off of layoffs before…..looms a threat…………..Honorable Mentions: Horologist rattled off four straight wins before outrunning her 22-1 odds in the Grade: 1 Cotillion last time out (finished third). Nice looking filly by Gemologist finished less than four lengths behind pro-tem three year old filly division leader Guarana in the process…..could conceivably better this rating. Bell’s the One chased the freakishly fast Covfefe last time out and although she was no match against that beast, she ran very well that day……………….First Star is unbeaten in two starts. Daughter of the hulking First Dude takes a big step up in class but her speed figures also say she is not completely out of this one………………Irish Mischief and Needs Supervision both are consistent as the day is long, both come into this possibly sitting on big races and both merit long-shot possibilities in this spot. Paddock and pre-race warm ups will be key as to if/how I use them. By: Gerard Apadula Director of Equine Operations and Development Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) 2019- Record: 72-206 = 35% 2018- Record: 107-261= 41% 2017- Record: 92-235 = 39% 2016- Record: 91-229 = 40% 2015- Record: 67-180 = 37% 2014- Record: 29-73 = 40% 2013- Record: 20-59= 34% 2012 -Record: 24-73= 33% 2011 –Record: N/A 2010- Record: 24-74= 33% Little Bets N’ Pieces ***\* 2011 Kentucky Derby winner and Champion Three Year Old Male that same year, Animal Kingdom will be relocated from Darley’s Kentucky base to the stallion ranks at the Japan Bloodhorse Breeders’ Association. From three crops to race in each hemisphere, Animal Kingdom is the sire of 12 black-type winners and five at the group/graded level. **** Dennis’ Moment ripped five furlongs in a bullet :58.4 last weekend in preparation for next month’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. “It gave me goose bumps watching him work today,” said trainer Dale Romans). “He just went so easy… When [rider] Tammy [Fox] started off, I thought she was going too slow. I was starting to get a little aggravated, and Big John (Nichols, clocker) started clicking off the times. It just looked like he was galloping.” **** Owner Rick Porter said multiple Grade:1 winner Omaha Beach will run in the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile and said “for sure” that it won’t be his last race. Porter said Omaha Beach will conclude his 3-year-old season in the Malibu Stakes (Dec 26) and then will be pointed for the Pegasus Word Cup Invitational Jan. 25 at Gulfstream Park. “As long as he is doing well, we’re going to go in the Malibu,” Porter said. “It’s for straight 3-year-olds and probably would be an easy spot for him. I had talked to [trainer] Dick [Mandella] and asked him about running in the [GI] Cigar Mile and he said there was no point shipping all the way to New York, coming back to California and then going to Florida when he could stay home and run in the Malibu.” **** Two time Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe winner Enable, who just missed winning an unprecedented third Arc last week, will remain in training in 2020, Juddmonte Farm announced. “Prince Khalid has decided to keep Enable in training for 2020,” racing manager Teddy Grimthorpe said. “She has come out of the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in good form and will not race again this year. Her racing program will be determined entirely on her well being, so no racing plans will be announced at this stage. The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe remains an important target.”
Saturday, June 1, 2019 Penn National Racecourse Race: 10 (7:15 PM EST Post) Penn Oaks Regal Glory absolutely towers over this field in just about every statistical category. After winning her first two starts, this stretch running filly by Animal Kingdom posted back to back solid second place finishes in her last two vs. better than what she will be facing in this spot. Logical choice and down the road here…………………Ionic was very impressive dominating maidens first time out. Filly by City Zip was then the recipient of a ridiculously wide trip vs. optional NW1Xs yet was still only beaten by a whisker…....figures bang up here……….The odds makers at Penn National has it right as third choice in the morning line Alasaayil looks the best out of a very weak rest. Race: 11 (7:50 PM EST Post) Penn Mile Forty Under probably wasn’t at his best, yet still finished a very good second in his last, as the favorite as it was his first start in almost six months. This son of Uncle Mo was beaten by less than five lengths in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf last year and was a Grade: 3 winner in N.Y. prior to that. Should be tighter for this, plus his trainer is winning at a whopping 31% clip with beaten favorites (in their prior races) next time out…………………I’m going to try to beat what should be a solid post time favorite in A Thread of Blue in this race, which might prove futile. This very handsome, very speedy, $430,000 son of Hard Spun, who boasts an 8-4-2-1 career record, will clearly have a tactical advantage as draws towards the rail and cuts back in distance. He is the “speed of the speed” here and could easily make every pole a winning one……………..Real News has done very little wrong thus far in his career as his 4-2-2-0 record would indicate, including recording a pair of very good seconds vs. Stakes company in his last two. His speed figures say he’s a contender as does the strong work two weeks ago……………………….Honorable Mentions: I’m not sure how Empire of War is going to make up the almost six lengths he was beaten by my top pick last time out. Perhaps this being his second start off the layoff will have him fitter, plus he has run well in both previous turf outings, including a Stakes win in N.Y., in his career………………Moon Colony was quietly making up ground late in the Kitten’s Joy at Gulfstream in his last and he did beat mid level optionals prior to that while coming home the last quarter in a very good :23.2. Could better this rating at what will probably be a square price too……………………Casa Creed was overmatched in his last but he finished right behind A Thread of Blue two starts back…………………The $410,000 son of More Than Ready, Fluminense clearly has talent, but it looks like his best game is sprinting on the dirt and not a mile on the turf. Santa Anita Park Race: 8 (7:30 PM EST Post) Santa Maria Stakes Not sure why I’m doing this race as it looks like an absolute slam dunk for two time Grade: 1 winner Paradise Woods. This mare by Union Rags has seen better days, but went back in time a bit when winning the Santa Margarita last time out by a colossal margin while her rider had her in a headlock in deep stretch. I’m not sure what caused such a big turnaround that day, it could have been the relatively weak field she was facing or perhaps, like my editor Denise, she should took a liking to “Big Money Mike”. In any event, down the road for this horse………….…Although her last five races were on the grass, Tapped possesses a strong late run but seems to come up short more times than not as her 11-2-4-0 record states. That said, note she is 0 for 9 on the turf yet 2 for 2, not only on the dirt, but also on this oval……………….La Force is just 2 for 24 but it must be noted she’s spent a lot of time chasing the likes of Unique Bella (twice), Vale Dori and superstar Monomoy Girl. Even with Paradise Woods’ tour de force win last time out, this mare meets no such rivals here. By: Gerard Apadula Director of Equine Operations and Development Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) 2019- Record: 28-91 = 31% 2018- Record: 107-261= 41% 2017- Record: 92-235 = 39% 2016- Record: 91-229 = 40% 2015- Record: 67-180 = 37% 2014- Record: 29-73 = 40% 2013- Record: 20-59= 34% 2012 -Record: 24-73= 33% 2011 –Record: N/A 2010- Record: 24-74= 33% Little Bets N’ Pieces **** Superstar Enable’s comeback delayed until the Coral Eclipse at Sandown July 6. The John Gosden trained five year old has not run since winning the Nov. 3 Breeders' Cup Turf at Churchill Downs in November, and an attempt to win a historic third Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe in October remains on the top of her list this season for 2019. Teddy Grimthorpe, racing manager to ownebreeder Khalid Abdullah, said Wednesday: "Following a piece of work on the Limekilns (in Newmarket) this morning, both John Gosden and Frankie Dettori feel Royal Ascot will come too soon for her. She will now be aimed at the Eclipse at Sandown on July 6. Her main target remains the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe."
As we roll through our holiday weekend, we will be looking at six more races across the nation on Saturday. The highlighted race will be the $400,000 Long Island Stakes at Aqueduct in New York, a marathon turf event for three year olds and up fillies and mares. While at Aqueduct, we will also be breaking down the Discovery, a nine furlong contest for three years old, and the Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship, a six furlong dash for three year olds and up on the “weeds”. Heading west, we will make a stop at Churchill Downs for a pair of two year old races in the Golden Rod Stakes for fillies and the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes for colts and geldings. Both races carry Grade: 3 status, are run for $200,000 and at a distance of 8 ½ furlongs. Lastly, we head to California for a look at the Seabiscuit Handicap, a mile and a sixteenth, Grade: 2 test on the turf for three year olds and up. Saturday, November 24, 2018 Aqueduct Racetrack Race: 6 (2:20 PM EST Post) After valiantly…and I mean valiantly… chasing Justify home in the Belmont Stakes, Gronkowski seems to have gone off form. He disappointed big time in the Travers (8th at 7/2) then, although he did make up ground late, he checked in sixth in the Jockey Club Gold Cup last time out. He’ll be the recipient of one of most favorite angles; dropping in class and cutting back in distance and I’m thinking his “B” race will still be good enough here. "He's been training well," trainer Chad Brown said. "I'm hoping the cut back in distance will be OK. He's been training pretty sharp, and it seems like the right thing to do with him right now. Hopefully, he'll get a good forward position and go on from there”. On a side note, if they beat him here my vote would be to shut him down for the winter, give him a little R&R and bring him back in the spring………………………Play “Pin the tail on the Donkey” with the rest of this field as they are difficult to separate. I’ll go with Plainsman who is peaking in form right now after winning his last two but will be taking a sizable step up in class……………….Ditto for Roaming Union as he too won his last two and steps up. Race: 7 (2:50 PM EST Post) Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship Although he rallied nicely, passing eight horses in the final 2 or 2 ½ furlongs in the BC Turf Sprint, Disco Partner was simply too far back early on to make a huge impact in that race. This almost white, now six year old gelding obviously takes an enormous drop in class and stretches out to his best distance (6 for 9 at 6 furlongs) here……………….White Flag will also be dropping in class after chasing some fleet ones out in California last time out. Good looking, well bred colt also likes this distance and has hit the board in 9 of 11 tries on the turf in his career……………………….After breaking poorly in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint, Hembree showed “nada” in that race after winning three of his previous four races. Colt by Proud Citizen drops to a more reasonable spot here and, for those of you who read me normally, no I’m not picking him to run well because Denise (my editor) and I use to own a portion of him……………………..Honorable Mentions: Blind Ambition finished within shouting distance of Disco Partner and White Flag his last two times out. More of the same would obviously be no surprise here…………………….Fielder has yet to be off the board in four tries on the turf in the mid-Atlantic region. Steps up but has been on the board in 12 of 16 overall career tries. Race: 9 (3:50 PM EST Post) Long Island Stakes After winning her first two starts since coming over from France, Lady Montdore was probably slightly overmatched when chasing upper echelon older turf female Fourstar Crook in the Grade:1 Flower Bowl last time out while finishing third. Filly by Medaglia d’Oro drops back to a much more reasonable spot here and can handle what might be an off turf course…………………………..Golden Attitude won her first race off a 15 ½ month layoff at Delaware in September then just missed in the Zagora at Belmont in her last. Distance will be no problem nor will a likely off turf course and you get the third start off the layoff angle…………………….Pollara is another French invader who ran very well (close up sixth) in the Grade: 1 E.P. Taylor in her North American debut after winning two of her first three (with a second) in her home country. Filly by Camelot also drops to a more realistic spot in this race…………………………Honorable Mentions: Lady Paname is still another filly who ships over from France with a very good career record (7-2-1-2). This good looking gray came back running off a 54 week layoff for trainer Chad Brown when beating an allowance field. We have already established the fact that Brown is deadly with these fillies he brings over from other parts of the world…………………..Tricky Escape had a three race win streak