Counter Strike: Global Offensive DFS Picks (7/2/20

A thousand words wasn't enough? Here's five thousand.

List acquired here.
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bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for February 10th and Review of February 9th

Hello, everyone! bathrobeDFS here with your daily basketball article. First, I will breakdown my lineup for yesterday’s main slate. Then I will go over tonight’s slate from the perspective of a one lineup player on Draftkings. If you have any additional questions or want to see guaranteed updates in regards to breaking news- I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. It also should go without saying, this is just a preliminary analysis of the slate: everything can change throughout the day, so make sure you are staying on top of any and all injury news and change your lineups accordingly! I am always available to help with any questions there, as well, even if I can’t do a second article. Let’s get started with the Review!
Yesterday In Review:
My Lineup- -
Name Price DKP Value Proj Own Real Own Diff
LaVine 6600 40.5 6.1x 14.1% 33.2% 19.1!!!!
Ross 5000 25 5x 4.5% 13% 8.5
Jabari 4800 39.25 8.2x 10.4% 20.9% 10.5!!!
Portis 5400 35.5 6.6x 23% 47.9% 24.9!!!!
Markkanen 7500 41.25 5.5x 26.3% 40.7% 14.4!!!
Brogdon 5600 22.5 4x 20.8% 19.8% 1
Middleton 6100 35 5.7x 33.4% 46.8% 13.4!!!
Vuc 8800 47.25 5.4x 6.4% 9.6% 3.2
Total 49800 286.25 5.748x
My Best Lineup- - 3063rd in the 25 cent GPP on DK
Name Price DKP
Kemba 9100 53.75
Bojan 5800 28.25
Batum 5000 27
Portis 5400 35.5
Zubac 3500 28.25
Middleton 6100 35
Grant 5100 26.5
PG13 10000 68.75
Total 50000 303
Best Possible Lineup- - Using the free lineup rewind tool on fantasycruncher, I find the highest possible lineup that could have been played.
Name Price DKP
Kemba 9100 53.75
Lamb 5300 53.5
Kenrich 4700 40.75
Nance 5700 40.5
Noah 3400 42
Cory Joseph 4600 39.75
PG13 10000 68.75
CP3 7000 49.5
Total 49800 388.5
Analysis-
I decided to try to get in 2 of those games where the usage would be consolidated. With the low projected ownership on Vuc, I went with 4 players from that game in Ross/Vuc from ORL and Brogdon/Middleton from MIL. I also had locked in a couple people in the WSH/CHI game I told you we needed to stack today, taking Portis and Jabari from WSH and LaVine and Markkanen on CHI.
With there only being 5 games today, and DK breaking them into a 2 and 3 game slate, I am just going to do another game-by-game analysis before I go back to the normal template on Monday.
The Early Slate:
Blazers vs Mavs - TIP OFF: 300pm
Stats and Stuff
Blazers
Mavs
BREAKDOWN
The new look Mavs should be a relatively easy team to break down. The starters are going to get about 35 minutes and a small handful of reserves will work in as well. People trying to figure things out will spend too much time looking at their last game, and see low scores and spread out minutes without understanding that it was a game against the Bucks in which they got blown out. In this game, at home, that should stay close, everyone should get back what should be a new normal.
The team starts with Doncic (9200). Over the last handful of games, Doncic has the 6th highest usage rating in the NBA. He is a 3x2 threat every game. He could be priced 10k and we would still have to consider him. When you have someone doing what he is doing with shots and rebounds, while ballhandling, you just have to pay the price until it gets high enough and be grateful. Some places have him as Questionable, but he is not on the Mavs official injury report.
The other starters are interesting based on their prices as well. Hardaway (5100) is not priced for being a team’s 2nd option, and for someone who will be shooting 20 times a game. Especially not for someone who gets to do that lined up against CJ. All of the mix of Kleber (4300), DFS (4100), Powell (4800), and Brunson (4000) are totally viable punts, especially on a 2 game slate. They are all going to get a ton of minutes, and could all far exceed this salary. I mean, they can’t all do it at the same time, but any two/three of them could do it today at the same time.
I don’t know if Burke (3700) is going to get the same run he got last game, but it is worth the risk in GPPs. He got 35.75 DKP in only 27 minutes last game, and, considering he’s competing with Devin Harris, he should be able to do that again today if given the chance. The only question is how much did his run have to do with the blow out and how much had to do with a game plan. We will find out this afternoon.
On the other side, Lillard (8800) is both the highest usage player, and he is also in the best spot to attack the Mavs new roster. He got 49 DKP and missed a 2x2 by 1 assist. Given the matchup, I don’t think it’s insane that he passes 50 DKP against the Mavs here.
CJ (6800) is someone who has been INCREDIBLY hot lately. Over his last 4 games, he has put up 55.75, 46.75, 41.25, and 61.5 DKP. He is one of those players I have always considered hot and cold. Ride him while he’s streaking and then get off and watch people lose money on him. I can say I have the worst luck with him, so the fact I’m on him means today should be the day his hot streak ends. But, barring a lack of belief in the supernatural, he is in another amazing spot against the new Mavs.
People will see the matchup information and think Nurkic (7700) is in a difficult matchup. But that is because Jordan was the Mavs C, and he had been #1 DRPM ranked for most of the season. Now the Mavs have Maxi Kleber and Powell manning the 5. This is a place people won’t be all over Nurkic and he should eat for you.
The final person I’ll mention is Jake Layman (3900) who is consistent, they love him, and has a 10x ceiling for you any game. Exactly what you are looking for in a 2 game slate.
Lakers vs Sixers - TIP OFF: 330pm
Stats and Stuff
Lakers
Sixers
BREAKDOWN
This is the sexier game, and I expect much more ownership to find its way here (more reason to focus on the PODAL game in GPPs). But this game IS awesome, and people are right to want to get pieces from here. The problem we have is that we don’t have the consolidation we get from other teams, and, much like with the Warriors, it could be hard to predict where the usage is going to go without simply making a guesstimate.
The Lakers side is a lot easier to figure out. LeBron (10800) and Rondo (6300) are awesome. They are 3x2 threats every game. They don’t negatively impact one another (if anything, they make each other better.) I know James will be guarded by Butler and Rondo by Simmons, and both are great, but I also know that LeBron and Rondo should be more than up for the challenge. Even if the defense is hard, they have plenty of ways to beat you.
The only other Laker I really love here is McGee (4700). They showed last game that getting rid of Zubac was going to benefit McGee greatly. He got 28.5 DKP in 30 minutes. I would expect close to the same again, and that is damn near 6x already.
Everyone else is muddier. Bullock (3000) is available and expected to play. Considering he was a starter, I would expect him to get a significant amount of minutes here and more than pay off that salary. This would eat into the minutes of Ingram (5400), Stephenson (3900) and KCP (3800).. It’s going to be hard to play any of them, but 3000 is just too cheap not to take a chance on a 2 game slate.
The Lakers have also announced Muscala (3100) is available this afternoon as well against his former team. I don’t buy any sort of revenge narrative here, but I do think he gets a bunch of backup minutes and, much like Bullock, you almost have to take the chance at this low price. Also, much like with Bullock, Muscala’s presence makes me like other people less. In this case, Kuzma (5500).
On the Sixers side, we have a similar problem. Embiid (10300) and Ben Simmons (8200) are awesome. They are massive threats every game. They don’t negatively impact one another (if anything, they make each other better.) The Lakers are terrible against Centers, so my first choice is Embiid. Plus he is 2nd in usage in the NBA. Simmons has a legit chance of a 3x2 here as well given how fast this game is going to be played.
The Lakers are worst in the NBA against SG, so if you want to roll the dice with Redick (5200) it isn’t point chasing. He can get hot any game and win you money, especially in a 2 game slate where he may not be as popular as he should be.
I am going to assume Butler (7200) and Harris (6600) are good for the Sixers, but negatively impact each other until I see otherwise. If you want to take the chance on one, I would go with Harris. Butler will see LeBron and Harris will see Kuzma, who is a terrible defender. His price is low enough that he could pretty easily pay this off. I just wouldn’t go near there in cash.
I will say this from a mountain if I need to-- If Boban (3000) is going to get 15-20 minutes every game, you need to play him until he is 4k. He only got 8 DKP last game, which is an insane aberration from his historical production. If you want one of those minimum priced guys who can win a tourney for you tomorrow, get Boban locked in first.