snapped in the Grade: 1 Flower Bowl. Albeit, it appears she seems to be showing signs of cycling out of form, this filly should still come out running and could be prominent throughout. Churchill Downs Race: 9 (4:57 PM EST Post) Golden Rod Stakes Restless Rider absolutely towers over this field in just about every conceivable category including money won, speed figures, race record and class. She valiantly chased home Jaywalk in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile Filly race in her last just three weeks ago. Already a Grade: 1 winner, (while the rest of this field probably don’t even know what a Grade: 1 is), this gray daughter of Distorted Humor is an easy choice here. Down the road in this spot and the only question left is, do you want to take what promises to be minuscule odds on her?..........................Break Curfew couldn’t not have looked any more impressive when wiring maidens in her racing debut. Good looking daughter of Into Mischief broke running, withstood pace pressure and pulled away down the lane while in nothing more than an in hand gallop all while registering the highest BRISNET speed figure in the field. She shows two strong subsequent works since as well. Albeit, she will be takes a major class hike and stretching out 2 ½ furlongs, her initial start was too good to ignore…………………………….Reflect made a strong middle move in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Filly race but spit out the bit and quit running at that point, eventually being eased and was beaten by 44 lengths. Not sure what happened that day, but she finished just 2 ½ lengths behind the top choice two starts back at Keeneland in the Alcibiades. Threat if she runs back to that race………………………………..Honorable Mentions: When I analyzed the replay of her last race, I liked what I saw when Champagne Anyone missed the break, then had to alter course down the lane yet still got up to beat high level optionals by a nose. Stretch runner by Street Sense’s other two career races were also very good and more importantly, she seems to be getting better as the distances get longer. Steps up but could run well in this spot also…………………………..Liora has improved through all three careers races, culminating with breaking her maiden by a colossal margin on this oval last time out. Nice work last week (5F-1:00.4) is an attention getter also…………………….Princess Causeway has won her last two vs. lesser, steps up, but might have a punchers chance here. That said, I’m not sure she likes the quirky Churchill Downs surface and her closing quarter mile (:25.4) in her last left much to be desired. Race: 11 (5:56 PM EST Post) Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes Like just about everyone else, I thought Knicks Go’s wire to wire win, at 70-1 in the Grade:1 Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland on Oct 6, was a total fluke as he got an uncontested lead, over a speed favoring track in a strangely run race. But when he came back and took command of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile leaving the half mile pole and made probable two year old champion Game Winner have to work hard to get past him at 40-1…well…it’s time start thinking he just might be for real. I’m not completely sold on him yet, but if he replicates either of those two races here, he wins. A pair of strong works since the Breeder’s Cup is an obvious positive sign. Lastly, I’m not too concerned about the extreme outside post. He has shown enough early speed where he can/should come out running and establish a good spot early on…..Find out more about this gray son of Paynter in this race……………………….Conversely, I wasn’t as surprise as everyone else when Signalman ran third behind Knicks Go in the Breeders’ Cup (at 67-1) as I had him as an “honorable mention” that day. Nice looking colt by General Quarters also finished second behind Knicks Go in the aforementioned Breeders Futurity two starts back. So, if you like Knicks Go, and this cat chased and finished fairly close behind him twice, then logically you have to like him too. Of course he doesn’t have the greatest post in the world either………………………….I hate to put Dunph this far down as from what we’ve seen so far, he could be any kind. This dark bay gelding won at first asking by a wide margin (8 ½ lengths), was purchased privately and handed over to trainer Mike Maker, and then won a Restricted Stakes race by almost 8 lengths on this very oval. So, basically he is 2 for 2 with a combined winning margin of over 15 lengths and he likes this surface……scary…………….Honorable Mentions: Roiland is a neck shy of coming into this unbeaten in three career tries. This stretch runner, from the right now unconscious (12-34= 35%) Tom Amoss barn, has improved dramatically through all three starts as well…..could be coming late once again here……………………….I thought Mick’s Star ran well when being beaten by just 2 ½ lengths in a Graded Stakes turf experiment last time out. But now he returns to the dirt where his first two races were first rate, large margined wins……………….A few other side notes in this race: Limonite is about a half length away from being three for three coming into this and was beaten by just a neck to Roiland last time out………..After a bad start in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, Current didn’t run all that bad. The $725,000 son of Curlin tries the dirt for the first time here with but with only so-so works………………………..Blue Steel improved 14 ½ lengths from start one to start two and shows a monster work (4F- :46.2) two weeks ago. Steps up and stretches out here, however. Del Mar Thoroughbred Club Race: 7 (6:30 PM EST Post) Synchrony may not have cared for the good turf course, or the Grade: 1 competition, in his last at Keeneland. If you draw a line through that race for this well traveled son of super sire Tapit, you’ll see a turf record of 9-5-2-2, including being four for six this year and two for two at this distance. No worries that this will be his first race in 49 days as he has a habit of running well fresh and he shows a blistering work on Nov. 10 (5F- :58.2)…….looks best…………………Ohio should be nominated for “Claim of the Year” as he was taken out of a one mile, $32,000 claimer in August, where he came from 14 lengths back to win and stopped the clock in an impressive 1:33.3, before being beaten by just 2 ½ lengths (third) in a Grade: 2 last time out in a mile run in a supersonic 1:32.2. This veteran is clearly in peak form right now and a 25% Drayden Van Dyke gets the leg up…..looms a threat for sure………………….Big Score is just 3 for 15 in his career and 0 for 3 this year but he is showing me signs of sitting on a big race. He has improved through each of his last three races, including finishing in front of the top pick last time out, and his Nov. 17 work (4F- :48.1 from the gate) was excellent…………….…….Honorable Mentions: Ditto for Kenjisstorm who is just 1 for 6 this year and 1 for 7 on the Del Mar turf course in his career. But his past performances suggest he might be sitting on a big one as well……………………….Pincheck gets the proverbial “dark horse” tag in this race as, with no published works and this being his U.S. debut, I have no clue as to how he will run. All I know is he’s run very well in Ireland throughout his career and more importantly, Mike Smith sees fit to take the mount. By: Gerard Apadula Director of Equine Operations and Development Knights of the Round Stable Thoroughbred Racing Team [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) 2018- Record: 99-233= 42% 2017- Record: 92-235 = 39% 2016- Record: 91-229 = 40% 2015- Record: 67-180 = 37% 2014- Record: 29-73 = 40% 2013- Record: 20-59= 34% 2012 -Record: 24-73= 33% 2011 –Record: N/A Little Bets N’ Pieces **** Juddmonte Farms announced Monday that Enable, the back to back winner of the Arc de Triomphe and the winner of the 2018 Breeders' Cup Turf, will stay in training for another racing campaign next year. A tweet from Juddmonte stated the main goal for soon to be 5 year old mare, who is 10 for 11 in her career, will be an attempt at an unprecedented third straight Arc win. **** 2017 Preakness winner Cloud Computing has been retired from racing and will enter stud in 2019 for a fee of $8,500 at Spendthrift Farm in Lexington, KY. “Cloud Computing is one of those horses that sells himself immediately when you see him. He's a classic winner, but he's also the picture of what a classic horse is supposed to look like,” said Ned Toffey, Spendthrift general manager. “For him to go on and win the Preakness over Classic Empire less than 100 days after making his debut, that's pretty special and it speaks to his quality. He's also out of a Graded Stakes running A.P. Indy mare, and the second dam won the Apple Blossom. There's a lot to like about Cloud Computing, and we believe breeders are going to love what they see.” **** After an MRI on Monday, and his doctor telling him “You're done,” jockey Gary Stevens is retiring….. For good this time. Stevens injured his C4 vertebra (pressing up against his spinal cord), following a post parade incident at Del Mar on Saturday. “There won't be any comebacks from this one,” Stevens said. “I was getting close anyway,” Stevens added. “Now it will be time to pursue other things, but thank God I'm not in a wheelchair.” Stevens, who turned 55 this year, won his first race in 1980 at Les Bois Park in Idaho before winning three Kentucky Derby (1988 Winning Colors, 1995 Thunder Gulch, and 1997 on Silver Charm). He was inducted into the National Racing Hall of Fame also in 1997. Stevens stepped away from the sport in 2005 due to knee problems but two months shy of his 50th birthday in 2013, he announced he was making a comeback. All told, Stevens won three Preakness’, three Belmont Stakes and 11 Breeders' Cup victories in 29,442 starts, 5,187 wins with career earnings of over $258 million.
My Bets For This Year's Ky Derby. Decisions Has Been Made! Good Luck To All!!!
This field looks to wide open as there are several with practically the same time if you consider the tracks, which I feel is very important. But with that comes the opportunity to cash a nice exacta and trifecta ticket. As I have said from the start, I do not spread my money out and chase every horse for a minor reward. Instead, I would rather increase my wager on the horse I like best and if right, collect a hefty sum. I probably can make a case for 12-14 horses in this race and that is even more reason to bet only the ones I like the best. My pick to win this year's derby is 2)Thunder Snow. There are several reasons I think he is the one, starting with his breeding. His sire Helmet, is a reversed bred on the same lines as Frankel. Helmet grandsire is Danehill, who is the broodmare sire of Frankel. Helmet's broodmare sire is Singspiel a grandson of Sadler's Wells. Sadler's Wells is the grandsire of Frankel through his son Galileo. Add in the fact that Helmet's 3rd dam is a big heart producer and is inbred to Germany's top distance family which also happens to be the world's top distance family responsible for producing sire lines such as Nearco, Hyperion, Tom Fool, Teddy, Native Dancer and thousands of others. Also this line produced back to back winners of the English TC and is responsible for numerous Ky Derby winners, Epsom Derby winners and Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe winners. Thunder Snow's female family is just as solid as it includes two US TC winners(Seattle Slew & Affirmed)and only adds to his stamina. He is the only horse I will use as my key and will bet a considerable amount on him to WP. The horse I like best to finish 2nd is a horse not many are considering. But I believe 19)Practical Joke will surprise a lot of handicappers when he sticks around to the end. Practical Joke is bred similar to Goldencents in that both are sons of Into Mischief and their broodmare sires were sons of Forty Niner. But then their breeding goes separate ways. Goldencents dams were all of the sprinting/miler variety while Practical Joke's dams has a winner of the 1993 BC Juvenile before an injury knock him off the derby trail, a Ky Derby winner who was also injured as a 2 YO before winning the derby, and his 5th dam is an inbred to such horses as Nearco, Pharos x3, Blenheim II, Teddy x3, Plucky Liege x3, and Mumtaz Begum(full sister to Mahmoud). To me, I simply can not eliminate that kind of breeding, especially since he has not run a bad race. My pick for third will be 1)Looking At Lee, mostly because I think he has enough speed to get a good position, should not have to use excess energy to get that position and will be running at the end. I feel he will get the first jump on the deep closers such as Gunnevera and Sonneteer and is more likely to hit the board than those two. Also, he is a son of Looking At Lucky, who I believe was the best horse not to win the derby in this decade. I will finish my betting by boxing a superfecta of 2)Thunder Snow, 19)Practical Joke, 1)Looking At Lee, and 5)Always Dreaming. On a separate ticket, I will key both 2)Thunder Snow & 19)Practical Joke in first and second with 1)Looking At Lee, 5)Always Dreaming, 4)Untrapped and 20)Patch. I really do not like Always Dreaming, but he is bred well enough and should stay clear of traffic problems that I have to use him underneath. Something tells me his last was more the result of a blazing fast track than his true ability. But that is why they run the race, instead of giving out the purse based on opinions.
With the 2018 Eclipse Awards scheduled for Jan 24th at Gulfstream Park, it is time we reviewed the year of 2018 and figure out who deserves which award. Like every year, there are several categories that there will be absolute “slam dunk” winners and others that can be debated from now until the end of time. The Eclipse Awards are the Oscars or the Tonys of the sport of Horse Racing. The horses, trainers, jockeys, and owners who did the best in their respective categories are recognized as champions in the ceremony and earn a trophy/statue of the racehorse Eclipse. Eclipse raced in the 1800’s. He amassed a perfect 18 for 18 record with almost half (eight) of those wins being “walkovers” (meaning not one other horse showed up to face him). As a sire he was flat out amazing. Close to 90% of modern day thoroughbreds on the track today trace back to Eclipse. Champion Two Year Old (Male) Nominees: Game Winner Improbable Knicks Go This division is one of several slam dunks. In fact, if Game Winner doesn’t win here, I may never watch another horse race as long as I live. This bay colt by Candy Ride was 4 for 4 with three Grade: 1 wins over three different surfaces including the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. Although he doesn’t have that visually impressive, explosive, breakaway speed and is more of a grind it out type runner, there is no way he doesn’t win. I’ve watched all four of his races and the one thing that stood out the most is I never saw him get tired at any point of any of his races. The 2019 Triple Crown distances/races should be right in his wheelhouse. I know its some five months away, but if he stays healthy, I already put him in my back pocket for Belmont Stakes………………….. Because he has the looks, stride and remarkable talent level, Improbable is affectionately known around the Bob Baffert barn as Justify’s “mini-me”, which of course is an awfully big compliment. Heck, he even occupies Justify’s old stall. Another unbeaten colt through three races and over three different surfaces, he is probably the most talented horse we’ve seen so far in this division but because of his late start (his racing debut was in late Sept) and although taking down a Grade:1 race, Game Winner simply did more. As a side note, both Game Winner and Improbable both have wins over the Churchill Downs surface already, this is a big advantage should they both make it to the Kentucky Derby………………………..Go Knicks pulled off a colossal upset (70-1) in the Grade: 1 Claiborne Breeders Futurity at Keeneland and followed that up with a strong second at 40-1 in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. But any chance of him winning this award (and they were small to begin with) fell by the wayside when he finished 11th of 14 as the 3-1 favorite in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes. My Vote: Game Winner Who WillProbablyDefinitely Win: Game Winner Champion Two Year Old (Female) Nominees Bellafina Jaywalk Newspaperofrecord Very deep division here as there are a couple of fillies I like that were understandably not nominated (Chasing Yesterday, Sippican Harbor, Restless Rider). Although I think Newspaperofrecord is the most talented filly in this division, I have to go with Jaywalk, who won four of five starts, including two Grade:1’s with one being the Breeders Cup (Dirt) Filly race by five conclusive lengths…………………Newspaperofrecord was nothing short of sensational while winning all three turf starts and all by wide margins. The Breeders’ Cup Turf Filly winner had a Grade: 2 win prior to that as well. She comes up a little short here but we absolutely MUST keep an eye on her in 2019 as she shows super star potential…………………After winning two Grade:1’s on the West Coast, Bellafina had this division by the throat but her inexplicably poor effort in the Breeders’ Cup Filly race will probably cost her dearly. My Vote: Jaywalk Who Will Probably Win: Jaywalk Champion Three Year Old (Male) Nominees Catholic Boy Justify McKinzie Another slam dunk, Justify won the Triple Crown…..enough said………...Had it not been for Justify’s Triple Crown, Catholic Boy probably wins this division based off him being a Grade: 1 winner on the turf (Belmont Derby) and on the dirt (Travers Stakes)………………..McKinzie won three of five starts this year including two Grade:1’s (Pennsylvania Derby and Malibu Stakes). I expect him to be a major player in the older horse division in 2019 as he can win sprinting or up to about nine furlongs. My Vote: Justify Who WillProbablyDefinitely Win: Justify Champion Three Year Old (Female) Nominees: Monomoy Girl Midnight Bisou Rushing Fall Still another slam dunk as Monomoy Girl had what I believe is the best three year old filly campaign since Rachel Alexandra in 2009. If not for a very questionable DQ in the Cotillion Stakes, this filly would have been 7 for 7 with six Grade: 1 wins and on six different surfaces. However, with that DQ, her record officially stands at 7-6-1-0 for 2018 with five Grade: 1’s wins, that readers, is still astonishing………….Midnight Bisou, who I still think has a boatload of talent, won 5 of 9 including two Grade:1’s but was beaten fair and square by Monomoy Girl three times, four if you count the Cotillion DQ……………Rushing Fall continues to shine as her 7-6-1-0 career record would indicate. But this mega talented filly only ran four times this year and, although winning two Grade: 2 races and a Grade: 1, she simply didn’t do enough. My Vote: Monomoy Girl Who WillProbablyDefinitely Win: Monomoy Girl Champion Older Dirt (Male) Nominees Accelerate City of Light Gun Runner Accelerate had a spectacular year while winning six of seven races and five Grade: 1’s including the Breeders’ Cup Classic. Although his one defeat came at the hands of City of Light at Oaklawn, he is still another slam dunk here…………………………….City of Light won three of five including two Grade: 1’s.and defeated Accelerate back in the Spring. In fact, his Tour de Force win the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile was one of THE most impressive wins I saw all year along. Logically however, five Grade: 1 wins trumps two Grade: 1 wins………………………Not sure how Gun Runner gets nominated here. Yes, he won the $16 million Pegasus decisively while scoring a titanic 120 speed figure, but it was his only start all year as he was whisked off to stud shortly after that race. My Vote: Accelerate Who WillProbablyDefinitely Win: Accelerate Champion Older Dirt (Female) Nominees Abel Tasman Marley’s Freedom Unique Bella Tough call…..tight division…but in the end, I have to go with last year’s Champion Filly Sprinter Unique Bella. This gray freak only ran four times this year but made the most of those four starts. The daughter of Tapit took down two Grade: 1’s (and was one nightmare trip away from winning three Grade:1’s) and a Grade: 3 earlier in the year……She gets a slight nod over Abel Tasman, who also won two Grade:1’s (both in NY) but tailed off badly towards the end of the year. This Champion filly recently sold for $5 million at the January Keeneland sale………You can make a case for Marley’s Freedom as well, as she danced all the dances in running eight times this year while Abel Tasman and Unique Bella had nine starts combined. This horse won five races including a Grade: 1 and three other Graded Stakes race on both coasts. That’s impressive, but in the end her having the reputation of a sprinter and only having one Grade: 1 win probably won’t get here there. My Vote: Unique Bella Who Will Probably Win: ??? Champion Sprinter (Male) Nominees Roy H Stormy Liberal Imperial Hint After being voted Champion Sprinter in 2018, Roy H successfully defended that title in 2018. Still another with an abbreviated campaign (five starts), he clearly got better as the year went on as he capped off 2018 with back to back Grade: 1 wins in the Santa Anita Sprint Championship and the Granddaddy of them all, the Breeders’ Cup Sprint………………Imperial Hint is so small he looks like a pony on the track but goodness gracious, he’s a running fool. He won four of six starts and he too won a pair of Grade: 1’s this year. But…and that’s a big but…. Roy H handled him with no trouble at all in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint………..It took Stormy Liberal a little while to get going after coming back from the other side of the world but in the end he won four of seven starts including the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint. That’s a big accomplishment, but not enough against the top two. Honorable Mentions to Whitmore, City of Light, World of Trouble and look out for Promises Fulfilled in 2019. My Vote; Roy H Who Will Probably Win: Roy H Champion Sprinter (Female) Marley’s Freedom won five races including four Stakes; two on each coast….that’s huge. I’m going to vote for her but Shamrock Rose, who sprung a major upset (18-1) in the Raven Run and a colossal upset (26-1) when coming “over the top” with an electrifying run in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint, will probably take home the trophy………..Finleysluckycharm won what I think should be nominated for “Race of the Year” in the Grade: 1 Madison at Keeneland. However, this mare only won one other race all year and tailed off badly in the fall. My Vote: Marley’s Freedom Who Will Probably Win: Shamrock Rose Champion Turf Horse (Male) Nominees Expert Eye Glorious Empire Stormy Liberal This division was a nightmare all year long as it was just mass confusion. I’ll go with Glorious Empire who although showed zero, zilch and nada in the Breeders’ Cup Mile, he sandwiched that with four wins including a Grade: 1 and two Grade: 2’s………………………Stormy Liberal won the Breeders’ Cup Sprint and the six furlong, Grade: 2 Eddie D Stakes but I can’t recall a turf sprinter winning ever winning this award. I expect that trend to continue………………Expert Eye was impressive while coming from behind to win the Breeders’ Cup Mile in his one and only start in this country. But that’s a blessing and curse as I’m not one for giving a foreign horse a U.S. award for winning one race in this country, even if it is the biggest one. My Vote: Glorious Empire Who Will Probably Win: I have no earthly clue Champion Turf Horse (Female) Nominees A Raving Beauty Enable Sistercharlie I mean no disrespect to Enable whatsoever. She is in the upper echelon of best grass females I’ve ever seen in my almost 40 years of being involved in this sport. She’s won 10 of 11 career starts including not one, but two runnings of one of the biggest races in the world, Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. However, the Breeders’ Cup was her one and only race in this country this year…….. Sistercharlie, who won four Grade; 1 races including two in New York, one in Illinois and one in Kentucky, gets my vote here………………...I absolutely tip my hat to Enable but, again, I’m just not one for handing a championship to a horse who has made just one start in the country…………………….A Raving Beauty won two Grade;1’s but finished behind Sistercharlie twice this year, including on the big stage, the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf. My Vote: Sistercharlie Who Will Probably Win: ?? Champion Owner Nominees Peter Brant Hronis Racing WinstaChina Club/Starlight Head of the Plains Another tough category………………In owning perhaps the two best three year olds we saw in 2018 including a Triple Crown winner.(Justify and Audible), I give the nod WinstaStarlight/China Club/Head of the Plains………………….Peter Brant, who came back to the sport after a very long hiatus, should get mentioned here as he had several Grade: 1 wins and possesses perhaps the best male and female turf runners in the country in Sistercharlie and Raging Bull………………………..Hronis Racing, led by runners Accelerate and Catalina Cruiser, had far and away their best year in their history while winning $5.8 million in purses money as compared to the $1.5 million they made in 2015. My Vote: WinstaStarlight/China Club/Head of the Plains Who Will Probably Win: ?? Champion Trainer Nominees Steve Asmussen Bob Baffert Chad Brown Another very difficult category as you can me a strong case for all three nominees. Chad Brown had a titanic year in winning 297 races, a nation leading $27.5 million in purses and his horses hit the board 61% on the time……..Steve Asmussen started an eye popping 1,905 horses, while winning far and any the most races by any trainer (513), banked about $26.5 million in purses and won the Remington Park meet for an astounding 14th time………Although Bob Baffert doesn’t compare statistically with the other two, he did have a career year for himself in winning over $21 million in purses and, of course, did I what I believe to be one of the best training jobs I’ve ever seen in taking Justify from a maiden in February to a Triple Crown winner in June. My Vote: Bob Baffert Who Will Probably Win: ??? Champion Jockey Nominees Mike Smith Jose Ortiz Irad Ortiz Jr. Irad Ortiz Jr. led the nation in just about every conceivable category including mounts (1,616), wins (346), second place finishes (277) and purse money ($27.7 million)………His younger brother Jose also had a tremendous year while finishing fourth in the nation for number of wins and second (about $900,000) behind Irad, but led in number of Graded Stakes wins (35)…………..Those two dwarf Mike Smith in all the aforementioned categories but he had 22 Graded Stakes wins on only 246 mounts. Of course riding a Triple Crown winner won’t hurt his chances either. My Vote: Irad Ortiz Jr. Who Will Probably Win: Irad Ortiz Jr.?? Horse of the Year: Nominees: Accelerate Justify Monomoy Girl I’ll bet you thought I’d open this paragraph by saying this is a very difficult category. I hate to disappoint you, but it’s not. I feel bad for the other two because in any other year, either could win racing’s highest honor, but the decision itself was an easy one. I’ll start with Monomoy Girl, who as I mentioned earlier, had perhaps the best season by a three year old filly since Rachel Alexandra in 2009. She won five Grade: 1’s, highlighted by the Breeders’ Cup Distaff, and was controversially DQ-ed from a sixth. Unfortunately, after such a tremendous season, she will probably get the least amount of votes here. Accelerate had an enormous season also. He too won five Grade: 1’s including the Breeders’ Cup Classic. That said you can argue seven days a week about who was better than who, but if you win the Triple Crown, there is no argument….you are great. The Triple Crown is still the standard in making a thoroughbred “great” as it has been around a lot longer (65 years) than the Breeders’ Cup has. Do you have to win the Triple Crown in order to be called “great”? No….see Man O’ War, Spectacular Bid, Dr. Fager, Buckpasser and about a zillion others, but it clearly leaves no argument. Since the Triple Crown’s inception in 1919, according to the Jockey Club, there have been 2,118,122 named foals but just 13 have pulled off the trio of wins……13!!!.....That’s one for every 162,932.46 thoroughbreds bred. What Justify did was unprecedented for this sport….period….end of sentence. He won six races (four Grade: 1’s, that’s just one less than his counterparts) at six different distances, on four different racetracks (Accelerate won on only two tracks) on fast, sloppy, and muddy tracks and swept the Triple Crown in just 111 days after making his career debut. Moreover, he did in 16 weeks what it took the other 12 Triple Crown winners an average of 11 months to do…..like I said….unprecedented. Yes, his season ended only half way through but it’s halfway, not one race like say Gun Runner this year. I will leave you with three final thoughts and a few quotes from some of the icons in this sport:
There is a reason why Accelerate, after running in the Pegasus at the end of this month, will stand stud in 2019 for $20,000 while Justify will stand for $125,000. That reason is because Justify won the Triple Crown.
Accelerate will still be a champion in 2018 as he is a slam dunk for Champion Older Horse, which is more than we can say for the ill fated Exceller. If the only thing you know about Exceller is that he met an ugly death in a slaughter house in Sweden, allow me to take you back exactly 40 years ago when Exceller, who had a better year in 1978 than Accelerate did in 2018, walked away with no trophies and completely empty handed.
Here was a horse who won SIX Grade: 1’s (three of the dirt and three on the turf) in 1978. He also became the only horse (and still is) ever to beat two Triple Crown winners (Affirmed and Seattle Slew) in the same race, the Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont Park that same year. Yet Seattle Slew won named Champion Older Horse that year while Affirmed took home Horse of the Year honors….why??????.....Because Affirmed won the Triple Crown.