The Daily Slate:
Suns vs Kings - TIP OFF: 600pm
Stats and Stuff
Suns
Kings
BREAKDOWN
With one of the 3 games on this slate the Heat and the Warristars, we are really lucky the other 2 should be replete with fantasy goodness. This one is between 2 teams who have been playing at top 10 paces recently (although PHX recently fell to 11th). There is no O/U as they await official word on Booker, but the coach today said he looked good and he is probable to play in this game. Luckily, if anything were to break, this game goes off first, and then we have 90 minutes to fix whatever else we need to.
So, assuming he is healthy and given a full run, you have to give serious consideration to Booker (8500) being one of the best plays on this slate. He has as high a ceiling as anyone playing here. His price is lower than people he can outscore. No one else on the slate is in the top 10 in Usage but Booker. The Kings are weak against guards, and Booker should be able to make easy work of that. The Kings had been using Shumpert for defensive purposes, but they shipped him off and we are going to see Booker take advantage of that tonight as well. Either way, this is going to be a fast game, with bad D, where no one is going to stop Booker from shooting 30 times and we all know, without TJ Warren on the court, he would love nothing more than to do that. That also means I would have interest in Tyler Johnson (4400) who should get most of the usage in the 2nd unit and some trickle down usage when he plays alongside Booker. Either way, his price is too low for someone getting 30 minutes in this matchup. People might be scared off by his 11.5 DKP last game. He shot 1-9 in his first game with a new team. Don’t let recency bias scare you off what you would normally know is a great play.
Ayton (6900) I think is another great play on this Suns team. He is getting minutes in the mid 30s and producing over 1 PPM. You can do the math there that he should easily pay off this price. On top of that, SAC is weak against Cs. They aren’t as horrible as other teams, mind you, but remember - this is the team Nurkic embarrassed earlier in the season. He will be one of the top options today, and the higher number of possessions means he will get extra chances to produce.
As much as I would like to play Jackson (6200) and Oubre (5900) it seems only one of them can have a great game at once. Especially with Booker hogging the usage, I would take a chance on one in GPPs, but you have to be aware of the risk here. I think Oubre is much safer given his role in the 2nd unit. Similarly, Bender (3600) and Holmes (3500) are cannibalizing each other to the point I don’t really want to play either here, especially since they won’t need to play as big.
The Kings situation is even muddier. The guard/wing minutes are being split between Fox (7300), Hield (6600), Bogdan (5000), Alec Burks (3900), and Yogi Ferrell (3400) With Harris starting at SF, it makes it a lot harder for more than a couple of these guys to pay off at once. I think Bogdan and Hield are, by far, the safest here now. I expect Fox to keep getting eaten into by Yogi and Burks for some reason.
The Bigs situation is also a hard in which to find something to really love. Here, you have Barnes (5100), Bagley (6000), Bjelica (4100), Giles (3500), WCS (5300) and the newly acquired Swanigan (3000) who isn’t guaranteed to get minutes, but could be active tonight. The only person I think is completely safe now is Barnes. I would definitely run with him tonight. Other than that, I see a long list of people not getting enough minutes to justify their prices.
Magic vs Hawks - TIP OFF: 730pm
Stats and Stuff
Magic
Hawks
BREAKDOWN
This is the game of the slate. I am going to try to focus most of my ownership here. We have a ton of people underpriced in a game that’s gonna go fast. With how quickly the Hawks like to shoot, and how poorly they do with that, I see a ton of extra rebounds for Vuc (9500) and Gordon (6700). Vuc is probably my favorite play on this slate, but I also expect him to be the most popular. If that is, indeed, the case I would love to pivot down to Gordon. I would even play both. Both are priced low enough to pay off tonight, especially on a 3 game slate where people might not do the same. Dedmon is mediocre at D (which still makes him one of the best on the team), but Vuc is one of the unguardable people in the league. Gordon gets matched up with Collins who is a good offensive player, for sure, but is also one of the worst ranked PFs defensively.
If you want to go somewhere else here (or in addition to the Bigs), the Hawks are weakest in the NBA against SFs. This makes me focus on Isaac (5000) and Ross (5300). Both have been consistent producers lately, and I think both could easily get 30 DKP tonight.
God. Imagine if this game goes to overtime. Man, how many points would all these people score.
Sorry.
Trae Young is the worst defender in the NBA at any position, so we should be really excited to play the PG for the Magic. Unfortunately, Augustin (4500) has not been playing well at all lately. While I don’t think you can deny his ability to get 30 DKP in the right situation, I just have a hard time betting on that. Especially since they have been trying to play Briscoe (3100) as much as they can. Since he returned from his brief injury, Briscoe has played 23, 19, 16, 20, and 24 minutes, making it hard for Augustin to reach his value there. It does, however, mean Briscoe would be a really sneaky punt that no one else will be on that could pay off big.
I also want to point out that I have been talking about Khem Birch (3200) consistently since Bamba went down. He has put up 17, 16.25, 15.75, and 22.25 DKP in those 4 games. While he may not have the ceiling you like on a larger slate, he is exactly the kind of person you need on a 3 game slate to help you fit everyone in. Especially in this matchup against the Hawks. No one I read has said a damn thing about Khem, but he is a consistent producer when given backup minutes, and the Magic have no other choice.
The Hawks are having a bit of a logjam problem themselves. Trae Young (6800) is the safest play here. He has been the most consistent producer lately, is getting the most minutes on the team, and is in the position the Magic are weakest against. Collins (7800) is the 2nd safest from a minutes perspective, but he has been cold as ice lately from a production perspective and I find it hard to pay for him in a single lineup.
At the Wing, the Hawks have Huerter (4900), Prince (4900), Bazemore (4300), and Bembry (3700). That’s a lot of people that need 30 minutes to get good production that won’t be able to do so until someone gets injured. It’s going to be hard to pick someone here, but I would say Prince and Huerter seem to be the safest in terms of getting 30 minutes. But I am very worried.
Heat vs Warriors - TIP OFF: 830pm
Stats and Stuff
Heat
Warriors
BREAKDOWN
This game is going to be a tough one to love. I know you can’t predict a blowout (or so they say), but this has a GS -14 total. The Warriors are home. Everyone that matters is healthy. Look at those usage ranks. The Warriors have FOUR people in the top 50. If you don’t think that has a major effect on their productions, you are crazy. And you don’t understand that production in DFS is a zero-sum game. With Curry (9300) and Durant (9100) still over 9k, I will have a hard time going there in a game that will have the lowest total on the slate, the highest spread, and will be a huge pace down spot against a defensive team. Cousins (6800) is stuck at 25 minutes until after the all-star break, so no thank you. The Heat are weakest against PF, but Dray (6000) is hugely inconsistent. He should be getting you 40 DKP a night, but he’s having a hard time even cracking 25.
The one person I would take a flier on if you want is Klay (6300). The way they do the rotations, he is more insulated from blowouts than other players. He is pretty safe to get 30 minutes no matter what, including run where he is the big fish on the floor. I don’t think he’s super safe here, but I also think he can get you 40+ real points in 30 minutes.
If Iguodala misses, I would have interest in Quinn Cook (3200) as a nice sneaky punt play who would get both primary backup minutes and blow out run.
On the other side of the court, I have a really hard time trusting anyone on the Heat still. If they are trying to win this game, they are going to need to play Whiteside (7100) over 30 minutes tonight. If he does that, he should get you 50 DKP again. If he doesn’t, how can we be surprised they only gave him 20 minutes? Or that he got into quick foul trouble against this ridiculous team of Monstars.
The only other people I would really look at are the cheaper punt type plays, namely Olynyk (4200), Waiters (4200), Bam (4000), and McGruder (3300). I expect this to be a large chunk of the production from the 2nd unit (and, later, the blow out unit).
Either way, this is a game of Minesweeper where you have to pick one square and you have 3 choices and you have no way of knowing which is going to win it for you and which ones will blow everything up..
Ok that’s it. My friend never came over, So I’m having a hard time tonight. I think I’m gonna watch some Monty Python on Netflix and try to get some sleep. Best of luck tomorrow everyone!!! If you haven’t told the people you love how important they are, try to do it tomorrow! Don’t forget how important it is to both them AND to you.