I don’t think there should even be a discussion/debate about who should win the award but evidently there is. To those of you who are wanting to vote for Accelerate, I simply say this:
If you take American Pharoah out of this equation and Justify was the first Triple Crown winner in 40 years, would there even be a discussion/debate? Hardly…..I’m sure Justify would take every single first place vote. Steve Cauthen For me, the Triple Crown winner is definitely Horse of the Year, anytime there is one, in my opinion. I think what Justify did was pretty special, not even accounting for who he beat, but just considering he won his first race in February and supposedly bruised his foot after the Derby. Maybe that’s some of the reason the Preakness was closer than any of others, but basically, that’s what great horses do. They overcome stuff and still win. Nothing less than a great horse wins the Triple Crown. There have been a lot who have gotten close, but it takes a great one to win it. Ron Turcotte I don’t believe that a horse wining the Triple Crown should automatically make him Horse of the Year because that sometimes means they still don’t get tested against older horses. But I still feel that Justify should be this year’s Horse of the Year. He won all of his races so easily and the other horse, Accelerate, had a big year, but he didn’t go undefeated like Justify did. I was so impressed with how easily Justify won the Triple Crown that he would be my choice. D. Wayne Lukas I would vote for Justify. My opinion is that the difficulty of getting through the Triple Crown uninjured, beating the best horses, I think that’s still one of the greatest achievements there is in racing. The thing that makes it easier for an older horse is that you can pick your spots. If you can pick your spots, pick your races, pick your competition and manage your horses, that’s admirable, don’t get me wrong, but it makes things easier. With the Triple Crown, everything is already dictated for you. You can’t come out of the Derby and say, I think I’ll wait until the Travers because I need a little time. The Preakness comes up in two weeks and there you are again. The job that Bob Baffert did with that horse was extraordinary. Jerry Bailey It’s Justify. He won the Triple Crown. He’s undefeated. What he did in a short period of time. All of the above. Take nothing away from Accelerate. I think he’s a really, really good horse. But I don’t know if any horse could have done enough to beat Justify, at least in my mind. I believe that any horse that wins the Triple Crown should be Horse of the Year. It’s a pretty hard thing to do. We could go another 30 year and not have another Triple Crown winner. Dale Romans I don’t see how the Triple Crown winner cannot be Horse of the Year. I go back to the days before the Breeders’ Cup was inaugurated and the Triple Crown is still the engine that fires this game. Justify did all that he needed to do to prove to me that he was the Horse of the Year. I don’t like to talk about other people’s horses, but I will say they were both great horses. It’s just that I’m a little more old school and, to me, the power of winning the Triple Crown is impossible to overcome.
BC Turf Winners With Pedigrees--A Major Look At European Breeding!
U.S. best turf horses has always been considered a cut below the best compared to European horses. However, most think it evens out due to the faster pace of turf races and tighter turns. Many top European horses have already gone over the top(off-form)by the time the Breeders Cup rolls around. Despite this, Europeans still hold an edge over U.S. runners in the 1 1/2 mile turf race. 1984- Lashkari: Mill Reef- Larannda By Right Royal. 4x5 to Nearco & Hyperion, 5x5 To Pharos & Blenheim II. Mill Reef (Never Bend- Milan Mill By Princequillo)won 12 Of 14 races with 2 seconds in his racing career and would become a top sire in Europe. Lashkari was a late developing 3 YO that would upset heavy favorite All Along (grand daughter of Round Table) at odds of more than 50-1. 11 Starts 5 Wins 2 Seconds 3 Thirds. 1985- Pebbles(filly): Sharpen Up- La Docle By Connaught. 4x5 To Hyperion. Sharpen Up was a grand son of Native Dancer who was a 2 Yo champion and would go on to sire 10 champions in Europe, including Pebbles. 15 Starts 8 Wins 5 Seconds. Odds around 3-1(favorite). 1986- Manila: Lyphard- Dona Ysidra By Le Fabuleux. 4x5 To Nearco. This race pitted the best of the U.S. vs. the best in Europe in 1985. U.S. base Manila would win as Dancing Brave(favorite) would finish off the board in 4th for the only time in his career after starting his rally much too late. 18 Starts 12 Wins 5 Seconds. 3-1 Odds. 1987- Theatrical: Nureyev- Tree Of Knowledge By Sassafras. 4x5 to Nearco, 5(C)x5(C) to Hyperion, 5(F)x5(F) to Court Martial. Nureyev is a 3/4 brother to Sadler's Wells. The two best European horses squared off with Theatrical putting away the favorite Trempolino in deep stretch. Odds 3-1. 1988- Great Communicator: Key To The Kingdom- Blaheen By Beekeeper. 4x5 To Nearco & Prince Rose, 5x5 To Blenheim II. Key To The Kingdom is a 3/4 brother to Secretariat and sire of the 3rd dam of Pioneer ofthe Nile(sire of American Pharoah). Great Communicator was given little chance of beating Europe's best but proved many wrong as he slowed the pace to a crawled and then outsprinted everyone to the wire when asked. 56 Starts 14 Wins 10 Seconds 7 Thirds. 16-1 Odds. 1989- Prized: Kris S- My Turbulent Miss By My Dad George. 5x5 To Bull Dog. Coming into the BC Turf, Prized was most famous for beating Sunday Silence in the Swaps S. His connections decided to try the turf for the first time rather than try to beat both Easy Goer & Sunday Silence in the Classic. He came from last and won by about 3 lengths. 17 Starts 9 Wins 2 Seconds 3 Thirds. 3-1 Odds. 1990- In The Wings: Sadler's Wells- High Hawk By Shirley Heights. 4x5 To Lalun. Sadler's Wells was the top siring son of Northern Dancer and Shirley Heights was the best siring son of Mill Reef. 11 Starts 7 Wins 1 Second. 8-1 Odds. 1991- Miss Alleged(filly): Alleged- Miss Tusculum By Boldnesian. 4(C)x5(C) To War Admiral. Alleged won 9 of 10 Starts including the Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe(Fr-1)Twice. Miss Alleged found herself having to run against colts because of a filly named Salsabil (daughter Of Sadler's Wells)was dominating both colts and fillies during her best year. Came from back of the pack to win going away in the BC Turf. 15 Starts 5 Wins 4 Seconds 3 Thirds. 16-1 Odds. 1992- Fraise: Strawberry Road- Zalatia By Dictus. Outcross. Strawberry Road was a grand son Of Nijinsky II(who happens to be the last English TC winner in 1970). Fraise was considered the best of U.S. horse in 1992 but a cut below Europe's best. But he rose to the occasion and beat several other U.S. runners as Europe's best did not show their best form or not as good as the build up. 34 Starts 10 Wins 5 Seconds 6 Thirds. 14-1 Odds. 1993- Kotashaan: Darshaan- Haute Autorite By Elocutionist. 5x5 To Nasrullah. Darshaan was son of Shirley Heights. After winning a couple of minor graded stakes in Ire, he was sent to California where he swept all of California's grade turf races including the BC Turf. 22 Starts 10 Wins 5 Seconds 2 Thirds. 7-5 Favorite. 1994- Tikkanen: Cozzene- Reiko By Targowice. 4x4 to Princequillo, 5x5 to Nasrullah. Shipped in early, he won the Turf Classic(G1) at Belmont Park at 14-1 before returning a month later and winning the BC Turf at 10-1. 17 Starts 4 Wins 2 Seconds 3 Thirds. 1995- Northern Spur: Sadler's Wells- Fruition By Rheingold. 4x5 To Nearco, 5x5 To Hyperion. Brought by Charles Cella(owner of Oaklawn Park), he came over early to win the Oak Tree Invitation before coming right back and winning the BC Turf. 15 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 3 Thirds. 3-1 Odds. 1996- Pilsudski: Polish Precedent- Cocolte By Troy. 4x5 To Petition. Polish Precedent is a son of Danzig. Petition traces back to Fairway (full brother to Pharos who sired Nearco), Mill Reef, Sir Gaylord (1/2 brother to Secretariat) and Princequillo shows up in the dams families. This series of BC races was ran in Canada where the Europeans swept the top 4 spots in a star studded field. 23 Starts 11 Wins 7 Seconds 1 Third. 8-5 Odds. 1997- Chief Bearhart: Chief's Crown- Amelia Bearhart By Bold Ruckus. 3x4 To Bold Ruler, 4(F)x5(F)x5(C) to Nasrullah, 5x5 to Nearco. After finishing up the track on his home track in 1996, Chief Bearhart came back in 1997 and beat a very good field on his way to Turf Champion of 1997. 26 Starts 12 Wins 5 Seconds 3 Thirds. 9-2 Odds. 1998- Buck's Boy: Bucksplasher- Mollys Colleen By Verbatim. Outcross. Buck's Boy always tried to take the field gate to wire and was most effective when allowed to set a leisure pace. In this year's renewal, he got away with slowing the pace down and had more than enough left to keep everyone else at bay. 30 Starts 16 Wins 5 Seconds 2 Thirds. 8-1 Odds. 1999- Daylami: Doyoun- Daltawa By Miswaki. 4x5 To Princequillo. Doyoun is a son of Mill Reef. Miswaki was a son of Mr Prospector with many of U.S best sire in his female family including Buckpasser, War Admiral, Nasrullah & Bull Lea. Miswaki made his named as a broodmare sire of champions such as Galileo, Sea The Stars, My Typhoon, Daylami, etc. 21 Starts 11 Wins 3 Seconds 4 Thirds. 8-5 Odds. 2000- Kalanisi: Doyoun- Kalamba By Green Dancer. 3x4 To Never Bend. Green Dancer was a son of Nijinsky II and was a very good distance sire in Europe. 11 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 1 Third. 7-2 Odds. 2001- Fantastic Light: Rahy- Jood By Nijinsky II. 4(F)x5(F) to Nearctic, 5x5 to Nearco, Menow, Almahmoud & Cohoes. Almahmoud(filly) & Cohoes(colt)were foals of Mahmoud. Rahy is the best siring son of Blushing Groom. 25 Starts 12 Wins 5 Seconds 3 Thirds. 8-5 Odds. 2002 & 2003(DH)- High Chaparral: Sadler's Wells- Kasora By Darshaan. In 2002, High Chaparral faced U.S. speed horse With Anticipation and won by 1 1/2 lengths as the 9-5 favorite. In 2003, he faced a tougher but more compact field, rated in 4th until the top of the stretch when he challenged for the lead and looked like a winner until Johar came flying down the middle of the track as the longest shot in the field, resulting in a dead heat for the win. 2003- Johar(DH): Gone West- Windsharp By Lear Fan. 5(C)x5(C) to Nasrullah, 5(F)x5(F) to Turn-To, 4x5 to Native Dancer, Nashua, Something Royal & Mixed Marriage. Dead-heated for win in 2003 at 14-1. 16 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 2 Thirds. 2004- Better Talk Now: Talking Man- Bendita By Baldski. 4(C)x 5(C) To Buckpasser, 5x4 to Northern Dancer. Talking Man was a son of With Approval(a G1 winning son of Caro). Baldski was a son of Nijinsky II. Overlooked in betting because of the presence of Kitten's Joy, Better Talk Now came from last and ran past the whole field to win going away. 51 Starts 14 Wins 8 Seconds 5 Thirds. Odds 30-1. 2005- Shirocco: Monsun- So Sedulous By The Minstrel. Monsun is from the best producing sire line in Germany over the last 70 years. The Minstrel is a 3/4 brother to Nijinsky II. Won 2005 BC Turf over a decent field. 13 Starts 7 Wins 1 Second 3 Thirds. Odds 5-1. 2006: Red Rocks: Galileo- Pharmacist By Machiavellian. 3x4 to Northern Dancer & Fairy Bridge(through full brothers Sadler's Wells & Fairy King), 4x3 To Mr Prospector, 4(C)x5(F)x5(F) to Natalma, 5x5 to Native Dancer & Turn-To. 24 Starts 6 Wins 4 Seconds 3 Thirds. 30-1. 2007- English Channel: Smart Strike- Belva By Theatrical. Outcross. Smart Strike is sire of Curlin. Theatrical is son of Nureyev(3/4 brother to Sadler's Wells). 23 Starts 13 Wins 4 Seconds 1 Thirds. 6-1 Odds. 2008 & 2009- Conduit: Dalakani- Well Head By Sadler's Wells. 5x5 To Never Bend, 5(F)x5(F) to Native Dancer. Conduit was a lightly raced colt fresh off an upset in England's St Leger at 1 3/4 miles, he was again overlooked in the BC Turf and closed relentless to win by about 2 lengths at 16-1. He returned in 2009 and repeated as the odds-on favorite at 4-5. 2010- Dangerous Midge: Lion Heart- Adored Slew By Seattle Slew. 4(C)x4(F)x5(F) to Hail To Reason, 5x5 To Raise A Native. Lion Heart ran 2nd to Smarty Jones in 2004 Ky Derby. Adored Slew broodmare sire is Affirmed whose best runners preferred the turf. 11 Starts 6 Wins 1 Third. Odds 5-1. 2011- St Nicholas Abbey: Montjeu- Leaping Water By Sure Blade. 5x5 to Forli. Montjeu is a son of Sadler's Wells. Sure Blade is a grandson of Sharpen Up(who himself was grand son of Native Dancer). 21 Starts 9 Wins 2 Seconds 7 Thirds. Odds 16-1. 2012- Little Mike: Spanish Steps- Hay Jude By Wavering Monarch. 4x5 to In Reality, 5x5 to Raise A Native. Spanish Steps was a unraced full brother to Unbridled's Song. Little Mike was usually a front runner, but since he had never gone 1 and 1/2 miles, his connections decided to lay off the pace and ask him to run in the stretch, which he responded to win by 1 1/2 lengths. 30 Starts 14 Wins 2 Seconds 1 Third. Odds 17-1. 2013- Magician: Galileo- Absolutelyfablous By Mozart. 3x5 to Northern Dancer, 5x5 to Raise A Native. Galileo is a son of Sadler's Wells. Mozart is a son of Danehill making Magician bred on the same lines as Frankel. Coming off a five month laid off, he was overlooked in the betting and produced a kick in the stretch that got him up to win by 1/2 length. 14 Starts 5 Wins 4 Seconds. 23-1. 2014- Main Sequence: Aldebaran- Ikat By Pivotal. 5(C)x5(F)x5(F) x5(F) to Northern Dancer. Aldebaran is a son of Mr Prospector from a Private Account mare, Pivotal is a grandson of Nureyev and Cozzene is his broodmare sire. 20 Starts 9 Wins 3 Seconds 3 Thirds. 6-1 Odds. 2015- Found(filly)Galileo- Red Evie By Intikab. 3x4 To Northern Dancer, 4x5 to Mr Prospector, 5x5 to Hail To Reason. Intikab is a grand son of Roberto, a major breeding influence both on dirt and turf, especially at longer distances. Dynaformer, Kris S, Arch, Barbaro, Brian's Time, Zenyatta(on her dam side), etc descends from Roberto. Trainer Aidan O'Brien and Owners Magnier, Tabert & Smith have combine to win 5 BC Turf. Jockeys Frankie Dettori and Ryan Moore each has 4 wins in this race. 6 geldings have won this race and so has 3 fillies. 3 YOs have won this race 9 times, 4 YOs have won 14 runnings and 5 YO have won 10 runnings, including one dead heat for the win..
With the 2016 Melbourne Cup just around the corner, I wanted to give our thoughts of some local and international raiders to keep your eye on for the big race. (“Local” to us is Australia to those reading from further afield). I’ll also give a rating after each selection. Would be great to see what you think of the tips and to see your selections too. Between us let’s find some winners! If you’re new to racing then I’ve written up a Horse Racing Betting Strategy article which you can find if you click on the OLBGAustralia profile link. If you are not into betting or tipping then this article is not for you. We always want to keep betting fun, so please be sensible. Local Horses to Watch Hartnell 6yo G (Authorized x Debonnaire) John O’Shea The new Australian track star, Hartnell will be sure to have his fans if he is entered on the Melbourne Cup journey. We’ll be watching him closely in the run up to the big race. “The most improved horse in the country, Hartnell will be very hard to beat in this years Melbourne Cup. He has been spacing his rivals this prep and performing in WFA racing so with a good weight and under handicap conditions he will be the hardest to beat. Despite struggling over 2 miles in the past, reports are that he has been settling much better in his races this time in which should help him stay the trip.” OLBG Australia Rating 6.5/10 Jameka 4yo M (Myboycharlie x Mine Game) Ciaron Maher “She is an extremely consistent mare who was just behind the winner in several G1 races in the Autumn. She is racing in good form this prep yet again and you know she will be around the mark. Her Naturalism win was very impressive against other Cup hopefuls like Gallant and if she can manage to stay the trip will be very hard to beat.” OLBG Australia Rating 7/10 Almoonqith 7yo H (Dynaformer x Bohemian Lady) “A bit of a wildcard, Almoonqith could be one to bob up at odds in this years Cup. Having already guaranteed a start in the race connections can take their time with him this time in and just have him ready to go on the day. He was never a chance in last years cup when he sat at the tail in what was a farcically slow run race. He has strong 2 mile form as well which is good when there are question marks over a lot of the others running out the trip.” OLBG Australia Rating 6/10 Gallante 6yo G (Montjeu x Crazy Volume) Robert Hickmott “At a bit of odds Gallante looks a good bet to win this years Melbourne Cup. He won the Sydney Cup in the Autumn over 2 miles where he had no problems running out the trip from the front. He seems to have returned in great form this Spring too with a very good 2nd to Jameka in the Naturalism first up where he had to carry 58.5kg and give 3kg to the winner. He should be a good improver off that run and be in with a good shot in the Cup.” OLBG Australia Rating 6/10 Real Love 6yo M (Desert King x Flaming Heart) Darren Weir “A Darren Weir mare who is flying this prep. After a fast finishing 2nd first up she came out and won the JRA Cup by 3 lengths and announced herself as a legitimate cups hope. There are question marks over whether she can run out the distance but she has a good turn of foot and if the race isn't run very fast (which is quite often isn't lately) then she will be the hardest to hold out at the end.” OLBG Australia Rating 3/10 International Horses Wicklow Brave 8yo G (Beat Hollow x Moraine) Willie Mullins “Wicklow Brave comes into the Cup with great international form having beaten the one-time favourite and Prix de l'arc de Triomphe placegetter Order of St George at his latest start. If Order of St George was running he would be a short priced favourite so at the EW odds Wicklow Brave is good value.” OLBG Australia Rating 7/10 Curren Mirotic 9yo G (Heart’s Cry x Star Mie) Osamu Hirata “Tipping the Japanese raider Curren Mirotic to get the win here. Japanese horses have a very good record when coming to Australia with Delta Blues/Pop Rock running the quinella and Admire Rakti winning the Caulfield Cup. This horse has a similar profile to those horses and comes through similar form races including the Tenno Sho. Even though he is 9 years old he has good tactical speed and will be able to take a forward position which really helps.” OLBG Australia Rating 6/10 Scottish 5yo G (Teofilo x Zeiting) Charlie Appleby “He has very consistent form over the past 12 months and is a younger horse on the way up. Despite not having run over 2 miles before he has strong form around horses like Highland Reel who have run and performed very well in Australia in the past. Our 2 mile races aren't as strong as European 2 mile races so the distance shouldnt be too much of a concern and he has a turn of foot that is needed in Australian racing.” OLBG Australia Rating 4/10 Woould be good to hear any thoughts on these!
Narrowing Bloodlines Down To Basics To Help Others Understand The Concepts Of Breeding.
There are so many components of breeding that it can and usually does become confusing, especially to bettors who are just starting out or never really believed in the potential of pedigrees to make a profit at the race track(or in breeding horses, for that matter). There are a few horses from the late 1700's that still have an effect on breeding more than 200 years later. Prunella was a champion producer from the late 1700 that was inbred(horses appearing 2 or more times in first 5 generations)to 7 different horses, the 2 most important being Crofts Partner and Flying Childers. Prunella's sire and dam were both crossed with top sires. Prunella produced 8 major daughters that influenced breeding including her daughter(by Trumpator)who would later proved to be the original carrier of the dominant large heart. Meanwhile, a son of Eclipse named King Fergus started his own distance loving sire line when his 2nd dam Fanny was another cross of Crofts Partner and Flying Childers. These were the two major lines that came from the late 1700's and their lines are still very active today. Pocahontas was one of the most influential dams of her time and she was a cross of Penelope on her sire's dam side and King Fergus on her broodmare sire side. Pocahontas is dam of Stockwell, Rataplan, and King Tom(broodmare sire of St Simon). All three sons were major runners in their eras but their influence was much more important as stallions. Stockwell and St Simon can be found in most of the top horses today including Man O'War, Plucky Liege, Teddy, Nearco, Hyperion, Blenheim II, Phalaris and many more. All major runners and producers that breed on runs through the top two horses I mentioned above(Prunella & King Fergus). The more times their bloodlines appear and/or crosses, the better the opportunity to cash gigantic payoffs because this angle is almost always missed. The major sire lines you should be looking today for crossing and/or inbred includes: Phalaris- Sire line of Stockwell. His broodmare sire was Sainfoin who was sire of Rock Sand(an English TC winner and broodmare sire of Man O' War). His 2nd dam was a daughter of St Simon. Phalaris is the sire line of horse such as Tom Fool(sire of Buckpasser), Native Dancer, Fairway and his full brother Pharos (sire of Nearco), Turn-To, Hail To Reason, etc. The one common factor in all their pedigrees is each were bred at least once more with a St Simon bloodline whether it be through a sire or dam. Hyperion(Gainsborough- Selene By Chaucer)Gainsborough was English TC winner of 1918 to become his sire Bayardo 2nd TC winner in a row. He had 3 crosses of Galopin(sire of St Simon)in his first 4 Generations. Hyperion's broodmare sire Chaucer is a son of St Simon and his daughter Selene was his most influential foal, both on the track and as a producer. Hyperion's foals ran in top class sprinting, going distances, on off tracks, turf and in every condition imaginable. Hyperion also appears in the pedigrees of at least 25 Ky Derby winners and 40 Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe winners, thanks mostly to his grandson Northern Dancer, and his great grandsons Sadler's Wells and his 3/4 brother Nureyev along with Danzig. Princequillo(Prince Rose- Cosquillo By Papyrus)His sire line was one of the last direct descendant of St Simon. His sire line was struggling along until his sire was mated with Cosquillo, who happen to be inbred 4x5 to both Galopin and his son St Simon. Princequillo sired many distance loving sons but his daughters kept his bloodlines active, even through today. Secretariat's dam is a daughter of Princequillo but he was largely a disappointment at stud mostly because he was an outcross and breeders for the most part kept his foals that way. But his daughters had good success when they were bred back into the sire lines that were producing top horses for many generations. Seattle Slew, on the other hand, was bred on the exact same lines but he was inbred 4x4 to Nasrullah and his dam was inbred 4x4 to War Admiral and Baby League(a daughter of the great mare La Troienne). Nearco(Pharos- Nogara By Havresac) Nearco was unbeaten on the race track and is probably the most recognizable sire in the U.S. along with Mr Prospector. However, his sire, Pharos, sired at least 6 other top sons that dominated European racing and breeding for many years. Nearco's top sons Nearctic, Royal Charger, and Nasrullah dominated racing in the U.S. throughout the late 1900's mostly due to sons and daughters of Northern Dancer, Hail To Reason, and Bold Ruler. Most of Northern Dancers foals were brought up by Europeans and sent over seas to race where they dominated while Bold Ruler line foals dominated the Ky Derby throughout the 1970's(8 of 10 Derbys won by Bold Ruler sire lines, including 2 TC Winners and another near miss). The way this information should be put to use is to identify the same families crossing either on one side of a pedigree or on each side of a pedigree. I have been watching breeding for more than 35 years, but only recently have I dug deep down into pedigrees to try to find out the real meaning of pedigrees. I searched over thousands of races that I bet on thru the years and recognized hundreds of winners that I was so close to betting, but decided to go another way by process of elimination. As a result of not getting the big picture, I estimated that I left almost a quarter million on the table that could have gone the other way with a little more understanding of what I was looking at. The process should be: 1)Identify the top sire in a pedigree and see if there are any crosses through brothers, sisters, sires, dams, etc. through the first 5 generations. Also check the dams(mostly five bottom dams to identify solid producers that may be a dominant large heart carrier). This is usually noticeable by looking at each dam's sire did on the track or as a stallion. You usually will not be able to identify a large heart carrier until years after a filly is deceased, though there are a few exceptions. However, her track record means little or nothing. 2) Look for some type of ability in each horse(workouts, races, etc). Just because a horse is well bred means nothing if the trainer does not get him fit, he is often hurt, or even if he has no desire to compete. 3) Often, there will be more than one option per race. The last step I will take is identify the sire. Sire should show he enjoyed competing in his races or someone is his immediate line should show some kind of competitiveness. Then, as mentioned above, look thru his dams for some kind of competitiveness and good breeding. 4)Just a reminder, I will be looking for sires and runners from the Nearco lines for both sprint and distance runners, Mr Prospector lines for off tracks and sprint to mid distances runners, Nasrullah for mostly sprinters unless his line is bred to stout female lines, Hyperion, Teddy and Plucky Liege for any distances and types of tracks, Sadler's Wells for distances turf runners, Danzig for sprint and mid distance turf runners but all distances on the dirt and off tracks. If you keep your options to these few sires and learn their strengths and weakness, then you will start realizing solid profits with a lot less effort.