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bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for February 25th and Review of February 24th

Hello, everyone! bathrobeDFS here with your daily basketball article. First, I will breakdown my lineup for yesterday’s main slate. Then I will go over tonight’s slate from the perspective of a one lineup player on Draftkings. If you have any additional questions or want to see guaranteed updates in regards to breaking news- I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. It also should go without saying, this is just a preliminary analysis of the slate: everything can change throughout the day, so make sure you are staying on top of any and all injury news and change your lineups accordingly! I am always available to help with any questions there, as well, even if I can’t do a second article. Let’s get started with the Review!
Yesterday In Review:
My Lineup- -
Name Price DKP Value
Lowry 7300 47 6.4x
Lin 4400 14.25 3.2x
Gay 5700 21.75 3.8x
Kornet 3900 0 0x
Gasol 5600 29.75 5.3x
T. Ross 5300 41.25 7.8x
LMA 7500 26.25 3.5x
Jokic 10200 53 5.2x
Total 49900 233.25 4.674x
Best Possible Lineup- - Using the free lineup rewind tool on fantasycruncher, I find the highest possible lineup that could have been played.
Name Price DKP
DSJ 6800 52
T. Ross 5300 41.25
Dotson 4200 42.25
Millsap 6100 55.5
Vuc 9700 53
DeRozan 8100 53.25
Knox 5200 37.5
Mitchell Robinson 4600 45
Total 50000 379.75
Analysis-
Man, another mess of a slate. First, I am still angry that, when I started my work yesterday, there was no 3 game slate available. That changed everything, and I’m sorry I didn’t do a normal full article in that case. Second, Kawhi was ruled out from out of nowhere, even though it’s not a back-to-back, forcing everyone to scramble and change lineups completely. Including me. Also, I am pissed off to the point I don’t know if I’m going to play any Knicks anymore. With Jordan out, you had to assume Kornet would get at least SOME run tonight at 3900 but, instead, he got 0 minutes in the first half and they let Ellenson get some minutes, which I predicted yesterday, but not at the expense of Kornet who had been getting 30 minutes a game. So ugh. Knicks. Sorry. Not gonna go there again. I locked in Lowry, Lin and Gasol with Kawhi out and Gasol starting. I thought Lin would get more run than he did (like FVV would), but they didn’t use him even close to the same way. I also loved Terrence Ross in that game so I locked him in. This let me get Jokic from the DEN game, who i thought was the best play on the slate, as well as get LMA, Gay and Kornet in the last game of the day. I was looking OK until DeRozan went off (as I predicted. ugh.) and Kornet didn’t get in the game. For some reason. That no one knows. Except Fizdale is a shitty coach we can’t trust. Ever. Enough Sentence Fragments. Let’s. Get. Down. To. Biz. i. Ness. (I think that’s actually Will. i. Am’s brother).
The Daily Slate:
So, I am going to ditch the MSC section. It just isn’t what I was hoping. Most of the time, with the injury news, the play isn’t as good as it should be, and I feel like I am forcing that person into my lineup, regardless of the news, at my own detriment. I will still let you know the players I think will have a better chance of reaching their ceiling, but, especially on a day like today - one with 11 games and a ton of studs questionable or worse - it wouldn’t benefit you to pick someone now when everything will change so dramatically before lock. I do hope to be able to do a Good Chalk/Bad Chalk more often from now on to combat this. But we will see how it all shakes out. We have to remember, I am new to this. I only started this a couple months ago and I’m trying to do something different with this long form experiment. With talking about more than basketball. With everything. So it will be a living, breathing, evolving thing. It also means I am up for suggestions to how to improve it!
Besides the MSC disappearing for the foreseeable future, there is another major change- a significant addition that should help you out, and help increase the amount of communication I can engage in (even more than here or twitter). Ever since someone told me about Slack a month or so ago, I have been looking into a chat app to provide more of a real-time ability to talk to people about the slate. Or discuss breaking news. Or answer questions if I can. I was going to do Slack, but it was too much of a clusterfuck for me. I can understand why it’s popular, but it’s just not as easy to manage as I want something like this to be. While I was looking around, a few of the people that helped start FanDuel got a hold of me and wanted me to try a new chat app called Flick. I downloaded it and gave it a go and I really like it (or I would either use something else, or just not do this yet). I will be able to chat in real time. I will be able to make new topics for everything and anything I want. So I can make a new chat every day for every slate. For MLB and NBA. I can regulate it so it’s invite only, so we won’t be harassed by trolls and people trying to give us bad information. All of this was very important to me, since I really believe in what I am doing and don’t want to hurt its quality in any way. Expanding to something I can’t control, where harrassment is possible and it’s too easy to lose things, just wasn’t going to work for me. So starting tomorrow, I am going to be crossposting everything I do here into Flick, in a new topic, where I can answer questions or just chat about various process issues. It will be faster and easier than messaging me here or on twitter (though, as an older dude, I may not be as good at it as I should be). So, if you are interested, I would download the Flick App and send me a DM here or on twitter and I will send you the invite link. I am excited to give this a try and I hope it helps all of you as much as I think it will. Alternately, you can probably just look me up on the app as “bathrobeDFS” and ask for an invite there, but I have no problem doing it here or on twitter either. Ok. That’s enough with that. Let’s look at this crazy 11 game slate.
Situations to take advantage of (in no particular order):
Situations to monitor:
Man, this is going to be a fun one tonight! This is one of the rare times I didn’t even have to use my “situations to be careful of” section!! Everything is either great, or something we have to watch out for news about. Either way, I am excited to see you all on the new chat app I’ll be using. It should be really cool, and I’m excited to give it a try with all of you fantastic people. Best of luck tonight, everyone! And I guess I’ll talk to you all soon.
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The Monday After: WC34 Special

Well lads,
We’re here at last! One of, if not the biggest time of the season; Wildcard GW34! I've been a mixture of excitement and nerves all weekend, tinkering my heart out and reading up on all the stats/line ups of teams I’ve not considered in a long while. There’s a lot of good picks for our Wildcards, but sadly not enough space in the team for them all! So in this post I’ll be breaking down every team and their best assets, strategies for between GW34 and 35, and who we should be thinking about for beyond the doubles. A lot to unpack! Hope you’re comfy.
Here’s a quick update on my own team and OR. This week was already set up by the work done before FH32, so I didn’t have to do much. Brought Kepa in as my one week punt which went down pretty well and I captained Mane which didn’t go down pretty well. All in all Operation Top1K Survival was a success. Small red arrow but still going strong. Big shout out to Lejeune and his bittersweet cleansheet. Get well soon!
If you’re interested, I’ll be posting all of my WC34 tinkering on my twitter. These include my overall thoughts, tactics between gameweeks and reasoning for player selection/exclusion. I’ll also be linking information that might change my choices as they come so if you’re looking for a bit more information than this post, you can catch me there!
Here’s some useful links that help me write-up my TMA posts:
Premier League Fixtures – A great way to line up the fixtures for the specific gameweeks you want to see. Orders the teams from best fixtures to worst.
Player Analysis by Performance – Amazing tool that compares every player based on Shooting, Creativity and Attacking involvement. Options for looking at any combination of teams too.
Player stats per Game – Great for looking at team stats per player for Offensive and Defensive plays. Also shows heat maps.
Teams To Look At
Liverpool - With the title race still on, and the best fixture run in the league from now until the end of the season, it’ll be difficult to justify getting rid of every Liverpool player we have. Salah (13.2) managed his first goal in quite a few weeks and there is hope he’ll kick on from here, but the cost of keeping him in your WC team will mean sacrifice elsewhere in your XI. Mane (10.1) is a lot easier on the budget, especially if you’ve had him for a while, and this goes for Robertson (6.8) and TAA (5.5) as well. It’s also worth noting that they do actually have a good game in GW35 (car), so if you’re bench boosting you should get something out of it from each of the above. Just make sure the rest of your team is mostly made up of doublers! I’ve seen a few managers downgrading Salah to Mane or Robertson to TAA and I guess if you’re struggling for funds elsewhere this is the best time to start manoeuvring, but remember not to pull the trigger when tinkering unless you’re absolutely sure! It’ll cost you quite a bit if you decide to reverse your transfers.