2003 Breeders Cup Races With Winners, 2nd Place Finishers and Beaten Favorites, Along With Trainer, Jockeys And Owners. Familiar Names In Almost Every Race!
2003 BC Classic: Pleasantly Perfect(1998) Pleasant Colony- Regal State By Affirmed. Outcross in first five generations. Almost 4 month break. 3rd G2 San Antonio H at 1 1/8 mile, 4th G1 Santa Anita Derby at 1 1/4 mile. another 7 month break to wait for BC, won G2 Goodwood BCH at 1 1/8 mile, won G1 BC Classic in second start back from most recent break and 4th start of the year at odds of 14-1. Pleasantly Perfect simply ran to his pedigree and he was by far the best bred horse for the distance as his sire won both the KY Derby & Preakness and finished third in the Belmont S in 1981 and his broodmare sire Affirmed won the 1978 Triple Crown. He also got the perfect setup with 2 dueling front runners in Medaglia D 'Oro and Congaree battling most of the way. Jockey was Alex Solis, trainer was Richard Mandella, owner was Diamond A Racing Corp. This was Mandella 4 winner of a BC race on this day. Medaglia D'Oro(1999) El Prado- Cappucino Bay By Bailjumper. Outcross in first 5 generations. 3 month break. won G2 Strub S at 1 1/8 mile, won G2 Oaklawn H at 1 1/8 mile, won G1 Whitney H at 1 1/8 mile, 2nd G1 Pacific Classic at 1 1/4 mile, 2nd G1 BC Classic at 1 1/4 mile in his fifth start of the year as favorite at odds of 5-2. Medaglia D'Oro only other loss that year came against Candy Ride track record performance in the Pacific Classic. The only two races he failed to hit the board in his career was the G1 Ky Derby & G1 Preakness in back to back races and that was more due to lack of experience when compared to other horses of his year than anything else. Jockey was Jerry Bailey, trainer was Bobby Frankel, owner was Juddmonte Farms. 2003 BC Juvenile Dirt: Action This Day(2001) Kris S- Najecam By Trempolino. Outcross in first 5 generations. ran 2nd in maiden race at 1 mile, won maiden race at 1 1/16 mile, won G1 BC Juvenile in his 3rd lifetime start at odds of 26-1. The BC Juvenile demostrated once again what happens when need the lead type clashes in the same race. There were six horses entered in here that had never won unless they got an easy lead and sat a moderate pace. After a 109 4/5 pace for six furlongs which was much fast than even I could have predicted, Action This Day came from last and won going away. Minister Eric was just in front of him and getting some play but his pedigree was suspected at that distance which cost him the chance at a win, though he was 5 lengths clear of the third place horse. Jockey was David Flores, trainer was Richard Mandella, owner was B Wayne Hughes. Minister Eric(2001) Old Trieste- Musical Minister By Deputy Minister. Outcross in first 5 generations. ran 4th in maiden race at 5 1/2 furlongs to Lucky Pulpit, ran 3rd in maiden race at 5 1/2 furlongs to Siphonizer, won maiden race at 6 furlongs, 2nd G2 Del Mar Futurity at 7 furlongs to Siphonizer, ran 2nd in G1 BC Juvenile in fifth start at 8.70-1 odds. He had laid close to the pace in all his previous races, so I thought he was up against it in here but I had overlook one important factor and that was his trainer was on a winning streak rarely seen. Jockey was Alex Solis, trainer was Richard Mandella, owner was Diamond A Racing. Cuvee(2001) Carson City- Christmas Star By Star De Naskra. 5(C)x5(C)x5(F) To Nasrullah. won maiden race at 4 1/2 furlongs in 51 1/5 by 6 lengths, won G3 Ky Cup Juvenile S at 5 1/2 furlongs by 8 lengths, 3rd G3 Bashford Manor at 6 furlongs, won G2 Saratoga Special at 6 1/2 furlongs by 7 1/2 lengths, won G1 Futurity S at 1 mile by 8 1/2 lengths, then ran 12th and last in the G1 BC Juvenile as the 8-5 favorite. I had thrown him out of all my bets because his sire Carson City was a speedy son of Mr Prospector and he had yet to show he could rate behind horses and then go by when asked. However he did look the fastest of all but I knew he would have company early and I was willing to take the chance he would fade when pressured late. He was 4th and battling for the lead for six furlongs before he had enough and started a steady fade. Jockey was Jerry Bailey, trainer was Steven Asmussen, owner was Winchell Thoroughbreds & Spendthrift Farms. 2003 BC Distaff: Adoration(1999) Honor Grades- Sewing Lady By Key To The Mint. 5x4 to Princequillo. 4th in G2 El Encino S at 1 1/16 mile on January of 4 YO season then given a 7 month break, won Piedra Fountain H at one mile, 3rd G2 Lady's Secret H at 1 1/16 mile, won G1 BC Distaff at 1 1/8 mile in her 3rd start since an extended break and fourth race of the year at 40-1. While I loved her pedigree, this is one I totally overlooked as her form made her looked overmatched. Her sire, Honor Grades is a 1/2 to A.P. Indy & Summer Squall and her broodmare sire Key To The Mint won all the major races in New York for 3 YOs of 1972, including the Travers and his 5 race winning streak was snapped in the Jockey Club Gold Cup when a fast closing second in his first attempt against older horses. But the Lady's Secret was better than it looked on paper, especially since it was her second start back from a layoff. She set the pace in moderate fractions and looked like she was running a big race when eventual 2nd place finisher Elloluv veered in into her path, causing her to steady. She ended up running fourth beaten 3 lengths but was placed 3rd through DQ. Finishing just ahead of her was Azeri, who was losing for the 2nd time in 17 lifetime starts and her connections decided to pass the BC Distaff, which she had won in 2002. Adoration jumped out front and set the same fractions in the Distaff, but did not tire this time and drew off to win by 4 1/2 lengths. Jockey was Patrick Valenzeula, trainer was David Hofmans, owner was Amerman Racing. Elloluv(2000) Gilded Time- Currency Quest By Cryptoclearance. 4x5 To Bold Ruler, 5x5 to Nasrullah. No break. won G2 Santa Ynez S at 7 furlongs, 2nd G1 Las Virgenes S at 1 mile, 2nd G1 Santa Anita Oaks at 1 1/16 mile, won G1 Ashland S at 1 1/16 mile, 4th G1 Ky Oaks at 1 1/8 mile, then got a 4 1/2 month break, 4th G2 Lady's Secret H(DQ from 2nd for impeding rival)at 1 1/16 mile, 2nd G1 BC Distaff at 1 1/8 mile at odds of 8.80-1. The BC Distaff was the probable outcome of the Lady's Secret H had Elloluv kept a straight course as Azeri had already given her all and Got Koko(the 3rd place finisher in the distaff) did not get by until after the trouble had occurred. Jockey was Corey Nakatani, trainer was Craig Dollase, owner was J Paul Reddam. Sightseek(1999) Distant View- Viviana By Nureyev. 4x5 To Native Dancer, 5(C)x3(F)x4(F) To Northern Dancer. Less than 2 month break. 2nd G1 Santa Monica at 7 furlongs, 2nd G2 La Canada S at 1 1/8 mile, 2nd G1 Santa Margarita H at 1 1/8 mile, won G1 Humana Distaff H at 7 furlongs, won G1 Ogden Phipps H at 1 1/16 mile, Won G1 Go For Wand H at 1 1/16 mile by 11 1/2 lengths, won G1 Beldame H by 4 1/2 lengths, ran 4th in her 8th start of the year in an even effort at odds of 3-5. What happen? You could say she was starting to tail off after 7 hard races in a row but a bigger reason was she ran on a track that had a strong speed bias which went against her style of running late. No horse passed another in this race with the exception of two front runners that faded more than someone ran by them. Jockey was Jerry Bailey, trainer was Bobby Frankel, owner was Juddmonte Farms. 2003 BC Turf: (Only Dead-Heat for win in BC History) Johar(1999) Gone West- Windsharp By Lear Fan. 4x5 To Native Dancer, Nashua, Something Royal & Mixed Marriage. won G2 San Marcos H at 1 1/4 mile on turf for third major win in a row in January, then got 7 month break, ran 3rd of 3 horses in Harry Brubaker H at 1 1/16M on turf, 2nd G1 Clement L Hirsch Memorial Turf Championship S at 1 1/4 mile, DH for win in G1 BC Turf at 1/2 mile on turf at odds of 14-1 in his third start back from layoff and fourth of the year. His pedigree suggested he would get stronger the further they went mostly because his dam was a multiple G1 stakes winner on turf at 1 1/2 miles and further, beating colts several times. Jockey was Alex Solis, trainer was Richard Mandella, owner was The Thoroughbred Corp. High Chapparral(1999) Sadler's Wells- Kasora By Darshaan. Outcross in first 5 generations. 9 1/2 month break. His only agenda for 2003 was defending his title in this race and he was pointed to it by getting a longer break than most. won G2 Royal Whip S(Ire), won G1 Champion S(Ire), 3rd G1 Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe(Fr), DH for win in the G1 BC Turf at odds of 4.80-1 in his fourth start of year. Jockey was Michael Kinane, trainer was Aidan O'Brien, owner was Coolmore Stables(Tabor & Magnier). Storming Home(1998) Machiavellian- Try To Catch Me By Shareef Dancer. 2x3 To Mr Prospector, 4x4 To Natalma, 4(C)x5(C)x5(F)x5(F) To Native Dancer, 5x5 To Nasrullah, 5(C)x5(C)x5(F) To Almahmoud, 5 1/2 month break. won Jim Murray Memorial H at 1 1/2 mile on turf, won G1 Charles Whittingham Memorial H. at 1 1/4 mile on turf, 4th(DQ from 1st) G1 Arlington Million at 1 1/4 mile on turf, won G1 Clement L Hirsch Memorial Turf Championship H at 1 1/4 mile on turf, 7th in the BC Turf in his fifth race on year at odds of 2-1. What Happen? My guess is his jockey empty the tank to win a $250000 race when he had to make up 2 lengths in the last eighth to win while the horse he ran down was using that race as a paid workout and was not asked for his best by his jockey. But regardless, the horse came up empty and faded at the point he had started to move in his previous races. Jockey was Gary Stevens, trainer was Neil Drysdale, owner was Shiek Maktoum Bin Rashid Al Maktoum. 2003 BC F&M Turf: Islington(1999)Sadler's Wells- Hellenic By Darshaan. Outcross in first 5 generations. 7 1/2 month break. 3rd G1 Prince Of Wales's S(Eng), 6th G1 Eclipse S(Eng), won G1 Yorkshire Oaks(Eng), 3rd G1 Irish Champion S(Ire), won BC F&M Turf in her fifth start of year as favorite at 2.90-1. She returned in 2003 after running a fast closing 3rd in this same race in 2002. Jockey was Kieren Fallon, trainer was Sir Michael Stoute, owners was Executors of the late Lord Weinstock. L'Ancresse(2000) Darshaan- Solo De Lune By Law Society. Outcross in first 5 generations. Don't know exactly how many races she ran as a 3 Yo and in what order but--- 15th G1 Eng 1000 Guineas at 1 mile, 2nd Irish 1000 Guineas Trial(Ire) at one mile, 4th G1 Irish 1000 Guineas(Ire) at one mile, 15th G1 Epsom Oaks at 1 1/2 miles, won Barathea Finale(Ire) at 1 1/2 mile, 2nd G1 Irish Oaks(Ire), 5th G1 Yorkshire Oaks at 1 1/2 mile, 2nd BC F&H Turf at 1 1/4 mile at odds of 46-1. Jockey was Edgar Prado, trainer was Aidan O'Brien, owner was Coolmore Stables(Tabor & Magnier). Yesterday(2000)Sadler's Wells- Jude By Darshaan. Outcross in first 5 generations. 8th G1 1000 Guineas(Eng) at 1 mile, won G1 Irish 1000 Guineas(Ire)at 1 mile, 2nd G1 Epsom Oaks(Eng) at 1 1/2 mile, 4th G1 Irish Oaks(Ire), 2nd G1 Prix Vermeille(Fr) at 1 1/2 miles, 2nd G1 Prix De L'Opera(Fr) at 1 1/4 mile, 3rd G1 BC F&M Turf in her 7th race of the year at odds of 14-1, Jockey was Michael Kinane, trainer was Aidan O'Brien, owner was Coolmore Stables(Tabor & Magnier). 2003 BC Juvenile Fillies: Halfbridled(2001) Unbridled- Half Queen By Deputy Minister. 3x4 To Mr Prospector, 5x5 To Buckpasser. won maiden race at 5 1/2 furlongs, won G1 Del Mar Debutante S at 7 furlongs, won G2 Oak Leaf S at 1 mile, won BC Juvenile fillies in 4th start as the 2.30-1 favorite Jockey was Julie Krone, trainer was Richard Mandella, owner was Wertheimer and Frere. Ashado(2001) Saint Ballado- Goulash By Mari's Book. 3x5 To Cosmah, 4x5 To Almahmoud. Won maiden race at 5 1/2 furlongs, won G2 Schuylerville S at 6 furlongs, won G1 Spinaway S at 7 furlongs, 3rd G1 Frizette S at 1 1/16 mile, 2nd BC Juvenile Fillies in fifth start at 13-1. Jockey was John Velasquez, trainer was Todd Pletcher, owner was Starlight Racing. 2004 BC Turf Mile: Six Perfections(2000) Celtic Swing- Yogya By Riverman. 5x5 To Roman. Her dam, Yogya is a 1/2 sister to Miesque, a two time winner of G1 BC Turf Mile. 6 month break. Won Prix Imprudence(Fr) at 7 furlongs, 2nd G1 1000 Guineas(Eng)at 1 mile, 2nd G1 Irish 1000 Guineas(Ire) at 1 mile, 2nd G2 Prix D'Astarte(Fr) at 1 mile, won G1 Prix Jacques Le Marois(Fr) at 1 mile, won G1 BC Turf Mile at 1 mile in her 6th race of the year at odds of 5-1. Jockey was Jerry Bailey, trainer was Pascal Bary, owner was Flaxman Holdings. Touch Of The Blues(1997) Cadeaux Genereux- Silabteni By Nureyev. 5x5 To Native Dancer. 5 1/2 month break. 3rd G2 Maker's Mark Mile S at 1 mile on turf, 3rd G1 Shoemaker BC Mile S at 1 mile on turf, won Wickerr S at 1 mile on turf, won G1 Atto Mile H(Can) at 1 mile on turf, 3rd G1 Shadwell Turf Mile S at 1 mile on turf, 2nd G1 BC Turf Mile at 1 mile on turf at 11.90-1 in his six start of year. He was back for his second try at this race as he ran 10th in 2002. Jockey was Kent Desomeaux, trainer was Neil Drysdale, owner was Sheik Maktoum Bin Rashid Al Maktoum. Peace Rules(2003) Jules- Hold To Fashion By Hold Your Peace. 5(C)x5(C)x5(F) To Native Dancer. 2 month break. won G2 La. Derby at 1 1/16 mile, won G1 Blue Grass S at 1 1/8 mile, 3rd G1 Ky Derby at 1 1/4 mile, 4th G1 Preakness S at 1 3/16 mile, won G1 Haskell Inv. at 1 1/8 mile, 2nd G1 Travers S at 1 1/4 miles, 13th and last in the G1 BC Turf Mile in his 7th race race of the year and first start on turf as the favorite at 3-1. Pedigree was saying very unlikely, especially against this kind and first attempt. Jockey was Edgar Prado, trainer was Bobby Frankel, owner was Edmund Gann. 2003 BC Sprint: Cajun Beat(2000) Grand Slam- Beckys Shirt By Cure For Blues. 5(C)x5(C)x5(F) To Bold Ruler. no break. won allowance at 6 furlongs in 109 2/5, 6th G2 Hutcheson S at 7 furlongs, 6th G3 Tampa Bay Derby at 1 1/16 mile, won Hallandale Beach S at 7 furlongs, 9th Matt Winn S at 6 furlongs, 2nd allowance at 5 furlongs on turf, 2nd G3 Carry Back S at 6 furlongs, won G3 Ky Cup Sprint at 6 furlongs in 109 3/5, won G1 BC Sprint at 6 furlongs in 108 flat in his 9th start of year and by far the fastest time he ever ran at 22.80-1. His next start, he return to his 109 range and won again at GP, indicating SA was either a full second faster or heavily bias for speed. He never won on dirt again after that. Jockey was Cornelio Velasquez, trainer was Steve Margolis, owner was Padua Stables and John & Joseph Iracane. Bluesthestandard(1997) American Standard- Bob's Blue By Bob's Dusty. 4(C)x5(C)x5(F) to Nasrullah. No break. won allowance O/C at 6 1/2 furlongs in 115 2/5, won allowance O/C at 1 1/16 mile, won G2 Potrero Grande S at 6 1/2 furlongs in 114 4/5, won G3 Texas Mile S at one mile, 3rd G3 Lone Star Park H at 1 1/16 mile, 6th G1 Triple Bend BCH at 7 furlongs, 3rd G2 Bing Crosby BCH at 6 furlongs in 108 flat, 7th G2 Pat O'Brien BCH at 7 furlongs, 3rd G2 Ancient Title BCH at 6 furlongs in 108 flat, 2nd BC Sprint at 6 furlongs in 108 flat in his 19th start of year at odds of 13.70-1. Jockey was Mike Smith, trainer was Ted West, owner was Jeff Sengara. Aldebaran(1998) Mr Prospector- Chimes Of Freedom By Private Account. Outcross in first 5 generations. 3 month break, won G1 San Carlos H at 7 furlongs, 2nd G1 Carter H at 7 furlongs, won G2 Churchill Downs H at 7 furlongs, won G1 Metropolitan H at 1 mile, 3rd G1 Stephen Foster H at 1 1/8 mile, won G2 Tom Fool H at 7 furlongs, won G1 Forego H at 7 furlongs, ran 6th in G1 BC Sprint in his 8th race of year as the favorite at odds of 2-1. He was pretty much running into a strong bias that he could not overcome but few can. Jockey was Jerry Bailey, trainer was Bobby Frankel, owner was Flaxman Holdings.
Nyquist: 130 Points: Nyquist's first four sires were high class speed horses that excelled at distances up to 1 1/8 miles. This line is from the family of Nasrullah won did not win pass 7 furlongs but sire a few horses that tolerated more distance(Bold Ruler, Nashua, Never Bend, Noor, etc) but only when bred with stouter mares. Nashua won the Preakness & Belmont but ran 2nd To Swaps in the Ky. Derby(His broodmare sire dam was a 3/4 sister to Man O' War who won 17 of 23 races the same years her 3/4 brother dominated). Uncle Mo's grand sire In Excess sired many high class speed horses but they also top out at 1 1/8 mile. Indiana Charlie, his sire, ran 3rd in the 1998 Ky. Derby behind Real Quiet and went on to be a successful sire of mostly sprinters with one daughter winning a G1 1 1/4 mile race(Fleet Indian) before she pulled up in the BC Distaff after easing in her last career start. Nyquist Broodmare sire Arch won the G2 Super Derby and is the sire of Blame, a multiple G1 winner @ 1 1/4 mile who became the only horse to finish ahead of Zenyatta in her twenty race career in the BC Classic(G1). Sire of second dam, Dixieland Band is son of Northern Dancer and a broodmare sire of Street Sense and several more classy runners but did not win past 1 1/16 mile. The sire of Nyquist 4th dam is Cyane(a royally bred son of Turn-to) who sired several classy runners but none past 1 1/8 mile. Turning to Nyquist female family: Broodmare sire Forestry had the look and built of a champion distance horse but soon found out his limit to be 1 1/16 mile. Forestry is most famous as sire of $16 yearling Green Monkey won did not win in 6 starts and also was a bust at breeding. Forestry sire is Storm Cat (also sire of American Pharoah's Broodmare Sire last year)whose sons and daughters found their distance limitations to be under a mile except for one noted exception and that is Giant's Causeway(a Multiple G1 winner @ 1 1/2 mile with a lot of underneath breeding). Sire Of Nyquist's second dam is Seeking the Gold( a high class son of Mr Prospector) who ran evenly in Winning Colors 1988 Ky. Derby but later would win the G1 Super Derby and run second in the G1 BC Classic(both at 1 1/4 mile). He went on to sire several champions and quite a few distance runners but is a very successful sire. Cox's Ridge(Grandson Of Turn-To) was sire of many high class runners but most top out at 1 1/16 mile but a few made it to 1 1/8 mile. Sire of his fourth dam is Art And Letters(son of Ribot who was unbeaten and two time winner of the Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe @ 1 1/2 miles)who won the Belmont Stakes of 1969 after Majestic Prince broke his leg while on his way to sweep the TC and ending up 2nd. Arts and Letters was a successful sire who sired Codex(Preakness) as his best distance runner. My take on this horse is he is too speed oriented with not enough stamina or fast enough to carry his speed for 1 1/4 mile. Winning Colors was the last to wire the derby and she set a 46.4 and a 110.4 as the only speed and was rubber legged at wire but managed to hold off Forty Niner by a neck. But if you feel strongly about him, be my guest as I have always tried to beat these types and will continued to do so. I would much rather lose my money on a 50-1 than watch it win because I accepted 3-1 on a type of favorite that I do not usually bet.