Southampton - The Saints have the second best end of season fixtures, and will enjoy the second easiest double of GW35. With so many bargain players available, it’s likely to see at least 1 or 2 in most Wildcards. There’s one small problem, though. There are hardly any encouraging stats amongst any of their key players from the last 5 game weeks. So although they have the fixtures, it’s hard to figure out who the top players are when in the last 4 games they’ve played MUN, TOT and LIV. There are still some stand out players, though, like Valery (4.1). He’s carved his way into the Starting XI with some impressive displays, and has crossing and cleansheet potential on his side. You won’t find a cheaper nailed defender for the doubles. Hojbjerg (4.4) has also been playing well, and is tied first with Redmond (5.3) for most shots both in and out of the box, and second for key passes just behind Ward-Prowse (5.1). A bit of an all-rounder as far as the stats are concerned. However, both Hojbjerg and Redmond lack in the crossing department, whereas Ward-Prowse excels at it, attempting 29 crosses in 4 games. If you’re looking for a cheap midfield option, JWP or Hojbjerg will do nicely, as Redmond seems to lack in assist potential. I want to also mention Ings (5.4). When fit, Ings was the spear of the attack, and played well. Right now it’s hard to discuss how we think he’ll fair in the double simply because he’s been injured. As there are quite a few strikers we’d like (Jimenez, Deeney, Aguero, Lacazette, Kane, Rashford, etc) there just isn’t enough room to fit Ings in. Better to stick to the midfield here.
Tottenham - As well as playing Huddersfield at home in GW34, Spurs have 3 more home fixtures against Brighton, West Ham and Everton. Only the away game against Man City dampens their otherwise ideal fixture run. Although we don’t know how they’ll fair against City in the Champions League, we do know that Kane (12.5) and Eriksen (9.2) are very rarely rested and should play a large majority of every game. With poor form going into the next block of games, a Champions League spot to play for, and a brand new Home stadium to play in, Tottenham could use this platform to really make an impact in the top 4. Stats wise, it’s not as bad for Kane as we’d thought. He’s top for most shots out of players in the top 6 sides (18), and 3rd for most shots on target (6). He’s also top for shots inside the box (13), meaning he is getting into good positions and shooting often. Eriksen, on the other hand, is top for most shots outside the box (9), as well as big changes created (3) and key passes (14). Those are some big numbers! As far as the other players, both Son (8.5) and Alli (8.8) go missing a bit regarding the above stats. In fact, they both have less shots in the box than Vertonghen and Alderweireld. Alli does a bit better with the big chance creation (2), but for just 0.4m you could have Eriksen who absolutely killing it. Of all the players mentioned, Son’s minutes are managed the most, so just beware of that risk if you decide to go with him. As for their defence, they have only managed 1 CS in the last 7 matches, and even though they do have their new stadium and have yet to concede there, there isn’t a single defender who has played more than 4 games in their last 5. It’s a minefield of rotation back there, and only Lloris (5.4) seems safe. If I had to choose one, though, I’d probably choose Trippier (6.0) as his rotation partner Aurier is injured right now.
Arsenal - What a horrendous performance by the Gunners against Everton. Not a very good audition for our WC teams, and has actually put off a lot of players from selecting players like Kolasinac (5.0), Lacazette (9.4) and Aubameyang (10.9). Obviously we’ll need to take their poor away form, and the bias nature that is just having watched a poor performance into consideration, but it’s safe to say that no Arsenal midfielder is safe from rotation, and with Sokratis (5.1) now suspended for 2 matches, it’s going to be difficult to predict their formation at the back. They could play a safe 4-4-2 and bench Kola, or play Monreal (5.4) at CB along with the recently injured Koscielny (5.4), keeping to their 5 at the back strategy that has really done wonders for them lately. Realistically the only players that haven’t seen much rotation are Leno (4.9) and Lacazette, who seems to be favoured over their top goal scorer Auba. The latest benching of Aubameyang probably tells us that Emery can’t be trusted with playing their best players and that we should avoid their team altogether, but I can see many managers risking it for a piece of that sweet double fixture (CRY, wol). Ramsey (7.1) is relatively cheap and has been their best player on the pitch for a few games now so if he keeps his place he would be a very cheap way into the Arsenal attack. Other than Ramsey, Lacazette has been ticking well and he should definitely be considered, and you’ll be hard done by to find a cheaper premium defender than Kola. Risky, but rewardy! Playing safe here means going Mustafi, Koscielny if fit, and Leno.
Wolves - Jimenez (6.8), our hero, will be featured in a huge amount of teams for the season run out, and will be a big rank killer now more than ever. Managers who have stuck by him all this time will never know how it feels to see your OR plummet every time he bags another return. I don’t like to throw around the word essential, but if you’re planning on keeping with the pace of the Top100k or so, he is definitely needed in the team. If you’re looking for a differential, not going with Jimenez is one of them. Oh and he also has a cool mask. Other Wolves prospects include Jota (6.1) and Doherty (5.3), but as their defence has been lacklustre of late, I would only really include Doherty if you already have him and brought him in at a relatively low price. Having a 4.4m Wolves defender would be a decent budget option, but a 5.3m might not be as cost effective. There are a few other options in midfield that you could go, but the only reason you would be downgrading Jota would be for funds, and in that case there are a lot better options on other teams than the likes of Moutinho (5.2) or Neves (4.9). Watford and Southampton assets for example.
Watford - Speaking of Watford, let’s get stuck in with their options. Watford have the best double fixture out of all the teams, yet having them in your team for GW34 is difficult as they have a tough game. A few managers will be keeping them on the bench, or making the swap between gameweeks. Whichever works for you, as long as you have one or two players for GW35. Now unfortunately their best midfield and defensive options aren’t looking the healthiest after the win against Wolves in the FA Cup, so we’ll need to wait for more info on both Deulofeu (5.7) and Holebas (4.7). It’s a good thing we have this GW34 buffer before we have to decide who to bring in from Watford (if you’re going for the BRI -> WAT strategy). Ideally Deulofeu is fit and available as he is the stand out pick: Top in the squad for crossing, shots on target and shots in the box. Holebas tied with Deulofeu for most crosses. If we need to look elsewhere, then Doucoure has looked okay stats wise and has taken his two goals well. Hopefully he kicks on with his current form. As for the strikers, It’s Deeney (5.9) all the way! Nailed on starter, on penalties, has found some decent form, and is tied with Deulofeu for shots on target and 2nd for shots total. Definitely worth considering. Gray (5.9) on the other hand is the opposite of nailed, so he’s out of contention unless something crazy happens in GW34. Last but not least, we have Foster (4.6). As far as budget keepers go, he is the best you could get for GW35. He hasn’t had the most luck when it comes to cleansheets, but Foster has had at least 1 save point in his last 12 matches! If that continues through the blanks it’ll be at least 6 points over the 2 games (unless the scoreline is crazy).
Man United - I’m still not sure about United as they have the worst fixtures in GW35 out of all the double playing teams. We’ll have a lot of value tied up in our Red Devil’s but it might just be time to let them go. The saving grace for Man United is that they play West Ham at home in GW34 and then have the best fixtures from GW37 to 38 so I’m still unsure about where to put them in this article. Pogba (8.7) has started playing deeper as many of you have noticed, and his points have dried up. This is echoed in his stats too, which is worrying. Rashford (7.5) and Lukaku (10.8) might also be just a step too far for managers who already have Aguero, Deeney, Jimenez and Kane to consider. Regarding the defence, we all remember how that turned out in the last double. For whatever reason they just aren’t keeping cleansheets and it’s probably best if we don’t take that risk. All in all I would probably bet against them in regards to returns, but if you decide to take a punt here I wouldn’t be too against it.
Man City- This is the great debate, and one that I myself haven’t quite got to grips with yet. In regards to who is guaranteed minutes, we can only look to Ederson (5.6) as the nailed player of the team. Playing a fully fit, 100% strength team for every game between now and GW36 is a huge ask of any team, let alone Pep and his bald fraudness. The Champions League is still very important to the team and the fans, having not won it yet, so my gut feeling is that it will be prioritised over the league, which they’ve already won in seasons past. Obviously this is up for debate, and one that we won’t know the answer to until the timesheet is announced. Having said that, there are those that are more likely to see 180 minutes over the doubles, due to how crucial and difficult the games will be. Laporte (6.0) has played every game when fit, so he would be next Ederson on the nailed list. Then comes Aguero (11.8), who also plays every game that he’s fit for. The issue with Aguero is that he’s not 100% fit at the moment and we’ve already seen him subbed as a precaution. Having said that, we know what Aguero can do even if his minutes are managed. KDB (9.7), Silva (8.5),Bilva (7.6), Sane (9.3) and Mahrez (8.2) are all rotation risks and will be in and out of the team come the end of the season. None of them are safe from Pep and his teamsheet based on what we’ve seen so far this season, but we know that Pep particularly likes Bilva, so perhaps he’d be worth punting on. The only player that stats and recent rotation doesn’t help with when trying to figure out his minutes is Sterling (11.5). We’ve seen in the last 2 doubles that he’s played one and was rested the other, however he’s played 75+ minutes in every game against the top 6 this season. Read into that what you will, because I still haven’t figured it out. Hopefully more information comes after the Tottenham game on Tuesday!
Brighton - Last but not least, we have Brighton and their beautiful DGW34. With loads of options to choose from, managers shouldn’t have a problem fitting one or two players into their squad. The only issue is that they’re GW35 fixtures are quite poor and having them in your team for both doubles might actually hinder your returns. For those that are able, it may be worth doing a Brighton to Watford swap in between the gameweeks to maximise your team going into the doubles. Options from Brighton are the header brothers Dunk (4.4) and Duffy(4.7), Murray (6.3), who will probably not see 180 mins and would only be viable if you were then switching to Deeney, and Knockaert (5.2) who’ve I’ve personally been waiting for a good while to finally put into my team. Knockaert is like the poor man’s Maddison, but actually when you put the two of them side by side, it’s Knockaert with the better cross accuracy. In the last 5 games Knockaert has hit 25 cross attempts with 14 on target, compared to Maddison’s 10 in 33. That’s pretty impressive for a Brighton player. All in all, plenty of options for those looking to get something out of Brighton’s mini double fixture in GW34.
Teams To Be Wary Of
Leicester - I’ve seen a few managers discussing whether to keep Vardy (9.1) or not for the rest of the season. For those that play form over fixtures, he seems like he could go on to score in every game with the way he’s been playing recently. The Foxes are on fire! However, Leicester are sadly only playing one game in GW35 and then it’s ARS, MCI and CHE to finish the season off. Managers always remind each other that Vardy loves scoring against the bigger teams, but the fact that we haven’t seen Rodgers’ tactics against a top 6 club yet makes this one hard to call. With 4 returns in 9 games against the Top6, will Vardy be let loose against ARS, MCI and CHE? Will they just play defensively to see the season out? Who knows. We do know that 9 million is a lot to spend on a punt when you’re trying to build a Bench Boosting DGW35 squad. I can definitely see the arguments for both sides, and if you’re absolutely adamant that there is something there, then you can always transfer your Leicester assets out for GW35 and bring them back in. I don’t think anyone has too much value tied up in their assets for this not to be an option.
Cardiff - There is potential for Cardiff to do okay during their Double GW34, so bringing in Camarasa (4.5) for example, then moving him on for a Watford or Southampton upgrade isn’t a bad shout. I’ve had a look at the stats for Cardiff and the only other players that stick out are Morrison (4.7) and Niasse (5.0), but not only does Camarasa outshoot both of these guys, he also puts more crosses and key passes in as well. Add the price difference and Camarasa is the easy choice! I wouldn’t keep any Cardiff players after GW34, though. Their remaining fixtures just aren’t very appealing.
Everton - Well shit, guys. A poor run of form meant getting rid of players like Digne (5.2) and Richarlison (6.5) very easy. To everyone’s astonishment, they then go on one of the best runs in the league with 4 wins, 1 loss,1 draw and 5 cleansheets! So they may not have a double, and they certainly don’t have the best of fixtures (MUN and TOT still to play), but that probably won’t stop them. I can’t see myself bringing anyone back into my team, but if you’ve got Digne sitting there and you’re just got that ‘feeling’, then go for it! Don’t let your dreams be dreams!
Chelsea - I’ve seen a lot of chatter about Hudson-Odoi (4.2) and to a lesser extent Loftus-Cheek (5.2), but Chelsea play Liverpool away and don’t have a double. GW37 is okay but even if you could guarantee me 90 mins a game for CHO I wouldn’t take him in my squad. There are just way too many players to try and fit in.
Bournemouth - Unfortunately our hope that these guys would come back swinging after their horrible fixture run hasn’t exactly panned out. With their best fixture (FUL) coming at the same time as other teams play twice, it’s hard to try and fit any Cherries assets into our teams. They’re fixtures after GW35 aren’t too great either, with SOU (A), TOT (H) and CRY (A) ending their season.
Newcastle - Newcastle have the same issues that Bournemouth have: A single good fixture during the double gameweek, no second game in GW35, and two away games sandwiched by a difficult home tie. It’s best to leave Newcastle out of your thinking.
Crystal Palace - Playing against MCI, ARS and EVE next, with the only appealing games being the last two of the season (car + BOU), there shouldn’t be any thoughts of Eagles assets in your Wildcard.
West Ham - We tried very hard to get rid of our Hammers players even though they were playing in the blank. Says all you need to know!
Fulham - They do actually have decent fixtures, but without a double and no fight left we can confidently leave them out of our teams for the rest of the season. Goodbye Fulham! We hardly knew ye.
Huddersfield - No double, no players we’d want, and no good fixtures. It’s a no from me, dawg.
Burnley - Burnley have the 2nd worst fixtures on paper for the rest of the season and they don’t have a double. Easy as that!
And that’s a wrap! Apologies for the size of the post, but I wanted to take a look at every team. Hopefully this gives you some indication of who you should be looking to fit into your team, and who you should maybe look to get rid of. Remember that when you’re tinkering, if you take a player out who has went up in price, they’ll cost you more to bring back in! So be careful out there. If there’s any player that I haven’t went over that you’re considering, let me know. I’ll be reading replies to this post all weekend. Cheers lads, and good luck in your tinkering!
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bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for December 19th and Review of December 18th

Hello, everyone! bathrobeDFS here with your daily basketball article. First, I will breakdown my lineup for yesterday’s main slate. Then I will go over tonight’s slate from the perspective of a one lineup player on Draftkings.
Yesterday In Review:
Lineup-
John Wall 9800 - 24 - 2.4x
Bradley Beal 8500 - 50.5 - 5.9x
Rodions Kurucs 4000 - 6.75 - 1.7x
Trevor Ariza 4600 - 48.5 - 10.5x
Dwayne Dedmon 5600 - 30.5 - 5.4x
Trae Young 6400 - 29.75 - 4.6x
Kent Bazemore 6300 - 28.5 - 4.5x
Monte Morris 4700 - 33 - 7.0x
Total: 49900 - 251.5 - 5.04x
Entry Fees: $23.75 Winnings: 0 ROI: negative infinity
Analysis-
Given the size of tomorrow’s slate, I have started writing this around 930pm. I am not going to know exactly how everything played out, but that won’t change the reasoning behind why I played who I played.
First up, The Washington/Atlanta game: I was going to go all in on this one. I loved it. If I played this slate 100 times, I would have gone overweight on this game 100 out of 100 times. But, as is the nature of the beast, some freak stuff threw everything off early, and it never recovered.
That left me with 2 positions open. I had 2 spots around 4500 each to fill. The pool of people I liked at those prices (and ruled out) were Joe Harris at 4900 (Crabbe Out, Would get a lot of shots. Wound up too expensive), Jeff Green at 4800 (I decided I had too much in the game already), JJ Barea at 4300 (No Smith, would be playing the point. Decided coming off an ankle injury, I was trying to be cautious in case they just let Doncic play the 1 again and ease Barea back in), Satoransky and Huerter at 4300 (again, too much in that game already), Alec Burks at 4200 (with Clarkson out, he was a good choice. I just have no faith in the Cavs, didn’t like this game environment, and was wary of the recent poor shooting Burks has had), and Dellavadova at 4100, he’s averaged over 25 DK points since being traded back. With Clarkson out, I thought he would be in a good spot, especially considering the blowout risk.