2001 Breeders Cups Winners and 2nd Place Finishers, With Jockey, Trainer, and Odds.
2001 BC Classic: Tiznow(1997) Cee's Tizzy- Cee's Song By Seattle Song. 4x4 To Northern Dancer. Tiznow made three starts early in 2001 and won the G1 Santa Anita H, then was given a six month break to wait for the BC, He returned in early September and ran 3rd in the G1 Woodward at Belmont who was hosting the 2001 BC races. He then shipped back to his home base in California and prepped for the Classic in the G2 Goodwood BCH where he again finished third. Shipped back to Belmont, he was again ignored by bettors at the windows and was sent off at 6.90-1, even though he had the biggest dirt wins in the field. And again, he displayed a refused to lose attitude as he provided fans with another thrilling stretch battle to win by a nose. Jockey was Chris McCarron, trainer was Jay Robbins. Sakhee(1997) Bahri- Thawakib By Sadler's Wells. 4x3 To Northern Dancer, 4x5 To Nasrullah & Lalun, 5x5 To Nearco. Sakhee had three starts leading up to the Classic, including wins in the G1 International S and G1 Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe. Off at 4.80-1 odds, he sat in sixth early in the Classic, made a wide move turning for home and ran by Tiznow before Tiznow began matching strides with him and they battle side by side to the wire, with Tiznow getting the nod. Jockey Lanfranco Dettori, trainer was Saeed Bin Suroor, owner was Godolphin Stables. Aptitude(1997) A.P. Indy- Dokki By Northern Dancer. 4x3 To Buckpasser, 5x5 To Princequillo. Aptitude ran 2nd in both the 2000 G1 Ky Derby and G1 Belmont Stakes. He ran unplaced in the Dubai World Cup and then after a 2 1/2 month break finished third in the G2 Californian H. He then won the G1 Hollywood Gold Cup at 1 1/4 miles and shipped to Belmont where he won the G2 Saratoga BCH and G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup. Sent off at 2-1 in the Classic, he ran flat throughout and ran an even race while no threat. Jockey was Jerry Bailey, trainer was Bobby Frankel, owner was Juddmonte Farms. Galileo(1998)Sadler's Wells- Urban Sea By Miswaki. 4x5 To Native Dancer. Galileo started as 2nd favorite at 3.30 -1 and like Aptitude ran a even race without threatening, but his run was due more to being his first start on dirt and the only time he failed to hit the board. Jockey was Michael Kinane, trainer was Aidan O'Brien, owner was Coolmore Farms(Tabor & Magnier). 2001 BC Juvenile Johannesburg(1999) Hennessy- Myth By Ogygian. Outcross in first 5 generations. Johannesburg entered the BC Juvenile unbeaten in 6 starts, including 3 of the biggest G1 juvenile races in Europe. Off at 7-1, he sat behind the early speed and moved quickly to the lead when asked by his jockey to win by 1 1/2 lengths. Jockey was Michael Kinane, trainer was Aidan O'Brien, owner was Coolmore Farms(Tabor & Magnier). Repent(1999) Louis Quatorze- Baby Grace By Cipayo. 5x5 To Nasrullah. Louis Quatorze was also inbred 3x4 to Bold Ruler and 4x4 to Native Dancer. Repent had three starts before the BC Juvenile and closed well in all three, including wins in a maiden race and the G3 Ky Cup Juvenile. Off at 42-1, he sat near the back and made a well time move to be second best, while no real threat to the winner. Most other years, the type of move he made would netted him the win and only a solid race by his opponent stopped him in here. Jockey was Anthony D'Amico, trainer was Kenneth McPeek, owner was Select Stables. Officer(1999) Bertrando- St Helens Shadow By Septieme Ciel. 4x5 To Boldnesian, 5x5 To Native Dancer. He entered the BC Juvenile unbeaten in 5 starts. But in all his starts against winners, he faced two to four other starters and had little to beat, including the G1 Champagne S, his only G1 win. Off as the 3-4 favorite, he was a good bet against, especially in a field full of stakes winners. Jockey was Victor Espinoza, trainer was Bob Baffert, owner was The Thoroughbred Corp. 2001 BC Distaff: Unbridled Elaine(1998) Unbridled's Song- Carols Folly By Taylor's Falls. 5x3 to In Reality. She had six starts prior to the BC Distaff, including a 2nd in the G2 Pa Derby against Macho Uno and a 4th in the Spinster, where she ran a even fourth and could not close against the strong speed bias. In the BC Distaff, she sat near the back early and after making a strong move turning for home, she was blocked by a wall of horses and steadied and moved out towards the middle of the track and closed strongly to just get up in the final strides at odds of 12-1. Jockey was Pat Day, trainer was Dallas Stewart. Spain(1997) Thunder Gulch- Drina By Regal And Royal. 4x5 To Northern Dancer, 5x4 To Native Dancer. Spain won the 2000 BC Distaff and return to seek a repeat. Off this year at 4.90-1, she ran a near identical race and looked like the winner until the final few strides when passed in her fourth start after a 4 month break in the middle of the year. Jockey was Victor Espinoza, trainer was D Wayne Lukas, owner was The Thoroughbred Corp. Flute(1998) Seattle Slew- Rougeur By Blushing Groom was the 6-5 favorite after wins in the G1 Ky Oaks and G1 Alabama S. There was nothing in her form that would suggest she was about to run her worst race of her career, which turned out to be her last start. Maybe she did not handled the deep sandy track at Belmont, but it is really anyone's guess. 2001 BC Turf: Fantastic Light(1996) Rahy- Jood By Nijinsky II. 5x5 To Nearco, Menow, Almahmoud & Cohoes. Fantastic Light ran 5th in the 2000 BC Turf and pointed to this race again. In 2000, he arrived early and won the G1 Man O'War S but then produced his two worst race of that year, including the BC Turf. In 2001, he prepared by winning 3 G1s and running 2nd in another G1. Shipped to U.S. the week of the BC, he again produced the form he showed in his first start in the U.S. the previous year. Off as the 7-5 favorite, he sat close to the early pace and produced a win going away by 3/4 lengths. Jockey was Lanfranco Dettori, trainer was Saeed Bin Suroor, owner was Godolphin Stables. Milan(1998) Sadler's Wells- Kitanga By Darshaan. Milan raced eight times as a three year old. In his sixth start, he won the 1 3/4 mile St Leger S in England and then ran 5th in the Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe in France before shipping to the U.S. the week of the BC and finishing 2nd, beaten 3/4 of a length while 6 lengths clear of the 3rd place horse at odds of 7.50-1. Jockey was Michael Kinane, trainer was Aidan O'Brien, owner was Coolmore Farms. U.S. best hope this year in this race was With Anticipation, the 2nd favorite at almost 4-1. He contested the early pace for 4 furlongs before dropping back and was no factor late. Jockey was Pat Day, trainer was Jonathan Sheppard, owner was Augustin Stable. 2001 BC Turf Mile: Val Royale(1996) Royal Academy- Vadlava By Bikala. 5x5 To Almahmoud. After a full 3 YO campaign, Val Royale was shipped to the U.S to prepared for this race. However, after winning the G2 Del Mar Derby in 1999, he was injured and was off 1 1/2 years before he made it back. He ran second in the G2 2001 Frank E Kilroe H at a mile on grass in his first start back, but then nagging injuries kept him on the sidelines for seven more months. He returned and won the G2 Oak Tree Turf Mile H and then won the BC Turf Mile at odds of 5-1. Jockey was Jose Valdivia Jr, trainer was Julio Canani, owner was David Milch. Forbidden Apple(1996) Pleasant Colony- North Of Eden By Northfields. Outcross in first 5 generations. He ran an even 7th in the 2000 BC Mile and was pointed towards this race again. He won the G1 Manhattan H at 1 1/4 mile in wire to wire and then added the G2 Kelso H two starts later from slightly off the pace at 1 mile on grass. In his fourth start of the year, he tried the same tactics but came up 2nd best at 8-1. Jockey was Corey Nakatani, trainer was Christopher Clement, owner was Arthur Appleton. Favorite at 4-1 was Noverre(1998) Rahy- Danseur Fabuleux By Northern Dancer. Noverre ran in the BC Dirt Juvenile and tried dirt for the first time and was no factor, even though he was in better form. Started 6 times as a 3 YO prior to trying old horses in the BC Turf Mile and had won the G1 Sussex as his only win. He ran an even race in the BC Mile, most likely due to a firm turf and a fast pace he had never encountered before. Jockey was Lanfranco Dettori, trainer was Saeed Bin Suroor, owner was Godolphin Stables. 2001 Filly & Mare Turf: Banks Hill(1998) Danehill- Hasili By Kahyasi. 3x5 to Northern Dancer. 6 month break from 2 yo to 3 yo, then 4th Prix D'Angerville(FR), 2nd G1 Poule D'Essai Des Poliches(1000 Guineas)(Fr), won G2 Prix De Sandringham(Fr), won G1 Coronation S(Eng), 2nd G1 Prix Jacques De Marois(Fr), 2nd G1 Prix Du Moulin De Longchamp(Fr), won the BC F&H Turf in her seventh start of year at 6-1. Jockey was Oliver Peslier, trainer was Bobby Frankel, owner was Juddmonte Farms. Banks Hills is one of six G1 SW produced by her dam, which is most by one broodmare since races have been graded. Hasili is dam of Dansili, who is best known in U.S. as sire of Flintshire(2nd 2016 BC Turf) and Dank(won BC F&M Turf), both owned by Juddmonte Farms). Spook Express(1994) Comic Blush- Park Walk By Green Dancer. Outcross in first 5 generations. 2 1/2 month break from end of 6 yo to beginning of 7 yo career. Won G3 Honey Fox S, won G3 Suwannee River S, 3rd G2 Black Helen H, 3rd G2 New York H, 3rd G1 Beverly D H, won G2 Galaxy S, ran 2nd in G1 BC F&M Turf in her 7th start of the year at odds of 13.70-1. She ran the same type of race she had all year by being near the back early and making one big kick in the stretch, Jockey was Mike Smith, trainer was Thomas Skiffington. Favorite at 5-2 was England's Legend(1997) Lure- Mystery Tune By Commanche Run. Outcross in first 5 generations. 6 month year end break. 4th allowance race, won allowance race, won G2 New York H, won G1 Beverly D H, 2nd G1 Flower Bowl Inv. S, ran 11th of 12 horses after setting a slow pace for 6 furlongs, The big difference is the winner made her pick up the pace before she was ready. Jockey was Corey Nakatani, trainer was Christophe Clement. 2001 Juvenile Fillies: Tempera(1999) A.P. Indy- Colour Chart By Mr Prospector. 5x4 To Hail To Reason, 5x5 To Nasrullah. ran 3rd in 5 furlong maiden race after trouble at start, won maiden race in wire to wire fashion, won G2 Sorrento S from slightly of early pace by 9 lengths, ran 3rd in G1 Del Mar Debutante S after pressing early pace, won G1 BC Juvenile in fifth lifetime start at odds of 11.90-1. Jockey was David Flores, trainer was Eoin Harty, owner was Godolphin Stables. Imperia Gesture(1999) Langfuhr- Honor An Offer By Hoist The Flag. Outcross in first 5 generations. ran an even 5th in maiden race at 5 1/2 furlongs, won maiden race at 7 furlongs at Saratoga by 10 3/4 lengths after stumbling at the start in wire to wire fashion, ran 2nd in G1 Oak Leaf S at one mile closing from the back of a 6 horse field, ran 2nd in the G1 BC Juvenile Fillies to stablemate Tempera at odds of 53-1 in 4th career start. Jockey was Lanfranco Dettori, trainer was Eoin Harty, owner was Godolphin Stables. You(1999) You And I- Our Dani By Homebuilder. 5x5 To Nashua. won maiden 50,000 claiming by 4 1/2 lengths, 2nd allowance race, won G2 Adirondack S by a neck at 6 1/2 furlongs, won G1 Frizette S at 1 1/16 mile by 6 lengths, ran 4th as the 1-1 favorite in fifth lifetime start. Jockey was Edgar Prado, trainer was Robert Frankel, owner was Edmund Gann. 2001 BC Sprint: Squirtle Squirt(1998) Marquetry- Lost The Code By Lost Code. 4x5 To Never Bend, 5x5 To Turn-To. 7 month break. won allowance race at 6 furlongs, 2nd G3 Lazaro Barrera Memorial S at 7 furlongs, 2nd G2 Triple Bend H at 7 furlongs, won G1 King's Bishop S at 7 furlongs, 2nd G1 Vosburgh H at 7 furlongs, won G1 BC Sprint at 6 furlongs at odds of 9-1 while rating near lead for first time all year. Jockey was Jerry Bailey, trainer was Robert Frankel, owner was David Joseph Lanzman. Xtra Heat(1998)(Filly) Dixieland Heat- Begin By Hatchet Man. 5x5 To Native Dancer. no break. She won 8 times in 9 starts with her only loss in the BC Juvenile Fillies when 10th of 12 in only start around 2 turns. Started 3 YO year winning the Ruthless S. at 6 furlongs, Dearly Precious S. at 6 furlongs, G3 Cicada S. at 6 furlongs, G2 Beaumont S. at 7 furlongs, 2nd G2 Nassau County S. at 7 furlongs, won Arctic Cloud S at 6 furlongs, won G1 Prioress S at 6 furlongs, 2nd G1 Test S at 7 furlongs, won Straight Deal BCH at 6 furlongs, won G3 Endine S at 6 furlongs, won Sweet And Sassy S at 6 furlongs, ran 2nd in the BC Sprint against colts in 12th start of year at odds of 17-1 after leading throughout to the 1/16 mile pole. After the sprint, her lifetime record stood at 17 wins with 2 seconds in 20 starts. Jockey was Jorge Chavez, trainer was John Salzman Sr. Kona Gold(1994) Java Gold- Double Sunrise By Slew O'Gold. 4x5 To Ribot, 5x5 To Tom Fool & Hill Prince. Winner of the 2000 BC Sprint as the favorite, he returned in 2001 to defend his title. 4 month break. won G1 San Carlos H. at 7 furlongs, won G2 Potrero Grande H at 6 1/2 furlongs, won G2 Bing Crosby H at 6 furlongs, 2nd in G1 Ancient Title BCH at 6 furlongs, ran 7th in G1 BC Sprint at 6 furlongs at odds of 7-2 while no factor in his fourth BC Sprint startout of his record five tries and worst showing. Jockey was Alex Solis, trainer was Bruce Headley.
Tony Calvin discusses the ante-post betting on this year's Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp as Enable attempts historic hat-trick and you suspect the betting for the race would have only The Arc de Triomphe has a rich history, and betting has always been an integral part of it. The first race was held in 1920 and has developed ever since. In 1935, a lottery was established with prizes according to lots drawn and the race result. Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. The Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is a Group 1 race run over a mile and a half, open to horses aged three and older, and usually takes place on the first Sunday in October. Often referred to as the ‘Arc’, it is one of the most prestigious Flat races in Europe. The Arc meeting grows in stature each year, with the Arc itself now worth €5,000,000, making it the This year’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, taking place on Sunday, October 6, figures to be one for the ages, and we’re here to give you the preview from a betting perspective. The sport of horse racing is known for classic races that sometimes go back through history for centuries. Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is France’s classic horse racing extravaganza, nearly a century old and at approximately 1.5 miles long is one of the richest horse race. We have prepared a thoroughly betting guide with all the information you may need, from event history and records to betting strategy.
View Racing Post betting offers on our website. ... RACE REPLAY: 2015 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe featuring Golden Horn and Treve - Duration: ... Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe 2019 - Duration: ... View Racing Post betting offers on our website. 18+ Gamble Responsibly---YouTube: https: ... Top 10 Arc de Triomphe winners 1989 - 2010 - Duration: 9:31. Arazi124 210,858 views. View Racing Post betting offers on our website. 18+ Gamble Responsibly---YouTube: ... Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe 2019 Longchamp Preview Racing Postcas - Duration: 30:41. We look back on the last weekend's action that included Loves demolition job on the Oaks field and has now set it up for a thrilling clash with Enable in the Prix de l’arc de Triomphe. View Racing Post betting offers on our website. ... PRIX DE L'ARC DE TRIOMPHE 2019, ... Sunday's Racing Preview & Tips Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe 2019 ...