I wound up going with Kurucs at 4000 for the same reason I wanted to go with Crabbe, and Monte Morris at 4700 with Harris and Barton out and Hernangomez injured and having monitored minutes. Additionally, Morris has been putting up some great production lately, and, although this turned out very wrong, I thought Jordan would do better against Jokic (not enough to rule him out, but enough that i considered him a cash-type play), and the Nuggets would have to do more with the guards. Looking at the production of Murray and Malik Beasley and Morris, it seems I was right. Unfortunately, Kurucs fell to the same fate as John Wall, getting quick fouls and having his minutes severely limited
Much like yesterday, this is a day where I was happy with the choices I made. I just fell to the side of variance and weird quick fouls on normally consistent performers. Hopefully the analysis I provided helped you all land on some better folks and you took home some money!
The Daily Slate:
I want to make 1 note of today’s slate that I found in my research: The following teams are playing tonight: Jazz (20th in pace), Blazers (21st), Suns (22nd), Nets (23rd), Spurs (24th), Magic (25th), Pacers (26th), Cavs (28th), Rockets (29th), Grizzlies (30th). 10 of the 24 teams that are playing tonight are basically in the bottom 3rd in pace. Let’s dig into that and see if there’s any places we can find some advantage tonight!
Situations to take advantage of:
Situations to avoid:
Situations to monitor:
So that’s it. The longest write up so far. This is going to be one of the hardest games of the season for me to whittle it down to one lineup. That provides a ton of fun for me, and I hope it does for you. I hope we all make the right choices tonight.
Come on, everyone. Let’s get rich together!
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bathrobeDFS - Daily Analysis for March 1st and Review of February 28th

Hello, everyone! bathrobeDFS here with your daily basketball article. First, I will breakdown my lineup for yesterday’s main slate. Then I will go over tonight’s slate from the perspective of a one lineup player on Draftkings. If you have any additional questions or want to see guaranteed updates in regards to breaking news- I provide additional updates, information, and stats on my twitter @bathrobeDFS. Feel free to throw me a follow cause it’s much easier and more timely to provide updates over that medium. It also should go without saying, this is just a preliminary analysis of the slate: everything can change throughout the day, so make sure you are staying on top of any and all injury news and change your lineups accordingly! I am always available to help with any questions there, as well, even if I can’t do a second article. Let’s get started with the Review!
Yesterday In Review:
My Lineup- -
Name Price DKP Value Proj Own Real Own Diff
Schroder 4700 27.25 5.8x 56.2% 45.7% 10.5!!!!
Green 3300 10.25 3.1x 34.7% 22.4% 12.3!!!!
Simmons 8400 54.25 6.5x 19.9% 17.2% 2.7
Love 6900 43.5 6.3x 25.7% 35.8% 10.1!!!!
Bam 4000 26.75 6.7x 56.8% 63.5% 6.7
Russ 11100 60.25 5.4x 66% 63.5% 3.5
Royce 3400 16 4.7x 10.2% 24.7% 14.5!!!!
Donovan 8000 41.5 5.2x 15.7% 26.4% 10.7!!!
Total 49800 279.75 5.617x
Best Possible Lineup- - Using the free lineup rewind tool on fantasycruncher, I find the highest possible lineup that could have been played.
Name Price DKP
Cory Joseph 3600 39.25
Bojan 5400 53.25
Aaron Gordon 6400 48.25
Cedi 4900 43.75
KAT 10500 70.25
Harden 11000 95.25
Korver 3200 32.75
Barton 5000 49.25
Total 50000 432
Analysis-
In the Summer of 2007, in between her 2nd and 3rd year of Veterinary School, my wife, who I have described accurately as one of the best people I have ever met, decided to spend a week of her rare vacation time volunteering. She was part of an organization that would go to incredibly rural areas- we are talking about places in this country that don’t have a Vet within a 2 hour drive- and provide free care to anyone that came to the clinic. She described the lines as “out the door the entire week.” And they stayed, every day, as long as they could to care for these animals, and their people, as well as they could. Free.
On day 7, the day she was supposed to come home, I get a call from my then-fiancee, “Bathrobe. Don’t be mad.”
“Oh god,” my mind emptied, as one’s mind will whenever some says that (or ‘we need to talk’)
“You’re gonna be mad.”
“Well, I don’t know if I’ll be mad until you tell me why you think I’ll be mad.”
“Ok. But you have to promise not to be mad.”
That went on for a few minutes until I got it out of her. A puppy, not more than a couple months old, had been brought into the clinic that morning. She didn’t have an owner. No tags. Nothing. A driver found her on the side of the road. She had been hit by a car and one of her legs had been shattered. She was down to skin and bones. She had been laying there for days, apparently, unable to move or eat. Hit by someone and left for dead. While this Good Samaritan brought the dog to the clinic, he had no desire to keep her. And this wasn’t an adoption clinic. That meant there was only one solution to problem like this, and my wife wouldn’t stand for it.
“I couldn’t let them do that to her,” she told me, nearly in tears. “When they brought her in, even though she was hurt, even though she hadn’t eaten, she just couldn’t stop smiling at me. She was so sweet, even in that pain. Even on her deathbed. I couldn’t let her life end like that.”
“So, wait. What are you saying?”
“Well, I had no choice. I told them I’d take her. So I’m going to bring her home.”
“Sweetie… we only have a small apartment and a dog and two cats already. Plus I work 12 hours a day and you’re gone 16 hours a day for vet school…”
“I know, I know. What I want to do is take her back home, and then get her surgery to fix her leg. I can use some of the stipend I get to pay for the surgery. Then we will foster her until she is better and then adopt her out.”
“Ok, you got it. I can’t believe you thought I’d be mad at you for that.”
So the dog flew halfway across the country, carried by my wife the whole way. She got the surgery. And my wife brought her home. And, as you could probably guess, I fell in love immediately. She was a little tiny German Shepherd mutt, almost fully black with some white on her underbelly and paws. The happiest smile and shiniest eyes you have ever seen in a dog.
“Well,” I told my wife upon meeting the puppy, “I guess we have 2 dogs now.”
The surgeon at the hospital said that the odds were poor that she would ever be able to use that leg. It was really badly damaged, they said, but my wife had gotten her there when she was young enough that they tried to make it as normal a leg as possible. There was a possibility she would be able to walk like normal, but it was slim. We would have to do manual exercises with her multiple times a day. We would have her give us her paw, like she would shake, and we would have to manually move it back-and-forth, up-and-down, to-and-fro to try to get it as strong as possible. We spent hours upon hours of our time taking care of that little fuzzball, moving her little paw every day hoping the hope that she would be a normal, happy dog
You bet your sweet ass it worked. Once she got the bandages and everything off, she ran around our apartment like she was on fire. Over and over and over and over again. For an hour at a time. I did my best to take her outside and let her run to her heart’s content but, in the middle of a big city, room was sparse. So we made due and, honestly, I don’t think she could have been happier.
I’m a bit of a science nerd, truth be told. The two pets my wife and I had gotten together, a dog and a cat, were named Einstein and Newton. I told her I wanted to name all the pets after physicists, but any sort of scientist would do. So what is a good name we could get from a female physicist? My wife, at U Penn Vet School, wanted it to be a name that also reflected Philadelphia, too. That seemed like a pretty tall order. We thought and thought. Looked it up. Asked coworkers and friends. We came up with a list, but nothing seemed to fit her. One day, when brainstorming, I decided to make a joke-
“I have an idea. Why not just call her ‘Benjamin Franklin, the Girl Dog.’ We can just call her Frankie or Frankie Lynn for short.”
The look on my wife’s face told me that, not only did she not think this was a joke at all, but that I had accidentally struck gold.
And so Frankie it was. And our family was complete. For a few years anyway.
My favorite memory of Frankie came during her first winter. As I said earlier, Frankie was a hearty, furry, Minnesota dog. She was born in the snow, the rest of us just learned to live with it. So when that first snow fell, I don’t think I’ve ever seen a living creature as happy in my entire life.
I ran inside and grabbed my phone, cause I just needed to get some video.
Whenever I need to be happy, I just watch that, see Frankie in her pure bliss, bouncing around like a bunny. And everything in my life gets a litter better.
A few weeks ago, Frankie stopped finishing her meals. My wife took her in, did tests, scans, and everything. She was still happy as can be, still running around like a puppy, even though she will be 12 this summer. Well, would have been. Unsurprisingly, she has a mass inside her and her organs are starting to shut down. The nausea she was getting from it has gone up as the days have gone by. Where she used to devour anything we put in front of her, now her appetite is reserved for when she camps in front of the food closet, psychically asking me for some more jerky treats. She won’t eat dry food, canned food, or even peanut butter.
Her favorite moment of any day was when my wife, her personal savior, came home. I don’t know what dogs understand but, I swear to god, this dog knew that my wife saved her life several times over and she never, ever stopped showing my wife her unlimited love and gratitude. Over the last couple days, the unbridled tail wagging and jumping has turned into a brief fit of happiness followed by her wanting to lay down.
As much as we both want to keep her around forever, it’s starting to get to the point where it’s going to be cruel for us to do so. Her pain is getting worse, her energy keeps going down, and my heart keeps breaking.
Thank you, Frankie. I know you were “just a dog” to some people, but you were the first dog that really loved me. You were the first dog that made my life better. The first dog that I missed when I wasn’t around. The first dog that I know missed me too. When my dad and uncle and grandma died, you were there to nudge your head into my lap, between the tears, with that little smile of yours. You always made everything ok with that. When Newton, the greatest living creature I have ever known, died at the age of 9, you were the pet I went to. You were the one that helped me think it was going to be ok. I don’t know who I’m going to go to now.
I will miss you every day of my life, Frankie. Every single day. You were truly special. Truly a gift. I don’t know why you were brought into the clinic that day. I don’t know what possessed my wife to fly you home and pay for your surgery out of our own pocket. I don’t know much, Frankie, but I know that, though we may have saved your life, every single day you were in mine, you made it better.
I love you Frankie.
I love you. And i’ll miss you.
Frankie, in her glory
I played people last night. I don’t even care why anymore. PG was out. Everyone was out. I just did the best I could with the information I had. Apparently, so did everyone else and I forgot to check ownership projections, cause this may have been the chalkiest lineup I’ve ever put together. Oh well. Onto tomorrow.
The Daily Slate:
For the rest of this week, I want to give people a chance to see this. After that, I will just make it a mention in the template intro paragraph. Before I get into the analysis of today’s slate, I want to touch on the new chat app experiment I am doing. I started it early yesterday morning, hoping to get 100 people within the first month. We had 100 people within the first day. We were discussing injuries, talking lineups, and doing analysis in real time. I was able to answer questions immediately. It was a completely new experience, and I think it was an overwhelming success. In case you missed the article yesterday, I will repost what I wrote then, so that you can avail yourself of it. If you are interested, please send me a DM on reddit here and I will send you the invite link.
There is another major change- a significant addition that should help you out, and help increase the amount of communication I can engage in (even more than here or twitter). Ever since someone told me about Slack a month or so ago, I have been looking into a chat app to provide more of a real-time ability to talk to people about the slate. Or discuss breaking news. Or answer questions if I can. I was going to do Slack, but it was too much of a clusterfuck for me. I can understand why it’s popular, but it’s just not as easy to manage as I want something like this to be. While I was looking around, a few of the people that helped start FanDuel got a hold of me and wanted me to try a new chat app called Flick. I downloaded it and gave it a go and I really like it (or I would either use something else, or just not do this yet). I will be able to chat in real time. I will be able to make new topics for everything and anything I want. So I can make a new chat every day for every slate. For MLB and NBA. I can regulate it so it’s invite only, so we won’t be harassed by trolls and people trying to give us bad information. All of this was very important to me, since I really believe in what I am doing and don’t want to hurt its quality in any way. Expanding to something I can’t control, where harrassment is possible and it’s too easy to lose things, just wasn’t going to work for me. So starting tomorrow, I am going to be crossposting everything I do here into Flick, in a new topic, where I can answer questions or just chat about various process issues. It will be faster and easier than messaging me here or on twitter (though, as an older dude, I may not be as good at it as I should be). So, if you are interested, I would download the Flick App and send me a DM here or on twitter and I will send you the invite link. I am excited to give this a try and I hope it helps all of you as much as I think it will.
There is no limit to the amount of people invited. The only rule is treat everyone with love and respect. We are all there to help each other. End of discussion. If you can handle that, just ask for an invite and you’re in! Now to the slate at hand.
Before I dig into specifics, I want to point out that there are 7 games tomorrow and the lowest O/U is 227.5. This may be the greatest slate we have all ever seen.
Situations to take advantage of (in no particular order):
  • Lauri - While I also like LaVine (7700) here, give me Lauri (8600) today. I know the price is higher, but I also know that the Hawks give up the most points to PFs than anyone in the NBA and that John Collins is the worst PF defender in the NBA. The Bulls are in a fantastic pace up spot here. There is no reason not to go hard on both of these guys, since that is where a large majority of the usage and production is going to come from. And it’s a game against the Hawks, who don’t play D, that is supposed to stay close. My mouth is watering just thinking about it.
  • Trae - Chicago is a major pace down spot for the Hawks, but nothing has been able to stop Trae Young (8100) lately. If you have been reading my articles, you know how high I have been on him for weeks now. And I have been proven right every single time. Against the defenses of Tyus Young and CP3, both of whom are among the leaders in DRPM for PGs, Young just played 43 and 41 minutes and dropped 62 DKP and 51.25 DKP. You think Kris Dunn is going to stop him? Ed Lover called. He said, “C’mon, Son!”
  • Zeller and Kemba - First up, Charlotte is 26th in pace and BK is 4th, meaning this is a GREAT pace up spot for both these players. Second, D Lo is a bad defender, Dinwiddie is coming back tonight and he’s bottom 5 in DRPM, and the Nets are 2nd worst against Centers in the NBA. All of these things, and the fact this is a 228 total with a close spread, leads me to loving both Kemba (8200) and Zeller (5800) today. Both are going to get major minutes in what is going to be a shootout. The crazy thing is the 228 total here is the 2nd lowest on the slate. But, regardless, I absolutely love both these plays today. They should both get you 6x easily.
  • Pelicans - If Booker is out, I am worried this game doesn’t stay close. Then again, it’s the Pelicans playing AD for 20 minutes, so who the hell knows. What I DO know is that Randle (8000) is going to get like 40 min and 50 DKP now, every game, if he can stay out of foul trouble. I know Elf (5600) should be 1000 more for the minutes and production he has been getting. He should be even more than 1000 more in THIS matchup against the Suns who are awful against PG. But as bad as the Suns are against PG, they are the worst in the NBA against SG. That means Jrue (7900), who was supposed to be limited to 28-30 minutes a game and has played 36, 34, and 33 in his last 3, scoring 43.25, 44.25, and 49.25 DKP, is vastly underpriced and will be underowned based on a lie and bad information. One note- Tim Frazier has been cut. So if you want to take a chance on Frank Jackson (3100) getting all the backup run, be my guest. They signed someone to a 2 year contract and he may not be available tomorrow. I will update the situation when I know more
  • Clippers vs Kings - The last 2 games of the night are going to be so fucking good. This one sports an incredible 240 total with a spread of only SAC -2.5. I have to start out by letting you know that Bagley is going to miss this game. This makes Sacramento a lot more appealing to play, as well. The first thing I will call attention to are the deficiencies we can attack- the Clippers are weakest against Centers, PFs and PGs. That means I will be a big fan of Fox (7200) at his rapidly falling price, Barnes (5100), who should get extra run at PF with Bagley out, and WCS (4500) who should see more than 30 minutes again, against this Clippers team. He could put you up 10x tonight at that price. I mean, truly just an insane price for him in this matchup with no Bagley. On the Clippers side, we can attack the Kings basically anywhere we want. Meaning we should just default to the players that make the biggest splash anyway. So, LouWill (7100), Montrezl (6400), and Gallo (6100) would be the overwhelming best plays, with Montrezl again leading the pack for me. PatBev (4500) is also putting up 40 DKP games like nobody’s business, so he would be one of the most important punts to get in there today. Especially for this matchup. I would also say I like JaMychal Green (3700) a lot at that price, for the backup minutes he’s been getting. Especially in this matchup against the horrid D of the Kings backup players. Last thing to point out, Harry Giles (3100) should be priced 4k at least every single game. Even with WCS playing, he is getting minutes. He may be one of the primary beneficiaries of Bagley’s absence. I don’t know if he’ll be chalk after his 30 DKP performance last game but, if he isn’t lock him the fuck in!!! Cause my god. He can win you a GPP tomorrow at that price.
  • Bucks vs Lakers - I am shocked that this Bucks team, that gives up the 22nd least DKPPG, is projected to be in a 236.5 point game and only be 4.5 point favorites. I know the Lakers have LeBron, but they have also been fucking terrible lately. And I don’t know why that’s suddenly going to change against the best defense in the NBA. So, what can we attack? First, LAL is 2nd worst in the NBA against PG and 2nd worst against C. So Bledsoe (6700), fresh off an awesome triple double, and BroLo (5000), fresh off embarrassing his brother, are in fantastic spots again today. I am a big, big fan of both. Additionally, big shocker, you can play Giannis (11600), even though he will be guarded by LeBron. I mean, as fast as the Bucks play, the Lakers are even faster. And they give up the 2nd most DKPPG. So it’s just one of the best spots they could be in, especially if this stays close. With the season winding down, and the games becoming more important, they have started letting Giannis get to 37 and 38 minutes to close games out. We will need that tomorrow for him to help get to value. On the Lakers side, I want two things- LeBron (11400) and whoever is going to shoot the most 3s (the Bucks are 2nd worst in the NBA at giving up 3s), which is gonna be LeBron again, with Kuzma (6300) and Bullock (4700) getting a ton up too. All 3 of those dudes are awesome, awesome plays today. If Rondo (5000) gets another start, I think we can assume he plays 38 minutes again, at which point we have to play him. I mean, it sucks this game goes off at 1030 because we are going to need to know about their lineup as early as possible, and I fear that just won’t happen. Stephenson is out for LAL as well, solidifying the minutes Bullock will get and giving a few minutes to KCP (3000), who loves to shoot 3s himself, and Hart (3000), neither of who can be trusted, even at minimum price.
Situations to be careful of(in no particular order):
  • Brooklyn Nets - Ok, so, let me start this off by saying that, even though this is a major pace down spot for BK, I still love them today. What we need to be careful of is the return of Dinwiddie (5900). Dinwiddie is returning from a thumb injury so, much like other people who have returned from upper body, hand-based injuries, he should be good to go. Even with a bum thumb, you can still keep in game shape, just not handle a ball. So, with Dinwiddie back, what is going to happen? I tell you what, if the beginning of the year is any indication, we have no idea if D Lo (8500) or Dinwiddie are going to get the shots, get hot, get run, or close the game. The reason D Lo was able to go on this tear in the first place was because Dinwiddie and LeVert were out. Now, with both back, I don’t see how you can pay for anyone until we know how this all plays out (or if the coach gives us more news about it after shootaround in the morning). That being said, if Dinwiddie isn’t limited by minutes, I am all over him today. I imagine I will be alone there, though.
  • Blazers vs Raptors - While this game has a healthy 227.5 total with a TOR -5 spread, it is also one of the worst games on the slate for a very important reason- 7 of the 10 starters are ranked in the top 10 in DRPM for their position, and both defenses are above average against every single position. On top of that, the other day I pointed out how a symbol of how strong the Bucks were is shown by the fact they are a team in the top 5 in pace, but were near the bottom of DKPPG. The same thing, to a lesser degree, is true with both of these teams. The Blazers are 16th in pace but give up the 27th most DKPPG. The Raptors are 15th in pace but give up the 25th most DKPPG. Listen, I know Kawhi (8800) is horribly underpriced and that his form lately will reduce his ownership. And listen, I know that, with Kanter out, it’s possible Nurkic (7300) sees extra run. And if he sees extra run, he’s one of the best single plays on the slate. But Lowry and Green are both spectacular defenders, meaning Lillard and CJ are just priced too high. Kawhi dominates usage, so I don’t want to go to Lowry or Green. I expect Gasol (5200) to start in this matchup with Nurkic, meaning he will probably be the one to get 28 minutes. Which also means you can totally play him at that price, but it’s still risky. It also removes consideration for Ibaka. Siakam (7000) will be matched against Aminu, who is top 10. Unlike others, he should be guaranteed 35 or so minutes if this game stays close, meaning he would be a sneaky play not many will be on. Also, Harkless (3800) should also draw the start. While he will probably be defended by Kawhi, he also only 3800. If he gets 30 minutes, he should be able to pay that off. Though, again, I will be careful.
  • Wizards vs Celtics - The only game on the slate with the potential for a blowout, according to Vegas. Again, we need to be careful of that. In that we should be cognizant of the risk, especially if, like me, you only play one lineup. Given the fact that Smart and Kyrie are fantastic defenders, it makes me think this won’t be a game that Beal (8700) sees success. If he doesn’t find success, I don’t see how this game stays close. Over the last month, Boston has been more attackable by forwards than anything else so, if you want to go there, I would give serious, serious consideration to Ariza (5800) (who is still being run into the ground and just got 51 DKP), Parker (4700), who should really eat against the backups, and whichever Center DOESN’T start. Meaning if Portis (6000) starts, I want Bryant (4400) and vice versa. Boston, on the other hand, can do whatever it wants. It’s a huge pace up spot, Washington gives up the 4th most DKPPG, they are worst in the NBA against PFs and also terrible against PGs and Cs. So fire up Kyrie (8900) as much as you can, as well as Morris (4600), who no one is ever on, and Horford (6400). With Baynes out and Theis doubtful, we could also see Morris get some extra run at the 5. Alternately, and you may think I’m crazy here, but if they let Morris play the 4 and let Williams (3000)* play backup C, he will also get the blowout run. Meaning he would be one of my favorite punts on the whole day.
Situations to monitor:
  • Booker QUESTIONABLE - This game already has a 237.5 total with a spread of NO -4. So I would imagine that, if Booker was going to miss, Vegas would either not have a total yet, or it would be much, much worse for Phoenix. That being said, Booker is questionable with a toe sprain. If he plays, without limits, Booker (8300) is a fantastic play, as #8 in the NBA in usage against a team that’s not really trying to win. If he is forced to miss, I will be all over both Oubre (6200) and Tyler Johnson (5000). They are both going to get a majority of the usage with Booker out, and both should crush those prices. I mean, NO has been worst in the NBA against SF over the last month, anyway, so, regardless, you have to consider Oubre. Ditto Jackson (5000) who saw his price fall too much for his talent and ceiling. NO is also worst in the NBA against Centers, meaning that we are going to have one of the rare days that Ayton (6900) is a fantastic play. He sees a usage bump without Booker, as well, so fire him up regardless, but moreso if Booker misses.
Thank you all for indulging me, again, in a personal story. And thank you for letting me share my grief and sadness with you all. I’m sure we have all been where I am today, and where I have been too many times, on the brink of losing a pet you love with all your heart. I hope you can find some joy in the video of my little bunny dog like I will in the next few weeks. Give your pup and extra treat for me today. Let them know how much you love THEM too.
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PrimeTimeAction Betting Analysis  Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints  July 13, 2020 CS GO FAST BETTING!!! 0.27$ 100 TIMES! PROFIT? PrimeTimeAction Betting Analysis  New York Jets at Philadelphia Eagles  July 14, 2020 Zorlakoka ENERVA-SE com 1 dos MELHORES JOGADORES DE CSGO PORTUGUÊS! (PANDA VS ZORLAKOKA) PrimeTimeAction Betting Analysis  Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans  July 13, 2020

The daily bet thread for 10.07.2020. This Thread is meant for every game starting between 0:00 CET and 23:59 CEST on 10.07.2020. For Matches starting after that, please use the Thread for the next day, which should be posted arround 21:00 CEST today. Captivating commentary from newsmakers, authors, experts and others on topics you care about from politics to family, faith, values and more. All upcoming CS:GO Matches & events listed in one place. Containing livescore, lineups, statistics and much more! Tipify is an army of CS:GO, Dota 2, LoL and Overwatch tipsters giving esports predictions. We're all obsessed with esports and betting. Dota 2, CS:GO, League of Legends and Starcraft are guaranteed to have betting markets due to their massive popularity, but it’s always good to have variety. Many of the betting sites we recommend are beginning to offer new markets from rising stars in the eSports scene in addition to the most popular esports in the world.

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PrimeTimeAction Betting Analysis Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints July 13, 2020

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